09/12/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead


09/12/2015

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Hello. The six to ten day forecast

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shows no sign of any settled significant dry weather,

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but there will be some dry interludes in between the rain.

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Now Tuesday saw a day of sunny spells and scattered showers,

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some of the showers heavy with hail and thunder,

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but there were also some rainbows to be found as well.

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I suspect during Wednesday, the weather story will be

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the strength of the wind, with gales returning.

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Severe gales expected, up into the far north and west

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and here is where we're likely to see the significant rainfall.

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So gusts of wind in excess of 70mph not out of the question

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to the extreme north-west.

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A drier interlude across the north of England,

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particularly close to the Lake District.

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Still some strong winds on exposed west-facing coasts of Wales

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and a little more cloud here,

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and even further inland, we could see gusts of winds over 30-35mph.

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But there will be some sunny spells in there,

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but add on the strength of the wind,

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the temperatures of 9 to 12 degrees

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will feel just that little bit cooler.

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As we move out of Wednesday,

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that wet and windy weather pushes its way south and east.

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It's going to be a slow-moving frontal system,

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but it looks as though the heaviest of the rain is likely

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to be across Wales and the south-west of England.

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Somewhat cooler, showery conditions following on behind

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and still the winds very much a feature

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into the far north of the country.

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So we've got that frontal system to clear.

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It is weakening all the time,

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but it's going to be a pretty slow process for the start of Thursday.

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Rather grey, wet and still pretty windy conditions easing away

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to cooler showery conditions and, yes, we could see some sleet

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and snow to the tops of higher ground in the far north of Scotland.

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Here, 5 or 6 degrees, keeping those double figures down to the south.

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That weather front does ease away,

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but it's a little bit like a skipping rope,

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meandering in the Channel coasts,

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so we could see a little more in the way of cloud

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and outbreaks of light rain just threatening the far south on Friday

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and here we keep that milder air.

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To the north, again those temperatures struggling.

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It will be breezy and any showers to the higher ground

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will keep that wintry flavour.

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As we move towards the weekend, this area

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of low pressure is really going to cause concern in terms

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of its location over the course of the weekend.

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At the moment, on Saturday,

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it looks likely to stay down to the south,

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but this is subject to change which means that predominantly,

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we could see some dry, sunny weather further north but still rather cool.

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The low may well just drift that way steadily

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north during the second half of the weekend.

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The isobars swing round to more of a southerly,

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going in a vertical direction.

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So that's going to drag in this milder air across the country,

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pushing the cold air further north so we will start to notice

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a difference to the feel of the weather

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as we push out of Sunday into Monday.

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But on the leading edge, there could be for a time some snow

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to higher ground before that milder air kicks in.

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Drier and brighter, with double figures down to the south.

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Now, as well move into the six to ten day period,

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that area of low pressure has to clear away.

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The jet stream is meandering, it's weakening significantly,

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but if that happens, it could just drive in this high pressure to the

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south and that means that we could see some decent dry, bright weather,

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with always the wettest

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and the windiest of the weather likely the further north and west.

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Towards the end of the six to ten day period, though,

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the jet stream is likely to strengthen

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and move back to a westerly, so unfortunately,

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that's going to drive in more areas of low pressure and again,

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we see a return to some wet and windy weather.

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No settled story in sight.

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What do we do with something like this?

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Find our man.

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