18/09/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. High pressure has dominated our weather so far this month,

so much so that it's been the driest start to September for over 50 years

with just 7% of the expected September rainfall.

The wettest weather has been in Scotland.

We had 11mm of rain on Monday in Edinburgh.

It's been drier in England, 4mm here,

even drier in Northern Ireland, just over 1mm of rain,

and we've recorded 1mm of rain in Wales in two weeks,

the last two weeks.

The next couple of days could see some rain in the form of showers

spinning north from this area of low pressure,

but that rain is by no means guaranteed.

Most places will be dry on Thursday.

Probably a dull, misty, grey start.

We should see some sunshine breaking through in most places,

the Northeast dull and damp.

And across the South, it will be much warmer again

with more sunshine coming through, a pleasant 22 or 23 degrees.

Watch out for a few showers, though.

There won't be many of them but they could be heavy.

A lot of places, though, will stay fine and dry.

We should see the weather improving

across the Northwest of England after a misty start.

Stubborn low cloud, though, for the Northeast of England

and eventually some sunshine coming through for Northern Ireland,

probably dry here. Across Scotland, though, a lot of cloud,

especially in the East. That will keep it cool and damp all day.

Friday, we're more likely to get some showers across Southern England,

possibly extending northwards into Wales and the Midlands.

Again, very hit and miss but they could be heavy and thundery.

There's a very cloudy look to the weather.

We could even get a few showers in Western Scotland

and Northern Ireland. A cooler picture here.

Still some warmth further south despite the cloud

and despite those showers as well.

Still got some showers as we head into Saturday, perhaps,

but we're starting to nudge down this high pressure from the Atlantic.

Ahead of it, very weak weather front will trail some cloud,

a bit of rain and drizzle across Scotland and Northern Ireland

into Northern England. Cleaner, fresher air following in behind that

and some sunshine, perhaps.

Again, a lot of cloud for England and Wales

and still possibly a few heavy showers left over on Saturday,

especially across South Wales and the Southwest of England.

Top temperatures - 21, 22 degrees,

still pretty good for the time of year.

High pressure continues to build right the way across the UK

during the second half of the weekend.

That will tend to squeeze away any of those showers into the near continent

so for the second half of the weekend,

should be dry just about everywhere,

in fact, probably a lot of cloud left over and if there is a shower or two,

it's more likely in the South but there won't be many of those.

Those temperatures continuing to drop away a little,

16 in Glasgow to 20 in London,

and again a slightly cooler look to the weather, probably, on Monday,

that high pressure bringing the cooler air in from the Atlantic,

so 16 to 19 degrees, about average for the time of year.

Some rain coming into the Northwest of Scotland and Northern Ireland,

a weather front from off the Atlantic.

That is tending to squeeze the high pressure away.

There's another one trying to come in from off the Atlantic next week.

That, though, will tend to steer bands of rain around the top of that

and arriving across the northern half of the UK,

so we're setting up more of a Northwest/Southeast split,

if you like, as we head through next week,

so Northwestern areas more likely to be changeable, more unsettled,

some rain at times, and quite breezy too.

Further Southeast, pressure is going to be somewhat higher,

so here it will be drier and we'll have some spells of sunshine,

but as we're seeing, high pressure never too far away.