16/09/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead


16/09/2014

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Hello there. It's time for our regular look

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at the weather for the week ahead.

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Last week, of course, we had a lot of dry weather.

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This week looks slightly different. There will be some rain around,

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the showers that we were expecting this week.

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They will be very hit and miss,

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and by no means guaranteed to get the wet weather.

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There will be some sunshine, particularly in the afternoons.

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The mornings rather grey and misty, but we have this warming trend

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this week, particularly for the Southern half of the UK.

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Let's set the scene, then,

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and the high pressure that was over the UK last week

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is retreating back to the near continent,

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to Scandinavia, and the Easterly breeze

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is setting up this low pressure, likely to have

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an influence later in the week.

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The Easterly breeze, though, means

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a grey, misty, murky, foggy start

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in quite a few places on Tuesday.

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Only slowly lifting in the morning.

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Sunny spells developing

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a little more widely through the afternoon.

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That will trigger a few showers once again.

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And the showers across the South could be heavy,

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possibly thundery, but very hit and miss,

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and a lot of places are still dry on Tuesday.

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Another warm day for the South-east.

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23 degrees is quite likely.

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It should be a bit warmer

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across the rest of England and Wales,

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typically 20 or 21,

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and a warmer day for Northern Ireland

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and for Scotland as well.

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Still a few showers around here, perhaps,

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but a bit of sunshine away from the East Coast

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will lift temperatures higher

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than they were on Monday.

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The more persistent rain

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is across the Northern Isles.

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As we head into Wednesday, again,

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a grey, misty, murky start,

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a lot of low cloud around on that Easterly breeze.

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We break that up and get the sunshine

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initially across Western areas,

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then later in the South,

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but the easterly breeze continues to drag in

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a lot of cloud for Eastern Scotland

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and North-east England.

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This is where we'll see most of the showers.

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There'll be a few set off further South

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thanks to the heat

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during the afternoon, perhaps.

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But again, a lot of places are dry.

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We've got this warmer air

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trying to tuck its way into the UK,

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coming in from the near continent,

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and wrapped around the top of an area of low pressure.

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It's not just warmer air,

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but it's rather humid air as well.

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There's that big low.

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It's been sitting there for well over a week now.

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It's starting to get a little bit closer.

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Pressure is somewhat lower this week,

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and these bands of showers

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are likely to head our way.

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Maybe not so much on Thursday.

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Again, not many showers on Thursday.

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A lot of places will be dry.

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Most of the showers will be in the South.

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And always the struggle to break the cloud up

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across Eastern Scotland and the North-east

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of England, so here, temperatures will be

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a bit lower still, 15, 16 degrees,

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not particularly good,

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whereas further South and further West,

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it will be much warmer.

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We could get 25 in the South-east of England.

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The last time we had that number

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was back on August 8.

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So, some late heat, then.

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Not quite as warm in the South on Friday,

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because there will be more showers.

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These could be heavy, possibly thundery.

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To the north, it is much drier.

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As we head into Saturday,

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it's beginning to dry off once again.

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Still a few showers around,

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but those temperatures probably not quite as high.

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20 to 22 degrees at best.

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We've got high pressure building in over the weekend,

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coming in from the Atlantic,

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so it's bringing with it some slightly cooler air.

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Over the last few days, you may have heard us

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talking about Hurricane, or Ex-Hurricane,

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as it will be, Edouard in the Atlantic,

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and how it might have an influence on our weather.

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That looks less likely now.

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It's a long way further South

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than it should be to influence our shores.

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Instead, we look at the deep low

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that's heading towards Iceland.

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That is a typical mid-Atlantic depression,

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and it could get steered by the jet stream our way next week.

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But a lot of uncertainty about next week.

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The trend could see it more

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unsettled in the North-west,

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much drier in the South-east.

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As the eyes of the world focus on Scotland,

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we wait to discover the future of the United Kingdom.

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Will Scotland vote to become an independent country or stay

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part of the Union, and what could this historic night mean for you?

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Join me, Huw Edwards, and the team as we bring you every result,

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every step of the way.

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The Scottish Referendum across the BBC.

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