10/12/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead

Thanks for joining me.

The next ten days aren't really going to bring an awful lot of change.

The weather patterns are going to stay essentially the same.

Areas of low pressure will keep coming off the Atlantic

to bring wind and rain,

and this is what's happening right now across the UK.

You can see quite angry cloud here coming off the Atlantic.

It's been very windy off north-western Scotland,

north-western England as well.

You can see a lot of isobars here through Wednesday night

into the early hours of Thursday,

and gales in some places in excess of 50-60mph.

But, of course, we've been really focusing on the rainfall -

20-40mm of rain I think overnight across parts of the Lake District,

also northern parts of Wales.

Not the phenomenal amount that we had during the course of the weekend,

but still any rainfall across this part of the world

sends shivers down our spines.

But further south, I think, towards the early hours of Thursday,

that's where the rain will end up, so across Wales, into the Midlands too.

Relatively mild across the south, 10 degrees in London.

It's in Scotland and Northern Ireland where we've got the colder weather

and that's because a cold front will be crossing the country

in the course of early Thursday and through Thursday afternoon.

Behind the cold front - this is where it is, in the south -

it'll be fresher with some sunshine, across Yorkshire, for example.

But some wintry showers across northern parts of Scotland,

particularly across the hills here, I think.

So quite a blustery, cold day and it still will be blowing a gale,

particularly across northern Scotland and the Northern Isles.

Further south, not quite so windy but still fairly blustery.

You can see some showers getting into Cumbria for example,

but there'll probably be a slither of better weather, I think,

across Yorkshire, perhaps the north Midlands,

but it's the south that's going to be stuck underneath that cold front

with the slightly milder air ahead of it.

So in Brighton, 11 degrees,

but it will be cloudy and actually most of the rain is going to fall

across south-western England, the West Country and also southern Wales.

We're going to be stuck with this cloudy,

wetter weather across the south through the course of Friday.

We'll keep the slightly milder air as well,

at least 10, 11, 12 degrees whereas it remains cold

and blustery with a few wintry showers across the hills in Scotland.

Now, the weekend is going to turn milder, just that little bit milder,

particularly across northern parts of the UK.

With that comes a spell of further rain, but there is some

uncertainty exactly where most of the rain's going to fall.

So through Saturday and Sunday,

this is where our next area of low pressure forms.

You can see it extends this weather front in our general direction

and you'll see it's a relatively narrow band of rain

but probably affecting western areas of the UK, quite possibly moving into

the Lake District, but a little nudge north or south changes the forecast.

But I think the main message is that this area of low pressure

sitting just towards the west of us

will shunt milder conditions as far north as Scotland.

Not desperately mild, but it won't be quite so chilly

and I don't think we're going to have those wintry showers any more.

So on Monday, we're talking about southerly winds.

11, 12 degrees in the south, around 7, 8 maybe

a little bit further north with outbreaks of rain.

Now, the outlook - early next week,

it does look as if that area of low pressure will be staying to the

south-west of us, so again bringing spells of rain and wind,

but there's a hint that as we head towards the middle parts

of next week, high pressure will be forming quite close to the UK.

In fact, there's going to be a battle -

whether the low wins or the high wins,

so there is almost an equal chance of some fine weather or wet weather,

but it will be quite mixed across the country wherever you are.

But ultimately, I think the basic message is,

in ten days' time or sooner,

we'll see the jet stream strengthening,

piling across the Atlantic

and bringing more areas of low pressure with wind and rain.

Christmas Day may be the highlight of the holidays...

Oh, yes. ..but all that pressure in the kitchen...