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Hello. The six to ten day forecast | 0:00:03 | 0:00:05 | |
shows no sign of any settled significant dry weather, | 0:00:05 | 0:00:07 | |
but there will be some dry interludes in between the rain. | 0:00:07 | 0:00:11 | |
Now Tuesday saw a day of sunny spells and scattered showers, | 0:00:11 | 0:00:14 | |
some of the showers heavy with hail and thunder, | 0:00:14 | 0:00:17 | |
but there were also some rainbows to be found as well. | 0:00:17 | 0:00:20 | |
I suspect during Wednesday, the weather story will be | 0:00:20 | 0:00:22 | |
the strength of the wind, with gales returning. | 0:00:22 | 0:00:25 | |
Severe gales expected, up into the far north and west | 0:00:25 | 0:00:28 | |
and here is where we're likely to see the significant rainfall. | 0:00:28 | 0:00:31 | |
So gusts of wind in excess of 70mph not out of the question | 0:00:31 | 0:00:35 | |
to the extreme north-west. | 0:00:35 | 0:00:37 | |
A drier interlude across the north of England, | 0:00:37 | 0:00:40 | |
particularly close to the Lake District. | 0:00:40 | 0:00:42 | |
Still some strong winds on exposed west-facing coasts of Wales | 0:00:42 | 0:00:45 | |
and a little more cloud here, | 0:00:45 | 0:00:46 | |
and even further inland, we could see gusts of winds over 30-35mph. | 0:00:46 | 0:00:52 | |
But there will be some sunny spells in there, | 0:00:52 | 0:00:54 | |
but add on the strength of the wind, | 0:00:54 | 0:00:56 | |
the temperatures of 9 to 12 degrees | 0:00:56 | 0:00:58 | |
will feel just that little bit cooler. | 0:00:58 | 0:01:00 | |
As we move out of Wednesday, | 0:01:00 | 0:01:02 | |
that wet and windy weather pushes its way south and east. | 0:01:02 | 0:01:05 | |
It's going to be a slow-moving frontal system, | 0:01:05 | 0:01:08 | |
but it looks as though the heaviest of the rain is likely | 0:01:08 | 0:01:10 | |
to be across Wales and the south-west of England. | 0:01:10 | 0:01:12 | |
Somewhat cooler, showery conditions following on behind | 0:01:12 | 0:01:15 | |
and still the winds very much a feature | 0:01:15 | 0:01:17 | |
into the far north of the country. | 0:01:17 | 0:01:19 | |
So we've got that frontal system to clear. | 0:01:19 | 0:01:22 | |
It is weakening all the time, | 0:01:22 | 0:01:23 | |
but it's going to be a pretty slow process for the start of Thursday. | 0:01:23 | 0:01:27 | |
Rather grey, wet and still pretty windy conditions easing away | 0:01:27 | 0:01:31 | |
to cooler showery conditions and, yes, we could see some sleet | 0:01:31 | 0:01:34 | |
and snow to the tops of higher ground in the far north of Scotland. | 0:01:34 | 0:01:38 | |
Here, 5 or 6 degrees, keeping those double figures down to the south. | 0:01:38 | 0:01:42 | |
That weather front does ease away, | 0:01:42 | 0:01:44 | |
but it's a little bit like a skipping rope, | 0:01:44 | 0:01:46 | |
meandering in the Channel coasts, | 0:01:46 | 0:01:48 | |
so we could see a little more in the way of cloud | 0:01:48 | 0:01:51 | |
and outbreaks of light rain just threatening the far south on Friday | 0:01:51 | 0:01:55 | |
and here we keep that milder air. | 0:01:55 | 0:01:57 | |
To the north, again those temperatures struggling. | 0:01:57 | 0:02:00 | |
It will be breezy and any showers to the higher ground | 0:02:00 | 0:02:03 | |
will keep that wintry flavour. | 0:02:03 | 0:02:04 | |
As we move towards the weekend, this area | 0:02:04 | 0:02:06 | |
of low pressure is really going to cause concern in terms | 0:02:06 | 0:02:10 | |
of its location over the course of the weekend. | 0:02:10 | 0:02:13 | |
At the moment, on Saturday, | 0:02:13 | 0:02:14 | |
it looks likely to stay down to the south, | 0:02:14 | 0:02:16 | |
but this is subject to change which means that predominantly, | 0:02:16 | 0:02:20 | |
we could see some dry, sunny weather further north but still rather cool. | 0:02:20 | 0:02:24 | |
The low may well just drift that way steadily | 0:02:24 | 0:02:26 | |
north during the second half of the weekend. | 0:02:26 | 0:02:29 | |
The isobars swing round to more of a southerly, | 0:02:29 | 0:02:32 | |
going in a vertical direction. | 0:02:32 | 0:02:33 | |
So that's going to drag in this milder air across the country, | 0:02:33 | 0:02:37 | |
pushing the cold air further north so we will start to notice | 0:02:37 | 0:02:41 | |
a difference to the feel of the weather | 0:02:41 | 0:02:43 | |
as we push out of Sunday into Monday. | 0:02:43 | 0:02:45 | |
But on the leading edge, there could be for a time some snow | 0:02:45 | 0:02:48 | |
to higher ground before that milder air kicks in. | 0:02:48 | 0:02:51 | |
Drier and brighter, with double figures down to the south. | 0:02:51 | 0:02:54 | |
Now, as well move into the six to ten day period, | 0:02:54 | 0:02:56 | |
that area of low pressure has to clear away. | 0:02:56 | 0:02:59 | |
The jet stream is meandering, it's weakening significantly, | 0:02:59 | 0:03:02 | |
but if that happens, it could just drive in this high pressure to the | 0:03:02 | 0:03:06 | |
south and that means that we could see some decent dry, bright weather, | 0:03:06 | 0:03:10 | |
with always the wettest | 0:03:10 | 0:03:12 | |
and the windiest of the weather likely the further north and west. | 0:03:12 | 0:03:15 | |
Towards the end of the six to ten day period, though, | 0:03:15 | 0:03:18 | |
the jet stream is likely to strengthen | 0:03:18 | 0:03:20 | |
and move back to a westerly, so unfortunately, | 0:03:20 | 0:03:22 | |
that's going to drive in more areas of low pressure and again, | 0:03:22 | 0:03:25 | |
we see a return to some wet and windy weather. | 0:03:25 | 0:03:29 | |
No settled story in sight. | 0:03:29 | 0:03:30 | |
What do we do with something like this? | 0:03:33 | 0:03:35 | |
Find our man. | 0:03:37 | 0:03:38 |