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Hello. With a strong jet stream overhead the UK, | 0:00:03 | 0:00:05 | |
we'll see turbulent weather over the next few days. | 0:00:05 | 0:00:08 | |
Very mild just now. | 0:00:08 | 0:00:10 | |
Not often that you can have breakfast alfresco in November | 0:00:10 | 0:00:13 | |
as one of our viewers did in the north-east of England. | 0:00:13 | 0:00:17 | |
Unusually warm for the time of year. | 0:00:17 | 0:00:18 | |
Record-breaking start to Tuesday. | 0:00:18 | 0:00:20 | |
That's because the air's been dragged | 0:00:20 | 0:00:22 | |
from the mid-Atlantic. | 0:00:22 | 0:00:23 | |
By the afternoon, | 0:00:23 | 0:00:24 | |
temperatures peaked in Murlough | 0:00:24 | 0:00:26 | |
at 19 degrees. | 0:00:26 | 0:00:27 | |
But a big shock on the way | 0:00:27 | 0:00:29 | |
for the end of the week. | 0:00:29 | 0:00:30 | |
We switch from south-westerlies | 0:00:30 | 0:00:31 | |
to north-westerly winds. | 0:00:31 | 0:00:33 | |
By then, temperatures well down | 0:00:33 | 0:00:35 | |
on what we have now, | 0:00:35 | 0:00:36 | |
even a little bit below | 0:00:36 | 0:00:37 | |
what it should be for the time of year. | 0:00:37 | 0:00:39 | |
Later this week, we're watching | 0:00:39 | 0:00:40 | |
clumps of cloud. | 0:00:40 | 0:00:41 | |
This is Kate, | 0:00:41 | 0:00:42 | |
a developing hurricane | 0:00:42 | 0:00:44 | |
which will influence our weather slightly | 0:00:44 | 0:00:46 | |
into the weekend. | 0:00:46 | 0:00:47 | |
This massive cloud | 0:00:47 | 0:00:48 | |
could be our first named storm | 0:00:48 | 0:00:50 | |
of the season. | 0:00:50 | 0:00:51 | |
Whereas this one is what we've got | 0:00:51 | 0:00:52 | |
for Wednesday. | 0:00:52 | 0:00:54 | |
Bringing rain to areas that don't need it. | 0:00:54 | 0:00:56 | |
Saturated ground. | 0:00:56 | 0:00:57 | |
We could see further flooding | 0:00:57 | 0:00:58 | |
in parts of north England | 0:00:58 | 0:01:00 | |
and north-west Wales. | 0:01:00 | 0:01:01 | |
The south of it, lots of cloud. | 0:01:01 | 0:01:02 | |
Pretty mild day, 16 or 17 degrees. | 0:01:02 | 0:01:04 | |
A few sunny breaks, | 0:01:04 | 0:01:05 | |
but the cloud could bring rain | 0:01:05 | 0:01:06 | |
or drizzle at times. | 0:01:06 | 0:01:07 | |
To the north of our weather front, | 0:01:07 | 0:01:09 | |
it'll be fresher than recent days, | 0:01:09 | 0:01:10 | |
but at least dry and sunny... | 0:01:10 | 0:01:12 | |
Until the afternoon in Northern Ireland. | 0:01:12 | 0:01:14 | |
Some heavy rain for short moments. | 0:01:14 | 0:01:16 | |
A burst of heavy rain also working | 0:01:16 | 0:01:17 | |
across Scotland with some gusty winds. | 0:01:17 | 0:01:19 | |
But it eventually clears, | 0:01:19 | 0:01:20 | |
Wednesday into Thursday, | 0:01:20 | 0:01:22 | |
and things quieten down. | 0:01:22 | 0:01:23 | |
Not much rain in the chart | 0:01:23 | 0:01:24 | |
by Thursday morning, | 0:01:24 | 0:01:25 | |
but it will feel colder out there, | 0:01:25 | 0:01:27 | |
even if temperatures | 0:01:27 | 0:01:29 | |
are still above average. | 0:01:29 | 0:01:30 | |
Into Thursday, | 0:01:30 | 0:01:32 | |
we do have this brief ridge of high pressure, | 0:01:32 | 0:01:34 | |
next to this developing system. | 0:01:34 | 0:01:35 | |
This will become our first named storm. | 0:01:35 | 0:01:38 | |
Enjoy the dry weather while it lasts | 0:01:38 | 0:01:40 | |
on Thursday morning. | 0:01:40 | 0:01:41 | |
A bit of mist and fog. | 0:01:41 | 0:01:42 | |
Dry and brightest for longest | 0:01:42 | 0:01:44 | |
towards the east, | 0:01:44 | 0:01:45 | |
turning cloudier across the west | 0:01:45 | 0:01:47 | |
later on. | 0:01:47 | 0:01:48 | |
Outbreaks of rain begin, some heavy, | 0:01:48 | 0:01:50 | |
and stronger winds, touching gale force, | 0:01:50 | 0:01:52 | |
if not severe gale force, | 0:01:52 | 0:01:53 | |
by the day's end | 0:01:53 | 0:01:54 | |
to the north-west of the UK. | 0:01:54 | 0:01:55 | |
And it's all down to our first | 0:01:55 | 0:01:57 | |
named storm of the season - Abigail. | 0:01:57 | 0:01:58 | |
It's passing between the UK and Iceland. | 0:01:58 | 0:02:00 | |
The strongest winds will be closest | 0:02:00 | 0:02:02 | |
to the southern flank | 0:02:02 | 0:02:03 | |
of that low pressure system, | 0:02:03 | 0:02:05 | |
so parts of north and west Scotland | 0:02:05 | 0:02:07 | |
will be hardest hit. | 0:02:07 | 0:02:08 | |
80 to 90mph gusts possible. | 0:02:08 | 0:02:09 | |
Gale force winds possible elsewhere, | 0:02:09 | 0:02:11 | |
but not to the level seen in the north. | 0:02:11 | 0:02:13 | |
A mixture of sunshine | 0:02:13 | 0:02:14 | |
and heavy, thundery showers. | 0:02:14 | 0:02:16 | |
Some sleet and snow over higher ground | 0:02:16 | 0:02:17 | |
in the north. | 0:02:17 | 0:02:18 | |
A chillier day | 0:02:18 | 0:02:20 | |
made to feel colder by the strong winds. | 0:02:20 | 0:02:22 | |
A big shock really | 0:02:22 | 0:02:23 | |
compared with the week so far. | 0:02:23 | 0:02:25 | |
Yesterday, we were talking about | 0:02:25 | 0:02:27 | |
this next low pressure system | 0:02:27 | 0:02:28 | |
cutting off that supply of cold air. | 0:02:28 | 0:02:30 | |
It's going to take a bit longer to get to us. | 0:02:30 | 0:02:32 | |
Saturday is going to be | 0:02:32 | 0:02:33 | |
another chilly and windy day. | 0:02:33 | 0:02:35 | |
But winds will be down on Friday's level. | 0:02:35 | 0:02:37 | |
We'll see sun and showers. | 0:02:37 | 0:02:39 | |
They'll ease off later | 0:02:39 | 0:02:40 | |
and cloud will spread into the west. | 0:02:40 | 0:02:42 | |
Temperatures of around 8 to 11 degrees. | 0:02:42 | 0:02:44 | |
Through Saturday night into Sunday, | 0:02:44 | 0:02:47 | |
what's coming will contain traces | 0:02:47 | 0:02:49 | |
of Hurricane Kate. | 0:02:49 | 0:02:50 | |
Winds won't be the big player into Sunday - | 0:02:50 | 0:02:52 | |
although it will be blustery - | 0:02:52 | 0:02:54 | |
but rain could be a problem. | 0:02:54 | 0:02:56 | |
Especially where it lands up. | 0:02:56 | 0:02:58 | |
The heaviest rain | 0:02:58 | 0:02:59 | |
difficult to determine right now, | 0:02:59 | 0:03:00 | |
but if it hits areas | 0:03:00 | 0:03:02 | |
of north England and north Wales, | 0:03:02 | 0:03:03 | |
we could have further flooding issues. | 0:03:03 | 0:03:05 | |
So a turbulent end to the weekend. | 0:03:05 | 0:03:07 | |
Even next week, a strong jet stream overhead, | 0:03:07 | 0:03:09 | |
but it's going to meander a bit further north and south at times, | 0:03:09 | 0:03:12 | |
and it will allow incursions of colder air, | 0:03:12 | 0:03:14 | |
but it'll also allow some longer dry moments | 0:03:14 | 0:03:16 | |
between those weather systems. | 0:03:16 | 0:03:17 | |
But throughout, it's a general westerly flow | 0:03:17 | 0:03:19 | |
which will dominate off the Atlantic, | 0:03:19 | 0:03:21 | |
keeping things mild, largely speaking, | 0:03:21 | 0:03:23 | |
but if the wind goes down to a north-westerly every so often, | 0:03:23 | 0:03:26 | |
those temperatures will drop. | 0:03:26 | 0:03:28 | |
We'll have more on this tomorrow. | 0:03:28 | 0:03:30 | |
# I put a spell on you | 0:03:33 | 0:03:35 |