07/11/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead

With temperatures up to 18 degrees it really doesn't feel like November,

but towards the middle of the month,

it does look like we'll get some more seasonal conditions.

We'll lose the really mild air,

but plenty more wind and rain before that happens,

all provided by a supercharged jet stream

propelling these areas of wet weather in bands towards us.

And with each dose of rain, of course,

the ground becomes wetter and wetter, the catchments filling up too,

so the Met Office working very closely with the Environment Agency

to monitor the situation - watch out for warnings.

Plenty more rain to come as we start the weekend,

some heavy rain too, pushing ever northwards.

The far north of Scotland stays largely in the clear,

but most other places will see some wet weather.

It lingers for much of the day across Northern Ireland and Scotland,

the heart of Scotland, keeping it cool here.

Further south in England and Wales,

after that dose of rain it brightens up,

and temperatures shoot up again as high as 17 or 18 degrees.

Despite a gusty wind, you'll notice that, and maybe some strong gusts

just as that rain clears from north-east England.

Then a respite through the early hours of Sunday,

cooling down, perhaps a touch of frost in the glens of Scotland,

but then the next weather system comes charging in,

more heavy rain and particularly strong winds

across north-western parts of the UK, could see gusts of up to 60mph,

so we'll keep an eye on that.

Further south and east, though, for Remembrance Sunday,

largely dry, and again, mild.

That's not the end of it, though,

because a whole train of weather fronts extending all the way back

into the Atlantic, so you know what's coming our way

in the new working week. Plenty more of the wet stuff.

And it'll often be very windy as well,

so the risk of gales, and again, keep an eye on warnings.

Further wet weather for sure, but all the while,

temperatures are very much on the mild side.

This is Monday's picture, and again it's the most north-western areas

which see most of the rain, very strong winds,

so despite good temperatures it won't feel so comfortable

if you're stuck out in the wind and rain.

As we go from Monday into Tuesday,

it gets a little bit complicated,

weather fronts sort of strung out across the country.

Again, initially it's the more north-western parts of the UK

which will catch most of the rain,

driest across more southern and eastern areas.

But nobody immune from some rain,

and again, some particularly strong winds.

Temperatures beginning to ease down across the more northern parts

of the UK, and that trend continues through the middle part of the week.

We're beginning to lose the REALLY mild air.

Weather-wise, actually, a lot of dry weather.

Some sunshine around, but again,

that'll be tempered by that gusty wind.

Let's take a step back again and look at that jet stream.

And for the last week or so it's been powering in our direction,

propelling those weather systems towards us.

It is the dividing line between relatively warm air to the south

and much chillier conditions trying to come down from the north.

And now that hint, that later on next week,

cold air will begin to encroach,

initially across the north-western parts of the UK,

and that cold air could spread further southwards

as we hit next weekend.

Of course it's been very mild for so long,

but the trend certainly is now from our computer models

that things will get back closer to normal.

Not desperately cold, but it does mean that potentially

we will see some overnight frosts at least.

So to sum up the middle-month period, yes, back to normal.

Chillier air coming down from the north,

and certainly a risk of some overnight frost.

I'll update you again tomorrow.

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