04/01/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello there. The next ten days looks very unsettled, and the longer this

rain goes on, the more we are likely to see some more flooding.

The first area of concern continues to be some eastern areas of Scotland.

We have this amber rain warning out from the Met Office.

It continues through much of Monday,

and it's steady rain that's going to potentially lead to some

flooding here, another 100 millimetres or so, about four inches,

because the winds are still piling in all this wet weather from the east.

Western Scotland's very much drier,

it's eastern Scotland seeing all the rain and potentially some

battering waves as well along those coastal areas, too.

Now, we're seeing all this wet weather at the moment because

we've got a big area of low pressure centred very close to the UK.

The fronts are stationary across eastern Scotland.

The winds keep blowing the rain in here.

There'll be some snow in the mountains.

Elsewhere, a little bit brighter, some sunshine but also some showers.

Those look like being heavy

and potentially thundery across Wales and southern England.

There could be a lot of water about on the roads, too,

so some difficult travelling conditions.

Temperatures Monday very similar to those of Sunday,

another cold day under the wind and rain in eastern Scotland.

And there's no let-up, really, as we head into Tuesday,

because although the low-pressure centre is drifting further south,

that weather front is stuck across Scotland.

So, again, with the onshore winds, strong winds, we're going

to find more rain and more mountain snow across eastern Scotland.

Much drier in Western Scotland,

drier across Cumbria as well as Northern Ireland.

Scattered showers around,

still some heavy ones potentially in the south-east corner of England

and temperatures struggling to make seven or

eight degrees in many parts of the country.

So, low pressure in charge for the next few days,

a lot of showers, longer spells of rain in eastern Scotland.

Low pressure begins to fill, it begins to weaken.

It looks like Wednesday could be a somewhat drier day.

Now, there is some very cold air, actually, not far away,

in the Continent, across the north and east of Europe,

and we could see some of that heading into the far

north of Scotland on those winds, but otherwise we're staying in this

relatively mild air, and there won't be as much rain around

on Wednesday, but there may not be an awful lot of sunshine, either.

Then - it's just a brief respite - we've got more weather fronts piling

in from the Atlantic, another area of low pressure, that long

weather front there pushing a band of rain across all areas on Thursday.

And it's not just rain, there'll be some snow maybe over the tops

of the Pennines, more likely over the mountains and hills of Scotland.

The rain band looks like it's going to clear

the south-east of England in the afternoon.

Some sunshine in Wales, the south-west and Northern Ireland,

but maybe some showers.

Sadly, that weather front could be strung out across Scotland, and again

with that onshore wind it means more rain for the north-east of Scotland.

So, away from here, some sunshine, some showers.

We could see some bands of heavy showers coming into Wales

and the south-west and pushing eastwards later in the day on Friday.

So, if we look further ahead, this is the position of the jet stream.

It is quite a way to the south.

The story really hasn't changed a great deal at all,

a west-east strong jet stream.

It's going to bring with it areas of low pressure that will track

slowly over the UK and bring more rain.

High pressure is with that colder air across Scandinavia.

That's not heading our way directly,

but it will block off any movement of those areas of low pressure.

So essentially, there's more showers or longer spells of rain,

the winds could be quite brisk at times, as well, not quite as mild

as it has been but nothing unusual, really, for the time of year.

People come to Shetland

because we're out on a big rock in the middle of the North Sea.

They think this isn't part of real life.