17/09/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. There is a pattern to the weather at the moment, and that is

likely to continue for the next few days before the pattern breaks during

the weekend and into next week. More in a moment.

First of all, the next few days - we continue with these grey and

misty mornings before many of us

get some warm sunshine by the afternoon, but that brings

an increasing chance of some heavy and thundery showers,

all courtesy of this area of low pressure,

which will eventually exert its influence.

It's been sitting there for more than a week now.

Ahead of it, this easterly airflow.

That's dragging in all the low cloud again,

so a misty, murky start and patchy fog, too,

will break the cloud up and get the sunshine

across these more sheltered western areas,

then eventually in the South,

but for many eastern areas of Scotland,

perhaps even eastern England,

it could stay cool and grey all day.

But a lovely afternoon for Wales

and Southern England -

warm and humid, temperatures widely

the low- to mid-20s.

Cooler, though, where it stays cloudy,

and a little damp maybe

for the East Midlands, across Norfolk,

more likely across the Northeast of England.

Better, though, to the other side of the Pennines,

and a slow improvement for Northern Ireland.

Western Scotland should see some sunshine eventually.

Eastern Scotland cool and grey

and a bit of rain from time to time as well.

Into Thursday,

we've still got that easterly airflow

so a grey, misty, murky start.

Low cloud retreating back to the Northeast

but this time, although we'll get some sunshine,

we're going to import some heavy and potentially

thundery showers into the Southwest

and, possibly later, southern central England.

So, temperature contrasts again -

cooler, cloudier in the Northeast,

warmer in the sunshine,

possibly 26 degrees, actually,

in the Southeast of England.

Very warm for the time of year.

That low pressure still around,

still throwing forward these showers

and probably more showers, actually,

as we head into Friday,

and not just across Southern England,

But pushing northwards into Wales,

into the Midlands as well.

These showers could be heavy

and possibly thundery.

Further north, slowly brightening up

with some sunshine, but again,

a bit of a struggle into eastern areas of Scotland,

so a bit cooler and greyer here

and although we'll get some sunshine,

those temperatures may not be quite as high

on Friday, because those showers are dotted about.

Maybe a little hit-and-miss,

but certainly on the heavy side.

By the time we get into the weekend,

this low pressure is starting to pull away,

taking away most of the showers,

allowing high-pressure to topple in

from the Atlantic, but ahead of that,

a weak weather front will bring

more cloud and a little rain

down into Scotland and Northern Ireland.

England and Wales seeing some sunshine but for a while,

there will be some heavy and still

potentially thundery showers.

Those will retreat back into the near continent.

Still quite warm, actually, on Saturday.

On Sunday, maybe not quite as warm.

The air's just that little bit cooler

because the high-pressure

is building in from the Atlantic, but

many places will have a dry day

on Sunday, with some sunshine.

So the pattern changes over the weekend,

with high-pressure building in,

but how long will it stay?

Well, it looks like Edouard,

ex-Hurricane Edouard,

hardly seen on the chart,

is not going to bother us.

High-pressure is in mid-Atlantic,

everything steered round the top of that.

Depressions get picked up by the jet stream,

which is in a more normal position

for this time of year, and it

gives us a more normal weather pattern,

if you like, into next week,

so with higher pressure more towards

the Southeast of the UK,

here it should be largely dry and bright

with some sunshine.

Not quite as warm as it is right now.

Further northwest

there'll be some cloud and rain and stronger wind at times,

but still a lot of uncertainty

about the details as we head into next week. Goodbye.

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