23/11/2015 World Business Report


23/11/2015

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Now for the latest financial news with

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As 12 years of left-wing rule in Argentina comes to an end,

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we assess what its new leader will mean for the economy.

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And as the Gas Exporting Countries Forum starts

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in Tehran today, we assess the risks to our continued supplies.

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Welcome to World Business Report. I'm Sally Bundock.

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Also in the programme: Rico Hizon will investigate the case

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But first, Argentina's presidential election is

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likely to mark a turning point for the country's beleaguered economy.

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South America's second-largest economy has slumped more than

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a decade on from its 2001 meltdown and $100 billion debt default.

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Global markets will watch this election result closely as Argentina

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struggles to recover international credibility.

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So, what does the new man in charge, conservative Mauricio Macri, bring

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to the table and can he deliver the economic prosperity he promised?

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With me is Jimena Blanco, principal analyst, Verisk Maplecroft.

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This is a very poignant story for you, as you are from Argentina and

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have family in the capital. How important a shift is this for the

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economy? This is a crucial election in economic terms. The country only

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grew 0.5% last year. In the previous decade, the average was 6.5%. People

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want the economy to dig up again and they need that to happen and that is

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what Mauricio Macri has promised he will do. We have to wait and see

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what happens when he takes office. He was governor of Buenos Aires...

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Mayor of the city. And he is talking about a more market led economy.

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More investment and an end to corruption. I also imagine he has

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his eye on some of those welfare programmes introduced by the

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previous government that are very difficult to finance. There is a

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great deal to unravel and bring in. Absolutely. He will not have a

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luxury of a honeymoon, like most presidents do. He has promised a

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policy shift from the get go. We are going to be expecting some

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announcements. We are not sure what they will be but he has already

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hinted that the first thing he would do is unravel the exchange market

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regulations that prevent the free acquisition of foreign currencies.

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He has talked about a transition exchange-rate. And markets will be

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looking at what the value of that will be and how he structures the

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unravelling of all of this. What will he face in terms of political

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opposition? How easy will it be for him to bring about change and pass

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new laws? It is not straightforward because his coalition does not have

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a majority in either chamber of Congress. No political party does.

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There will have to be a lot of negotiation. Our view is that the

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third presidential candidate in the first round, who is also a Peronist

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but an opposition Peronist, he will be in some ways a power broker and

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that will enable him to pass legislation with some dissident

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Peronist support and present himself as the future leader of the Peronist

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groups. Thank you. Over to Asia now

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and Rico Hizon is in our Rico,

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you have a bit of a mystery for us. That is right. Drama unfolding at

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the moment in the Hong Kong with the chairman and chief executive officer

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of one of China's biggest stock brokerage companies going missing.

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It be contacted and his whereabouts are not known at this point. As a

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result, the stock price of his company has plunged by 17% on the

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Hong Kong stock exchange. He is a high-profile figure in the local

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securities industry. Pupil at this point may associate the incident

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with the recent crackdown on the financial industry by mainland

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authorities. -- people. We have also had staff at a leading securities

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company and a top fund manager having been caught up in

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investigations in stock trading. Also making headlines, there could

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be a merger in the shipping container industry. France's CMACJM

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has entered into negotiations with Singapore's Neptune Orient lines.

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This would be one of the biggest acquisitions in the shipping

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containment industry in years. Talks are expected to run until early next

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month and that is when we will find out if they will be a merger of

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these two huge shipping container companies. Thank you.

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Foreign heads of state are in Tehran today for the

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When it comes to gas, Europe has often suffered

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Energy security has been an ongoing priority.

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Now Europe is exploring the option of shale gas supplies from US.

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But could shale gas have the same effect

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Europe needs natural gas to fuel its household and its power stations but

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produces little itself. The UK imports liquified natural gas by

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ship from the Gulf state of Qatar. But countries in eastern and central

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Europe rely on gas piped from Russia through Ukraine. In the past, Russia

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has cut the supplies, leading to fuel shortages in the depths of

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winter. Europe is looking to the US, where fracking or hydraulic

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fracturing, has enabled drillers to produce huge amounts of natural gas

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from shale rock. On trucking company is promising to send its first

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shipments of liquified natural gas from the Gulf of Mexico early next

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year -- on fracking company. Companies are investing millions of

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dollars around Houston and the Gulf of Mexico. US companies could in a

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few years the exporting 60 million tons per year of natural gas to

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Europe and the rest of the world. If so, the US would join with Russia

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and Qatar as a global gas exporting player.

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With me is Trevor Sikorski from Energy Aspects.

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This forum is happening today in Tehran. The US is not going to be

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there and neither is Australia. This has been going on for years, and

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they are not really gas exporters yet. Also Australia is, but not the

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US. Tell us about these shifts expected over the next few years. I

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think that the gas exporters have had it quite easy. They have tended

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to sell gas and linked it to the price of oil so that as oil prices

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went up, gas prices went up. But now there is something completely

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different and this is this US gas, which will enter the market. It will

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be linked directly to prices in North America, and these are much

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lower than the global prices, so we will see a lot of gas coming in at

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reasonably cheap prices. That will put pressure on existing exporters

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and they will be seeing this as a big threat to their business models

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and how gas is sold. Tell us how things are likely to go down in

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Tehran. Russia is there and so is Qatar. Iran is hosting. Who else

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will be there? It looks like we are going into a global age of

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oversupply when it comes to gas, which is very good for consumers. A

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lot of gas coming from a lot of different players. Iran has not

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exported very much gas and they want a big piece of this expanding pie.

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That is good for them. The Russians also have a lot of gas that they

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want to get into the market, and so are the people and Qatar. Australia

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has come in and so as the US. We have a lot of gas coming into the

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market, so we have oversupply. That will probably last five to ten

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years. This is a real period where consumers will benefit a lot. The

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discussion today is going to have to be about what we do if prices do get

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compressed down to these US prices. What does that mean for us as

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exporters? And can any of us do anything about this? Thank you. A

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massive challenge for Russia as well as it grapples with low oil prices,

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a big part of its income. We can take a quick look at the financial

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markets. The Japanese markets are closed today. No action in Japan

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today but elsewhere, a mixed picture emerging, as you can see. I will be

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back in a moment. From today, hospitals in England

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will have to limit what they spend The government is introducing

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a cap on the amount that can be

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