29/01/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


29/01/2016

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Hello. With February around the corner, a colder flavour may be the

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story. But before that, we close out the final days of January on a wet

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and a windy note. Storm Gertrude arrives in the north

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of the UK, bringing wet and windy weather. Severe or storm force gusts

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of winds are not out of the question.

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Here she is rattling through and then opening the floodgates for

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tightly packed isobars and windy conditions with more wet weather to

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come next week. I would not be surprised if there are gales causing

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travel disruption not only in the weekend but through to Monday.

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Gertrude is to sink south and east, taking the heavy rain and weaken as

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she moving through England and Wales. Behind it, brighter, showery

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but colder conditions. Especially in the far north and the west. Mild

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down to the south, to 12 sells arcs but to the north, the temperatures

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at six Celsius. The temperatures continuing to drop and the winds a

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feature. So blizzard like conditions Friday through to Saturday night.

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That is in Scotland, and heavy rain in the south of England. The rain

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clearing to a brighter, breezy, and colder feel in England and Wales.

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Snow showers in Scotland for a time. That could cause issues as well.

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In terms of the feel of things for the weekend, a colder feel three or

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four Celsius to the north. About seven or nine to the south-east

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corner. All change out of Saturday to Sunday. We see more wet weather

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starting to ripple up from the south. Moving across the country.

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That again is going to introduce a south-westerly flow. A milder feel.

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So it will bring wet weather with it as it moves across Northern Ireland

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and Scotland but also milder weather back to 13 Celsius. Cold into the

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far north. On the leading edge for a time there could be snow but the

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milder air tucks in behind. A wet and a windy day on Monday.

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Especially in the north. The winds very much a feature. Perhaps

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something drier and brighter in the south. Milder with 13 Celsius. Eight

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or nine Celsius in the north. Moving from Monday to Tuesday, a quieter

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pattern starts to develop. More sunshine around it will start to

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feel a little bit colder. An indication of what is to come for

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the six to ten day period. We have been seeing a flip-flop between the

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colder and the milder weather. But it looks like the colder snap is set

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to stay longer. Milder weather pushing in but the colder northerly

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flow staying with us for longer. That will add a difference to the

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feel of the weather and the type of the weather. The jet stream is

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sitting to the south. That allows a little more in the way of colder air

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to dig in. The first few days of February are likely to see colder

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spells and that means we could see more wintry showers on the tops of

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high ground. Wind and rain pushing in but not

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