28/01/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


28/01/2016

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It's pretty fair to say we've seen a return to more changeable,

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fickle weather in recent days with a couple of days of milder weather

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and then a short, sharp colder snap.

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But unfortunately the wet and windy weather

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through yesterday brought some localised flooding,

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as denoted by our weather watcher's picture

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close to the Scottish borders.

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And there's more wet and extremely windy weather to come

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as we move right into the weekend

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with low pressure systems crossing the UK, bringing more rain and wind.

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That will be the story through Thursday.

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Up into the far north-west,

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showers merging together for longer spells of rain.

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But after a chilly start, there will be some sunshine for England

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and Wales, despite the cloud thickening into the afternoon

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the further west you are.

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But the best of the sun, really, across the Midlands

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and the south with temperatures recovering after that cold start

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to highs of 8-10 degrees.

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Further north, wetter and windier weather continues.

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In the far north and west, seven or eight the high.

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And the winds remain a feature,

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with severe gales likely to develop through the night.

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And then, as we move into Friday,

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we could see storm-force gusts of wind for a time across the far

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north of Scotland accompanied by some very heavy,

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persistent rain - we'll need to keep a close eye on the localised

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flooding potential across southern Scotland, northern England

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and north Wales.

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But further south it stays windy, cloudy with a few showers,

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brighter but somewhat colder weather conditions perhaps developing

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into the far north and west.

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Here, single figures, 12 degrees the overall high.

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As we move out of Friday into Saturday

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we could for a time see some heavy and persistent rain clearing its way

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south and east and the timing of that is a little uncertain.

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Behind it the winds swing more round to a north-westerly, so again colder

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and again any showers will fall as snow to the tops of the mountains.

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Once that rain has cleared away it will be milder to the south,

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colder to the north.

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But that mild air is set to continue down to the south as we move

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out of Saturday into Sunday.

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A weather front continues to ripple or rollercoaster north

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and south across the country, introducing more wet weather

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and a milder feel here.

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On Sunday, cooler and somewhat showery into the far north and west.

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You can see by the difference in the weather arrows -

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a south-westerly, milder flow down to the south,

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a cooler north-westerly flow perhaps into the far north.

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As we move out of Monday we see a return back to

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more of a south-westerly, generally. Again, a mild theme.

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There will be a fair amount of cloud

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and we continue to see some showers up into the far north and west.

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But things will start to change as we look into

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the six to ten day period.

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We have seen these areas of low pressure crossing the UK,

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dragging in the milder wind,

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but into next week, as the low moves away, it's going to allow

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that cold air to dig just that little bit further south.

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We could repeat the process through the latter stages

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of the ten day period but the cold air set to return.

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And the reason for that is the jet stream is just that little

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bit further south and so each time,

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that's allowing that colder air to dig further south and more of

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the wetter, windier weather continue to push across the near continent.

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So basically, what does that mean for us?

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It means that the start of February looks likely to be

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colder than the end of January.

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There will be some wind and rain around

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but there's a potential of seeing perhaps more of

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a wintry flavour to our showers as that cold air continues to dominate.

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That's how it's looking, I'll be back with further details tomorrow.

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