09/03/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


09/03/2016

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Hello there. Well, many of us are being battered

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by cold, wet and windy weather.

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A lot of us are crying out for some spring sunshine and a settled spell.

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Well, I have some optimism for you, on the horizon, it has to be said.

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Southern parts of the UK over the next 24 hours or so

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are going to see a lot of rain

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and various computer models indicating a very wet spell

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during the course of Wednesday, but then look at that dry signal

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which extends for some 10 days ahead.

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Further north across the country, it might take a little bit longer

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to settle down, so again we've run the various computer models.

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They are indicating some spells of rain over the next few days,

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the lines of blue here,

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but then again it's a dry signal for next week.

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I'll talk about the reasons

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why in a moment,

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but we've got to get there first

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and it's a very wet picture

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through Wednesday, particularly

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across the more central

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and eastern areas,

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some hill snow thrown in

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for good measure

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and a cold blustery wind as well.

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The best of the sunshine

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across the more western parts

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of the UK - nowhere is it

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particularly warm

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but where it stays wet all day long,

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the temperatures will struggle

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to get much higher than

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four or five degrees.

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The culprit, low pressure,

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just slipping away

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into the continent overnight

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and into Thursday,

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a more optimistic picture.

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Some early rain across eastern counties,

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but a little ridge of high pressure

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building in for most places,

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so a lot of dry weather,

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lighter winds, more sunshine.

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It will feel rather more like early March.

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What happens next?

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Does the dry weather hold on?

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Well, for the many of us

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it does, as we look towards the end

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of this week with a ridge of high pressure

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building in, not for all,

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as I indicated earlier on,

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further pulses of rain across Northern Ireland

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and Scotland in particular,

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courtesy of these trailing weather fronts.

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So a bit of a north-west,

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south-east split on Friday.

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The best of the sunshine

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across more southern and eastern areas.

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Temperatures, well, not as chilly

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as they have been.

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Some places getting up into double figures.

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As we look towards the weekend,

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even the fronts across

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the more north-western areas

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will tend to push away northwards

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and that high pressure

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beginning to assert itself

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across many parts of the country

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and as I mentioned, it won't be as cold as it has been.

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Milder air filtering in off the Atlantic,

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most felt across the more western areas.

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That chilly air slow to lose

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its grip across south-eastern parts

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of England in particular.

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But this is the picture for Saturday.

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Still some pulses of rain for a time

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across parts of western Scotland in particular,

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but a lot of dry weather

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and with some sunshine and lighter winds

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further south and east,

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it shouldn't feel too bad.

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And again on Sunday, a lot of dry weather,

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that high pressure pushing

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those fronts away northwards.

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Cloud amounts will be quite variable

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across the country but hopefully

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we'll see some sunshine in many places,

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as you can see,

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up into double figures.

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Now, through next week,

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it does look as if high pressure will stay in control.

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High pressure at ground level, with the winds

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circulating in a clockwise fashion, but it's not just at ground level,

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we think, where we're going to see high pressure dominating.

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Further up through the atmosphere,

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we're also going to see a large area of high pressure

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plonked across the UK

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and when you've got high pressure at the surface

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and high pressure way up in the atmosphere,

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then that high pressure tends to be much more stubborn.

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It sticks around for much longer and brings a more prolonged dry spell.

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So, to sum up, through next week,

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a dry spell of weather which is going to last some time,

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hopefully some spring sunshine, but where the skies clear overnight,

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still the possibility of some chilly, and possibly

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frosty, mornings.

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I'll update you again tomorrow.

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