21/05/2014 The Papers


No need to wait to see what's in the papers - tune in for a lively and informed conversation about the next day's headlines. Presented by Clive Myrie.

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between Hamilton and opinion. In rugby, news regarding two of


England's fly halves. Hello, and welcome to our look ahead


to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me are Beth Rigby,


deputy political editor at The Financial Times, and John Kampfner,


director of Creative Industries Federation.


Let's look at some of the front pages. We are going to start with


The Financial Times. It says the Bank of England is close to raising


interest rates. The Daily Telegraph is reporting 15 million British


users of eBay have to change their passwords after a security breach.


The Independent is wondering if David Cameron and Boris Johnson will


be Eurostars in the European elections. The Guardian says an


internal the bull Democrat briefing paper is warning senior officials


that the party could be completely wiped out in the European actions,


failing to win a seat. The Metro also leads on the breach of eBay's


users online safety, the hackers broke into a database. The Daily


Mail says Russian diplomats will demand an explanation from the


Foreign Office after Prince Charles reportedly likened Vladimir Putin to


Adolf Hitler. We're going to start with the


Independent. The European elections, a picture of or is Johnson and the


Prime Minister. They are actually in this photograph, in Newark,


campaigning for the by`election. Despite all of the mud flung at


UKIP, Nigel Farage is maintaining his going to do very well? He is


Teflon, nothing sticks. For weeks, all of the polls have suggested UKIP


will either top the polls or come second behind Labour. That has not


changed. You are left with the situation, do the Lib Dems end up


with a complete wipe`out, no MEPs? Do the Conservatives then tear


themselves apart after the European elections because a lot of their MPs


get spooked, if UKIP have a strong show in their local constituency?


There is a lot to play for. People don't necessarily... The public


don't necessarily engage in European elections. Who even knows who their


local European MP is? But in terms of the domestic lytic or picture,


it's a big deal. `` the domestic picture. Is it the Conservatives


that have the most to fear? We know that UKIP are taking votes and


support from all the parties, but is it the Conservatives that have the


most to fear about tomorrow's elections? By the way, I always love


the choreography of news stories. I love the way you have this picture,


this somewhat schmoozing, romantic picture of Dave and Boris, nestling


up together on this bench. I love the idea of the spin doctors behind


the camera saying, out of the way, everybody else, we want a picture of


the guys on their own! It is probably a crowded platform. It's


the classic way to manufacture a picture. The point about Nigel


Farage, nothing sticking, that is right. I think all three mainstream


leaders have got a lot to lose. Paradoxically, I think they have all


factored in their night of humiliation already. They may have


done, but the public probably hasn't. For David Cameron, he should


be doing pretty well. He is going to come third place, if elections are


correct, which is pretty terrible for the Conservatives. Even if


Labour women, they should be streets ahead at this point, they may not


even win, UKIP may win. As you were alluding to in the headlines, the


Lib Dems fear they will be completely wiped out, they could get


zero or two at very best, five out of 11 MEPs re`elected. In different


ways, different reasons, disasters for all three. Nick Clegg was on the


Andrew Marr Show on Sunday and was saying, he was trying to deflect the


attention away from what was going to be a drubbing for them, that


Labour, one big story that could come out of this, is that Labour get


really attacked by UKIP in the northern heartlands, their


heartlands. That could become an emerging story. At the moment, it is


always about the Tories versus UKIP. Actually, UKIP is about


disaffection. There are lots of people in the north that probably


feel disaffected as well. Don't forget, in the old days,


disaffection and Andy politics usually went to the Lib Dems. Now


they are part of the establishment, part of government. The elite,


according to Nigel Farage. Let's go to the Guardian. Lib Dems braced for


total wipe`out. Is it a possible point of solace for the main parties


that when it comes to Europe, we are talking about proportional


representation? A smaller party like UKIP is bound to do better than it


would do in 2015? Also, there is a long, established history, not just


in the UK but in other countries. Andy politics parties all over the


shop in Europe are going to do well. `` anti`politics. You are


looking at France, the Netherlands, elsewhere. Usually parties of the


right, but not necessarily, they are going to do well. They are all kind


of normal the above, antiestablishment parties. When you


come to general elections, particularly first past the post, so


the conventional wisdom goes, to be tested, people get spooked by the


possibility and revert back to the conventional ways. But there is a


lot of our politics now that is different. That has been a trend for


so long to move away from the two main parties. We have fixed


parlance, what difference does that make us to knock that is a broader


point. You have general disaffection. The easy reassurance,


sure, we have the locals but everyone will grow up and move on


after that, that will be tested. With all of the mode that has been


flying at UKIP, none of it has stuck, they have an incredibly


charismatic leader. They are tapping into, for a lot of people, a


groundswell of disaffection that is chiming? I agree with that. Also,


what UKIP have that appeals to people disaffected by politics, as


one pundit said to me once, a strategist said, you know, 99% of


politics is just noise. People don't pick up on it. Nigel Farage has a


very simple proposition. Let's control immigration, let's get out


of Europe. People can attach to that. I think he was actually...


He's been a ubiquitous, everywhere, if I was on the Green Party, I would


be annoyed. He was on the today programme this morning, on Radio 4,


being interviewed. I thought what he said there was very interesting.


Talking of this idea of the general election, the protest vote fall


away, he said, no, we are going to use the European actions, the local


elections, to bed in in areas where we can build a base. As the Lib Dems


did in the Paddy Ashdown, we are going to get strongholds and build a


base and build from the ground up. Actually, come 2015, we can put a


dozen MPs in Parliament. It's not that preposterous, that idea.


Particularly when you have a hung parliament. People do think that


hung parliaments, a balance of power, it can be held by minority.


That story will run and run, particularly after tomorrow. The


front page of the Guardian as well, Beth, Theresa May stuns the Police


Federation with a bow to break its power. She gave a 30 minute speech,


and there was silence when she was finished, absolute silence. No


booing, no cheering, no polite applause, nothing. They were so


upset about what she said? Well, Home Secretary 's and police


federations, this happens often in speeches. They usually do something,


they don't sit there? Sometimes they boo, they are broken. She basically


said today that the legitimacy of British policing is in the balance,


following things like the Stephen Lawrence case. Plebgate, with Andrew


Mitchell. She promised to break the power of the unions. Politically,


what this shows, I think, is that she is a Home Secretary at the


height of her power. She had a great run, she is tough and she feels


empowered enough that she can really begin to take on the Police


Federation. She is doing that against a backdrop of Chris


Grayling, in the Department of Justice, with prison breaks. She has


really gone for them. I have a different take on that. If you look


at the bonfire of public bodies we were just talking about,


antiestablishment stuff, Parliament is unpopular, journalists are


unpopular and always have been, the BBC get a good kicking. There is


probably no public body that is less popular and has less credibility


than the Police Federation. You could list all of the stuff they


have been up to, defending the indefensible, defending the old


producer capture vested interests, instead of driving up standards.


Theresa May, quite a divisive figure in her own right, I would wonder if


she has not gained plaudits pretty much everywhere, with the exception


of this project will interest group, by simply telling them what they


should have done a long time ago, to sort themselves out. All this in the


week that Abu Qatada went to jail? The Financial Times, the Bank of


England, Beth, is edging closer to an early rate rise. Not if, but


when, now? Basically, we have and the economic recovery seeming to be


secured, wages rising, will inflation keep arising? Basically,


the Bank of England is considering to raise interest rates from 0.5%,


and it has been since 2009. The first European bank to do this since


2011. This is politically very unwelcome by George Osborne. The


smart money seemed to be on January, February, maybe March. Now


it might be ill If you are the Chancellor, you don't want it to


happen before the election. There are also savers as well. But they


have been quite well served under George Osborne. Interestingly, this


theme, and I think it will run, it has been picked up by Labour because


they are very worried that Ed Miliband's cost of living crisis


argument is falling away. Actually, if interest rates go up and


everybody's mortgages go up, people like me, very heavily mortgaged from


the heady days when you could borrow multiple times your salary on


interest only... Depends how much, even 1%, I am old enough to remember


15% interest rates. That is why it is likely to go up sooner, rather


than later, so they can keep it gradual. That is why the suggestion


is it could autumn. And the danger is, just as people are beginning to


feel more optimistic about the economy, wages are now catching up


with inflation, they are beginning to feel a bit like they have a bit


more money in their pockets, suddenly their mortgage payments go


up. Briefly, Russia and China striking a $400 billion deal the


gas. Russia looking to China and not Europe to flog its energy.


Absolutely. Diplomatic relations with the West, particularly the US


and to a degree with Western Europe, have gone into freefall and there is


no prospect of that calming down soon. President Putin is probably


more in his comfort zone with the Chinese than the West. He dabbled in


2000 for reasons that we could argue about at in the night but we have


not got time. `` ad nauseam. And there is self`interest for the


Russians to strike this particular deal but it has taken ten years to


negotiate. It is all about Ukraine, isn't it? Well, what it does for


Russia is it signals for Europe don't take my gas. I can do a deal


with Asia. An analyst is quoted saying it is strategically important


for Gazprom because it allows it to show Europe that it has other


options. In terms of the leverage that Europe has, the limited


leverage that Europe seems to have over Putin in terms of Ukraine, this


has been knocked down. On the day that Prince Charles is said to have


likened President Putin to Adolf Hitler. Thank you. You will be back


in an hour for more of the stories that Fleet Street is trying to flog


us. Stay with us on BBC News. Much more at the top of the hour but


first it is Sportsday. Hello and welcome to Sportsday with


me, Ore Oduba. Coming up tonight: England's under 17s show the seniors


how it's done, winning the European Championship title on penalties.


Hibs are a step closer to keeping their place in the Scottish


Premiership, beating Hamilton in the play`off final first


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