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Now for the latest financial news with | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
As 12 years of left-wing rule in Argentina comes to an end, | :00:00. | :00:19. | |
we assess what its new leader will mean for the economy. | :00:20. | :00:27. | |
And as the Gas Exporting Countries Forum starts | :00:28. | :00:29. | |
in Tehran today, we assess the risks to our continued supplies. | :00:30. | :00:37. | |
Welcome to World Business Report. I'm Sally Bundock. | :00:38. | :00:41. | |
Also in the programme: Rico Hizon will investigate the case | :00:42. | :00:44. | |
But first, Argentina's presidential election is | :00:45. | :00:53. | |
likely to mark a turning point for the country's beleaguered economy. | :00:54. | :01:02. | |
South America's second-largest economy has slumped more than | :01:03. | :01:04. | |
a decade on from its 2001 meltdown and $100 billion debt default. | :01:05. | :01:07. | |
Global markets will watch this election result closely as Argentina | :01:08. | :01:12. | |
struggles to recover international credibility. | :01:13. | :01:19. | |
So, what does the new man in charge, conservative Mauricio Macri, bring | :01:20. | :01:22. | |
to the table and can he deliver the economic prosperity he promised? | :01:23. | :01:25. | |
With me is Jimena Blanco, principal analyst, Verisk Maplecroft. | :01:26. | :01:35. | |
This is a very poignant story for you, as you are from Argentina and | :01:36. | :01:44. | |
have family in the capital. How important a shift is this for the | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
economy? This is a crucial election in economic terms. The country only | :01:49. | :01:57. | |
grew 0.5% last year. In the previous decade, the average was 6.5%. People | :01:58. | :02:05. | |
want the economy to dig up again and they need that to happen and that is | :02:06. | :02:10. | |
what Mauricio Macri has promised he will do. We have to wait and see | :02:11. | :02:14. | |
what happens when he takes office. He was governor of Buenos Aires... | :02:15. | :02:24. | |
Mayor of the city. And he is talking about a more market led economy. | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
More investment and an end to corruption. I also imagine he has | :02:29. | :02:33. | |
his eye on some of those welfare programmes introduced by the | :02:34. | :02:35. | |
previous government that are very difficult to finance. There is a | :02:36. | :02:41. | |
great deal to unravel and bring in. Absolutely. He will not have a | :02:42. | :02:46. | |
luxury of a honeymoon, like most presidents do. He has promised a | :02:47. | :02:56. | |
policy shift from the get go. We are going to be expecting some | :02:57. | :02:58. | |
announcements. We are not sure what they will be but he has already | :02:59. | :03:01. | |
hinted that the first thing he would do is unravel the exchange market | :03:02. | :03:08. | |
regulations that prevent the free acquisition of foreign currencies. | :03:09. | :03:12. | |
He has talked about a transition exchange-rate. And markets will be | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
looking at what the value of that will be and how he structures the | :03:17. | :03:24. | |
unravelling of all of this. What will he face in terms of political | :03:25. | :03:30. | |
opposition? How easy will it be for him to bring about change and pass | :03:31. | :03:37. | |
new laws? It is not straightforward because his coalition does not have | :03:38. | :03:39. | |
a majority in either chamber of Congress. No political party does. | :03:40. | :03:45. | |
There will have to be a lot of negotiation. Our view is that the | :03:46. | :03:51. | |
third presidential candidate in the first round, who is also a Peronist | :03:52. | :03:57. | |
but an opposition Peronist, he will be in some ways a power broker and | :03:58. | :04:03. | |
that will enable him to pass legislation with some dissident | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
Peronist support and present himself as the future leader of the Peronist | :04:08. | :04:14. | |
groups. Thank you. Over to Asia now | :04:15. | :04:18. | |
and Rico Hizon is in our Rico, | :04:19. | :04:21. | |
you have a bit of a mystery for us. That is right. Drama unfolding at | :04:22. | :04:35. | |
the moment in the Hong Kong with the chairman and chief executive officer | :04:36. | :04:37. | |
of one of China's biggest stock brokerage companies going missing. | :04:38. | :04:51. | |
It be contacted and his whereabouts are not known at this point. As a | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
result, the stock price of his company has plunged by 17% on the | :04:57. | :05:06. | |
Hong Kong stock exchange. He is a high-profile figure in the local | :05:07. | :05:12. | |
securities industry. Pupil at this point may associate the incident | :05:13. | :05:14. | |
with the recent crackdown on the financial industry by mainland | :05:15. | :05:22. | |
authorities. -- people. We have also had staff at a leading securities | :05:23. | :05:25. | |
company and a top fund manager having been caught up in | :05:26. | :05:34. | |
investigations in stock trading. Also making headlines, there could | :05:35. | :05:36. | |
be a merger in the shipping container industry. France's CMACJM | :05:37. | :05:47. | |
has entered into negotiations with Singapore's Neptune Orient lines. | :05:48. | :05:53. | |
This would be one of the biggest acquisitions in the shipping | :05:54. | :05:57. | |
containment industry in years. Talks are expected to run until early next | :05:58. | :06:01. | |
month and that is when we will find out if they will be a merger of | :06:02. | :06:04. | |
these two huge shipping container companies. Thank you. | :06:05. | :06:09. | |
Foreign heads of state are in Tehran today for the | :06:10. | :06:12. | |
When it comes to gas, Europe has often suffered | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
Energy security has been an ongoing priority. | :06:16. | :06:18. | |
Now Europe is exploring the option of shale gas supplies from US. | :06:19. | :06:21. | |
But could shale gas have the same effect | :06:22. | :06:23. | |
Europe needs natural gas to fuel its household and its power stations but | :06:24. | :06:46. | |
produces little itself. The UK imports liquified natural gas by | :06:47. | :06:51. | |
ship from the Gulf state of Qatar. But countries in eastern and central | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
Europe rely on gas piped from Russia through Ukraine. In the past, Russia | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
has cut the supplies, leading to fuel shortages in the depths of | :07:01. | :07:06. | |
winter. Europe is looking to the US, where fracking or hydraulic | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
fracturing, has enabled drillers to produce huge amounts of natural gas | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
from shale rock. On trucking company is promising to send its first | :07:17. | :07:20. | |
shipments of liquified natural gas from the Gulf of Mexico early next | :07:21. | :07:31. | |
year -- on fracking company. Companies are investing millions of | :07:32. | :07:33. | |
dollars around Houston and the Gulf of Mexico. US companies could in a | :07:34. | :07:40. | |
few years the exporting 60 million tons per year of natural gas to | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
Europe and the rest of the world. If so, the US would join with Russia | :07:45. | :07:48. | |
and Qatar as a global gas exporting player. | :07:49. | :07:51. | |
With me is Trevor Sikorski from Energy Aspects. | :07:52. | :08:00. | |
This forum is happening today in Tehran. The US is not going to be | :08:01. | :08:09. | |
there and neither is Australia. This has been going on for years, and | :08:10. | :08:12. | |
they are not really gas exporters yet. Also Australia is, but not the | :08:13. | :08:17. | |
US. Tell us about these shifts expected over the next few years. I | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
think that the gas exporters have had it quite easy. They have tended | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
to sell gas and linked it to the price of oil so that as oil prices | :08:27. | :08:32. | |
went up, gas prices went up. But now there is something completely | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
different and this is this US gas, which will enter the market. It will | :08:37. | :08:39. | |
be linked directly to prices in North America, and these are much | :08:40. | :08:44. | |
lower than the global prices, so we will see a lot of gas coming in at | :08:45. | :08:49. | |
reasonably cheap prices. That will put pressure on existing exporters | :08:50. | :08:53. | |
and they will be seeing this as a big threat to their business models | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
and how gas is sold. Tell us how things are likely to go down in | :08:59. | :09:05. | |
Tehran. Russia is there and so is Qatar. Iran is hosting. Who else | :09:06. | :09:10. | |
will be there? It looks like we are going into a global age of | :09:11. | :09:15. | |
oversupply when it comes to gas, which is very good for consumers. A | :09:16. | :09:21. | |
lot of gas coming from a lot of different players. Iran has not | :09:22. | :09:26. | |
exported very much gas and they want a big piece of this expanding pie. | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
That is good for them. The Russians also have a lot of gas that they | :09:31. | :09:35. | |
want to get into the market, and so are the people and Qatar. Australia | :09:36. | :09:40. | |
has come in and so as the US. We have a lot of gas coming into the | :09:41. | :09:46. | |
market, so we have oversupply. That will probably last five to ten | :09:47. | :09:49. | |
years. This is a real period where consumers will benefit a lot. The | :09:50. | :09:54. | |
discussion today is going to have to be about what we do if prices do get | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
compressed down to these US prices. What does that mean for us as | :10:00. | :10:04. | |
exporters? And can any of us do anything about this? Thank you. A | :10:05. | :10:09. | |
massive challenge for Russia as well as it grapples with low oil prices, | :10:10. | :10:18. | |
a big part of its income. We can take a quick look at the financial | :10:19. | :10:22. | |
markets. The Japanese markets are closed today. No action in Japan | :10:23. | :10:29. | |
today but elsewhere, a mixed picture emerging, as you can see. I will be | :10:30. | :10:34. | |
back in a moment. From today, hospitals in England | :10:35. | :10:47. | |
will have to limit what they spend The government is introducing | :10:48. | :10:51. | |
a cap on the amount that can be | :10:52. | :10:55. |