30/07/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. This is the time of day when

we look at the weather trend further ahead, out to about 10 days or so.

There's no doubt that the weather is set to change,

moving into a rather different type of summer mode,

with low pressure always close by,

which means it'll be more unsettled.

Fairly weak weather fronts

moving Southwards across the UK for Thursday.

But they'll tend to be the focus

for heavy showers to break out during the day.

Not that many places missing them altogether.

Maybe the far South-East of England staying dry.

Otherwise, it's a matter

of dodging showers and sunshine in-between.

You'll notice through the afternoon,

from the bright colours,

that some of those showers will be heavy.

Could be some thunder in the mix as well,

some heavy downpours around.

But the showers lining up,

so either side of those lines

you could get lengthy dry spells.

You can see some sunshine among the showers.

You'll also notice temperatures

similar to recent days.

Also the wind a bit lighter across Scotland,

so that will help with the feel of things,

even with those big showers rattling around.

The showers continue into the evening,

but becoming fewer and further between

as tends to happen -

the heat of the day ebbs away

and so the showers tend to subside.

So, many places ending up dry.

It looks a bit different

heading into Friday

and the start of the weekend.

A developing area of low pressure

to the South is one we'll have to watch.

Ahead of that on Friday,

quite a bit of dry weather around,

certainly across central

and Eastern parts of England.

Scattered showers across

Scotland and Northern Ireland

but it's a more organised area

of showers merging together

coming up across South-Western areas

through the course of the day.

And that's what we'll have to watch

over the weekend.

Still some uncertainty

about the details of this low,

but we're firming up on the idea

that we'll get an area of low pressure

running Northwards across most areas

through the course of the weekend.

That means we will see outbreaks of rain.

Some of it could be heavy and persistent,

but breaking up into showers.

Gradually, as the weekend goes on,

that more persistent rain moving Northwards,

allowing something drier and brighter

to push in from the South.

The big uncertainty at the moment is

how quickly that process will happen.

Potential for brisk winds

around that area of low pressure,

could be gales in some exposed areas.

Temperatures struggling where we've got the rain,

but once the sun breaks out,

it won't feel too bad,

getting up close to the seasonal average.

Then, as we go through into Monday,

the remnants of that low pressure system

gradually pull away.

A little bump of high pressure coming in,

so that promises something

a bit more settled for Monday.

But more low pressure

waiting out in the Western Atlantic.

So best estimate at the moment

is that Monday could be a fine day for most,

maybe one or two showers

lingering on across Northern areas.

Again, those temperatures

close to seasonal expectations.

Pleasantly warm when the sun breaks out.

Looking further ahead to the 8th of August,

the signs are it will stay unsettled,

quite windy at times with low pressure nearby.

Highest temperatures are likely to be

across more South-Eastern parts of the UK,

the more wet weather

across the North-West overall.

But that's just an average.

That's because low pressure is to the North or North-West,

high pressure to the South.

Any time the high edges North,

it will allow that warmer air

to push in across South-Eastern parts,

whereas closer to the low,

there's more chance of catching

some outbreaks of rain.

But certainly some fine weather to be found,

despite the unsettled theme.

This is the real deal.

The next six months...

..will define the rest of our lives.

It's about this moment.

ENGINE ROARS

She will pay for their sins.

She's safe.

Not any more.