26/06/2016 Sunday Politics Wales


26/06/2016

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Here we are on Westminster Green. The Shadow Foreign Secretary has

:00:13.:00:20.

been sacked. The Shadow Cabinet is resigning at the rate of one an hour

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this morning. Is it all over for Mr Corbyn? Not at all. Jeremy isn't

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going anywhere. He was elected nine months ago. The biggest mandate of

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any political leader in our country and he isn't going anywhere. What

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does he do if half the Cabinet will walk out on him today? He will

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replace them. What is so disappointing in this is that we

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have no government at the moment. Those promises that were made in the

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referendum have been reneges upon almost on an hourly basis. The

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country is in a difficult position now is the time for the opposition

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to hold together. Hilary Benn says Mr Corbyn is not the leader and you

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cannot win an election with him. I think they should calm down and

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listen to their members. Who trust polls any more? I have seen polls

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saying we are on the path for victory. Calm down and

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And the confidence of the Parliamentary Labour Party? People

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who are softer or party members. I am saying to all members of the

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Shadow Cabinet, respect the wishes of the members. In that way, we can

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hold together and win the next election. This is all about one of

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the basic principles of our party, solidarity. The membership may not

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be representative of the wider Labour family in terms of labour

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voters. Labour voters on Thursday did not listen to Jeremy Corbyn or

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the wider membership? That is true. We argued in the campaign that we

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should campaign for remain and reform. We lost by a close margin.

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Hilary Benn was the leader in the Shadow Cabinet of that campaign. We

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did everything to support it but we lost. We have to respect that. It

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does not mean that those people who voted to leave the European Union

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will translate that Broad against Labour in the future. Every

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electoral test Jeremy Corbyn has faced he has one. Apart from the

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referendum. That was on pole at -- one issue, it was not party

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political. Jeremy was told he has to deliver two things, Labour voters

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and young people. Seven out of ten Labour voters voted for Remain. He

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delivered. Take London out of that and remember the fact that young

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people did not vote mate in large numbers and it can hardly be a

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success. If he's going to fight back, how does he do it today. I

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have heard to Michael Moore Shadow ministers resigning before we came

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on air. How does he do it? He puts forward the policy programme that we

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need to negotiate a better deal with Europe on. He shows leadership in

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that way, which is doing, and he mobilises the membership to go to

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the Labour supporters to back that programme. We have got to listen to

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the Labour supporters that did not Broad for the remain campaign and

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listen to their views. Lots of that is about communities being left

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behind, the issue he has been highlighting for the last decade.

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Does anyone like to Jeremy Corbyn for a lead on this no? 24 hours ago,

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maybe more, he was saying we should trigger Article 50 immediately, but

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within 12 hours, he was saying, maybe we should not do that? What we

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want to know is what the deal will be with Europe. What Jeremy will be

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doing with the rest of the Labour Party, the rank and file in

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particular, is shaping that the land campaigning around it. We will be

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hoping that in the absence of government leadership we will be

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able to get the best deal we can. Our relationship with the European

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leaders, and social and democratic parties, has been enhanced by

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Jeremy's leadership. We think we can negotiate a better deal than this

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government. What would you say to any shadow ministers watching who

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are thinking of following in the foot steps of Hilary Benn, resigning

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and triggering a leadership crisis? I know how disappointed people are

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at the loss of the European referendum but now is the time that

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we hold together. There is no government in place. We've got to

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provide that leadership. Listen to your party members who voted in

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overwhelming numbers for Jeremy nine months ago. Solidarity is key. Some

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people have been telling us that you have been on leadership movers. No.

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I will never stand for leadership of the Labour Party. If Jeremy stands

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for another leadership election I will cheer his campaign. I think the

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party members will like him again. It is unnecessary. The next few

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months are key for the Labour Party. We can lead the country but we need

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to hold together. If Jeremy Corbyn was to fall on his sword tomorrow...

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He is not. You would not stand? He is not. And any circumstances would

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you stand as leader of the Labour Party? Jeremy is not falling on his

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sword. He is not going anywhere, and if you did, I would not be standing.

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Let's be clear, he is not going anywhere. Over the last 48 hours, on

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-- over 200,000 people have signed a petition to support Jeremy Corbyn.

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His new style of caring, compassionate, honest politics, I

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think it has a grip in the country. As a result, we have one on every

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electoral test on it comes to a party campaign and we will do it at

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the next general election -- the next general election. Why has part

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of your shadow team been going around Labour MPs canvassing support

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for John McDonnell to be leader? She has not. I am told she has. She has

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not, but if she has, let me make this clear, she has not spoken to me

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about this. I am not standing as leader of the Labour Party. She is

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part of my team, as a loyal supporter of Jeremy, and has been

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until now. If she's phoning around, I think that is wrong. I think it is

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disinformation. I do not want to blame the media for this. Some in

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the party have tried to divide and rule all the time. It is never going

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to happen. Jeremy and I have been close friends for 30 years, the best

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political allies. I will always have his back. If he has to stand for

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another leadership election, I will be his campaign manager. If he does

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not stand again, there are no circumstances in which you would

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stand for leader of the Labour Party? Norway. He is going nowhere.

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You have said that, I am not arguing. I am not standing and he is

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not going. He was elected with an overwhelming mandate. So your

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colleague, if she's doing it, she should stop? She is not. She would

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not do it without asking me. She is wasting her time? She would not do

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it without asking me, it is a myth. Propaganda against us. I wonder

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where that would come from? John McDonnell, thank you for being with

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us. Thank you to Andrew Marr. This is now the Sunday Politics, coming

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live from Westminster. The sun is now coming out, and what a week,

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what a date has been in politics, from the moment the referendum

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result was confirmed, events have leapt forward at an alarming speed.

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Ellie Price has been watching it unfolds. The British people have

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spoken and the answer is we are out. It is a victory for ordinary people,

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decent people, it is a victory against the big merchant banks,

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against big businesses and against big politics. I will do everything I

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can as Prime Minister to steady the ship over the coming weeks and

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months. But I do not think it would be right for me to try and be the

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captain that steers our country to its next destination. We are well

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prepared for this. Her Majesty's Treasury and the Bank of England

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have engaged extensive contingency planning and the Chancellor and I

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have remained in close contact, including through the night at this

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point. I am fully aware of how this series and dramatic this moment is

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politically. There is no way of predicting all the political

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consequences of this event. Especially for the UK. It is a

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significant and material change in circumstances, and it is therefore a

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statement of the obvious that the option of a second referendum must

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be on the table. It is on the table. It was the morning that changed

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everything. But the day belonged to the Leave campaign, even if not

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everyone agreed. Shame on you, Boris, you are a parasite. The man

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who could well be next try minister made a victory speech with a

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conciliatory tone. To those who may be anxious, at home or abroad, this

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does not mean that the United Kingdom would be in anyway less

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united. Nor does it mean it would be any less European. I want to speak

:11:21.:11:27.

to the millions of people, directly to the millions of people, who did

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not thought for this outcome. Especially young people. You may

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feel that this decision in some way involves pulling up a drawbridge, or

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any kind of isolationism, because I think the very opposite. Whoever

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becomes the new Conservative leader will have to find a way of dealing

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with the opposites in their own party. The morning after the night

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before, Tory MPs insisted they were already looking forward. I am not

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really interested in the sense that the deep Windsor in the real world.

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I am not interested in the party. For the first time since the 1970s I

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have seen people speak in a way that I had not seen in the last 40 years,

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Colin, get these immigrants out, calling me a traitor. I have never

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seen such unpleasantness unleashed. We have got to heal. That is where

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we have got to do the work, the restoration we have to do. Is this

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the moment the Conservatives stop banging on about Europe? I suppose

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it might be. Do you fancy yourself as leader? I am not going to make

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any decision about that until we have rested over the weekend, we

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have had a chance to speak to colleagues. I would not rule

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anything out. Only of my colleagues thought there was a chance of

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reaching over from that Leave side to the other side of the party in

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what would be a healing process. I hope you have a woman in the final

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two. It is important in 21st century Britain. Whether it is near one of

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my brilliant female colleagues, that will be for the party to decide.

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Plenty of talk about the future of the Tory leadership at Westminster.

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They will be a meeting on Monday of the influential backbench 1922

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Committee to discuss that. It will not be the only meeting of MPs. The

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Parliamentary Labour Party will be having a catch up with Jeremy

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Corbyn. That can often be acrimonious and Mandy could

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be the most acrimonious yet. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn watched on when

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David Cameron resigned, but his leadership was called into question

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by some of his own MPs. He should not escape the result, they say and

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there may be a motion of no-confidence. If we have the

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prospect of an early general election, these are serious times,

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and we have to make sure that we have leadership that can a chance of

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reaching beyond our corner. It is not clear that are currently the

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ship can even mobilise our core support, looking at the results we

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have had so far. Yesterday Jeremy Corbyn sought to confront is

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critics, announcing a review of the party's immigration policy and

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answering questions about his leadership. If there is a leadership

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contest, William and again? Yes, I am here, thank you.

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APPLAUSE I ran a campaign which travelled the

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length and breadth of this country. I pointed out there were

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difficulties with the European Union, that is obvious, but I also

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pointed out that we would achieve better social protections, better

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levels of employment, investment, in my view, if we remained part of the

:14:46.:14:51.

European Union. It was not enough. This morning that Shadow Foreign

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Secretary, Hilary Benn, was sacked by Jeremy Corbyn, after plans

:14:55.:14:59.

emerged to coordinate front bench resignations. After that the Shadow

:15:00.:15:03.

Health Secretary, Heidi Alexander, resigned. It is understood up to

:15:04.:15:07.

have the Shadow Cabinet could follow. The ripple effect of the

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referendum result is still being felt. Westminster may look the same

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on the outside, but politics here has changed forever. Our panel of

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the best and the brightest are here to help this page as the events of

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the last few days. I think the got the referendum along -- wrong.

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Isabel Oakeshott, Janan Ganesh, Helen Lewis. Let's start with

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Labour, the breaking story this morning. Hilary Benn fired, Shadow

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Cabinet ministers resigning. John McDonnell telling me that Jeremy

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Corbyn will fight on and that he is never going to be a candidate for

:15:46.:15:50.

the Labour leadership. Reaction. It is fair to say there is scepticism

:15:51.:15:54.

among Labour MPs about the words of John McDonnell. This has been

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brewing since the referendum result came in. Labour MPs feel the Jeremy

:16:00.:16:02.

Corbyn's heart was not in the campaign. They feel they are in tune

:16:03.:16:07.

with Labour activists, not necessarily Labour voters. They are

:16:08.:16:15.

very pro -- EU. They want to act before the national executive

:16:16.:16:18.

committee may change the rules. There is a possibility that if there

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is another leadership election it will not be automatic that Jeremy

:16:23.:16:25.

Corbyn to get on the ballot. The Kubot came there. If Jeremy Corbyn

:16:26.:16:31.

is going to fight on but is facing the resignation of up to 50% of his

:16:32.:16:35.

Shadow Cabinet today, we do not know, some have gone, how does he

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fight on? With great difficulty. By Monday you could end up in a

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scenario where Jeremy Corbyn cannot populate his Shadow Cabinet and the

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second year shadow ministerial positions. If you cannot deliver the

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numbers to form a viable opposition it becomes difficult for him to

:16:54.:16:58.

remain. During my lifetime the two great political parties have taken

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it in turn to meltdown. Labour did it in the 1980s, the Tories did it

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in early 2000. It is unprecedented to have both melting down at the

:17:09.:17:13.

same time. The implications for government are obvious. John Kerry

:17:14.:17:18.

is visiting soon. It is a measure of how noticed across the world our

:17:19.:17:22.

disorder in public life is at the moment. The referendum has been a

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massive international story, not just a European one. John McDonnell

:17:29.:17:31.

says there are plenty of other Labour MPs ready to join the Shadow

:17:32.:17:35.

Cabinet and Jeremy Corbyn has the support of the membership. Clearly

:17:36.:17:41.

Jeremy Corbyn thinks he can brazen it out. The big question is what is

:17:42.:17:47.

Tom Watson going to do, his deputy? He is a big figure within the party.

:17:48.:17:52.

He is trying to make his way back from Glastonbury. It looks like his

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mobile phone is about to run out of juice. Here's a couple of hours to

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wait until he can get the train back. Total pandemonium. On any

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other day, this meltdown in the Labour Party would be the biggest

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Tory, but to a lot of people today, it feels like a sideshow to the key

:18:10.:18:13.

question is, what happens after Brexit and two will be the next

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Prime Minister? Who will be the next Prime Minister?

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I think he would be a fool to make a prediction. It is hard to see

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someone being able to come from relative obscurity as David Cameron

:18:32.:18:35.

did, in order to join the front rank of politicians. The question really

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is if everyone gets behind someone like Theresa May, because she is

:18:42.:18:44.

seen as the only viable big beast who could take on Boris. Norris was

:18:45.:18:52.

the face of the winning side. There will be a stop Boris candidates, I'm

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sure, among MPs. Is that Theresa May? I'm flattered you're still

:18:57.:19:03.

interested in my opinion, having got the prediction on the referendum so

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horribly wrong. I don't see how a country which has just voted to

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leave the European Union can have a Prime Minister who believes it is a

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bad idea because the Prime Minister has to negotiate the terms of exit.

:19:17.:19:20.

I would say the Prime Minister, chancel and Foreign Secretary all

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have to be committed believers now. They have all got to be on the same

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page. That is almost certainly right, isn't it? Yes, I always

:19:30.:19:36.

thought Boris would be a shoo-in particularly with the accelerated

:19:37.:19:39.

timetable the Prime Minister has given this leadership contest. I am

:19:40.:19:43.

having a moment of doubt as to whether Boris is a shoo-in. It is

:19:44.:19:48.

strange that in the last 24 hours he doesn't seem to have been on

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manoeuvres like so many of his colleagues. He has been flat-footed,

:19:53.:19:57.

we haven't seen much of him, and already we have seen quite strong

:19:58.:20:02.

signs of a backlash against Boris. I wouldn't say he is a shoo-in. But if

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it comes down to the final two, and goes to the country, he wins, does

:20:10.:20:16.

he not? All of the polling suggests he is wildly popular with the

:20:17.:20:21.

members, however that breaks down in an interesting way. He's incredibly

:20:22.:20:24.

popular when you want to say who do you have a beer with? During a

:20:25.:20:29.

national crisis, he scores less well and people might feel this is a time

:20:30.:20:33.

of national crisis but he's very hard to beat among the membership.

:20:34.:20:38.

We thought we would get a rest after the referendum, that is never going

:20:39.:20:39.

to happen. You may currently be

:20:40.:20:42.

unfamiliar with Article 50 You won't be alone, with half

:20:43.:20:44.

the civil service scrabbling to read It is actually an amendment to the

:20:45.:20:48.

Treaty of Maastricht. But given it's the key that

:20:49.:20:56.

unlocks our membership of the European Union,

:20:57.:20:59.

chances are we will all become very familiar with it over

:21:00.:21:01.

the next months and years. The UK will be the first country

:21:02.:21:03.

to trigger Article 50, and it has been left deliberately

:21:04.:21:07.

vague so that each member state can decide how

:21:08.:21:10.

and when it wants to leave. As soon as it is invoked,

:21:11.:21:14.

it opens a two-year window However, David Cameron has

:21:15.:21:17.

effectively paused the process until the Conservative leadership

:21:18.:21:22.

contest is over. Once Article 50 is invoked,

:21:23.:21:26.

the terms of negotiations will be set by our 27 counterparts

:21:27.:21:29.

in the European Commission. What will be the substance

:21:30.:21:33.

of the talks? Our budget contributions will be

:21:34.:21:39.

discussed, as will transition arrangements for expats

:21:40.:21:42.

and cross-border companies. It is also likely to cover how EU

:21:43.:21:47.

financial programmes in the UK are phased out,

:21:48.:21:51.

and whether there should be transitional arrangements and rights

:21:52.:21:53.

conferred by the EU, But a new trade deal would have

:21:54.:21:55.

to be arranged separately, could take significantly longer,

:21:56.:22:02.

and will require ratification from each of the 27

:22:03.:22:04.

national parliaments. Once a British exit deal has been

:22:05.:22:11.

hammered out, it will be put to the European Council

:22:12.:22:14.

and will need support from a qualified majority,

:22:15.:22:16.

at least 20 of the 27 members, If a deal is reached,

:22:17.:22:20.

it will then be subject to a vote If a deal cannot be reached,

:22:21.:22:28.

the two-year period can be extended, but only through a unanimous vote

:22:29.:22:34.

of the council. There we are, much more of that to

:22:35.:22:44.

come in the weeks ahead. Earlier I spoke to the former

:22:45.:22:48.

Labour Prime Minister, Tony Blair. I began by asking him if he accepted

:22:49.:22:50.

Thursday's result that we are now out of the European Union

:22:51.:22:54.

for the forseeable future. I accept the result was to get out

:22:55.:23:05.

of Europe, that is clear. What do we do now? What I also think is that we

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have got to be very careful now to take our time and work out what the

:23:11.:23:14.

consequences are of exit and what our new relationship with Europe

:23:15.:23:19.

will be. Here is where I think it is important we don't rush this

:23:20.:23:23.

process, there is no need to rush it. I think in the next two or three

:23:24.:23:27.

months, the present by Minister has got an important role to play in

:23:28.:23:31.

shaping how that negotiating framework will proceed, and I think

:23:32.:23:36.

it is important for the country to see what are the actual

:23:37.:23:41.

consequences. What's the reality of leaving, and what possible options

:23:42.:23:45.

are there for new relationships. The leaders of Europe, including

:23:46.:23:52.

President Jean-Claude Juncker, have said there is no point waiting, just

:23:53.:23:56.

apply for Article 15 out, start the process, let's get on with it. What

:23:57.:24:03.

do you say to that? I understand their frustration and dismay at the

:24:04.:24:07.

result in Britain but it is not in the interests of Europe or Britain

:24:08.:24:12.

to rush this. We are dealing with vast consequences, and we have got

:24:13.:24:16.

to take it very carefully. I have worked very closely with Angela

:24:17.:24:21.

Merkel, I know her very well. She is a very sensible person. I mean, she

:24:22.:24:29.

has those good German qualities of practical common sense and realism,

:24:30.:24:34.

and she will want to do this, I think, in a way that gets the best

:24:35.:24:38.

for Europe and indeed for Britain because people want to retain that

:24:39.:24:41.

relationship with Britain. I don't know how much room for manoeuvre

:24:42.:24:52.

these people that have led the Leave campaign have. But I think they also

:24:53.:24:57.

have a big responsibility to help our country get itself through what

:24:58.:25:02.

is going to be an agonising and highly complicated process of

:25:03.:25:07.

defining a new relationship with Europe. The odd thing about this

:25:08.:25:12.

referendum, when you think about it, it's like saying to someone, right,

:25:13.:25:17.

you are going to swap your house. You know where you live but you will

:25:18.:25:23.

swap it for another house. And right now, we can give you two people, you

:25:24.:25:28.

cannot see that the house but we can give you two people who tell you

:25:29.:25:33.

what they think. One says this house will be fantastic, great for you,

:25:34.:25:38.

and the other says this house is structurally on sound, you will hate

:25:39.:25:42.

it. We have taken the decision to swap homes, if you like, without

:25:43.:25:46.

having seen what the other thing looks like. Over this period of

:25:47.:25:50.

time, we will see what it looks like. We will then get right into

:25:51.:25:55.

the detail because the detail matters. For example financial

:25:56.:26:00.

services, if we don't have the EU passport for our financial services,

:26:01.:26:03.

what does that mean for the City of London? You could get thousands of

:26:04.:26:08.

jobs going so how do you preserve it? What does the car industry do?

:26:09.:26:13.

We have hundreds of thousands of jobs dependent on it. I think the

:26:14.:26:18.

detail will really matter and we need to take our time over this so

:26:19.:26:22.

that the country also carries on being engaged in a debate about what

:26:23.:26:28.

this really means. But what would you advise Boris Johnson and Michael

:26:29.:26:33.

Gove to go for in terms of the overall relationship? The details

:26:34.:26:37.

will take a long while, I understand that, but broadly what kind of

:26:38.:26:40.

relationship would you advise them to have going forward? I think one

:26:41.:26:46.

that preserves as much as we can of our access to the market in Europe

:26:47.:26:50.

because that is essential, I mean half of our trade is with Europe,

:26:51.:26:57.

but secondly which allows us at least some decisions that will be

:26:58.:27:00.

made that have a direct bearing on Britain. One of the things that so

:27:01.:27:05.

curious about this whole process is that we are an independent country,

:27:06.:27:10.

we are an independent country now. I say to people, I think the ten years

:27:11.:27:15.

I had as by Minister, I cannot think of a single decision that Europe

:27:16.:27:18.

said to me I had to make or I couldn't make other than those to do

:27:19.:27:22.

with Europe specifically. We will now be in this new relationship with

:27:23.:27:27.

Europe, we have got to work out what is in our interests. We have got to

:27:28.:27:31.

understand something as well, I think it is very important about

:27:32.:27:36.

where the country is today. I think it is deeply divided. The Leave camp

:27:37.:27:43.

won, but 48% voted Remain. I think there was a lot of dismay and anger

:27:44.:27:49.

among that 48%. I think a lot of young people particularly feel their

:27:50.:27:52.

future has been changed in a way they profoundly disagree with. And

:27:53.:27:57.

so, if there is a desire in the Leave camp to try to bring the

:27:58.:28:01.

country back together, if there is a maturity there in the politics of

:28:02.:28:07.

Leave, we have also got to show a majority for the politics of Remain

:28:08.:28:11.

and work out how we do this best for the country but that argues for a

:28:12.:28:14.

negotiating process which allows the country at every stage to see, this

:28:15.:28:23.

is the reality. It is no longer about claims and counterclaims. Do

:28:24.:28:30.

you rule out another referendum? As I'm looking at it here, I can't see

:28:31.:28:38.

how we would do that. You will have a reality to test yourself against.

:28:39.:28:43.

For example, in the last few days there has been this vast crash in

:28:44.:28:47.

the financial markets, something like $3 trillion has been wiped out

:28:48.:28:51.

financial markets globally, the pound has obviously fallen

:28:52.:28:55.

dramatically, but maybe studies itself in the days to come. The

:28:56.:28:59.

British people and the Europeans need to see that reality. Maybe as

:29:00.:29:05.

we get into it, there are companies that say, we are perfectly happy, we

:29:06.:29:10.

can live with the new arrangement, others say, we can't. If we finally

:29:11.:29:15.

see the structure, what is in the new house, we see the house we will

:29:16.:29:21.

now move into outside the EU, should that go for a referendum? As I say,

:29:22.:29:26.

I cannot see how you would go through the mechanics of another

:29:27.:29:29.

referendum now, but on the other hand there will be a lot of people

:29:30.:29:33.

in the country that say, let's have a look at this. Parliament will want

:29:34.:29:39.

to look at it. Remember, the one thing, again what was strange and

:29:40.:29:45.

unsatisfactory about the referendum campaign is the devil really is in

:29:46.:29:48.

the detail with this. I was trying to say to people, if you are

:29:49.:29:51.

deciding whether to join the European Union, that is one kind of

:29:52.:29:57.

debate, but when you are deciding whether to leave after four decades

:29:58.:30:01.

of membership, with intricate relationships, we need to see that.

:30:02.:30:06.

We need to see for example who will win that battle in French politics

:30:07.:30:10.

between those who say the border should go back to Dover now or the

:30:11.:30:16.

border will stay in Calais. All of these things I think are low us now

:30:17.:30:22.

to be, now we are going to see the new home, now we will look at it and

:30:23.:30:27.

test it, we will be going round it, we will be seeing what it really

:30:28.:30:32.

means. And so in a sense, what I'm saying is we have a divided country

:30:33.:30:36.

but I think there is the possibility of bringing people back together if

:30:37.:30:42.

we are sensible about it and don't let our dismay on either side of

:30:43.:30:46.

this argument get the better of our judgment. Why did Remain lose? I

:30:47.:30:55.

don't think that is very hard to work out. You could buy the wake of

:30:56.:30:59.

this type of referendum anywhere in Europe at the moment and you would

:31:00.:31:02.

have the potential for the result to be the same. One of the things I

:31:03.:31:08.

think is important for us as we go into this European negotiation, it

:31:09.:31:14.

is Europe can take one of two views. They can say, get out as fast as

:31:15.:31:20.

possible. The other thing they could do and maybe they should do when

:31:21.:31:25.

they reflect about it, if we approach this negotiation sensibly,

:31:26.:31:29.

is to think the British had their referendum but actually we have the

:31:30.:31:33.

same strains of opinion and the same anxieties in our own countries,

:31:34.:31:38.

let's think about how we deal with those and let's not look upon the

:31:39.:31:46.

Brits as outliers. They were always difficult in Europe, now we have got

:31:47.:31:51.

rid of the difficult people. No, every country is anxious about the

:31:52.:31:55.

effect of globalisation on jobs and so on. I think it is not hard to see

:31:56.:32:03.

why Leave won. Personally I think it is a very serious mistake for us but

:32:04.:32:07.

there it is. It's not hard to see how they win. You still haven't told

:32:08.:32:16.

me why they won. Because when you take a dissatisfaction with the

:32:17.:32:20.

status quo politically and anxiety about flat-lining incomes, worries

:32:21.:32:24.

about immigration particularly, and immigration has always been... Let's

:32:25.:32:33.

be very clear, you and I go back 30, 40 years. Immigration has always

:32:34.:32:38.

been an issue. Where you mobilise opinion around it, particularly when

:32:39.:32:41.

the British media are prepared to take your platform and run with it,

:32:42.:32:47.

a referendum in those circumstances is going to be a tough thing. But

:32:48.:32:51.

immigration has never been bigger and a lot of the British people felt

:32:52.:32:56.

not so much about the numbers coming in, as it is very well for these

:32:57.:33:00.

politicians to let the people in but they are not building the schools

:33:01.:33:05.

and hospitals. They are not building the public services that we need if

:33:06.:33:11.

these numbers are to go and they felt the British political elite on

:33:12.:33:14.

the left and right were not listening to them and they may have

:33:15.:33:15.

been right. I thought my last election campaign

:33:16.:33:25.

on immigration. I know what a strong issue it is. But the answer to the

:33:26.:33:28.

problems and the pressures from Eastern Europe in particular,

:33:29.:33:32.

because I think the Eastern European is make a good contribution to this

:33:33.:33:36.

country. You did not build the houses for them coming in, neither

:33:37.:33:41.

did the last Labour government, and this government has not built

:33:42.:33:44.

enough? That was the reaction. I would suggest it is also why the

:33:45.:33:48.

Labour Party could not mobilise its vote for a massive turnout for movie

:33:49.:34:07.

Mac. -- Remain. You were the man that made the Labour Party love the

:34:08.:34:12.

EU. That is true. We invested massively in these communities, in

:34:13.:34:15.

education and health care care particularly. What not in housing?

:34:16.:34:21.

Housing is a real issue. We have to take it seriously. The right way to

:34:22.:34:25.

deal with it is to have a housing policy for the population as a

:34:26.:34:30.

whole. The other thing about immigration, it all gets lumped

:34:31.:34:36.

together. I think a lot of people's anxieties about immigration were not

:34:37.:34:39.

centred around those from Europe of those from outside Europe, however,

:34:40.:34:44.

I do except there were communities, and when people see their

:34:45.:34:47.

communities changing around them as a result of an influx of people, you

:34:48.:34:53.

have got to deal with that. Yes, I agree, but the answer is not to get

:34:54.:34:57.

out of Europe. Would your side perhaps have won if Labour had not

:34:58.:35:02.

fought such a half hearted campaign? I have made my comments on the

:35:03.:35:07.

campaign. What is important for us is to make sure that our own people

:35:08.:35:12.

understand why we were so passionate about staying in Europe. None of the

:35:13.:35:18.

problems that our voters face, problems and pressures on housing,

:35:19.:35:23.

jobs, health care, education, they will might be resolved by leaving

:35:24.:35:26.

Europe. One of the things that will also happen over the months to come

:35:27.:35:31.

is that as this reality, I keep seeing, now you can test this by

:35:32.:35:36.

reality, as that sinks in, there will be lots of Labour voters that

:35:37.:35:41.

realised this was not a smart move that the country has made. This

:35:42.:35:45.

morning, after the sacking of Hilary Benn, a prominent supporter of movie

:35:46.:35:52.

Mike -- Remain in the Shadow Cabinet, there seems to be amounting

:35:53.:35:56.

to inside the Parliamentary Labour Party against Jeremy Corbyn. Should

:35:57.:36:01.

there be at two? I was coming on this programme to talk about Europe.

:36:02.:36:15.

-- a coup. I understand why you have to ask me. I know nothing more than

:36:16.:36:18.

I have read in the newspapers and seen on in years. This is for the

:36:19.:36:23.

Parliamentary party. It is not helpful for me to intervene, so I am

:36:24.:36:25.

not going to. The former Prime Minister Tony

:36:26.:36:27.

Blair, speaking to me But not about Labour's mounting

:36:28.:36:37.

troubles today. They have just got more serious. Another Labour MP,

:36:38.:36:43.

Ivan Lewis, who is running for M -- for me than Manchester, has called

:36:44.:36:50.

on Jeremy Corbyn to step down. -- for mayor.

:36:51.:36:51.

Now Jo Coburn is here with us this morning.

:36:52.:36:53.

She's high up on the rooftops, casting her eye over events

:36:54.:36:55.

Events are so fast moving politically, the next Prime Minister

:36:56.:37:01.

in the Conservative Party leadership, and what happens to the

:37:02.:37:07.

UK after Brexit. Let's get some reaction from a former cabinet

:37:08.:37:09.

minister. With me now is the former

:37:10.:37:10.

Cabinet Minister Francis Maude, who was a Europe minister under

:37:11.:37:12.

Margaret Thatcher and negotiated You never made it clear before the

:37:13.:37:21.

referendum what side you were wrong. Can you tell us no? I am not going

:37:22.:37:27.

to see which way I voted until May direct my memoirs many years from

:37:28.:37:32.

now. You surprised by the result? I thought it would be a narrow victory

:37:33.:37:38.

for Remain but there was lots of anxiety around. My concern is that

:37:39.:37:42.

this is not a binary thing. The referendum result? The referendum

:37:43.:37:47.

clearly was, and it has to be, all or nothing, yes or no. The reality

:37:48.:37:54.

is, for quite some time, we have been a 65% per participant in the

:37:55.:37:59.

European Union. We are not part of the currency, or the Schengen

:38:00.:38:03.

agreement. At the end of this process, we should not be a

:38:04.:38:08.

nonparticipant. Boris Johnson said yesterday we are European nation. We

:38:09.:38:13.

will continue to be. The result of this cannot be pulling up the

:38:14.:38:16.

drawbridge into some sort of isolation. That is the language

:38:17.:38:21.

you're using, but the fact is the UK has voted to leave the European

:38:22.:38:26.

Union. Negotiations will start. They should not be rushed. They should

:38:27.:38:32.

not be rushed? No, Tony Blair was right when he said it is neither in

:38:33.:38:37.

Britain's or in the EU's interest for it to be rushed. There is a

:38:38.:38:43.

debate in the EU. People are talking about what happened in Britain on

:38:44.:38:48.

Thursday, but that is not a completely unique British

:38:49.:38:52.

phenomenon. But no one else has left the EU. There is anxiety about the

:38:53.:38:56.

direction of the EU in other countries, for example, the

:38:57.:39:00.

Netherlands. When I was doing European stuff 24 years ago, that

:39:01.:39:04.

was the most deeply pro-EU country that there was. That debate within

:39:05.:39:11.

the EU that someone spotted, Donald Tusk has spotted it, Angela Merkel

:39:12.:39:16.

has spotted it, that carrying on and assuming that this rigid doctrine,

:39:17.:39:20.

one size fits all, that approach, assuming that is the only way you

:39:21.:39:25.

can go, if that continues to be the case, there is a severe danger that

:39:26.:39:29.

the EU will spring apart. You think this could trigger a series of

:39:30.:39:32.

events that could be the beginning of the end for the EU? Unlettered

:39:33.:39:39.

reacts in a grown-up, sensible way. Why would it do that? I have heard

:39:40.:39:42.

European leaders saying that actually we have to see Great

:39:43.:39:47.

Britain, the United Kingdom, heard by leaving the EU, or what signal

:39:48.:39:52.

does it send to the one else? The signal it would send is it as an

:39:53.:39:57.

organisation which is willing to self harm in order to protect the

:39:58.:40:01.

very narrow, rigid approach to how countries collaborate and work

:40:02.:40:06.

together. Britain is the fifth biggest economy in the world, the

:40:07.:40:09.

biggest trading partner with our partners in the EU. To do something

:40:10.:40:15.

which damaged our economy deliberately would actually damage

:40:16.:40:19.

the European Union as well. Talking of harm... Europe would pretty soon

:40:20.:40:24.

start sneezing if we caught the cold. What about the Conservative

:40:25.:40:29.

Party? Lots of people were shocked when David Cameron resigned on

:40:30.:40:34.

Friday morning? Where you? I was disappointed. He has been an

:40:35.:40:37.

excellent Prime Minister and has led some excellent reforms. I sat round

:40:38.:40:41.

the Shadow Cabinet table with him for ten years and I am full of

:40:42.:40:45.

admiration for the leadership they give the party. It has to be his

:40:46.:40:50.

decision. I understand his view that the negotiations about the new

:40:51.:40:54.

arrangements of Britain's relationship with Europe has to be

:40:55.:40:59.

undertaken by someone who has been in the campaign. Like Boris Johnson?

:41:00.:41:06.

I have worked closely with Boris, Michael Gove, I am full of

:41:07.:41:09.

admiration for him. There are some very serious candidates. They would

:41:10.:41:15.

give the right leadership in the country and the party. Is Boris

:41:16.:41:19.

Johnson unstoppable? I have no idea, I am not in the House of Commons, so

:41:20.:41:25.

I do not know. In terms of advice, let's imagine Boris Johnson and

:41:26.:41:28.

Michael Gove are part of the negotiating team once there is a

:41:29.:41:32.

leadership contest. What would you say to them? The starting point, so

:41:33.:41:37.

far as economic relationship with our current partners in the European

:41:38.:41:41.

Union is concerned, the starting point should be that others need to

:41:42.:41:44.

show why we should not be able to trade on the same kind of bases that

:41:45.:41:52.

we do at the moment. Bielik Norway, or Switzerland? Nothing has to be

:41:53.:41:56.

quite so one size fits all as you're suggesting. There is no single

:41:57.:42:02.

model. Britain is the fifth biggest economy in the world. It is a

:42:03.:42:06.

different kind of relationship. It has always had a different kind of

:42:07.:42:09.

relationship within the European Union. This will be another

:42:10.:42:13.

different relationship in the future, unique and distinctive. When

:42:14.:42:18.

people start saying, of course, Britain cannot be part of the single

:42:19.:42:23.

financial market, the answer is, why not? You need to show why. Everyone

:42:24.:42:28.

has been saying that Europe as well as Britain benefits from being in

:42:29.:42:32.

the single financial market. Why would you want to commit an act of

:42:33.:42:36.

self harm to deny that? You sound as though it will be smooth and

:42:37.:42:39.

straightforward, Britain will get what it once in terms of the

:42:40.:42:44.

benefits of being in the EU, despite having left, and none of the things

:42:45.:42:47.

that the goal voted on, freedom of movement for example? Freedom of

:42:48.:42:54.

movement is coming under criticism, absolute freedom of movement, as it

:42:55.:42:58.

is framed at the moment, it has been coming under criticism from many

:42:59.:43:01.

parts of the political spectrum, both in Britain and across the EU.

:43:02.:43:07.

What was part of their original deal was freedom of movement of labour,

:43:08.:43:09.

people moving to where they had jobs. That is different from what we

:43:10.:43:14.

have seen at the moment, which is what is cause such concern, not just

:43:15.:43:19.

in Britain but in other parts of the European Union. I'll do surprise but

:43:20.:43:26.

the reaction of European Union, -- European Union leaders, foreign

:43:27.:43:28.

ministers, who are saying that this is not an amicable divorce, telling

:43:29.:43:34.

Britain to get on with it? It depends on who you talk to. Donald

:43:35.:43:40.

Tusk has not been speaking in that kind of language. Angela Merkel has

:43:41.:43:44.

not been speaking in that kind of language. It depends on who you

:43:45.:43:49.

listen to. There is no sense for European neighbours to be acting in

:43:50.:43:53.

a way that deliberately harms Britain because, by harming Britain,

:43:54.:43:58.

they harm themselves. If you inflict deliberate damage and your nearest

:43:59.:44:02.

neighbour, your biggest trading partner, that has a blowback effect

:44:03.:44:10.

on them as well. When tempers cool, I understand they are irritated by

:44:11.:44:14.

all of this, but when it comes down, and people start to think about what

:44:15.:44:19.

is in their collective self-interest, then I think you

:44:20.:44:24.

start to get a more rational, more sensible approach, which does not

:44:25.:44:27.

need to be full of hostility and anger. Have you been approached to

:44:28.:44:31.

be part of the negotiating team? I have not. Would you say yes? You

:44:32.:44:37.

have had experience and you're familiar with negotiating within the

:44:38.:44:42.

EU. I am not pitching for that. I have left the front line in politics

:44:43.:44:47.

and I am happily engaged in a new phase of my life. But it really

:44:48.:44:51.

matters that we get this right and I would be happy to advise whoever is

:44:52.:44:56.

the new government, if they wanted to hear advice. Should the key

:44:57.:44:59.

negotiating team be full of people who campaigned to leave? I think it

:45:00.:45:07.

needs to be pretty broad. This was not a massive vote. It was decisive

:45:08.:45:12.

and clear, there is no room for argument, but it was not a massive

:45:13.:45:16.

vote to leave. I think the new government and Prime Minister will

:45:17.:45:21.

need to take his or her role as leader of the nation as seriously as

:45:22.:45:24.

the role as leader of the party. Francis Maude, thank you very much.

:45:25.:45:30.

Back to you, Andrew. I have the words of Ivan Lewis, the Labour MP

:45:31.:45:34.

who is running for the mayor of Manchester. It is clear Jeremy

:45:35.:45:38.

Corbyn cannot lead us back to government and there is a real risk

:45:39.:45:43.

we will suffer worse election result than in 2015. Ivan Lewis, MP. No

:45:44.:45:48.

more shadow ministers have resigned so far. Maybe some of them having

:45:49.:45:52.

second thoughts after they watched interview with John McDonnell. I am

:45:53.:46:01.

joined now by one of the Conservative's leading Leave

:46:02.:46:04.

campaigner, Liam Fox. What is your road map for getting out of the EU?

:46:05.:46:09.

We need to have the establishment of the unit in Whitehall, which I would

:46:10.:46:12.

like to see Derek Rae answerable to Number 10 rather than the Foreign

:46:13.:46:16.

Office of the Treasury, to begin discussions with our European

:46:17.:46:21.

partners ahead of what would be a trigger for Article 50. Presumably

:46:22.:46:24.

when we have a new Prime Minister in place. You go along with the

:46:25.:46:28.

existing prime ministers's timetable, that Article 50 begins

:46:29.:46:32.

the formal Brexit process? You do not want a trigger that before the

:46:33.:46:40.

autumn? No. It makes sense to decide our position in the UK. We have to

:46:41.:46:43.

put mechanics in place, increase the size of the Foreign Office,

:46:44.:46:47.

established a trade department. We will want to see as members of

:46:48.:46:50.

Parliament tomorrow what work has been done in preparation for a

:46:51.:46:55.

Brexit. This idea that no contingency planning was done is

:46:56.:46:59.

preposterous. That would have been responsible. We will want to see

:47:00.:47:03.

what work has been done and we will have to get such a unit under way so

:47:04.:47:07.

that there is no vacuum being created. I have heard some people in

:47:08.:47:13.

the Leave campaign saying it could be later than the autumn that we

:47:14.:47:17.

begin the formal process. The end of the year, the beginning of the new

:47:18.:47:22.

Year. That would be difficult. You would be looking to get an exit from

:47:23.:47:27.

the European Union at the beginning of the year. The financial year of

:47:28.:47:30.

the European Union is at the start of the calendar year. That would

:47:31.:47:35.

bring added complications. You want to get it tidied up. We want to see

:47:36.:47:40.

a process that means we can leave the European Union on the 1st of

:47:41.:47:43.

January 2019. That seems like a reasonable timetable. European

:47:44.:47:49.

leaders, particularly those in Brussels, the president of the

:47:50.:47:52.

commission and so on, they do not want to wait. They want to start the

:47:53.:47:56.

discussion is now. They may not want to agree to your ideal formal

:47:57.:48:01.

discussions therefore we present the Lisbon Treaty button. -- informal

:48:02.:48:07.

talks. Article 50 only gets triggered when there is a letter or

:48:08.:48:10.

a clearer definition. It is only Britain that can trigger it? Yes.

:48:11.:48:16.

What the European bureaucrats on, the ones that are on elected and not

:48:17.:48:19.

answer book to anyone, their attitude is different to the

:48:20.:48:23.

Chancellor of Germany, who herself is facing real action next year. You

:48:24.:48:28.

will see an increasing split between the on elected bureaucrats with no

:48:29.:48:32.

one to answer two and politicians with real economies to manage. You

:48:33.:48:37.

are confident we can get meaningful, informal discussions to sketch out

:48:38.:48:42.

some principles, not necessarily details, this side of triggering

:48:43.:48:43.

Article 50? Yes and we need to begin soon

:48:44.:48:52.

because there will be a willingness from our elected parliament to be in

:48:53.:48:59.

those discussions. The brothel -- Brussels bureaucracy regard as

:49:00.:49:02.

impertinent to wanted to have leave the European Union, but we have got

:49:03.:49:05.

to do it quickly because we have got to show we have some momentum in

:49:06.:49:10.

this. Otherwise, if we create a vacuum it is a recipe for

:49:11.:49:16.

instability. Who should head up our negotiations? That is up to the

:49:17.:49:20.

Prime Minister but I think there needs to be a mixture of people who

:49:21.:49:29.

understand the views of trade experts... But who should lead,

:49:30.:49:37.

Michael Gove? He is an excellent suggestion, we also have Peter

:49:38.:49:40.

Lilley, who was involved in one of the most recent trade rounds, but we

:49:41.:49:44.

need to get it under way and Parliament needs to see what

:49:45.:49:49.

preparatory work needs to be done. Since we voted to leave, Nigel

:49:50.:49:52.

Farage has said it was a mistake to promise more money for the NHS. Dan

:49:53.:49:59.

Hannan, Tory MP, has said the leave campaign never promised a radical

:50:00.:50:03.

decline in immigration. So continuing with the Department of

:50:04.:50:08.

honesty, can we now agree that there is an extra 350 million quid a week

:50:09.:50:15.

to spend on other public services? An extra 10 billion per year, but of

:50:16.:50:24.

course that is only available once we have actually left the European

:50:25.:50:29.

Union, which will be 2019, and those decisions have to be taken by the

:50:30.:50:33.

Government of the day. That will be very different from the one we have

:50:34.:50:37.

now. It is a long time in the future but what the Leave campaign, and

:50:38.:50:44.

what people didn't grasp was that it wasn't an election, they were

:50:45.:50:47.

reluctant to give future governments greater choice over the actions they

:50:48.:50:52.

could pursue if they wanted. So I will log that the 350 is more like

:50:53.:51:03.

160. Will the Tory department whittle down the leadership hopefuls

:51:04.:51:08.

to a short list of two by the time the Parliament across the road goes

:51:09.:51:13.

off to the summary says on July the 21st? It is a decision that will be

:51:14.:51:19.

taken by the 1922 committee. I think we should have a timetable similar

:51:20.:51:23.

to the one we had in 2005, not least because our party membership will be

:51:24.:51:29.

involved in the decision. What was that timetable? We didn't have the

:51:30.:51:35.

MPs' ballot until after the party conference so people could see a

:51:36.:51:42.

range of candidates they might have. So you would like a beauty parade at

:51:43.:51:47.

the Tory party conference in the first week of October that includes

:51:48.:51:52.

all of the Tory candidates? That is what we did last time, that was the

:51:53.:51:58.

system that produced David Cameron's election. Then the party... Know,

:51:59.:52:06.

first the House of Commons would have to reduce five or six

:52:07.:52:13.

candidates down to two, then the party and the country would have to

:52:14.:52:17.

decide who is right so the Prime Minister may be there until

:52:18.:52:21.

November. Potentially, under that timetable. I don't think that has

:52:22.:52:25.

huge drawbacks because we need to get that period of the pre-talks

:52:26.:52:31.

under way, then you have the new Prime Minister and can trigger

:52:32.:52:38.

article 50. Is it realistic to have a lame duck government from the end

:52:39.:52:44.

of June until the beginning of November? My view is that having

:52:45.:52:50.

that period does not make a huge difference to the process, but it

:52:51.:52:53.

might make a better choice for leadership and a better process for

:52:54.:52:59.

the party. And if it is a beauty parade at the party conference,

:53:00.:53:03.

William Fox be part of that beauty parade? I don't know, I haven't

:53:04.:53:09.

decided yet. I am thinking about it, I will make a decision once I have

:53:10.:53:12.

spoken to my colleagues in Parliament this week. And if you're

:53:13.:53:18.

hat is not in the ring, do you have a favourite you would support? I

:53:19.:53:23.

might have and you will be among the first million to know, Andrew! Thank

:53:24.:53:26.

you for that, Liam Fox. Well, Friday was a

:53:27.:53:50.

pretty dramatic day. But Thursday was also

:53:51.:53:51.

a pretty dramatic night. Adam Fleming once again

:53:52.:53:53.

behind the scenes at It is referendum night, so call in

:53:54.:54:05.

someone who has done it all before. How does this compared to presenting

:54:06.:54:13.

it in 1975? I cannot remember anything about 1975 except my hair

:54:14.:54:18.

was brown and not white. What were you doing in 1975? Were you born? I

:54:19.:54:32.

was a twinkle in my father's eye. We are going to have to do things the

:54:33.:54:36.

old-fashioned way, wait for the results to come in one by one. Early

:54:37.:54:42.

to declare Sunderland went Leave's away by more than they had expected.

:54:43.:54:49.

Newcastle opted for remain by not -- but not by a lot. It felt very

:54:50.:54:56.

close. Look, both on 50%. Do we know what is happening at this point? No,

:54:57.:55:01.

and I have just responded to a tweet sent by a colleague. And still we

:55:02.:55:06.

start to see results from the south east, because the Remain come out

:55:07.:55:13.

predicating a win on a good showing in London, Surrey, East Sussex,

:55:14.:55:20.

Hampshire, that sort of area. Until I see some results elsewhere, no,

:55:21.:55:29.

not yet. In between, politicians did radio interviews in strange places.

:55:30.:55:36.

Come round here, and there is Amber Rudd, a member of Parliament, in the

:55:37.:55:40.

kitchen. I am waiting to do an interview, it is living the dream. I

:55:41.:55:47.

will have an Americano with a dash of milk. Labour areas, lots of them

:55:48.:55:55.

voted out, but according to Labour that was actually a good thing. What

:55:56.:56:00.

do you think when you see that? It is what I was expecting. I have been

:56:01.:56:05.

saying all the way along it will be touch and go, really close. This has

:56:06.:56:13.

demonstrated exactly where the country is, fairly Eurosceptical but

:56:14.:56:20.

pragmatic and wants to remain within. Whichever way it goes, I

:56:21.:56:24.

think there will be a few percentage points either way and Jeremy will be

:56:25.:56:27.

a reflection of how the country feels and that is what you want in a

:56:28.:56:32.

leader. The percentages were not going Remain's away, as proved by

:56:33.:56:42.

the miserable faces up their party. Brexit campaigners like Jacob

:56:43.:56:46.

Rees-Mogg started to think about dreams of their own.

:56:47.:56:55.

I'm opening a fete on Saturday and that will be a great celebration

:56:56.:56:58.

Actually, I promised to take my four-year-old to the toy

:56:59.:57:04.

shop because it was his birthday yesterday and he can

:57:05.:57:07.

He may get a slightly better present if there is a Brexit.

:57:08.:57:11.

Finally, just before 5:00am, David Dimbleby declared

:57:12.:57:13.

The decision taken in 1975 by this country to join the Common Market

:57:14.:57:17.

has been reversed by this referendum to leave the EU.

:57:18.:57:21.

The action moved from the studio to Westminster and they denouement

:57:22.:57:23.

I love this country and I feel honoured to have

:57:24.:57:30.

The Prime Minister going, Britain's destiny changed,

:57:31.:57:37.

David Cameron's early morning announcement of his resignation

:57:38.:57:51.

on Friday fired the starting gun on the first Conservative leadership

:57:52.:57:54.

To stand for the party leadership, candidates only need to be

:57:55.:58:05.

If more than two candidates stand, a ballot of MPs whittles that down

:58:06.:58:09.

via first past the post, until they are left

:58:10.:58:11.

Those two are then put to the full membership of the party,

:58:12.:58:16.

said to be about 150,000 strong, who decide the winner

:58:17.:58:19.

David Cameron has said he wants a successor in place

:58:20.:58:25.

by the Conservative Party conference in Birmingham, which starts

:58:26.:58:27.

But it will be the backbench 1922 Committee which decides

:58:28.:58:34.

They will meet tomorrow to set the process in train.

:58:35.:58:41.

I'm joined now by the Deputy Chairman of the Conservative Party

:58:42.:58:49.

Is it not inconceivable, given that the country has voted to leave the

:58:50.:59:04.

EU, that it can be anything but a Brexit leader to take over? That may

:59:05.:59:08.

be the case but it will be up to the members and Parliamentary party to

:59:09.:59:15.

decide. My point is that, given the way the country has voted, given the

:59:16.:59:20.

Conservative Party voted even more that way to leave, that you need to

:59:21.:59:25.

have a leader that embodies... Was there for the fight on that side. It

:59:26.:59:31.

may be that the party membership decides for those reasons to vote

:59:32.:59:35.

for a Brexit leader, but it may be that they vote for someone over all

:59:36.:59:39.

who they think will best serve the country and party, it is just

:59:40.:59:43.

unknown. Will they be likely to trust somebody that said vote to

:59:44.:59:48.

remain to head up the divorce negotiations to leave? I don't think

:59:49.:59:53.

that will come into the equation because the country has voted to

:59:54.:59:57.

leave, I don't believe in the second referendum. I believe our party has

:59:58.:00:02.

moved forward now so people want to consider a range of things. Who are

:00:03.:00:08.

the main candidate in your view? Who knows, because no one has put

:00:09.:00:12.

themselves forward yet. Clearly Boris will be one of them, maybe

:00:13.:00:18.

Stephen Crabb, who knows. What about Theresa May? We haven't heard from

:00:19.:00:23.

her. I'm sure we will hear from people over the next week. Including

:00:24.:00:29.

Theresa May? She seems to be missing in action. We will see. Are George

:00:30.:00:39.

Osborne's leadership hopes now in toast? We will see. The country has

:00:40.:00:48.

made its decision. You are reluctant remainer, is that fair? Yes, because

:00:49.:00:55.

with the terrorism I believe it is better to be in an alliance of

:00:56.:01:02.

democracy. I think as a party we have faced three existential

:01:03.:01:05.

challenges. One is in terms of how people perceive us and whether we

:01:06.:01:09.

are seen as a passionate Conservative Party, second way in

:01:10.:01:13.

terms of our infrastructure. If we are honest or infrastructure is

:01:14.:01:17.

dying in the country and our membership is ageing, and thirdly it

:01:18.:01:20.

will be best at restoring party unity. I want someone who will deal

:01:21.:01:23.

with those serious issues that really threaten our existence as a

:01:24.:01:28.

party. They are even more relevant because the Labour Party will get

:01:29.:01:32.

its act together and get rid of Jeremy Corbyn. The European issue

:01:33.:01:38.

has destroyed the careers of the last three Conservative prime

:01:39.:01:43.

ministers. Margaret Thatcher, John Major, now David Cameron. Is there

:01:44.:01:47.

any chance now the country has taken the decision to leave that it

:01:48.:01:51.

doesn't become the toxic issue it has been for your party? I think we

:01:52.:01:59.

should follow perhaps the 11th commandment for every conservatism,

:02:00.:02:02.

pessimism is a luxury know one should allow themselves. Obviously

:02:03.:02:08.

the renegotiations will be difficult but we need to move on and discuss

:02:09.:02:11.

other issues that are facing the country. Finally, what do you make

:02:12.:02:18.

of what Liam Fox has told this programme, that rather than MPs

:02:19.:02:21.

rushing to create the short list of two names that then goes to the

:02:22.:02:26.

wider Conservative Party and the country, to do that by July the 21st

:02:27.:02:31.

with summer hustings and a combination of the Tory conference

:02:32.:02:34.

if I can put it that way, that in fact it should all be on hold until

:02:35.:02:40.

the Tory conference and that you should have hustings there, then

:02:41.:02:43.

whittle it down to two, and have a new leader by the beginning of

:02:44.:02:48.

November. My own feeling is that it will be up to 1922 and the

:02:49.:02:53.

membership to decide. I would prefer that we don't go on forever choosing

:02:54.:02:57.

a leader. I think we need a new leader for the stability of the

:02:58.:03:01.

country, but we need someone who will put compassionate conservatism

:03:02.:03:02.

at the forefront. Your fellow MPs have to get a short

:03:03.:03:13.

list of two by July the 21st? Am not telling them, but we should have a

:03:14.:03:17.

leadership contest sooner rather than later, because the country

:03:18.:03:22.

needs stability. I will take that as a yes. Robert Halfon, thank you very

:03:23.:03:25.

much. It's not just Her

:03:26.:03:26.

Majesty's Government feeling the after-shocks

:03:27.:03:27.

of Plates also appear to be

:03:28.:03:28.

shifting for Her Majesty's Opposition, with Jeremy Corbyn

:03:29.:03:34.

sacking Hilary Benn from his Shadow Cabinet last night

:03:35.:03:35.

and facing a vote of no confidence at tomorrow's meeting

:03:36.:03:38.

of the The secret ballot will not

:03:39.:03:39.

have any formal status, but backers hope it will embolden

:03:40.:03:49.

others to speak out, and build an unstoppable momentum

:03:50.:03:52.

against their leader. So far, MPs, including

:03:53.:03:55.

Stephen Kinnock, Frank Field, Caroline Flint and Tristram Hunt,

:03:56.:04:01.

have already said they However, in order to depose

:04:02.:04:03.

a sitting Labour leader, a challenger will have

:04:04.:04:07.

to put themselves forward, and receive the support

:04:08.:04:09.

of 20% of the party's MPs. There are currently 229 Labour MPs,

:04:10.:04:13.

so 46 would have to back the leadership challenge by writing

:04:14.:04:16.

to general secretary Iain McNicol If a nominee secures

:04:17.:04:18.

that level of support, a contest will be held

:04:19.:04:29.

at the party's autumn conference, taking place in Liverpool

:04:30.:04:33.

at the end of September. If any further MP wanted to enter

:04:34.:04:36.

the race, they would also need Voting takes place on a one member,

:04:37.:04:40.

one vote basis by Labour members, affiliates and registered

:04:41.:04:47.

supporters. If more than two candidates stand,

:04:48.:04:50.

voters will rank their preferences. If no candidates get above 50%

:04:51.:05:01.

on first preference, the last placed candidate

:05:02.:05:03.

is eliminated and their vote is transferred until one gets

:05:04.:05:05.

above the threshold. We are now hearing that another

:05:06.:05:14.

Shadow Cabinet minister has resigned, Gloria del Piero. One of

:05:15.:05:18.

the younger intake of Labour politicians from the North, ought to

:05:19.:05:20.

be in tune with what Labour needs to do in the North.

:05:21.:05:22.

With me now is the Shadow Defence Secretary Emily Thornberry.

:05:23.:05:26.

Are you going to resign? No, and I can tell you why. I think that at a

:05:27.:05:33.

time like this, when the Tory party is pulling themselves apart, when

:05:34.:05:38.

nobody has any idea with the country ought to go next, the challenge for

:05:39.:05:42.

the Labour Party is to show some leadership. And to be a centre of

:05:43.:05:46.

composure, to think about where we are going, and I think we should be

:05:47.:05:56.

thinking about the nation first. What is happening in your Shadow

:05:57.:05:58.

Cabinet? Why is this happening? I do not really understand it. We had a

:05:59.:06:01.

Shadow Cabinet meeting on Friday and there were lots of opportunities

:06:02.:06:05.

than for people to express what they thought. I made it clear that the

:06:06.:06:08.

defence of UI have been working on for the last 56 months would need to

:06:09.:06:13.

be redrafted. I would need to think again about it. In light of what is

:06:14.:06:18.

happening? Yes, it has a big impact on defence. It was disappointing for

:06:19.:06:24.

me but the important thing is we remain unified as a party and focus

:06:25.:06:28.

on what is important. The important thing is what are we going to do

:06:29.:06:33.

now. The pound is falling, look at what is happening to share prices.

:06:34.:06:38.

We need to be calm, and we need to show a bit of foresight and

:06:39.:06:44.

leadership. Focus. Now, or fall times now, people think it is a good

:06:45.:06:47.

idea to go for a leadership challenge? It is extraordinary. It

:06:48.:06:52.

seems that lots of your colleagues in the Shadow Cabinet and even more

:06:53.:06:56.

in the parliamentary party, they seem to be angry that there was not

:06:57.:07:00.

enough leadership during the referendum campaign from Jeremy

:07:01.:07:03.

Corbyn, and they do not think that Hilary Benn is a leader and they do

:07:04.:07:08.

not think he can take you to victory in 2020. That is all coming from

:07:09.:07:12.

Hilary Benn given that he ran the campaign. I'll so think that if

:07:13.:07:18.

Jeremy had been allowed, David Cameron, if he had stepped aside and

:07:19.:07:22.

let Jeremy take a leadership role in this campaign, I think we would have

:07:23.:07:27.

done better. In what way did David Cameron stop Jeremy Corbyn? David

:07:28.:07:31.

Cameron made it all about him, about his brilliant deal, getting onto the

:07:32.:07:37.

media all the time, always being blue on blue. When I spoke to David

:07:38.:07:41.

Cameron during the referendum campaign, he was complaining he was

:07:42.:07:46.

having to do all the heavy lifting. He was not just complaining about

:07:47.:07:49.

the lack of support from the Labour Party, but from the Tories as well.

:07:50.:07:54.

Where did he stop Jeremy Corbyn making his mark? Jeremy made 30

:07:55.:07:59.

speeches up and down the country. There was very little space us to

:08:00.:08:04.

get inserted into that debate. People criticise Jeremy for saying

:08:05.:08:08.

that he was only in favour of the European Union, 7.5 out of ten. I

:08:09.:08:13.

think that was truthful and real, and it reflected the views of lots

:08:14.:08:18.

of people in the country. Lots of people will have voted to remain.

:08:19.:08:22.

Those on the fence would have questioned whether they were in

:08:23.:08:25.

favour. Jeremy's voice was more truthful. Does that mean he is a

:08:26.:08:32.

better leader than David Cameron? I suspect it does. When did Jeremy

:08:33.:08:35.

Corbyn complain he was not been allowed to do more? We were always

:08:36.:08:40.

complaining. I went to Birmingham with half of the women from the

:08:41.:08:45.

Shadow Cabinet. We spoke to women in workplaces and so on. What was the

:08:46.:08:50.

coverage we got? There was a little clip, a film of us going into

:08:51.:08:54.

summer, and the voice-over being, nobody knows what Labour says on the

:08:55.:08:59.

referendum. Nonsense. You can complain you did not get the media

:09:00.:09:04.

coverage you wanted. That is true. I do not remember Mr Corbyn rushing to

:09:05.:09:09.

accept one-on-one interviews. There were plenty of offers. In the end, I

:09:10.:09:13.

think he did one on Sky News in the evening. If he was champing at the

:09:14.:09:18.

bit to get it across, why did they not agree to do more interviews and

:09:19.:09:23.

programmes like this? The truth is that Jeremy had a straightforward

:09:24.:09:27.

response to the referendum. I think he should have been given an

:09:28.:09:32.

opportunity to get that out more. If he had been able to, that would have

:09:33.:09:37.

rung true with the country. I'll so think the Jeremy was also elected

:09:38.:09:41.

less than a year ago and 60% of the membership voted in his favour. Now

:09:42.:09:46.

is not the time for us to go for a leadership challenge, this is

:09:47.:09:51.

nonsense. We have you here, arguing your case, effectively as always. It

:09:52.:09:59.

is not true of all Labour people. I think that Mr Watson has been to

:10:00.:10:03.

Glastonbury. I am not quite sure what the silent disco is. There he

:10:04.:10:09.

is, the deputy leader of the Labour Party. Would you rather be there

:10:10.:10:13.

with him or here with me? I would always rather be with you. I knew

:10:14.:10:18.

you would say that. What would use it to your colleagues in the

:10:19.:10:23.

Parliamentary Labour Party to face this motion of no confidence that

:10:24.:10:27.

could be placed before the PLP tomorrow night? I am told there

:10:28.:10:32.

could be a majority forehead. I do not think there will be a motion of

:10:33.:10:37.

no confidence tomorrow night. They could vote the next day? Or the week

:10:38.:10:41.

afterwards, depending on how you interpret it. Could you lose? I

:10:42.:10:46.

think members of Parliament need to look at what the country is calling

:10:47.:10:51.

out for. The country is calling out for the Labour Party to step up and

:10:52.:10:56.

show an alternative. We must do that in a unified way. There is not the

:10:57.:11:02.

time for internal fighting. It is quite marketable we have a Prime

:11:03.:11:05.

Minister who has just resigned, there will not be a new Prime

:11:06.:11:08.

Minister at least until the beginning of October, if Liam Fox

:11:09.:11:14.

gets his way, it may not be until November. And the Labour Party is in

:11:15.:11:17.

the middle of its own turmoil as well. I have covered situations

:11:18.:11:21.

where one party has been in turmoil and the other one has taken

:11:22.:11:25.

advantage, but you are now both in turmoil. It is unprecedented? I

:11:26.:11:32.

agree, and the future is in hands. It is up to us, what we decide to do

:11:33.:11:38.

in the next few days. I will urge my colleagues to take a responsible

:11:39.:11:40.

view of this and think of the country first. The country needs us

:11:41.:11:45.

to be there. You're right, the Tories went into this, the two parts

:11:46.:11:50.

of the Tories, the Brexiteers went in not knowing what would happen if

:11:51.:11:55.

we got the Leave vote, and the government went in with no plan B.

:11:56.:12:00.

There is no plan at the moment, and our country needs a party to step up

:12:01.:12:04.

and do that role. That is what we should be doing. What do you say to

:12:05.:12:10.

those Labour supporters, not members, but supporters and voters,

:12:11.:12:14.

in the heartlands of the North and the Midlands, who did not follow

:12:15.:12:19.

your party's advise? They voted in substantial numbers to leave. They

:12:20.:12:23.

do not think that this Labour Party represents them. What do you say to

:12:24.:12:29.

them? One thing that came out clearly from this Brexit vote, is

:12:30.:12:32.

that half the country feels that the system does not help them. They are

:12:33.:12:38.

getting a raw deal, and whether that is because they cannot get their

:12:39.:12:42.

kids housing, or because they are having problems with their jobs and

:12:43.:12:47.

their terms and conditions, weather data not get access to public

:12:48.:12:50.

services, all these things are wrapped up in the vote. The tragedy

:12:51.:12:54.

is that we have answers to that nationally, and if we have a decent

:12:55.:12:58.

government prepared to address those issues, perhaps people would have a

:12:59.:13:02.

slightly different view. Now we have to reach out and speak to them. We

:13:03.:13:08.

must not do what happened after the Scottish referendum, when the Labour

:13:09.:13:12.

Party turned in on itself. We have running out of time. Can you give me

:13:13.:13:17.

a one sentence inkling of how your defence review might change? There

:13:18.:13:21.

is a question of how we defend borders now. If the GDP goes, we're

:13:22.:13:28.

2% of GDP being spent on defence. What happens if GDP goes through the

:13:29.:13:34.

floor? Will have cuts? I also think that the EU and Nato two sides of

:13:35.:13:40.

the same coin. International relationships will change. A whole

:13:41.:13:47.

range of things will be affected. Thank you very much, Emily

:13:48.:13:48.

Thornberry. Now, as one union was broken

:13:49.:13:50.

with the vote on Thursday, the fate of another

:13:51.:13:53.

came into sharp focus. In Scotland, First Minister Nicola

:13:54.:13:54.

Sturgeon of the SNP said the option

:13:55.:13:56.

of a second referendum on independence was now very much

:13:57.:13:58.

back on the table after Scotland voted by a significant margin

:13:59.:14:02.

in favour of remaining within the EU,

:14:03.:14:06.

only for votes elsewhere in Britain to swing

:14:07.:14:09.

Here she is speaking earlier on the Andrew

:14:10.:14:12.

At this stage I am not prepared to accept that certain things are

:14:13.:14:21.

inevitable. I have a job to do to protect Scotland and negotiate the

:14:22.:14:27.

best way forward. I look on at what is happening at Westminster with a

:14:28.:14:30.

sense of utter despair and a half of people across England and other

:14:31.:14:35.

parts of the UK, as the vacuum of leadership in the Tories and Labour

:14:36.:14:40.

develops. There is no vacuum of leadership in Scotland. As First

:14:41.:14:43.

Minister I will do everything I possibly can to prevent Scotland

:14:44.:14:47.

been taken out of the European Union, because the consequences of

:14:48.:14:49.

allowing us to be so will be devastating.

:14:50.:14:51.

Well, Scotland's not the only part of the

:14:52.:15:03.

UK where there are calls for constitutional change

:15:04.:15:05.

In Northern Ireland Sinn Fein have suggested that British

:15:06.:15:08.

withdrawal from the EU has strengthened the case for

:15:09.:15:10.

I'm joined now from Londonderry by the Deputy First Minister

:15:11.:15:14.

of Northern Ireland, Martin

:15:15.:15:15.

Welcome to the programme, Martin McGuinness. Thank you. First of all,

:15:16.:15:23.

what makes you say that the 56% vote to remain as overwhelming? It is a

:15:24.:15:29.

very clear vote by a majority of people in the North, which are made

:15:30.:15:34.

up of unionists, nationalists and Republicans, who wished to remain in

:15:35.:15:38.

Europe. I think that cannot be ignored, either by the British

:15:39.:15:42.

government, the Irish government, or the powers that be at the European

:15:43.:15:46.

Union. What we do need in the immediate future is an all Ireland

:15:47.:15:53.

solution to the problem. That requires the attention of the

:15:54.:15:58.

Taoiseach in particular. I was very disturbed over the last couple of

:15:59.:16:03.

days, when the Taoiseach focused on how sympathetic the Irish government

:16:04.:16:06.

would be to British government that was negotiating its way out of

:16:07.:16:09.

Europe over the course of the two years. Rather he should have been

:16:10.:16:14.

focusing on how the democratically expressed wishes of the majority of

:16:15.:16:18.

people in the north, to remain in Europe, could be catered for. I

:16:19.:16:24.

spoke to the Irish government Foreign Minister on Friday and I

:16:25.:16:27.

have requested an urgent meeting with the Taoiseach on this matter.

:16:28.:16:32.

Right, but to get back to this idea that there is an overwhelming

:16:33.:16:36.

desire, following that vote to remain in Northern Ireland, to

:16:37.:16:40.

remain in the EU, why would that translate to an overwhelming, to use

:16:41.:16:44.

your word, to have a referendum on Irish unification? The border poll

:16:45.:16:52.

was part of the Good Friday Agreement. It is something I think

:16:53.:16:58.

you'd be conducted in a very civilised and cordial fashion, just

:16:59.:17:02.

as the debate on Scottish independence was conducted in

:17:03.:17:06.

Scotland. There is not an overwhelming desire, stated just

:17:07.:17:09.

from the vote last Thursday, from what you're calling for? I did not

:17:10.:17:14.

say that there was. What I did say was that I do believe that that

:17:15.:17:19.

exercise is one that should be undertaken at some stage in the

:17:20.:17:23.

future. The immediate focus, the immediate focus needs to be on how

:17:24.:17:28.

we continue our relationship with the European Union? That is where my

:17:29.:17:34.

focus is. That is where my focus is on that is why I think discussions

:17:35.:17:38.

with the Taoiseach are urgent and require immediate attention, as the

:17:39.:17:43.

discussions with the powers that be at the European Union are. When you

:17:44.:17:47.

consider the position of Scotland, which is also overwhelmingly voted

:17:48.:17:51.

to remain in Europe, there is a massive responsibility no given that

:17:52.:17:56.

we have these two massive centres of population that want to remain in

:17:57.:17:59.

Europe. The powers that be within the European Union need to take

:18:00.:18:03.

account of the democratically expressed wishes of the people of

:18:04.:18:08.

Scotland and Northern Ireland. That is to do with the relationship with

:18:09.:18:14.

the European Union. Enda Kenny, the Irish Taoiseach, seemed some

:18:15.:18:16.

distance from welcoming your demand for a border poll. He said, we have

:18:17.:18:21.

more serious issues to deal with in the medium term and that is where

:18:22.:18:22.

our focus lies. My focus lies on how we can continue

:18:23.:18:31.

to maintain our relationship with the European Union. So you are not

:18:32.:18:38.

against holding this border poll? No, we do believe there should be

:18:39.:18:42.

one in the future. In the immediate future the focus needs to be on the

:18:43.:18:46.

whole issue of how we can maintain our relationship with Europe, which

:18:47.:18:50.

has been so beneficial over the course of the last number of

:18:51.:18:55.

decades. Whenever you consider the dangers for us in terms of the

:18:56.:18:57.

dangers to our ability to develop our economy, the dangers to the

:18:58.:19:03.

prospect of border controls, which I think would represent a very serious

:19:04.:19:07.

undermining of the Good Friday Agreement, the whole issue of

:19:08.:19:11.

foreign direct investment which is now threatened by the decision to

:19:12.:19:15.

pull out of Europe, particularly from Northern America. But you

:19:16.:19:21.

cannot do that, can you, unless there was some sort of referendum on

:19:22.:19:26.

Irish reunification. You cannot do that from within the UK, since the

:19:27.:19:32.

UK has voted as a whole to leave. I'm saying there needs to be special

:19:33.:19:36.

arrangements which take account of the democratically expressed wishes

:19:37.:19:39.

of the people of Northern Ireland and the people of Scotland, who

:19:40.:19:45.

wished to remain and maintain our contacts and ability to work with

:19:46.:19:50.

very senior officials and governmental authorities within

:19:51.:19:55.

Europe. So I think that from my perspective, although you are

:19:56.:19:59.

focused on the issue of the border poll, the immediate task has to be

:20:00.:20:06.

how the democratically expressed wishes of the people here in the

:20:07.:20:10.

north of Ireland can be catered for in the context of these huge debates

:20:11.:20:16.

which will consume over the course of the next number of months. Of

:20:17.:20:20.

course we are very disturbed that the British Prime Minister has

:20:21.:20:24.

clearly indicated that there will be no engagement with Europe on the

:20:25.:20:28.

whole issue of article 50 until there is a new British Prime

:20:29.:20:31.

Minister. Martin McGuinness, thank you. It is a fast-moving story here

:20:32.:20:35.

this morning. We now have Gloria De Piero's

:20:36.:20:57.

resignation letter, and a letter from Margaret

:20:58.:21:10.

Hodge. We need to believe Jeremy Corbyn should consider his position.

:21:11.:21:23.

When he did engage she was half-hearted, and in the end of

:21:24.:21:26.

Labour Party members and voters didn't know where the leader really

:21:27.:21:32.

stored. That is the latest from there. We have reassembled just for

:21:33.:21:36.

a few minutes before we go to the nations and regions our dream team

:21:37.:21:44.

panel. So we have a lame duck government, the dysfunctional

:21:45.:21:47.

opposition, and we voted to leave the EU. Anything else happening in

:21:48.:21:53.

politics today? It doesn't look like these resignations are petering out.

:21:54.:21:57.

It is only about an hour since the last one! I think Gloria De Piero is

:21:58.:22:05.

very significant because she was a close ally of Tom Watson, it looks

:22:06.:22:10.

like it is picking up steam now. She is one of those Labour MPs from the

:22:11.:22:15.

north. She had been in the media but seemed to be firmly rooted in the

:22:16.:22:20.

north, away from the Metropolitan chattering classes so that is

:22:21.:22:23.

significant. Not from a privileged background. She is going, there is a

:22:24.:22:31.

rumour Charlie Faulkner is also going, and he was always the bridge

:22:32.:22:38.

between the moderates and the Corbyn supporters. You ask if anything else

:22:39.:22:43.

is going on in politics at the moment, there is the potential

:22:44.:22:46.

unravelling of the UK itself. In the vacuum of leadership which has

:22:47.:22:52.

emerged since Friday morning, David Cameron going, Jeremy Corbyn being

:22:53.:22:56.

weak in his position, the closest thing I have seen in leadership is

:22:57.:23:02.

Nicola Sturgeon north of the border. You may or disagree with her

:23:03.:23:08.

position but she has a plan. The markets will be opening at 7am

:23:09.:23:18.

tomorrow here in London. The sterling, the FTSE could take a

:23:19.:23:25.

knock. Doesn't the Prime Minister now have to give a clear idea of

:23:26.:23:29.

where Britain goes now? Of the beginning of the informal talks, the

:23:30.:23:34.

process. Even though he is on his way out, isn't his duty to steady

:23:35.:23:41.

the ship? The biggest question is where on earth is the Chancellor in

:23:42.:23:45.

all of this. He is responsible in overseeing what will happen in the

:23:46.:23:48.

next few days in terms of the economy. We have that dignified and

:23:49.:23:53.

reassuring statement from Mark Carney, the governor of the Bank of

:23:54.:23:58.

England on Friday morning. Since then, where is George Osborne. He is

:23:59.:24:01.

nowhere to be seen, I find it extraordinary. It is no good to say,

:24:02.:24:07.

I don't think, that he's busy talking behind the seems to the

:24:08.:24:15.

people that matter. He should be showing some leadership. Maybe he's

:24:16.:24:19.

sharing the same safe house is Theresa May, maybe they are holed up

:24:20.:24:23.

together working out how to stop Boris Johnson as being the next

:24:24.:24:28.

leader of the Tory party. Over the coming weeks there will be the

:24:29.:24:41.

so-called ABBs, Anyone But Boris. They didn't keep out Jeremy Corbyn

:24:42.:24:45.

so they may have a fight on their hands.

:24:46.:24:50.

It's just gone 11.30, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:24:51.:24:52.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:24:53.:25:00.

Hello and welcome to the Sunday Politics Wales.

:25:01.:25:02.

At the end of the biggest political week for decades,

:25:03.:25:05.

this morning the fallout shows no sign of waining.

:25:06.:25:08.

Hilary Benn's sacking has led in several other shadow ministers

:25:09.:25:11.

either standing down or considering doing so.

:25:12.:25:14.

The pressure on Jeremy Corbyn to go is now increasing.

:25:15.:25:17.

The Labour MP for Aberavon, Stephen Kinnock, has backed calls

:25:18.:25:21.

for Jeremy Corbyn to face a no confidence motion.

:25:22.:25:24.

I spoke to him a few minutes ago and asked him why Corbyn had to go.

:25:25.:25:32.

It will require a Labour leader who is a negotiator.

:25:33.:25:36.

I have a huge amount of respect for Jeremy as a

:25:37.:25:39.

long-standing and committed constituency MP, campaigning on

:25:40.:25:46.

I do not see him as a negotiator with the skills and experience we

:25:47.:25:54.

need to take us forward during this unprecedented time.

:25:55.:25:57.

We have heard from John McDonnell, the Shadow

:25:58.:26:00.

Chancellor this morning, saying Jeremy Corbyn

:26:01.:26:01.

The membership of the party have given

:26:02.:26:06.

him an overwhelming majority to Jeremy Corbyn as leader

:26:07.:26:10.

I accept the membership gave Jeromy a huge

:26:11.:26:16.

mandate but that was then and this is now.

:26:17.:26:19.

Everything has changed and I hope that our membership will see...

:26:20.:26:23.

Why has Brexit changed everything in terms

:26:24.:26:28.

of Jeremy Corbyn's leadership in the eyes of your members?

:26:29.:26:32.

The Brexit has changed everything because it is going to

:26:33.:26:36.

completely dominate British politics for the next three to five

:26:37.:26:40.

Also there will be a general election.

:26:41.:26:43.

I think this autumn the new leader of the Conservative Party will have

:26:44.:26:47.

That election will take place completely in the context

:26:48.:26:53.

We need a leader of the party who understands

:26:54.:26:59.

the European Union, understands the implications of being in or out

:27:00.:27:03.

of the single market, what it means for business,

:27:04.:27:05.

what it means for workers' rights, jobs, growth,

:27:06.:27:07.

If there is a general election, one of your colleagues, a

:27:08.:27:15.

Welsh Labour MP, has told us today you could lose as many as 70 MPs.

:27:16.:27:20.

With Jeremy Corbyn in a general election, perhaps

:27:21.:27:24.

later this year, you could lose a serious number of your

:27:25.:27:27.

That is absolutely central to our concerns.

:27:28.:27:32.

We have to ensure we go into that general election with

:27:33.:27:35.

a leader who is right in the context of a post Brexit

:27:36.:27:40.

The job description has changed, the mandate Jeromy got

:27:41.:27:47.

from the membership when he was elected was in a different

:27:48.:27:50.

Who is the right personfor the job to take

:27:51.:28:00.

over and use that mandate for the future?

:28:01.:28:02.

You are not going to draw me on that.

:28:03.:28:04.

If you're going to get rid of Jeremy Corbyn

:28:05.:28:09.

you can't think nobody is there ready to take over as a leader.

:28:10.:28:12.

It will be up to those candidates to come forward

:28:13.:28:15.

They have to explain to the membership why.

:28:16.:28:20.

You are not going to draw me on that.

:28:21.:28:23.

There are some strong candidates out there.

:28:24.:28:25.

the debate in the Parliamentary Labour Party tomorrow

:28:26.:28:29.

We have the motion of no-confidence vote and then we have

:28:30.:28:35.

It will be up to each of the candidates

:28:36.:28:38.

to set out their stall, to explain why they are the right leader to

:28:39.:28:42.

take us it into the general election which is almost certainly coming

:28:43.:28:45.

Stephen Kinnock, thank you very much for coming

:28:46.:28:48.

Our political editor, Nick Servini has been speaking

:28:49.:28:52.

On the record, a lot of them have gone to ground this morning. Clearly

:28:53.:29:06.

what we are seeing that as a fall assault by the party on Jeremy

:29:07.:29:11.

Corbyn. To Shadow Cabinet members are gone. Any more will follow

:29:12.:29:18.

today. There are two things at play. As you heard from Stephen Kinnock,

:29:19.:29:23.

deep concern among many MPs that if it is a general election and in all

:29:24.:29:28.

likelihood they will be sooner rather than later, as a result of

:29:29.:29:33.

what has happened with that result, then an element of self-preservation

:29:34.:29:37.

here. A lot are going to lose their jobs or they feel they could lose

:29:38.:29:44.

their jobs. Then you've got the wider question. We have to remember

:29:45.:29:50.

Jeremy Corbyn was overwhelmingly backed by your own, grassroots

:29:51.:29:53.

members fired up about the principles he stood for. I've spoken

:29:54.:29:58.

to figures in the party who said they have had e-mail after e-mail

:29:59.:30:04.

saying in effect, agreeing with Stephen Kinnock, the Brexit of

:30:05.:30:07.

results a game changer because so many of these people as well as

:30:08.:30:11.

being very supportive of Jeremy Corbyn, they are fiercely

:30:12.:30:17.

pro-European and they feel Jeremy Corbyn did not run a good campaign.

:30:18.:30:19.

Now everything that has happened this morning is linked directly

:30:20.:30:23.

to last week's referendum vote to leave the EU.

:30:24.:30:26.

So what now for Wales' relationship with Europe?

:30:27.:30:29.

The Welsh Secretary has told this programme that AMs should look

:30:30.:30:31.

at why voters in Wales voted for Brexit when so many communities

:30:32.:30:36.

have had so much EU grant aid spent on them.

:30:37.:30:40.

More from our Political Correspondent, Daniel Davies.

:30:41.:30:44.

Keep going, keep going, keep going, keep going!

:30:45.:30:47.

After a bruising encounter, Brexit won out.

:30:48.:30:53.

Blaenavon in Torfaen, one of two counties,

:30:54.:30:56.

along with neighbouring Blaenau Gwent where the Leave vote

:30:57.:31:00.

Late in the campaign, one senior Labour politician told me

:31:01.:31:05.

some of his constituents were using the referendum to whinge

:31:06.:31:10.

But in places like this, they did more

:31:11.:31:15.

than just whinge, they went to the ballot box and let

:31:16.:31:17.

You voted to leave, I guess?

:31:18.:31:25.

Yes. Definitely.

:31:26.:31:26.

I just feel with grandchildren and great-grandchildren coming up we

:31:27.:31:31.

No, I couldn't make up my mind so I decided not to.

:31:32.:31:39.

I felt like I'd woken up in a foreign country, it is absolutely

:31:40.:31:42.

Wales gets lots of grants from the EU for things the central

:31:43.:31:48.

government won't even dream to think of.

:31:49.:31:51.

It was Heritage Day in Blaenavon yesterday and there is a solid

:31:52.:31:55.

Labour was plunged into turmoil in the early hours today

:31:56.:32:00.

when Shadow Foreign Secretary Hilary Benn was sacked

:32:01.:32:04.

Some MPs say attacking the leader is a distraction.

:32:05.:32:11.

I've supported Jeremy during his leadership and what I

:32:12.:32:14.

think is really important now is we don't focus on an individual.

:32:15.:32:17.

It is very important that as a Labour Party we have a period

:32:18.:32:21.

of reflection, we have to look at what the voters have said

:32:22.:32:27.

The really important issue isn't about individuals

:32:28.:32:32.

but how we respond now as a party.

:32:33.:32:34.

Others say this to Mr Corbyn's critics.

:32:35.:32:37.

There have been groups in the Labour Party who have been

:32:38.:32:40.

saying this since the day Jeremy was elected.

:32:41.:32:42.

Every pretext has been carried out to undermine you.

:32:43.:32:46.

Labour's Welsh leader says the timing of this

:32:47.:32:50.

I warned it was a mistake to have a referendum six weeks after an

:32:51.:32:58.

Mr Jones's Welsh Government has spent billions of

:32:59.:33:03.

pounds of EU aid in Valleys communities including on projects

:33:04.:33:07.

like this, dualling the Heads of the Valleys road.

:33:08.:33:10.

Yet, most people there still voted to leave.

:33:11.:33:14.

I think everyone has to look at the sorts of

:33:15.:33:17.

European policies that were being developed by the Welsh

:33:18.:33:19.

Government but by the UK Government that didn't have that connection

:33:20.:33:21.

The public did not recognise the outcomes that were

:33:22.:33:27.

At the very moment when the party should be ganging up

:33:28.:33:34.

on the Conservatives who will soon need a new leader.

:33:35.:33:38.

A Welsh MP, Work and Pensions Secretary, Stephen Crabb is tipped

:33:39.:33:42.

as a contender to succeed David Cameron.

:33:43.:33:46.

Well, it is far too early to speculate.

:33:47.:33:48.

Only a short period of time has passed since the

:33:49.:33:52.

Prime Minister announced his resignation.

:33:53.:33:54.

I don't think there are any names out there formally.

:33:55.:33:56.

There is pure speculation at the moment.

:33:57.:33:58.

I'm not going to enter any speculation.

:33:59.:33:59.

There was one question on the ballot paper but it has

:34:00.:34:02.

The Welsh Government's cabinet starts its

:34:03.:34:06.

search for answers when it meets tomorrow.

:34:07.:34:10.

Plenty to talk about then with my guests, the Leader

:34:11.:34:14.

of the Welsh Conservatives, Andrew RT Davies, and the former

:34:15.:34:18.

MEP and current AM and Peer, Eluned Morgan.

:34:19.:34:23.

Thank you both for coming in. I will start with Eluned Morgan, what went

:34:24.:34:30.

wrong on Thursday? The entire Labour Establishment in Wales were all pros

:34:31.:34:35.

remain and have been given a bit of a bloody nose. There was a

:34:36.:34:40.

disconnect between the people leading the Labour Party and the

:34:41.:34:45.

traditional communities we can usually rely up to support us. I

:34:46.:34:50.

think it was more than just the European Union. People were focused

:34:51.:34:56.

on it but I think it is also about globalisation, the fact the world

:34:57.:34:59.

has changed and they don't feel they have got control any more. Now, they

:35:00.:35:04.

think they will have control. It is interesting to see already it is the

:35:05.:35:09.

market that are determining what our future is going to be and that

:35:10.:35:14.

control will be even less, I fear. We spoke during the course of the

:35:15.:35:19.

evening on Thursday on our overnight programme and you said there needed

:35:20.:35:21.

to be some serious soul-searching for Labour in Wales. We have heard

:35:22.:35:27.

Carwyn Jones saying, it wasn't my referendum, it was all about the

:35:28.:35:32.

timing, it was all about giving the Tories are kicking. He isn't

:35:33.:35:36.

entering a period of soul searching and reflection. Until we reconnect

:35:37.:35:41.

with our working class voters are in serious trouble. We didn't listen to

:35:42.:35:46.

them and they were not listening to us. We need to get a better method

:35:47.:35:52.

of communication, we need to be in listening mode and we need to act.

:35:53.:35:56.

Is that coming from the leadership? Do you think Arwyn Jones is aware of

:35:57.:36:03.

that? Carwyn Jones luck that the results and the results of the

:36:04.:36:07.

Assembly elections. We did well in the terms of number of seats but we

:36:08.:36:12.

did badly in then number of votes. That is a real problem for us. Until

:36:13.:36:17.

we respond we are going to be in deep trouble as a political party.

:36:18.:36:24.

Andrew RT Davies, looking ahead, what happened Thursday morning was

:36:25.:36:28.

the pound had a terrible drop, the market reacted badly. Was that worse

:36:29.:36:34.

than you expected? Did you anticipate that would happen or were

:36:35.:36:37.

you concerned about what happened was Mike the market was down by 3.5%

:36:38.:36:44.

closed on Friday. None of the deals that were in place on Thursday

:36:45.:36:48.

morning had gone by Friday morning. They will not be gone by Monday

:36:49.:36:54.

morning. The project is funded, the schemes that they will begin to ring

:36:55.:36:58.

and the jobs will be continuing. Negotiations now start and it'll be

:36:59.:37:04.

up to the UK Government to enact Article 50. Now was not the time for

:37:05.:37:08.

hotheads. Now is it time for reflection and vision. There is a

:37:09.:37:14.

lot of work to be done. In terms of the money coming into Wales our

:37:15.:37:20.

viewers will be concerned, hundreds of millions of pounds came to Wales

:37:21.:37:23.

the EU grants. At that will continue. Is that definite? It is a

:37:24.:37:33.

fact that when people go to work on Monday morning, when they go to work

:37:34.:37:37.

in 18 months' time, that many were still becoming an eco-zit is a

:37:38.:37:41.

seven-year programme up to 2020 and that many is guaranteed to come in

:37:42.:37:51.

and stop what if we have left a 2018? What happens between then and

:37:52.:37:58.

2020. It will be for the government of the day to continue with the

:37:59.:38:02.

programmes and make the money available. How's that many is

:38:03.:38:06.

distributed will be up to the UK Government and the devolved

:38:07.:38:12.

governments. Let me explain the point in time to make. The central

:38:13.:38:15.

argument that was on the ballot paper was allowing people to take

:38:16.:38:19.

decisions and vote politicians in to enact those decisions. The general

:38:20.:38:24.

election in 2020 will be mapping out the territory we will will be

:38:25.:38:28.

undertaking. It will be for people the length and breadth of these

:38:29.:38:32.

islands to vote on the government they wish to serve. The other point

:38:33.:38:38.

I was making was about reflection, vision for the future and where we

:38:39.:38:42.

want to be. That is big game we're doing now. Where we want this

:38:43.:38:46.

country to go because the public have spoken. There is plenty of

:38:47.:38:49.

reflection about who should have done this and that. I was on a

:38:50.:38:53.

programme with a First Minister this morning and he said this wasn't his

:38:54.:38:56.

election. We have heard from Nicola Sturgeon,

:38:57.:39:06.

there are plans in place and stop those Carwyn Jones have plans in

:39:07.:39:08.

place? Wherein a situation of economic coal

:39:09.:39:16.

and constitutional meltdown. There's no point shying away from that. We

:39:17.:39:20.

need is strong leadership. But is there a plan?

:39:21.:39:25.

Nobody foresaw this situation in quite the way it is panning out.

:39:26.:39:30.

What we did have is a whole load of promises that were made by people

:39:31.:39:34.

like Andrew RT Davies that we were going to see three and ?50 million a

:39:35.:39:40.

week coming into how our NHS. That many would still come in to the

:39:41.:39:48.

Buddhist communities stop Nicola Sturgeon is engaging with other

:39:49.:39:52.

countries, making plans and moving ahead. It seems to me we are still

:39:53.:39:57.

licking wounds and saying that money has to come from somewhere rather

:39:58.:40:02.

than going after that. Carwyn Jones has set out clear

:40:03.:40:06.

radius of what he once to be involved in. He was to make sure

:40:07.:40:10.

that money keeps on coming to Wales. The first thing we have to do is to

:40:11.:40:14.

stabilise the economy. People are pulling money out out of our

:40:15.:40:20.

economy. Jobs are being lost and many will not be graceful tax. Our

:40:21.:40:26.

services... Is Carwyn Jones showing leadership?

:40:27.:40:30.

Is he a strong enough leader for this turbulent period?

:40:31.:40:35.

Carwyn Jones came out fighting the next day. He set out clear proposals

:40:36.:40:41.

and one of those was he wants to be at the negotiating table. What we

:40:42.:40:45.

know is we cannot leave the European Union without the endorsement of the

:40:46.:40:49.

Welsh Government. That is something that have to be sought and which

:40:50.:40:54.

means he will be... You are happy Carwyn Jones

:40:55.:40:58.

continues? Absolutely, without question. He is

:40:59.:41:02.

showing the leadership. It is difficult because Wales voted no

:41:03.:41:08.

Mac. It puts him in a difficult city ratio. We cannot come in all good

:41:09.:41:15.

conscience, go to Brussels and make the same case that Nicola Sturgeon

:41:16.:41:20.

is making. We will wait to see who the next

:41:21.:41:26.

leader of the Conservative Party has. You say then needs to be a

:41:27.:41:30.

prime, surely people at home will be asking what on earth is the plan?

:41:31.:41:35.

You well hoping for this. This referendum was in our manifesto

:41:36.:41:41.

in 2015. It isn't an unforeseen referendum. There were lots of other

:41:42.:41:44.

commitments made in that manifesto that was endorsed by the public.

:41:45.:41:52.

What is the plan after Brexit? To go into negotiations with European

:41:53.:41:55.

Union over balancing our relationship will stop we trade

:41:56.:42:00.

globally, we trade with our allies that that is a bright future for

:42:01.:42:03.

this country. We have a fifth-largest economy. We are not

:42:04.:42:10.

any more. We are the sixth. People want to talk down the democratic

:42:11.:42:14.

decision now was taken on Thursday. It was endorsed by 17 of the 22

:42:15.:42:24.

areas counted in Wales. What happens next? You are talking in platitudes

:42:25.:42:30.

of being the sixth largest economy. That isn't something you can go to

:42:31.:42:33.

Brussels and saying. There is nothing...

:42:34.:42:38.

We will continue to trade and have access into market whether they be

:42:39.:42:42.

European or global and we will have the money available to send around

:42:43.:42:48.

the regions and countries as committed to stop that happen. Every

:42:49.:42:51.

five years there will be an election. The government will give

:42:52.:42:56.

their priorities. People will speak through the ballot box for the first

:42:57.:43:01.

time in 45 years. It is important politicians raise their game, don't

:43:02.:43:05.

look back with acrimony and work on vision for the future, a future that

:43:06.:43:11.

looks very bright. Eluned Morgan, you said the Welsh Government has to

:43:12.:43:15.

give its stamp of approval in this referendum. Nicola Sturgeon has said

:43:16.:43:19.

she's not sure if the Scottish parliament will do that. If this was

:43:20.:43:25.

government refused for this to be ratified it be huge betrayal for the

:43:26.:43:30.

people of Wales who voted for it. We've got two years before we get to

:43:31.:43:35.

the end of the negotiation. The EU will be a different place within two

:43:36.:43:39.

years. Issues like the free movement of people whisper on the table

:43:40.:43:47.

within DEV. We shouldn't really press ahead to quickly here. Now was

:43:48.:43:51.

the time for calm heads, we need stability in the markets, we need to

:43:52.:43:55.

make sure people feel they can invest in our economy and that is a

:43:56.:44:01.

long-term prospects for our country. We have got much time left. Andrew

:44:02.:44:07.

RT Davies, if it turns out the Welsh Government, Scotland and Northern

:44:08.:44:17.

Ireland use the power to stop the referendum going ahead?

:44:18.:44:21.

These discussions need to take place first. Ultimately, it'll be for the

:44:22.:44:27.

deal to be put before the legislators and Parliament and

:44:28.:44:31.

assemblers of the UK and it could be there was a general election in 2020

:44:32.:44:35.

that would determine it by a vote of the whole country. We have a

:44:36.:44:41.

government in place only recently elected with key commitments, key

:44:42.:44:44.

manifesto pledges which it will continue to deliver. This

:44:45.:44:50.

referendum, the people spoke. 48% of the population chose to remain Mac.

:44:51.:44:56.

It is vital that views Alison to. Thank you both are coming in. We

:44:57.:45:01.

have two knock it on behalf of there.

:45:02.:45:02.

This morning's events prove that nowadays a day

:45:03.:45:04.

is a long time in politics, never mind a week.

:45:05.:45:06.

Frankly, no-one knows how the next few days,

:45:07.:45:08.

never mind the next few weeks and months, will pan out.

:45:09.:45:11.

We do however know that there are events this week

:45:12.:45:13.

which will affect the direction the UK takes in the long run.

:45:14.:45:16.

Get your pens out and find me a window in your diaries as we look

:45:17.:45:20.

First thing tomorrow morning, Carwyn Jones will meet his cabinet

:45:21.:45:24.

to discuss the Welsh Government's latest reaction to Brexit.

:45:25.:45:28.

MPs will return to Parliament to feverish speculation

:45:29.:45:32.

about who will be Prime Minister when David Cameron stands down.

:45:33.:45:35.

Will it be Boris Johnson or Theresa May?

:45:36.:45:37.

Or do others, like Stephen Crabb, stand a good chance?

:45:38.:45:41.

Equally feverish will be the speculation about the future

:45:42.:45:43.

Tomorrow night is the weekly meeting of Labour MPs.

:45:44.:45:50.

You would pay good many to be a fly on the wall there.

:45:51.:45:53.

On Tuesday, AMs from all parties will get the chance to quiz

:45:54.:45:56.

Carwyn Jones about his reaction to Brexit during First

:45:57.:45:59.

In Brussels, a special sitting of the European Parliament

:46:00.:46:07.

will discuss what has happened and David Cameron

:46:08.:46:09.

will address the leaders of the other 27 EU member states.

:46:10.:46:11.

On Wednesday, those states will meet without the UK for the first time to

:46:12.:46:15.

Back in the Commons, MPs will have their first chance

:46:16.:46:20.

to question the Prime Minister since the vote.

:46:21.:46:23.

who can say where we will be at that point?

:46:24.:46:27.

But this is an enough for is be to getting on with, I think.

:46:28.:46:31.

Well, I can't think of a week where there has been more

:46:32.:46:34.

to talk about in politics, so we thought we'd invite two

:46:35.:46:36.

stalwarts who know all the main players and have got their finger

:46:37.:46:39.

The Sonny and Cher of political punditry!

:46:40.:46:42.

The analyst Valerie Livingston and our political editor,

:46:43.:46:45.

One of the things I listen to this morning, is the current government,

:46:46.:47:04.

is that strong and stable enough for the tumultuous period to come?

:47:05.:47:11.

Opening the door possibly to some kind of formal coalition between

:47:12.:47:15.

Labour and Plaid Cymru which is the kind of questions being asked. In

:47:16.:47:19.

answer to that, Leanne Wood is saying she is in listening mode and

:47:20.:47:22.

there is a need for unity. In terms of what we have heard from Carwyn

:47:23.:47:26.

Jones I think he is pretty cool on the idea. He and word was talking

:47:27.:47:32.

about a joint negotiating team heading to London or Brussels. In

:47:33.:47:38.

the conversations and the interviews we had with Carwyn Jones he wants to

:47:39.:47:42.

be in the top team heading to Brussels. I'm not sure if he wants

:47:43.:47:47.

to book a seat for Leanne Wood. He sees it in his role. That call for

:47:48.:47:54.

unity may have merit. We're going to have some really acrimonious moments

:47:55.:47:59.

in the weeks and months ahead. Maybe we can expand on them. In terms of

:48:00.:48:06.

this negotiating process that will be kicked off soon, we see Nicola

:48:07.:48:12.

Sturgeon already being proactive than Wales. Is that the sense you

:48:13.:48:18.

are getting? We are seeing clear leadership from Scotland. Carwyn

:48:19.:48:23.

Jones has set out his approach already. His hand isn't so strong.

:48:24.:48:29.

She had the voter Remain in Scotland. Carwyn Jones on the other

:48:30.:48:35.

hand had the votes to Leave. It be more difficult for him to make some

:48:36.:48:38.

of the arguments Achille Sturgeon is making. What does that say about

:48:39.:48:48.

labour in Wales? They didn't manage to get their supporters to support

:48:49.:48:56.

an important issue. There are huge questions to answer here. Carwyn

:48:57.:49:00.

Jones is talking about having to disconnect bash deal with this

:49:01.:49:06.

disconnection with communities. No sense from him he wants to take

:49:07.:49:13.

responsibility for it. In reality he was heading up a campaign to remain

:49:14.:49:18.

in that palpably failed in Wales. Clearly, the question is being asked

:49:19.:49:24.

that the Assembly campaign. The reality was all of the politicians

:49:25.:49:30.

in Wales including us were focused on the Assembly at the same time

:49:31.:49:36.

Wales was heading towards a Brexit. On the Brexit side, they were

:49:37.:49:38.

delighted with that. They were pleased with the direction this was

:49:39.:49:42.

going. From the Remain side laboured in particular they weren't engaging

:49:43.:49:48.

with people on the doorstep. The huge fear was the word confuse

:49:49.:49:56.

people. When they did go out and they witnessed this, it was an

:49:57.:49:59.

extraordinary example of momentum in politics. When the anti-EU

:50:00.:50:03.

sentiments, particularly in the South Wales Valleys, had established

:50:04.:50:11.

itself you couldn't remove it. Compare and contrast by what we saw

:50:12.:50:13.

in Northern Ireland, Scotland and London. What did they do that Wales

:50:14.:50:23.

didn't? They all started from different political places. In

:50:24.:50:26.

Scotland with another debate about Scotland's constitutional process.

:50:27.:50:34.

In Wales, the Constitution has been a bit more settled. This is the

:50:35.:50:38.

first time we'd had some of these debates. People may be felt they

:50:39.:50:50.

hadn't been heard before. Do get the sense, it is necessarily Scotland is

:50:51.:50:55.

plural European, people feel they have been listened to. Scotland have

:50:56.:51:01.

been thinking about constitutional issues and understand how the EU

:51:02.:51:07.

impact on their life. Europe hasn't been high on the political agenda in

:51:08.:51:12.

Wales. We have heard an awful lot this

:51:13.:51:17.

morning from the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn as the leader of the

:51:18.:51:24.

-- Leader of the Opposition. What about the leader of the Conservative

:51:25.:51:30.

Party? How likely is it we might face a general election this year.

:51:31.:51:36.

The big question seems to be is it inevitable that we will have a

:51:37.:51:42.

Brexit ear as the next prime in day? That person will be heading up the

:51:43.:51:48.

negotiations and will have to reflect the democratic will of the

:51:49.:51:50.

United Kingdom and it would be odd if that person was and is prominent

:51:51.:51:56.

in the campaign. The flip side is, how divisive this has been for so

:51:57.:52:01.

many people. It was a narrow victory to leave in the end. There is a huge

:52:02.:52:05.

Shankhar the population who still has to be represented. Yuri former

:52:06.:52:11.

political strategist, if you were advising Labour MPs at the moment,

:52:12.:52:16.

when you look at the Conservatives think there are a fair of problems

:52:17.:52:20.

going on there, is this the good time for them to take out there

:52:21.:52:25.

leader? Labour has been and the pressure for nine months. Is it a

:52:26.:52:31.

surprise we have yet more pressure in a moment of crisis? I wonder if a

:52:32.:52:37.

general election is the right thing. The Pru is being endorsements for a

:52:38.:52:40.

new Prime Minister, the cons being more stability as we are in a

:52:41.:52:48.

uncertain period. If you're the leader of the Conservative Party,

:52:49.:52:51.

you would go for a fresh election. You could have a split Labour Party.

:52:52.:53:02.

Look at Gordon Brown's experience. Perhaps, you would but so many

:53:03.:53:07.

factors to take into consideration. Either parties -- are the parties in

:53:08.:53:12.

any state to fight a general election? Is the media in any state

:53:13.:53:18.

to take on another general election? What about the next week or two?

:53:19.:53:25.

That is cabinets sorry morning, First Minister's Questions on

:53:26.:53:28.

Wednesday. It is difficult to predict. It is worth saying we have

:53:29.:53:38.

got to of the major parties are not bound. That is all too scene in the

:53:39.:53:43.

events playing out of this morning in labour. The fundamental question

:53:44.:53:51.

is a rough time scale has been set out by David Cameron in terms of the

:53:52.:53:58.

leadership election in the summer. Once that leader is in place, to put

:53:59.:54:02.

together a negotiating team and to set the motion. Where there it is

:54:03.:54:09.

because in the U, whether that timescale is feasible, bearing in

:54:10.:54:12.

mind the tough talking we have had from the EU already. When that they

:54:13.:54:16.

do she seemed team starts, Carwyn Jones wants to be in a top team that

:54:17.:54:24.

goes out and stop is that likely? Him and the first ministers of more

:54:25.:54:28.

from Ireland and Scotland? Part of the team perhaps but how well heard

:54:29.:54:36.

Will our voices be? Carwyn Jones has we can considered -- compared with

:54:37.:54:39.

Nicola Sturgeon. That's it from me at the end

:54:40.:54:41.

of a momentous week. We'll be back next Sunday

:54:42.:54:44.

with all the latest news. You can follow all the latest

:54:45.:54:46.

developments on Twitter, Diolch am wylio, thanks

:54:47.:54:48.

for watching, time to go added together. OK, thank you very

:54:49.:54:53.

much indeed. Andrew, back to you. Welcome back, in a moment we'll look

:54:54.:55:05.

ahead to what's going to be Let's give a look at what we have

:55:06.:55:20.

behind us. The world's press and cameras are here. This is the back

:55:21.:55:26.

short of us, where we are along with the other networks and international

:55:27.:55:29.

networks following the story as it unravels. It is turning out to be

:55:30.:55:34.

sunny and warm day here in Westminster. Those who didn't watch

:55:35.:55:39.

the Sunday Politics in East Midlands, I can tell you that Vernon

:55:40.:55:44.

Coker, the Northern Ireland Shadow Minister, has said he is positioning

:55:45.:55:47.

his position in the Shadow Cabinet as well, as well as the shadow

:55:48.:55:53.

Scottish secretary Iain Murray. In a moment we will be looking ahead to a

:55:54.:55:57.

busy week in politics but first let's go to Jo. As you said, it is

:55:58.:56:07.

all going on, we have a vote of no-confidence in Jeremy Corbyn,

:56:08.:56:11.

Shadow Cabinet resignations with more expected later today, and with

:56:12.:56:19.

any at all the grass movement Momentum will be very important.

:56:20.:56:24.

With me now is James Schneider from that group, joined by Stephen

:56:25.:56:29.

Kinnock, who backs that no-confidence motion. What is wrong

:56:30.:56:36.

with Jeremy Corbyn's leadership? In terms of accountability it was a

:56:37.:56:39.

half-hearted and lacklustre campaign, and led to the wrong

:56:40.:56:44.

result for the people we are elected to represent. There is a real

:56:45.:56:47.

important issue of capability as well. The results of the referendum

:56:48.:56:51.

has completely changed British politics. The next free, five, ten

:56:52.:56:56.

years will be about the Brexit negotiations. We need a negotiating

:56:57.:57:01.

team where the Leader of the Opposition plays a key role, that

:57:02.:57:05.

means he has to be a negotiator, someone who can roll up their

:57:06.:57:09.

sleeves and work to secure the best possible deal for the British

:57:10.:57:13.

people. Whilst I have a huge amount of respect for Jeremy as a

:57:14.:57:17.

politician, he's not a negotiator. I don't think he has the skills or

:57:18.:57:22.

experience we need. It is over, we have had Shadow Cabinet

:57:23.:57:27.

resignations, it has been confirmed Iain Murray will resign, the Labour

:57:28.:57:32.

Party doesn't have any MPs who could serve in Scotland in that Shadow

:57:33.:57:37.

Cabinet, he has got to go. He doesn't have to go at all. The

:57:38.:57:43.

membership is still behind him. More importantly, the country cannot

:57:44.:57:47.

afford for us to be having this divisive civil war right now.

:57:48.:57:51.

Politics has changed, we are in this crisis period, and I think we will

:57:52.:57:55.

be looked on very badly by the electorate for having spent the next

:57:56.:57:59.

three months talking about ourselves, fighting with ourselves,

:58:00.:58:02.

rather than putting together a strong case for how we can get

:58:03.:58:07.

something decent out of this Brexit. But how does he go on from here? If

:58:08.:58:12.

you doesn't have the support, he cannot fill those posts. Of course

:58:13.:58:18.

it can go on. People will fill those positions. Diane Abbott, a member of

:58:19.:58:25.

the Shadow Cabinet, very supportive of Jeremy Corbyn, has just said that

:58:26.:58:28.

no-confidence motion is nonsense really. It has no status and you

:58:29.:58:34.

should go on from another party. Of course it will be up to Jeremy to

:58:35.:58:37.

decide whether he wants to stand again. The key point about the

:58:38.:58:42.

mandate is that it is true he got a thumping mandate but that was then

:58:43.:58:48.

and this is now. What I think is very important is the membership

:58:49.:58:51.

understands we are going to have a general election before the end of

:58:52.:58:55.

this year. The new Tory leader will have to seek a fresh mandate, and

:58:56.:58:59.

the mandate for the leader 's pre-referendum is completely

:59:00.:59:07.

different to the post referendum. That is completely untrue. If you

:59:08.:59:10.

look at the response from the grass-roots to this corner of

:59:11.:59:14.

no-confidence, there is a petition calling for no-confidence which has

:59:15.:59:18.

maybe 1000 people have signed it online. Many more of called for a

:59:19.:59:26.

vote of confidence for him. We cannot afford to have this silly

:59:27.:59:30.

infighting. Right now, we should be talking about what offer we will

:59:31.:59:35.

make to those voters that have left Labour, those voters that voted for

:59:36.:59:40.

Brexit. What felt we will make and how to play a constructive role in

:59:41.:59:45.

this exit negotiation. Having a three-month long fight, which Jeremy

:59:46.:59:48.

Corbyn will win, is not the way to do it. I hope the membership will

:59:49.:59:54.

understand that the world has completely changed since the

:59:55.:59:57.

Thursday result, and that's why the job description for the leader of

:59:58.:00:01.

the Labour Party has completely changed. The motion of no confidence

:00:02.:00:05.

has been put in motion so the idea that we are not now going to have

:00:06.:00:09.

this divisive debates, I'm afraid it is happening so let's wake up, smell

:00:10.:00:14.

the coffee and move on. But what about the point that Jeremy Corbyn

:00:15.:00:18.

will win another leadership contest, if the membership is still very much

:00:19.:00:23.

behind him he will plead again. That is the debate we must have. I hope

:00:24.:00:28.

we can refrain so the membership can see we need a different job

:00:29.:00:32.

description. Who could do this better than Jeremy Corbyn? Someone

:00:33.:00:39.

who is used to being in a room where people disagree with him. Jeremy

:00:40.:00:42.

Corbyn is used to being part of rallies where everybody agrees with

:00:43.:00:47.

him. But you have to have an idea. Because of the Labour leadership

:00:48.:00:51.

rules, if you want to have a new leader in place, who will it be? You

:00:52.:00:57.

have to rally round someone. You are not going to draw me on putting

:00:58.:01:01.

names out there. We have to get candidates to set out their stall

:01:02.:01:04.

but they have to be basing their stall on the new job description. In

:01:05.:01:09.

a way Jeremy Corbyn lost the referendum, he was not on the site

:01:10.:01:17.

to leave the EU. Neither was I. I was pro-quote-macro. So was I, we

:01:18.:01:26.

lost. In the same way it would be silly to blame you for the fact that

:01:27.:01:31.

something like 60% of people in your constituency voted for Leave, that

:01:32.:01:37.

is not the right response. This debate is going to continue whether

:01:38.:01:41.

I am going to stop it or not but that is it from us here. Back to

:01:42.:01:47.

you, Andrew. Just to confirm that Iain Murray has resigned live

:01:48.:01:56.

on-air. We have our panel back here for the final few moments on our

:01:57.:02:00.

network broadcast. Just to finish off on what has happened, the Labour

:02:01.:02:07.

Party has Tom Watson stuck in the mud in Glastonbury but probably on

:02:08.:02:13.

his way back now, deputy leader, Old Labour, what will his role be? I can

:02:14.:02:19.

see a way in which he presents himself as a stability candidate. At

:02:20.:02:26.

the same election Jeremy Corbyn won convincingly, so did Tom Watson, and

:02:27.:02:31.

he has his own support base. He was involved in another Labour coup you

:02:32.:02:38.

remember some time ago. With Gordon Brown. I think he would come out of

:02:39.:02:44.

this quite well. We were talking earlier about a lame duck

:02:45.:02:55.

government, almost most important is the Chancellor that has gone

:02:56.:02:58.

missing. Doesn't George Osborne, given the potential short-term

:02:59.:03:02.

impact on the markets, have to say something?

:03:03.:03:09.

In a certain these same as the Governor of the Bank of England did.

:03:10.:03:15.

What I have heard, he has been talking to financial institutions.

:03:16.:03:19.

The government can do enough to prevent absolutely -- absolute

:03:20.:03:23.

pandemonium in either the equity markets or the currency markets,

:03:24.:03:27.

rather than the Guild markets. Can they do enough to prevent a real

:03:28.:03:31.

economy downturn in either this quarter or the next quarter. I think

:03:32.:03:36.

it is out of their hands. There might be a general election during a

:03:37.:03:40.

recession, relatively soon. I cannot imagine the last time that happened

:03:41.:03:47.

in this country. The Tories have got to choose a new leader to be Prime

:03:48.:03:50.

Minister. The Prime Minister has got to give a rough idea of how he's

:03:51.:03:55.

going to negotiate. Or she. I think in this case, probably not. We will

:03:56.:04:00.

see. How they are going to negotiate out of the EU. Should they call an

:04:01.:04:05.

election first to get a mandate for that? I think this is a red herring.

:04:06.:04:10.

I cannot see why any new arrival at Number 10 would want to take that

:04:11.:04:15.

risk. Remember how wafer thin the Tory majority is already. This is an

:04:16.:04:21.

incredibly febrile atmosphere. It feels too unpredictable, I would

:04:22.:04:25.

have thought, for any new prime ministers to take that risk. Too big

:04:26.:04:30.

a risk? Absolutely. Even if the Labour Party is still in chaos? If

:04:31.:04:35.

the Labour Party brings in a leader who is less alienating to large

:04:36.:04:39.

parts of the country, it will focus the minds of the Conservatives. The

:04:40.:04:43.

big advantage at the Conservatives have is the probably have the money

:04:44.:04:46.

to fight another election, Labour do not. Would a new leader of the

:04:47.:04:53.

Conservative Party, if there is still running gorilla war against

:04:54.:04:57.

Jeremy Corbyn's leadership, would they be tempted to call an election

:04:58.:05:01.

or would it be too big a risk? When there is a change of Prime Minister,

:05:02.:05:06.

voters quite like the idea they should have a say. Lots of people in

:05:07.:05:10.

Westminster have been influenced by what happened to Gordon Brown in

:05:11.:05:15.

2007. He took over without a general election and always seemed to lack

:05:16.:05:21.

legitimacy as a result. He did not even have an internal competitive

:05:22.:05:28.

Labour Party. That is different. Boris Johnson will have to go

:05:29.:05:31.

through quite a slog against a serious rival to get that job, which

:05:32.:05:36.

lends a certain degree of legitimacy, so it is not incumbent

:05:37.:05:42.

on him or her to call an election. If they called an election and

:05:43.:05:45.

Jeremy Corbyn was leader, you would expect them to win. That is why

:05:46.:05:50.

Labour are going out of their way to install a more credible leader,

:05:51.:05:55.

before that happens. We cannot have an election in November. We will

:05:56.:06:02.

see. Stay tuned to the news channel for updates throughout the day, and

:06:03.:06:07.

tonight on BBC One, at 6:30pm, there is a Question Time special. The

:06:08.:06:12.

Daily Politics tomorrow is on at the earlier time of 11 o'clock.

:06:13.:06:15.

Remember, if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:06:16.:06:21.

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