03/12/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead


03/12/2015

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Hello. If you watched Jay on Tuesday,

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he talked about 1st December as the start of the meteorological winter.

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So, what has autumn been like?

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Pretty average, really, temperature-wise and rainfall-wise.

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September was particularly cold,

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one of the coldest for about 20 years,

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and the sunshine wasn't exceptional,

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but that was borne out by a pretty mild November,

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so temperatures were average. It was very wet in November,

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but it's been the dullest November on record,

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so how nice it was on Wednesday

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to see some weather watchers' pictures with blue skies.

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Not for all, but a lot in the South

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enjoyed some sunshine,

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but that weather front is taking centre stage

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for the next 24 to 36 hours.

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It'll meander across the country,

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throwing in pulses of rain,

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rain that we don't need, on saturated ground.

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It's also the dividing line

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between this mild air and cold, wintery weather to the North,

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which we witnessed earlier in the week.

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A cold start in the North,

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fog as well, but this rain pushes Northwards.

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Winds strengthen, gales or severe gale force winds.

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We could see brightness in Southern and Eastern areas,

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and towards the North,

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but the windows smaller than on Wednesday.

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Perhaps some snow for the Southern Uplands

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and the North Pennines.

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That takes away the wind and rain for a time,

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so it looks like a quiet end to the week,

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but by the end of play on Friday,

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more wind and rain arrives in the North and West.

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Friday is a mild day

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so we expect the continuation of

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the snow thaw across Scotland,

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and with flood warnings out already, that is a concern.

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Look at this - the tightly packed lines

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denote some VERY windy weather,

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Friday night till the end of Saturday,

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with further fronts bringing in more rain.

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Let's put detail on the bones for Saturday.

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We may escape the rain till late in the South and East,

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but we won't escape the winds,

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potentially storm force.

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Very mild air, so a lot of wet weather to come

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in areas where we've already seen too much rain.

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We could have another bout of snow

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as the milder air pushes in

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and meanders South.

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As it clears away, it'll take away the strongest winds,

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but it looks like a very windy weekend,

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perhaps the second half of the weekend

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playing out quite fair.

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That front never really goes away from the South,

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and it combines forces with this next one,

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so we've got a double whammy

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with two weather systems across the UK

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and windy weather again.

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Not a pleasant start to the week.

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And so it continues. But why?

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We're stuck in a rut, unfortunately.

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We've got a strong jet stream

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across the country,

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a strong westerly jet stream,

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so it's steering our weather systems,

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those low pressures, right across us.

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Midweek, there's a hint it weakens,

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which allows high pressure to build,

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more especially in the South.

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It means a quieter spell of weather,

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a day, possibly more, of drying out.

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Some respite, if you like.

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But not for long.

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We return to those strong

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Westerly winds later in the week

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and more of those low pressures

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with wet and windy weather.

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So it remains unsettled,

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it won't be raining all the time,

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but there will be spells of

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VERY windy weather

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and the rain onto saturated ground,

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with high river levels,

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doesn't look good.

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As ever, the weather warnings are on the website.

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Christmas Day may be the highlight of the holidays...

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Oh, yes. ..but all that pressure in the kitchen...

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Oh, it's wonderful. ..can definitely put a dampener on your celebrations.

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But don't panic... Great coach.

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..I've got all the recipes you'll need, with some fantastic tips

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to make the day go off without a hitch.

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