05/12/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead


05/12/2015

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The weather may make the headlines through the start of the weekend,

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because we've got the fourth named storm

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already bringing some strong winds and some heavy rain

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to the north and west of the United Kingdom.

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Here it is on the satellite sequence. It's Storm Desmond.

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It's named because we are expecting some significant impacts

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from a combination of strong winds and heavy rainfall.

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Amber rainfall warnings have been issued

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for southern Scotland and northern England.

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Be prepared for some heavy and persistent rain

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in this part of the world.

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That amber warning extends for more than 24 hours.

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Further south, a much quieter picture.

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It's still pretty windy.

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Some very lively gusts around the coast and over the hills,

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probably gusting to around about 50mph.

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Inland, around about 40mph, maybe, a bit more for some.

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So, a very blustery afternoon.

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But most places dry in spite of a lot of cloud.

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Then we head further north and we're into the amber rain warning zone.

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At lower levels, we're looking at a good 60 to 100mm of rain.

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Up over the higher grounds, we could see as much as 200mm of rain.

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All that water has to go somewhere.

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And gusts of wind, 60, possibly even 70mph in a few places.

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No doubt there'll be some transport disruption

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with that combination of severe gales and heavy rain.

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BBC local radio should keep you up-to-date where you are.

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It continues to pour across northern England, southern Scotland,

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through Saturday night and into the small hours of Sunday morning.

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The intensity of that rainfall just slowly eases down

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as the main area of rain shifts further southwards.

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It stays mild towards the south and east. Still in double figures here.

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But towards the north and west, just slipping into single figures.

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Nothing too untoward for this time of the year.

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And then through Sunday, still breezy from the north and west.

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Those weather fronts continue to clear away from the south-east,

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but it could be a slow process.

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We'll see a fair bit of cloud and outbreaks of rain

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across central, eastern, southern parts of England.

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But the intensity of the rain easing down all the while.

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Some improvements later on for north of Wales, northern England.

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Southern Scotland, Northern Ireland, doing well until the afternoon.

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Single figures in Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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but hanging on to double figures across most of England and Wales.

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Still quite mild here.

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Then on into Monday,

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and the next Atlantic low swings its way north across the UK.

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It'll bring some rain with it and some fairly brisk winds.

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Always wettest and windiest in the north and west of the United Kingdom.

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The further south and east you are, through the day on Monday,

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probably staying dry, some breaks in the cloud, and still quite mild.

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In fact, it's mild across Scotland - 11 to 13 degrees.

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And then through Monday night and on into Tuesday.

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Further weather fronts moving their way

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towards the south and east of the UK,

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so we may well start Tuesday on a wet note

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across some eastern parts of England, breezy, too.

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Then following on behind, something a little bit drier,

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but always some showers coming in on that breeze.

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Still relatively mild across England and Wales - 12, 13 degrees.

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And not so bad in Scotland - 8 or 9.

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Then as we get on into the middle of the week,

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things look like they'll settle down for most places

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with this ridge of high pressure just building in.

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Low pressure to the north-west

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is set to bring more rain to the north-west,

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and there'll be a bit of a breeze associated with that.

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The further south and east you go,

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that's where the best of the dry and bright weather is.

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And still into double figures for many parts of the UK.

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So, the middle part of next week,

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the big picture sees high pressure to the south,

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low pressure to the north,

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and these resultant south-westerly winds

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keeping most places on the mild side.

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But I think we will see a bit of a change later next week

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as a north-westerly breeze begins to develop.

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That's just going to bring those temperatures back down

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to something nearer where they should be.

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But it's also going to bring further outbreaks of rain,

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so still an unsettled look to things

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with some spells of rain moving through.

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Always wettest and windiest in the north and west.

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Driest in the south and east.

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Those temperatures coming back down

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to something much nearer the norm.

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There once was a sprout with love to give

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Looking for friends to spend Christmas with

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A baker he met whilst out and about

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Said, "I love Christmas pudding and would not go without

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