10/11/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead


10/11/2015

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The weather across the UK

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certainly has the look of autumn about it at the moment.

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We saw strong winds on Monday whip up some high seas,

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as captured by one of our weather watchers in the Wirral.

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Not only that, relentless rain

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for parts of north-west England and North Wales.

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That's had the impact of some minor flooding.

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Here's the scene captured in Hawes in North Yorkshire

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as the River Ure burst its banks.

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We've had the look of autumn. We've not had the feel of autumn.

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Temperatures high for the time of year.

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Temperature trend this week continues it for a time, but by Friday,

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things start to feel like they should do for the time of year,

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as I will show you.

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Let's deal with the here and now first.

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Still very mild out there. Incredibly mild night into Tuesday.

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A very mild day in those blustery south-west winds.

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Not quite as strong as they were on Monday.

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Outbreaks of rain around,

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particularly western Scotland, Northern Ireland,

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some heavy bursts to start the day in Wales and south-west,

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which will push through the south Midlands towards East Anglia later.

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Some dry moments, too, and some cloud breaks east of high ground.

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Could hit 17, 18, 19 degrees during the afternoon.

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11s or 12s further north across Scotland.

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Some sunshine and showers here.

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Through Tuesday night and into Wednesday,

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a fresher feel across Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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Some clear spells, a few showers.

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Cloudy, damp and drizzly further south.

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Heavier rain later to north-west England and north-west Wales, too.

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Temperatures by night still at levels

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we wouldn't normally expect to see them by day at this time of year.

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We continue with the south-west winds feeding in on Wednesday.

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Mildest to the south of that weather front, coolest to the north of it.

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On the weather front itself,

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we see the rainfall amounts pep up once more

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in the areas we don't want them.

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Parts of south-west Scotland, north-west England

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and north-west Wales.

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Just totting up the river levels

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and potentially causing some minor flooding.

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Scotland, Northern Ireland, sunshine and blustery showers.

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11 or 12, the high.

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Higher than they should be for the time of year.

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Further south, cloudy, some drizzle around,

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and temperatures in the mid-teens.

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It does turn cooler to take us through into Thursday.

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As that weather front pushes through, a ridge of high pressure builds in,

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settling things down temporarily.

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It does mean Thursday, you can wake up to a bit of sunshine,

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the best of which will be across eastern parts of the country.

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But more cloud pushes in as the southerly winds dominate

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into the latter stages of the day.

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Some heavy rain and gales, if not severe gale-force winds,

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to take us through into Friday.

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This low-pressure system pushing one weather front across the country,

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putting us into very unstable air,

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and also bringing round it much, much colder air.

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Now, I was talking about colder relative to now.

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Much like conditions we should have for the time of year on Friday.

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There'll be sunshine, showers.

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The showers will be heavy with hail, thunder.

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Across the tops of the hills,

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and we're only talking the tops of the hills

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in parts of Wales, northern England and Scotland,

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there could be a bit of sleet and snow.

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Out of the sunshine, in the showers, it will feel much cooler.

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8 to 12 degrees, not far off what they should be for the time of year.

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But the wind will make it feel colder than that.

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You'll notice the shock to the system.

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Only feeling like 2 or 3 degrees

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across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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The chilly feel will continue through into Saturday morning.

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Blustery winds throughout, ridge of high pressure,

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but just notice another low-pressure system moving into the wings.

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That will bring the south-westerlys back by the end of the day.

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Further rain, gales,

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if not severe gales to the north-west of the UK before the day is out.

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Driest to the south and east.

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The reason we've got successive low-pressure system

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after low-pressure system, at the moment,

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we've got a strong and a fairly flat jet stream

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separating the mild air to the south, the cold air to the north,

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meaning that the rain band's been fairly relentless.

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Into next week, we continue with the westerly feel.

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That jet stream's there, but it's undulating a bit more.

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That will slow the progression a bit more.

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So there'll be some longer drier spells.

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But equally, we'll see some colder moments.

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So, next week, maybe not as mild,

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but still wet and windy at times.

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A quiet town...

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You're not in London now.

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..doesn't guarantee a quiet life.

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Stay out of my business! Murderer!

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Did you talk to the police? I can't. I want to talk to you.

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