02/03/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


02/03/2016

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. Hello there, what a week it has been so far, we've had some real

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contrasting weather conditions, cold and frosty on Monday, mild and wet

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on Tuesday, snow to come for Wednesday. All due to an undulating

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jet stream that we've got across the country at the moment and, with that

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under legislation, brings a real contrast, a flip-flop, with the feel

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of the weather. So Monday we had cold air across the country. By

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Tuesday, the milder air arrived but brought rain with it as well, some

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of it heavy. Before Wednesday, the cold air digs deep. And this time

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it's going to stay for a while. It's also responsible for a named storm

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by the Irish Met Office, pushing south and west. It will bring gales

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to the extreme south-west but we're more concerned about the snow

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showers moving out of the north of England, across Wales, into the

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Midlands. Wet snow and sleet, perhaps, as it pushes south and

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east. Hind it, though, still a cluster of snow showers to come,

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even at lower levels a cold feel to the day, highs of 5-9 degrees. As we

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move out of Wednesday, the showers will gradually start to ease away

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and Thursday looks a slightly quieter day, with lighter winds.

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Hopefully we should see a dryer scenario. And it will feel just that

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little bit better as well, with some sunshine coming through, showers few

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and far between and temperatures up as high as 5-9 degrees. But it all

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changes again as we move into Friday and there's a level of uncertainty,

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as this weather front pushes in as to how much rain and potential snow

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we could see across the north of England and then it will pivot its

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way south and east. Now, just where that frontal system tends toe lie is

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still open to question so keep watching the forecast. But there is

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a risk, particularly across higher ground, of yet more snow and again

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still quite a cold feel to the day as the front sinks south and east

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yet again. The start of the weekend, I'm pleased to say, back to a

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quieter theme. The isobars open up, still in a vertical position so

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still a northerly wind direction the source. It will still feel pretty

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chilly but showers mostly to the coast, still a wintry mix in there,

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and hopefully a bit of sunshine building as well, highs again around

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5-8 degrees. We have this undulatnion in the jet stream

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allowing the area of high pressure to build in the west as we move out

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of the weekend and into next week. So there is the potential, then,

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into Sunday, for the high pressure to build, a weather front just

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brushing into the far north and west and it may well sink south and bring

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showers with it but once that is out of the way, things will still cold

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but relatively quiet. For the early half of next week we have this high

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down towards the south-west. Indications are that's going to

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continue to drag in this colder feel for the first week or so of March.

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The high drifts steadily south and potentially later on next week, lows

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could develop and move in from the north-west, turning things a little

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more unsettled. So, the opening half of March, pretty chilly. Yes,

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widespread frost, may be even some wintry showers continuing. I know

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what you are thinking, you want scenes like this really with spring

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lambs and some lovely sunshine. All together now, "Ah", but the question

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is, are we going to get it? And for those who have worked it out, yes,

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it has been one of the wildest winters on record, but, as you can

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see, January was colder than December, February colder than

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January and the early half of March, so far, looks pretty chilly indeed.

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That is not my problem for tomorrow.

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