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Hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers | :00:00. | :00:16. | |
With me are the political commentator Jo | :00:17. | :00:21. | |
Phillips, and the political editor of the Sunday People, Nigel Nelson. | :00:22. | :00:27. | |
A different set of papers from the last hour. | :00:28. | :00:33. | |
They are all still dominated by Ian Duncan smith's resignation. | :00:34. | :00:36. | |
The FT says it's sparked a wider row in the Conservative party, | :00:37. | :00:39. | |
over the Prime Minister's and the Chancellor's style of Government. | :00:40. | :00:41. | |
"IDS twists the knife" is the Independent's take. | :00:42. | :00:43. | |
Criticisms by Mr Duncan Smith are described as the biggest challenge | :00:44. | :00:46. | |
to Mr Cameron's authority in his six years in Downing Street. | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
The i calls it the "explosive exit of a quiet man". | :00:50. | :00:52. | |
And the Express thinks that Mr Duncan Smith's | :00:53. | :00:54. | |
resignation is a "massive boost" to the campaign for | :00:55. | :00:56. | |
The Metro focuses on the former Work and Pensions | :00:57. | :01:01. | |
secretary's description of the Budget as "deeply unfair" for | :01:02. | :01:03. | |
The Guardian says the Conservatives "descended into | :01:04. | :01:07. | |
civil war" as a succession of MPs came out to support Mr Duncan Smith. | :01:08. | :01:18. | |
We mentioned it a few minutes ago the Times. The headline is Cameron, | :01:19. | :01:28. | |
I blame Osborne. Chancellor messed up cots. The Prime Minister told a | :01:29. | :01:33. | |
colleague, but we don't know which colleague. -- cuts. No, and that is | :01:34. | :01:43. | |
the point of it. This would be very significant because Cameron and | :01:44. | :01:48. | |
Osborne are together, together, together right the way through. This | :01:49. | :01:52. | |
would be, Blair and Brown all over again. It widens the gap into | :01:53. | :01:58. | |
something much more damaging. Damaging for the Prime Minister, but | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
also damaging for the Chancellor, who is already damaged by the | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
allegations from Iain Duncan Smith. Unless we know who said it, and | :02:10. | :02:14. | |
unless we know in what second sciences, it is difficult... -- | :02:15. | :02:21. | |
circumstances. I'm not sure it rings true. How secure do you think George | :02:22. | :02:26. | |
Osborne is at number 11? I would think at the moment unity is all. | :02:27. | :02:31. | |
They are under such a cloud that George Cameron and David Cameron | :02:32. | :02:36. | |
have to tackle this head-on and together. The idea they are falling | :02:37. | :02:39. | |
out already would be a real problem I would think. I would imagine they | :02:40. | :02:45. | |
are thinking in terms of the Foreign Office being a good place to him | :02:46. | :02:50. | |
because it was considered before. Clearly George Osborne's chance of | :02:51. | :02:54. | |
becoming Tory leader has almost disappeared on the basis of this. A | :02:55. | :02:59. | |
shift for him might actually rejuvenate party fortunes. The | :03:00. | :03:03. | |
parties are saying civil war within the Tory party, worst in 20 years. | :03:04. | :03:10. | |
You have to feel that. Iain Duncan Smith's twists knife after budget | :03:11. | :03:20. | |
channels. He said it really wasn't to do with the EU, but a lot of | :03:21. | :03:27. | |
people say of course it was. Everything Iain Duncan Smith said, | :03:28. | :03:30. | |
if you take it at face value, is true. Of course he was angry about | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
his budget being raided at the Treasury. Of course he was angry | :03:35. | :03:42. | |
about disability cuts. But against the background of this, what he is | :03:43. | :03:45. | |
even more angry about is Britain staying in the EU. Brexit becomes | :03:46. | :03:50. | |
the most important thing for him, and the whole point of this exercise | :03:51. | :03:55. | |
was to try to inflict as much damage on George Osborne and David Cameron | :03:56. | :03:58. | |
because that is most likely to persuade the voters to vote to leave | :03:59. | :04:03. | |
Europe. Meanwhile in the daily Telegraph, we're told David Cameron | :04:04. | :04:08. | |
is fighting to save his party. We stand for compassion and one nation, | :04:09. | :04:12. | |
Cameron will insist, after Iain Duncan Smith sparks a Tory civil war | :04:13. | :04:17. | |
after accusing him of favouring the rich. He has to pull everyone around | :04:18. | :04:22. | |
him. Again, that is why I am slightly sceptical about the Times | :04:23. | :04:26. | |
story. He can't do this on his own. He has to do it, it is his | :04:27. | :04:36. | |
Chancellor. He might express frustration with George Osborne. | :04:37. | :04:41. | |
Yes, he could have. I am not saying it is not true, but that would be a | :04:42. | :04:48. | |
significant thing. But this is about going out and fighting to get back | :04:49. | :04:51. | |
to the one nation. What is interesting is the Tory party, in | :04:52. | :04:58. | |
fact James Forsyth wrote about this earlier, the Tory party is | :04:59. | :05:03. | |
incredibly united when it feels under threat from the possibility of | :05:04. | :05:07. | |
a Labour win. When they don't feel under threat from the Labour Party | :05:08. | :05:10. | |
or anybody else, the barbarians at the gate, a fracture. And they are | :05:11. | :05:17. | |
fracturing into bits. I suppose the thing is those bits have always been | :05:18. | :05:19. | |
there, but they have melded together. But the referendum is | :05:20. | :05:24. | |
bringing it out into the open. And in the daily Merit, top Tories at | :05:25. | :05:31. | |
all. -- Daily Mirror. Iain Duncan Smith reveals Tories target the | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
poorest because they don't vote for us. That is one of the things he | :05:37. | :05:42. | |
said today. This is crucially important and the point about David | :05:43. | :05:45. | |
Cameron's fightback in the House of Commons. Getting compassionate | :05:46. | :05:50. | |
conservatism back. What happened to big society? It was not a bad idea. | :05:51. | :05:56. | |
But so many of their policies have been divisive, like the bedroom tax | :05:57. | :05:59. | |
which breaks opportunities and therefore is opposite to the big | :06:00. | :06:05. | |
society. If the Tories are to get back on an even keel, that is where | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
they need to go. A lot of people thought the spare room subsidy was a | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
good idea. Why should people live in houses that are too big for them? | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
They know who their electorate is. I don't know how you people actually | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
supported that in the end. But by moving people out of communities, | :06:24. | :06:30. | |
that is anti- big society. That is what they have to get back to. You | :06:31. | :06:34. | |
could argue by moving people into smaller homes that allows other | :06:35. | :06:40. | |
people to move in, families. But you are breaking up communities of 28 | :06:41. | :06:44. | |
years standing, and the whole point about big society is to get | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
communities back together. But I think is interesting is the | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
underlining criticism about the pensioners or older people. They | :06:54. | :06:59. | |
still get their non- means tested winter fuel allowance, and it is | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
always been so. Those people, older people, to go out and vote. Whether | :07:06. | :07:10. | |
they voted Tory or Labour, they do vote, and the real question is | :07:11. | :07:18. | |
whether they are not Tory voters, so are they likely to go out and vote? | :07:19. | :07:24. | |
It is quite interesting that we now know Iain Duncan Smith had that | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
argument with the Treasury and with number 10 about not taking too much | :07:30. | :07:34. | |
away from working benefits and going for pensioners. Let's move on. OK! | :07:35. | :07:40. | |
We could carry on with this for the whole review, but we will give you | :07:41. | :07:47. | |
some thoughts about Havana. The Obamas have arrived for this | :07:48. | :07:53. | |
symbolic visit. It is on the Huffington Post with the arriving at | :07:54. | :08:00. | |
force one. 88 years since a sitting American president arrived, at that | :08:01. | :08:06. | |
time by battleship -- Air Force One. You can't even begin to imagine what | :08:07. | :08:09. | |
it must look like to the Cuban people. To actually see Air Force | :08:10. | :08:16. | |
One on their television screens. A lovely photograph because it looks | :08:17. | :08:22. | |
humid and sultry unsexy and all of that sort of stuff. -- and sexy. It | :08:23. | :08:27. | |
is a great thing for him to do. Nothing much will come of it, | :08:28. | :08:32. | |
although one of the leading American hotel chains has already done a deal | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
to move in there. There is stuff going on with business, telecoms and | :08:37. | :08:41. | |
airlines. But it is very symbolic. The question is whether they will | :08:42. | :08:45. | |
dare to mention human rights. Everywhere President Obama goes he | :08:46. | :08:50. | |
is under pressure to raise them in some way. Let's do this | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
step-by-step. The first thing is, it is symbolic and there is great | :08:57. | :09:01. | |
symbolism. Since 1959, America and Cuba have been at odds. The idea | :09:02. | :09:06. | |
baking come together again is fantastic. -- baking come together. | :09:07. | :09:12. | |
Even just being a tourist. And gradually build that up. Some of the | :09:13. | :09:18. | |
streets have been painting and lightbulbs change. They have split | :09:19. | :09:23. | |
the place up a bit. It has to be good for the economy. -- spruced. | :09:24. | :09:29. | |
Public hit by 12 million daily nuisance calls by ambulance chasers. | :09:30. | :09:37. | |
That is a lot. These are solicitors. It is worth pointing out in the | :09:38. | :09:41. | |
interest of objectivity that this survey has been produced by an | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
insurance company, and they are basically saying the ambulance | :09:47. | :09:50. | |
chasing lawyers are pushing up the cost of car insurance, so we have to | :09:51. | :09:56. | |
put it in the context. I should think every single person watching | :09:57. | :10:01. | |
this programme has had one of those irritating calls, all those text | :10:02. | :10:04. | |
messages telling you about an accident you have not yet had. It is | :10:05. | :10:09. | |
all a bit worrying. But flippancy aside, there are rules. There is the | :10:10. | :10:15. | |
Telephone preference service. Referral fees were banned, but what | :10:16. | :10:20. | |
are the insurance companies going to do about it? The Telephone | :10:21. | :10:24. | |
preference service we have heard many times is overwhelmed with | :10:25. | :10:28. | |
people who want to sign up and it is not really very effective. That's | :10:29. | :10:33. | |
right. I do think another book needs to be taken at this. We all get | :10:34. | :10:38. | |
these things, the unsolicited texts, the phone calls. I don't get very | :10:39. | :10:46. | |
many of them, but the important thing is you must look at how you | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
prosecute the phones that do this. These calls have been traced back. | :10:52. | :10:58. | |
There are hefty fines out there. It is a matter of grabbing those | :10:59. | :11:02. | |
people. The easiest thing is to leave your phone off the hook. But | :11:03. | :11:08. | |
it is incrementally pushing up the entrance. -- insurance. These fake | :11:09. | :11:19. | |
claims were pushing up insurance premiums and causing accidents that | :11:20. | :11:23. | |
are very distressing and at setting for people. Finally, the daily | :11:24. | :11:27. | |
Telegraph. Don't bomb terrorists, ask them to come 40. This is the | :11:28. | :11:32. | |
latest joke from the Labour leader's office. --, for tea. If you | :11:33. | :11:41. | |
could have tea with terrorists rather than fighting them it would | :11:42. | :11:46. | |
be better, but of course you can't. This is someone from the ruling | :11:47. | :11:49. | |
National executive who has been dismissed as naive by Labour | :11:50. | :11:53. | |
moderates. But she says the answer is have a hub of tea with Islamic | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
State terrorists and it will all be fine. Would you? Probably not. It is | :11:59. | :12:09. | |
not terribly helpful. This is what Labour is in the paper for. They | :12:10. | :12:14. | |
need to get their act together. Maybe they don't need to bother at | :12:15. | :12:19. | |
the moment because the Conservatives have enough trouble of their own | :12:20. | :12:20. | |
that is self-made. Thank you, | :12:21. | :12:21. | |
Jo Phillips and Nigel Nelson. Coming up next, | :12:22. | :12:25. | |
it's The Film Review. | :12:26. | :12:28. |