17/08/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead


17/08/2014

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Next weekend is the final bank holiday weekend of the summer season

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for Northern Ireland, England and Wales.

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I'm sure you want to know the general trend of that forthcoming weekend.

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Stay with us, I'll have more at the end of this forecast.

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The general trend over the next few days means more of an autumnal feel,

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with this area of low pressure the driving force and

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strong North-westerly winds, gales, likely across Scotland.

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Even further inland as well, making it feel quite cool,

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with a real rush of showers across Scotland

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and perhaps for Northern Ireland for a time.

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Big waves as well so anyone on a sailing holiday in the Northwest,

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even a walking holiday, please take note.

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A dying weather front will continue to clear further South

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so by the middle of Sunday afternoon England and Wales should,

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after a pretty disappointing start, see an improving picture,

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with sunny spells coming through.

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It'll still be quite windy but hopefully, with some sunshine

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and fewer showers, temperatures should peak between the high teens,

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maybe as high as 20, 21 degrees. Similar story further North.

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Fewer showers, some sunny spells into the afternoon.

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Showers always most frequent along the North and West-facing coasts

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of Northern Ireland and for Scotland as well.

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Feeling really quite raw on those exposed coasts.

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For the time of year, very disappointing indeed.

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Now, those are strong winds will continue through the night and they

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will drive some showers further South as well, across England and Wales.

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A lot of cloud around and because of the winds it's not going to be

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a cold night. Overnight lows generally of 10-13 degrees.

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So we start off Monday morning with that area of low pressure just

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drifting further into the North Sea,

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and that means the strongest of the winds closest to the low,

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so down through the Northeast coast during Monday.

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Hopefully on Monday there will be fewer showers around

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but it's still going to be a windy day and, because the winds are coming

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from that North-westerly direction, a coolish feel for this time of year.

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Temperatures down a good three or four degrees on what

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we should be seeing, really, and there will still be some showers

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driven along with the strength of the wind. So it's a coolish day.

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13-15 degrees further North.

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We still just cling on to 20, 21 perhaps in the Southeast corner

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but things will stay with that coolish feel, I suspect,

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into Tuesday as well. And this is what we call a little trough.

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It's just going to enhance the flow of showers

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out to the North and the West during Tuesday.

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So there will be perhaps lines of more organised showers

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and a cooler feel even down into the Southeast.

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13-18 degrees, the high.

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As we move out of Tuesday, the winds will start to fall lighter.

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That will be quite noticeable. So lighter winds around on Tuesday.

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Hopefully a slightly drier day and so, therefore,

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hopefully a slightly better feel to the day as well.

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Still can't rule out a few showers.

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Still disappointing to the North but, again, highs possibly 20 degrees.

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By the time we get to the middle of the week,

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hopefully the winds will start to swing round to

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more of a Westerly direction and that's a gradual sign

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of things slowly improving in terms of the feel of things.

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We still could see more organised bands of showery rain

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up into the far North and West and still those temperatures

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not quite where they should be for the time of year.

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Now, as we move towards the bank holiday weekend,

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it looks as though this area of high pressure may well build

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and we still keep that Westerly flow

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so I suspect things will slowly calm down

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and hopefully start to warm up just a touch

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but there are indications that it'll be a cool start.

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There will be some rain at times, particularly to the North and West.

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Potentially those temperatures rising

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but it will still stay pretty cool through the night.

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So, it's not good to be the best of bank holiday weekends

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but it could certainly be a lot worse.

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