30/01/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


30/01/2016

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Hello. Storm Gertrude may become yesterday's fish and chip paper,

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but I'm sure residents of Shetland won't forget her in a hurry

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because we had the strongest gusts of wind for 16 years,

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in excess of 100 miles an hour.

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We also had severe gales generally across central-southern Scotland,

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Northern Ireland and northern England.

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And there's more wet and windy weather to come.

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On Sunday, we could see more wet weather

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bumping into cold air into the north

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and bringing snow,

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before another significant area

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of low pressure develops on Monday.

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This one may become another named storm.

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If that happens, it'll be Henry.

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That's a long way off.

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For Saturday, it looks like

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we'll see most sunshine

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in central and southern England,

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with wintry showers

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continuing across Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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A wintry mix of rain, sleet and snow.

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There'll certainly be lying snow

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as temperatures struggle.

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Milder in the sunshine to the south,

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but even so, colder than of late,

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with 6 or 8 degrees,

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the real cold air sitting to the north

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with 3 or 4 as a maximum.

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They'll still be further snow showers for a time

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as we move out of Saturday.

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Ice could be a hazard as well on the roads

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before we start to see more cloud and rain

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gathering into the South and West.

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This will continue to push north and east.

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On the leading edge, for a time

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across northern England and into Scotland,

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there'll be snow before it turns back to rain.

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As the rain clears,

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a legacy of cloud, drab afternoon.

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But a milder afternoon,

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with 11-13 degrees the high.

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Still pretty cold

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in the far north-east of Scotland,

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3 or 4 degrees.

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Out of Sunday,

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that frontal system drifts away.

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But then that significant area

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of low pressure moves in.

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And just like Gertrude,

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the strongest winds will be centred

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to the southern flank of that low.

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Centred across the northern half of the country.

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There'll also be significant rain,

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which may lead to localised flooding.

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Certainly one to keep an eye on.

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Another mild but windy day further south,

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with temperatures again into the mid teens.

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As we move out of Monday into Tuesday,

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things get quieter, a bit colder as well,

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with a few wintry showers returning

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into the far North and West.

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But at least there should be

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dry, sunny weather around.

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Just a slight question mark

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as to where this rain is sitting

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through the Channel coast

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and whether it will lap on

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to the sudden portion of the UK.

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Let's look further afield.

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We've got that significant area of low pressure on Monday

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which we need to clear out of the way.

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Once it does, it allows cold air

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to become more dominant,

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so through the middle of next week

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we could see a more prolonged, lengthier cold snap.

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The question is just when the milder air

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will start to push back in.

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The reason we'll see this lengthier cold snap is

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the jet stream will be sitting south of the UK

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and that would allow cold air to dig that little bit further south.

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But by the middle to the end of next week,

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the jet stream looks likely to push further north again,

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allowing a more mobile flow

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and allowing milder, south-westerly air to come in.

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A lot of uncertainty as to the timings of

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when this is likely to happen.

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So, through the middle of the week,

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we may see some frost through the night,

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but hopefully some lovely spells of sunshine as well.

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By day, it looks quite promising.

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A lovely first week of February.

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However, by the end of the week, things will start to change,

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and once the jet stream moves further north,

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we'll see certainly more in the way cloud

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and the potential for more wet weather to come.

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Ugh! Never mind, whatever you're doing, enjoy your weekend.

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Is there any chance at all

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that you might be pregnant?

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You should be ashamed of yourself, you little madam.

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We want to minimise the chance of contamination

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but we should be ready.

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I appear to have won a meal in the West End.

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