21/05/2014 The Papers


21/05/2014

No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines. Presented by Clive Myrie.


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premiership play`off final and in rugby, news regarding two of

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England's fly halves. Welcome to our look ahead at what

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the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me on Beth Rigby and

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John Kampfner. Let us have a look at some of the front pages. Starting

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with the Financial Times. The Bank of England is close to raising

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interest rates. The Daily Telegraph is reporting

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that 15 million British users of eBay have to change their passwords

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after a security breach. The Independent is wondering if

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David Cameron and Boris Johnson will be stars of the European elections.

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The Guardian says an internal Liberal Democrat briefing paper is

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warning senior officials that the party could be completely wiped out

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in the European elections. The Metro also leads on the bridge

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of eBay users online. `` breach. The Daily Mail says Russian

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diplomats will demand an explanation from the Foreign Office after Prince

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Charles reportedly likened Vladimir Putin to Adolf Hitler. The Express

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says more than half a month's rainfall could fall tomorrow. The

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worst weather being experienced in the south.

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The Times as is at least 400 people a night are sent home from hospital

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between 11pm and 6am to relieve pressure on wards.

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Starting with a big event, the elections. UKIP polled to win the

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European elections. A disaster for the Tories and Lib Dems. We were

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pondering if the Sun has lost its Mojo. It is not bad. Moving swiftly

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on, one of the interesting things he had when it does the breakdown of

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the vote, if you add together the vote of the two main parties, that

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is less than 50%. When was the last time that happened? The two

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recognised main political parties got less than 50% in any national

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vote. If you add in projected turnout, which is likely, what is

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the proportion of people who actively cast their ballots for

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either of the two main parties, it really does throw into question not

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just two comes out that well on Thursday night, but generally the

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state of our politics. People are fed up and this uncharted, they feel

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this affect it. `` this uncharted. The Sun says that if they do come on

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top, it has been labour or UKIP who would top, they would be the first

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party to top eight national ballot without having a single local MP.

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This is going to be a really seminal moment in British politics. People

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are very disillusioned out there. They are turning to UKIP. People in

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the north of England, heartland labour voters, they are turning to

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UKIP. In the south`east we seek disaffected Tory voters are turning

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to UKIP. The question is whether Nigel Farage can go to areas where

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they have a show of strength and turn this from a European election

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success into something bigger. The three main political parties are the

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very worried that he might be able to do that. The challenge will be to

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try and keep the parties together. I think MPs are going to be spooked.

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You are going to be looking to the 2015 election nervously. It is quite

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late on in the day for them to topple their leaders. They have got

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to try and keep the parties under control. Find a strategy that might

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win. I suspect there are very few people in the wider public who would

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be able to name another UKIP representative. Anyone else. This

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party has been built on the shoulders of one man. More to the

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point, everybody who does, a number of figures who have tried to attach

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themselves, have got themselves and the party into trouble. They racist,

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they this, are they not? It produces a bad headline. Over the last few

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months, Fleet Street has got its teeth in. Before they saw him as an

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amusing pantomime artist. They are doing proper reporting on him and

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his people. Every story. It is like, the more that she is attacked

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by what he calls the established elite media, the more it plays into

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this whole image of the man against the establishment. I know they are

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very different animals, but why did it not work for Sarah Pailin? Why

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has it worked so well for Nigel Farage? We are talking about a

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different set of circumstance, but that sense that he is an outsider,

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that he is attacking the establishment, tapping into that

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sense that people feel disenfranchised. She included

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because of all kinds of things. `` imploded. Nobody is thinking that

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Nigel Farage will be deputy. Nigel Farage claimed he was tired and put

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forward other reasons for what he said. Talking about remaining is the

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way that he did. `` Romanians. None of that has affected him. The point

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about Nigel Farage is you cannot take him out of the context where he

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is operating. He is operating in a postrecession country were people

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have been feeling really pressed. We are only just coming through that.

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It is a crisis that has thrown the entire European project into doubt.

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A lot of hard questions have been raced across all European countries

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about the European Union, immigration. It has played into his

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particular brand of politics. On to the Guardian. It is the Liberal

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Democrats who could have a lot of problems as a result of UKIP's

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success. Although, there will be pleased to know that in this exit

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poll, in this poll on the eve of the election, it says that they are

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going to get three MEPs. The poll is predicting that they will come in

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behind the Greens. They will not completely be wiped out. The one

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silver lining for the Lib Dems, is everybody will be factoring what

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happens over the next few days. They will be working out how that will

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impact on the general election. The Lib Dems are notionally going to

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fight 615 seats. But if I was a seat beyond number 60, I might as well

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put my feet up. They will be focusing on 40, 50, 60 seats. They

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did so well in the easterly by`election. The other point I would

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make about the Lib Dems in coalition is that they have been really bashed

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about. They have been universally derided in the press. And yet as a

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party they have remained incredibly disciplined. They are going to have

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another drop in the polls, but what has been incredible has been this

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show of strength and this unity they have demonstrated. It may not get

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them anywhere? They could still, after all of this, it is a question

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of a lot of hypotheticals, they could still be powerbrokers in a

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year. It depends on the government. If they do not implode in the next

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few weeks. There is not much sign, there is always wrong doings in any

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political setup. But as long as that is not go farther, they will focus

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on a few dozen seats. Staying with the Guardian. Police Federation. One

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man who was at this speech given by Theresa May, he felt as if they were

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being told off by a schoolmistress. The job of a school teacher is to

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tell recalcitrant pupils off. The Police Federation has been a basket

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case. It has massively failed to serve the public. Theresa May is

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quite a divisive figure. I reckon 98% of the population will agree

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with this message that she has given the Police Federation. Sort

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yourselves out and if you do not, we will legislate. There was also this

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suggestion in what she was saying, the suggestion that it is a few

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rotten apples within the force. It is more than that. She is

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painting... We had a look on your website and looked at how she

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delivered the speech. It was incredibly powerful. She is the a

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politician at the height of her power. What she could play two in

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the tons of this speech, a speech that no other Home Secretary would

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have dared to have done, there has been a string of scandals around the

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police that has undermined their legitimacy. She is coming at it from

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a strong position. Also, she is a politician that is waiting in the

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wings with her eye on the leadership of the Conservative party. She wants

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to make a stand. She wants to challenge the vested interests. That

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is what she was doing today to great effect. I think she knows the public

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are on her side. On to the Financial Times. The Bank of England is edging

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closer to an early rate rise. It is not a matter of if, but when. A lot

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of quarters of economic recovery, inflation is going up, property

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prices are going up worryingly quickly. The Bank of England are

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looking at whether or not to raise this base rate from its historically

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low rate of 1.5%. This is going to be a massive moment when it happens.

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What I think is interesting about this is what it means politically in

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the election year. When people are getting back on their feet, everyone

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is feeling a bit more comfortable. The Tories are going to fight the

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election on the economic recovery. George Osborne does not want to see

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interest rates go up and mortgages go up. This is going to be a smack

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in the face for people who have struggled with their cost of living.

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It is not up to him. They always say that the year before elections is

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the worst time to do anything difficult. The Bank of England might

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have thought of doing it a few months ago. Particularly in the

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south`east. If they do not do it now, it will probably be a bit late.

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Some would disagree that it is unsustainable. Let us end with the

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Daily Telegraph. Do you buy things on eBay? I have been known to. I got

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a call from my bank, saying that somebody had gone walkabout with my

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credit card. Nothing to do with this. It is this whole idea of data

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going astray and everybody using a few passwords. I always forget my

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passwords. This is a huge story. Particularly as it is alleged in one

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of the papers that it took them several months to actually tell

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people. I spoke to an analyst that said he was amazed this would

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happen. Considering what eBay deals with, he says it was fairly easy,

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what the hackers did. The other thing that concerns me about this

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story, obviously eBay owned a massive transactional firm. If you

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are an eBay user, this story fills me with total trade. It would be

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really interesting to see how this affects the brain. `` total dread.

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`` affects the brand. They have got to under `` 200 33 million accounts.

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`` 233. It is a good reminder that we do not take security seriously. I

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am changing my password. I nearly taxed into my partner to tell him to

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do it between paper runs. `` text into.

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It has been great having you on. Thank you. Stay with us. Much more

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coming up at the top of the hour. Now it is time for Sportsday.

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Hello and welcome to Sportsday with me, Ore Oduba. Coming up tonight:

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England's Under`17s

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