24/09/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead


24/09/2014

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Whilst there was some rain across parts of the UK on Tuesday,

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we're not forecasting a huge amount for the coming week ahead.

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Through the night, we've still got some patchy rain

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courtesy of weather fronts that are clearing their way eastwards,

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but you can see high pressure toppling in behind.

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That's clearing the skies

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across Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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So, through the morning,

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some bright and breezy weather here,

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a little bit more cloud for England and Wales.

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Still some of those showers around.

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One or two left behind come the afternoon.

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But, for many, it's going to be dry and bright.

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Temperatures across England and Wales

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where we do get some sunshine,

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around 18 or 19 degrees.

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For Scotland and Northern Ireland, 14-15.

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On Thursday, we will see high pressure

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building to the South

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although there are some weak fronts

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across the Northern half of the UK.

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They are picking up more moisture

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as they arrive on that westerly wind,

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so cloudier skies here

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and there could be some patchy, light rain and drizzle.

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Much of the wet weather across North-western and Western areas.

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Not a great deal for Eastern Scotland and Eastern England.

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Always the best of any dry, bright conditions

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for Southern counties of England.

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Here, temperatures on Thursday up a degree or so,

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we could see highs of 20 or 21 degrees.

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And despite those overcast skies elsewhere, highs of 16-18,

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so slightly above average for the time of year.

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It stays generally warm on Friday, although, again,

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we have another, weak front moving through our high.

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As it heads South,

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it's not producing a huge amount of rain,

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but it does look like it will give

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a cloudier day across England and Wales.

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But behind it, clearer skies for Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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So we are expecting more sunshine to the North on Friday.

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Still fairly breezy with temperatures at 15-16 degrees

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and warm in the South at 19-21.

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It stays mild throughout the weekend.

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That South-westerly breeze dragging in more cloud

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with some patchy light rain and drizzle

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to the North-west corner,

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a little bit cloudy further South,

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but given some brightness, highs of 19 to 20 degrees.

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Warmer still on Sunday at 22 in London.

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Lighter winds in the North,

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a mainly dry picture, if often quite cloudy.

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Even into next week,

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our high is still sitting across the UK,

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the dominant feature.

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It's blocking these weather systems,

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low pressure out in the Atlantic,

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taking the rainfall North towards Iceland.

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But just how long is this pattern set to last?

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When we look at our longer range forecast,

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we compare a number of different computer models.

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This gives you an idea as to what we would typically expect.

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As the day goes on, those models tend to spread with their solutions

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so it gives us quite a high level of uncertainty

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in the forecast out to day 10.

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But what's currently happening is those computer models

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are giving us very similar solutions.

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So high confidence in the fact that we're keeping

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a dry picture with high pressure close to the UK.

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The question mark comes in the detail. Especially to the Northwest.

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Quite how close those low-pressure systems will bring some cloud

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and outbreaks of light rain,

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most likely staying in the North-west corner,

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but at times we could see some further weak fronts moving South,

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producing some patchy light rain and drizzle. But essentially,

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the forecast into next week is going to stay mostly dry.

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More likely to see some rainfall in the North-west corner of the UK

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with temperatures staying above average, so staying pretty warm.

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More detail on our website.

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'Espionage...' Who would possibly assassinate him?

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This is a minefield. '..deception...'

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There's so much more to this story than I thought. Wow!

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'..and even murder...' With a knife! A real shock.

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'Unravelling the mysteries of their family tree.'

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A baker! Well, I'm damned!

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