05/11/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead


05/11/2015

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Hello. First, congratulations

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and thank you to all of you who joined Weather Watchers,

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the new BBC interactive website. And that helps us to illustrate

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the story a little better.

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Now, just to prove the point, this was yesterday in North Yorkshire,

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where the fog lingered all day.

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But a few hundred miles south, it was a different story.

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In London, you could hardly see out of the window in the morning,

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the rain was so heavy, and pretty miserable with it.

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Unfortunately, that wet theme

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is likely to be the story for the next six to ten-day period.

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We will start off with some wet weather out to the west on Thursday,

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the winds a significant feature as well, gales on exposed coasts,

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and the rain continues to push its way steadily north and east.

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Perhaps the far north-east of Scotland staying dry and bright,

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and, albeit cloudy, largely dry in the south-east corner.

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And mild again - 12 to 16 degrees the high.

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It's November 5th as well, so for the firework displays

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in the evening, it'll be a wet affair as the rain moves east,

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and then clearing behind,

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the next batch of wet and windy weather pushes in.

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Gales up into the far north are likely,

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the heaviest of the rain here as well.

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As the rain clears through, at least it's mild again,

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but rather cloudy. 13 to 17 degrees the overall high.

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We barely get a chance to catch our breath into the weekend

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before the next area of low pressure starts to push in from the Atlantic,

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and you can see by the brighter, vivid colours

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there really will be some heavy rain for a time,

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and again, the winds are going to be a significant feature.

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So for outdoor plans on Saturday,

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could be a fairly soggy one, I'm afraid,

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particularly in the north, where rain will linger all day,

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turning to showers behind it into the south.

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Moving out of Saturday night, I think there'll be too much of a breeze

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for fog to be an issue,

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and the cloud already gathering, and we do it all again on Sunday.

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Can you believe this? So starting off dry and bright in the east,

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the heaviest of the rain and the strongest of the winds

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look likely to be into the far north.

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But again, those temperatures are pretty promising.

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They should be around 10 or 11 degrees at this time of year.

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What a surprise - by Monday we've still got tightly packed isobars,

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still the winds very much a feature,

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and still plenty of rain to come in the forecast.

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I can hear you saying,

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"What on earth is happening to the weather at the moment?"

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Yet again, the heaviest of the rain is likely to be up in the north-west,

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somewhat drier and milder down into the south-east corner.

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So why, I hear you cry?

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Well, what a surprise - it's all due to the jet stream,

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which is changing position, and it's strengthening.

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There's a kink developing in the jet stream,

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and that's directing its attention right across the UK.

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We're in Strictly mode at the moment, so we can use the analogy

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that actually, this kink, the jet stream's found its hip action,

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and actually it's a hot Latin that's pushing these low pressures

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right across the UK.

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I'm desperately trying to find some humour

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in this pretty miserable story.

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The wind's coming from a south-westerly direction,

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always dragging in that milder air,

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but it will be wet and windy at times.

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It certainly does look as though, as we move into

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that six to ten-day period, so into next week,

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the heaviest of the rain, the strongest of the winds

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looks likely to be across the northern half of the UK.

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Plenty of leaves coming down off the trees.

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But further south, there will still be some rain around,

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but not as intense, and again, the winds perhaps not quite as strong.

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But still fairly cloudy,

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and still fairly miserable. Take care.

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