Browse content similar to 21/05/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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between Hamilton and opinion. In rugby, news regarding two of | :00:00. | 3:59:59 | |
England's fly halves. Hello, and welcome to our look ahead | :00:00. | :00:18. | |
to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are Beth Rigby, | :00:19. | :00:20. | |
deputy political editor at The Financial Times, and John Kampfner, | :00:21. | :00:23. | |
director of Creative Industries Federation. | :00:24. | :00:28. | |
Let's look at some of the front pages. We are going to start with | :00:29. | :00:32. | |
The Financial Times. It says the Bank of England is close to raising | :00:33. | :00:36. | |
interest rates. The Daily Telegraph is reporting 15 million British | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
users of eBay have to change their passwords after a security breach. | :00:41. | :00:45. | |
The Independent is wondering if David Cameron and Boris Johnson will | :00:46. | :00:48. | |
be Eurostars in the European elections. The Guardian says an | :00:49. | :00:53. | |
internal the bull Democrat briefing paper is warning senior officials | :00:54. | :00:56. | |
that the party could be completely wiped out in the European actions, | :00:57. | :01:03. | |
failing to win a seat. The Metro also leads on the breach of eBay's | :01:04. | :01:12. | |
users online safety, the hackers broke into a database. The Daily | :01:13. | :01:16. | |
Mail says Russian diplomats will demand an explanation from the | :01:17. | :01:21. | |
Foreign Office after Prince Charles reportedly likened Vladimir Putin to | :01:22. | :01:24. | |
Adolf Hitler. We're going to start with the | :01:25. | :01:28. | |
Independent. The European elections, a picture of or is Johnson and the | :01:29. | :01:32. | |
Prime Minister. They are actually in this photograph, in Newark, | :01:33. | :01:39. | |
campaigning for the by`election. Despite all of the mud flung at | :01:40. | :01:43. | |
UKIP, Nigel Farage is maintaining his going to do very well? He is | :01:44. | :01:49. | |
Teflon, nothing sticks. For weeks, all of the polls have suggested UKIP | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
will either top the polls or come second behind Labour. That has not | :01:55. | :02:01. | |
changed. You are left with the situation, do the Lib Dems end up | :02:02. | :02:07. | |
with a complete wipe`out, no MEPs? Do the Conservatives then tear | :02:08. | :02:10. | |
themselves apart after the European elections because a lot of their MPs | :02:11. | :02:16. | |
get spooked, if UKIP have a strong show in their local constituency? | :02:17. | :02:20. | |
There is a lot to play for. People don't necessarily... The public | :02:21. | :02:25. | |
don't necessarily engage in European elections. Who even knows who their | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
local European MP is? But in terms of the domestic lytic or picture, | :02:31. | :02:40. | |
it's a big deal. `` the domestic picture. Is it the Conservatives | :02:41. | :02:44. | |
that have the most to fear? We know that UKIP are taking votes and | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
support from all the parties, but is it the Conservatives that have the | :02:49. | :02:52. | |
most to fear about tomorrow's elections? By the way, I always love | :02:53. | :02:59. | |
the choreography of news stories. I love the way you have this picture, | :03:00. | :03:08. | |
this somewhat schmoozing, romantic picture of Dave and Boris, nestling | :03:09. | :03:13. | |
up together on this bench. I love the idea of the spin doctors behind | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
the camera saying, out of the way, everybody else, we want a picture of | :03:18. | :03:22. | |
the guys on their own! It is probably a crowded platform. It's | :03:23. | :03:25. | |
the classic way to manufacture a picture. The point about Nigel | :03:26. | :03:32. | |
Farage, nothing sticking, that is right. I think all three mainstream | :03:33. | :03:36. | |
leaders have got a lot to lose. Paradoxically, I think they have all | :03:37. | :03:40. | |
factored in their night of humiliation already. They may have | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
done, but the public probably hasn't. For David Cameron, he should | :03:46. | :03:50. | |
be doing pretty well. He is going to come third place, if elections are | :03:51. | :03:55. | |
correct, which is pretty terrible for the Conservatives. Even if | :03:56. | :03:59. | |
Labour women, they should be streets ahead at this point, they may not | :04:00. | :04:03. | |
even win, UKIP may win. As you were alluding to in the headlines, the | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
Lib Dems fear they will be completely wiped out, they could get | :04:08. | :04:12. | |
zero or two at very best, five out of 11 MEPs re`elected. In different | :04:13. | :04:16. | |
ways, different reasons, disasters for all three. Nick Clegg was on the | :04:17. | :04:23. | |
Andrew Marr Show on Sunday and was saying, he was trying to deflect the | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
attention away from what was going to be a drubbing for them, that | :04:28. | :04:32. | |
Labour, one big story that could come out of this, is that Labour get | :04:33. | :04:36. | |
really attacked by UKIP in the northern heartlands, their | :04:37. | :04:42. | |
heartlands. That could become an emerging story. At the moment, it is | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
always about the Tories versus UKIP. Actually, UKIP is about | :04:48. | :04:50. | |
disaffection. There are lots of people in the north that probably | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
feel disaffected as well. Don't forget, in the old days, | :04:55. | :04:58. | |
disaffection and Andy politics usually went to the Lib Dems. Now | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
they are part of the establishment, part of government. The elite, | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
according to Nigel Farage. Let's go to the Guardian. Lib Dems braced for | :05:07. | :05:15. | |
total wipe`out. Is it a possible point of solace for the main parties | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
that when it comes to Europe, we are talking about proportional | :05:21. | :05:23. | |
representation? A smaller party like UKIP is bound to do better than it | :05:24. | :05:28. | |
would do in 2015? Also, there is a long, established history, not just | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
in the UK but in other countries. Andy politics parties all over the | :05:34. | :05:35. | |
shop in Europe are going to do well. `` anti`politics. You are | :05:36. | :05:43. | |
looking at France, the Netherlands, elsewhere. Usually parties of the | :05:44. | :05:48. | |
right, but not necessarily, they are going to do well. They are all kind | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
of normal the above, antiestablishment parties. When you | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
come to general elections, particularly first past the post, so | :05:59. | :06:03. | |
the conventional wisdom goes, to be tested, people get spooked by the | :06:04. | :06:06. | |
possibility and revert back to the conventional ways. But there is a | :06:07. | :06:09. | |
lot of our politics now that is different. That has been a trend for | :06:10. | :06:13. | |
so long to move away from the two main parties. We have fixed | :06:14. | :06:16. | |
parlance, what difference does that make us to knock that is a broader | :06:17. | :06:19. | |
point. You have general disaffection. The easy reassurance, | :06:20. | :06:28. | |
sure, we have the locals but everyone will grow up and move on | :06:29. | :06:32. | |
after that, that will be tested. With all of the mode that has been | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
flying at UKIP, none of it has stuck, they have an incredibly | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
charismatic leader. They are tapping into, for a lot of people, a | :06:41. | :06:46. | |
groundswell of disaffection that is chiming? I agree with that. Also, | :06:47. | :06:53. | |
what UKIP have that appeals to people disaffected by politics, as | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
one pundit said to me once, a strategist said, you know, 99% of | :06:59. | :07:04. | |
politics is just noise. People don't pick up on it. Nigel Farage has a | :07:05. | :07:08. | |
very simple proposition. Let's control immigration, let's get out | :07:09. | :07:11. | |
of Europe. People can attach to that. I think he was actually... | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
He's been a ubiquitous, everywhere, if I was on the Green Party, I would | :07:17. | :07:22. | |
be annoyed. He was on the today programme this morning, on Radio 4, | :07:23. | :07:25. | |
being interviewed. I thought what he said there was very interesting. | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
Talking of this idea of the general election, the protest vote fall | :07:31. | :07:36. | |
away, he said, no, we are going to use the European actions, the local | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
elections, to bed in in areas where we can build a base. As the Lib Dems | :07:40. | :07:45. | |
did in the Paddy Ashdown, we are going to get strongholds and build a | :07:46. | :07:50. | |
base and build from the ground up. Actually, come 2015, we can put a | :07:51. | :07:56. | |
dozen MPs in Parliament. It's not that preposterous, that idea. | :07:57. | :08:02. | |
Particularly when you have a hung parliament. People do think that | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
hung parliaments, a balance of power, it can be held by minority. | :08:07. | :08:12. | |
That story will run and run, particularly after tomorrow. The | :08:13. | :08:15. | |
front page of the Guardian as well, Beth, Theresa May stuns the Police | :08:16. | :08:20. | |
Federation with a bow to break its power. She gave a 30 minute speech, | :08:21. | :08:24. | |
and there was silence when she was finished, absolute silence. No | :08:25. | :08:30. | |
booing, no cheering, no polite applause, nothing. They were so | :08:31. | :08:37. | |
upset about what she said? Well, Home Secretary 's and police | :08:38. | :08:40. | |
federations, this happens often in speeches. They usually do something, | :08:41. | :08:48. | |
they don't sit there? Sometimes they boo, they are broken. She basically | :08:49. | :08:54. | |
said today that the legitimacy of British policing is in the balance, | :08:55. | :08:57. | |
following things like the Stephen Lawrence case. Plebgate, with Andrew | :08:58. | :09:01. | |
Mitchell. She promised to break the power of the unions. Politically, | :09:02. | :09:06. | |
what this shows, I think, is that she is a Home Secretary at the | :09:07. | :09:11. | |
height of her power. She had a great run, she is tough and she feels | :09:12. | :09:15. | |
empowered enough that she can really begin to take on the Police | :09:16. | :09:18. | |
Federation. She is doing that against a backdrop of Chris | :09:19. | :09:22. | |
Grayling, in the Department of Justice, with prison breaks. She has | :09:23. | :09:29. | |
really gone for them. I have a different take on that. If you look | :09:30. | :09:34. | |
at the bonfire of public bodies we were just talking about, | :09:35. | :09:36. | |
antiestablishment stuff, Parliament is unpopular, journalists are | :09:37. | :09:42. | |
unpopular and always have been, the BBC get a good kicking. There is | :09:43. | :09:45. | |
probably no public body that is less popular and has less credibility | :09:46. | :09:50. | |
than the Police Federation. You could list all of the stuff they | :09:51. | :09:53. | |
have been up to, defending the indefensible, defending the old | :09:54. | :10:00. | |
producer capture vested interests, instead of driving up standards. | :10:01. | :10:06. | |
Theresa May, quite a divisive figure in her own right, I would wonder if | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
she has not gained plaudits pretty much everywhere, with the exception | :10:11. | :10:13. | |
of this project will interest group, by simply telling them what they | :10:14. | :10:17. | |
should have done a long time ago, to sort themselves out. All this in the | :10:18. | :10:23. | |
week that Abu Qatada went to jail? The Financial Times, the Bank of | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
England, Beth, is edging closer to an early rate rise. Not if, but | :10:28. | :10:34. | |
when, now? Basically, we have and the economic recovery seeming to be | :10:35. | :10:39. | |
secured, wages rising, will inflation keep arising? Basically, | :10:40. | :10:44. | |
the Bank of England is considering to raise interest rates from 0.5%, | :10:45. | :10:52. | |
and it has been since 2009. The first European bank to do this since | :10:53. | :11:02. | |
2011. This is politically very unwelcome by George Osborne. The | :11:03. | :11:10. | |
smart money seemed to be on January, February, maybe March. Now | :11:11. | :11:16. | |
it might be ill If you are the Chancellor, you don't want it to | :11:17. | :11:21. | |
happen before the election. There are also savers as well. But they | :11:22. | :11:26. | |
have been quite well served under George Osborne. Interestingly, this | :11:27. | :11:31. | |
theme, and I think it will run, it has been picked up by Labour because | :11:32. | :11:36. | |
they are very worried that Ed Miliband's cost of living crisis | :11:37. | :11:41. | |
argument is falling away. Actually, if interest rates go up and | :11:42. | :11:45. | |
everybody's mortgages go up, people like me, very heavily mortgaged from | :11:46. | :11:49. | |
the heady days when you could borrow multiple times your salary on | :11:50. | :11:55. | |
interest only... Depends how much, even 1%, I am old enough to remember | :11:56. | :12:01. | |
15% interest rates. That is why it is likely to go up sooner, rather | :12:02. | :12:05. | |
than later, so they can keep it gradual. That is why the suggestion | :12:06. | :12:12. | |
is it could autumn. And the danger is, just as people are beginning to | :12:13. | :12:15. | |
feel more optimistic about the economy, wages are now catching up | :12:16. | :12:20. | |
with inflation, they are beginning to feel a bit like they have a bit | :12:21. | :12:22. | |
more money in their pockets, suddenly their mortgage payments go | :12:23. | :12:33. | |
up. Briefly, Russia and China striking a $400 billion deal the | :12:34. | :12:37. | |
gas. Russia looking to China and not Europe to flog its energy. | :12:38. | :12:42. | |
Absolutely. Diplomatic relations with the West, particularly the US | :12:43. | :12:47. | |
and to a degree with Western Europe, have gone into freefall and there is | :12:48. | :12:51. | |
no prospect of that calming down soon. President Putin is probably | :12:52. | :12:56. | |
more in his comfort zone with the Chinese than the West. He dabbled in | :12:57. | :13:00. | |
2000 for reasons that we could argue about at in the night but we have | :13:01. | :13:10. | |
not got time. `` ad nauseam. And there is self`interest for the | :13:11. | :13:13. | |
Russians to strike this particular deal but it has taken ten years to | :13:14. | :13:18. | |
negotiate. It is all about Ukraine, isn't it? Well, what it does for | :13:19. | :13:22. | |
Russia is it signals for Europe don't take my gas. I can do a deal | :13:23. | :13:31. | |
with Asia. An analyst is quoted saying it is strategically important | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
for Gazprom because it allows it to show Europe that it has other | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
options. In terms of the leverage that Europe has, the limited | :13:40. | :13:43. | |
leverage that Europe seems to have over Putin in terms of Ukraine, this | :13:44. | :13:50. | |
has been knocked down. On the day that Prince Charles is said to have | :13:51. | :13:54. | |
likened President Putin to Adolf Hitler. Thank you. You will be back | :13:55. | :13:59. | |
in an hour for more of the stories that Fleet Street is trying to flog | :14:00. | :14:03. | |
us. Stay with us on BBC News. Much more at the top of the hour but | :14:04. | :14:06. | |
first it is Sportsday. Hello and welcome to Sportsday with | :14:07. | :14:21. | |
me, Ore Oduba. Coming up tonight: England's under 17s show the seniors | :14:22. | :14:24. | |
how it's done, winning the European Championship title on penalties. | :14:25. | :14:31. | |
Hibs are a step closer to keeping their place in the Scottish | :14:32. | :14:33. | |
Premiership, beating Hamilton in the play`off final first | :14:34. | :14:35. |