23/12/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead


23/12/2015

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Hello. Thanks for tuning in to our outlook for the next ten days.

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We know now that Christmas is going to be very mild,

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particularly across the south of the country,

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but in the short term we're also keeping an eye on this massive

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cloud here coming out of Eastern Canada, out of Newfoundland.

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This is going to be Storm Eva

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and it's going to sweep to the north-west of the United Kingdom and

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it's going to bring a spell of severe gales to north-western Scotland.

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So here it is.

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First thing on Wednesday morning it's still more

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than 1,000 miles to the south-west of us and actually, Wednesday,

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ahead of this storm, it's going to be a pretty good day for most of us.

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There will be some sunshine around.

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We've got showers and more of a breeze across the northern

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half of Scotland, but the bulk of the UK should enjoy a fine day.

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Let's see what the middle of the afternoon is going to be like, then.

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And starting in Scotland and Northern Ireland, you can

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see the rain's just about approaching Northern Ireland here.

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A few showers in the Northern Isles.

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A fairly coolish sort of day, around five, six degrees.

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Remember, the winds are strengthening so it will feel a little bit

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colder than perhaps the temperature suggests.

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And across the south of the country those highs aren't

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quite as high as what we've been used to in the last few days.

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This is still very, very mild for the time of year, around 12 degrees,

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but we've been used to around 15 or 16.

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So, here's Wednesday afternoon and evening.

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We're starting to approach Christmas Eve

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and Storm Eva moves to the north-west of us.

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We're not anticipating it to be the most ferocious of storms,

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but it's still going to bring a spell of rough weather.

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The worst of it once again I'd like to emphasise will be

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to the north-west of the country,

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but wherever you are in the UK on Christmas Eve, if you're travelling,

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there will be some very gusty conditions about

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and the odd downpour too.

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So, Christmas Eve, first thing in the morning, early hours,

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gusts of 50mph across mainland Scotland, 70-80 for Stornoway there,

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then that storm's going to sweep past Orkney and Shetland.

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So rough weather for us across this part of the country.

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Here's the band of rain that will be crossing the UK at the sting,

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the tail of Storm Eva.

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That is going to bring some temporarily gale-force winds

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to some other parts of the UK.

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But later on in the day on Christmas Eve we are actually going to

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get some clearer skies, or dare I say it, even some sunshine.

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Mild one - 13 degrees in London but colder there, of course,

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in windswept Scotland - around six or seven degrees Celsius.

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The weather isn't going to change much through Christmas Eve evening -

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it's still going to be blustery

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and we will see some heavy showers about as well.

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Now, onto Christmas Day.

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I already spilt the beans at the beginning of the broadcast -

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it's going to be a mild one -

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but that's what we've been forecasting for quite some time now.

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South-westerly winds, temperatures of around 13 degrees

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and outbreaks of rain. Colder weather in Scotland -

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could even be a touch of frost first thing in the morning.

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And this pattern, with low pressure close by and mild south-westerlies

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continues right into Boxing Day, so rain around with mild weather.

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Now, beyond that, into early next week,

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look how far north this mild air has reached.

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In fact almost into the Arctic Circle there.

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Southern parts of Scandinavia also getting the mild conditions,

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so really the emphasis for early next week is that it is going to

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stay mild and this pattern, the jet stream giving us

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a fetch of mild air from the south-west is not going to budge.

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This jet stream would have to be further southwards

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to get colder weather.

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Yesterday we talked a little bit about New Year's Eve.

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Still too early to say exactly what weather we're going to get but it

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still does look like it is going to be a relatively mild New Year's Eve.

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Thanks for watching.

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I'm here surrounded by one of nature's greatest wonders,

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