27/04/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


27/04/2016

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Hello there. Gardeners and growers, beware.

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We've got a very cold night ahead of us, a widespread frost,

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and it really is quite late in the season to be seeing such

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a widespread frost.

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Earlier on Tuesday, there was some sunshine to be had,

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but with the shower clouds building, and when the showers came along,

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those temperatures dropped away, and the showers contained a real

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mix of rain, sleet, hail, and there was even a few rumbles of thunder.

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Here's the big picture for the day on Wednesday.

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Low pressure to the east of us, high pressure to the west,

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and the resultant is a cold northerly air stream.

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Yes, we've been in the cold air for several days,

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and we are still in it through the middle of the week.

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But at least the winds will be a little bit lighter.

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And it is a cold start to the day, a widespread frost,

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but some sunshine for some central and eastern areas.

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But already in northern and western areas, wintry showers

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which will be drifting their way eastwards through the day.

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And again, there'll be some heavy showers,

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some rumbles of thunder, some hail mixed in and still some snow showers

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in northern Scotland and maybe the northern Pennines.

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Some sunshine does follow along behind for some western areas,

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and in that sunshine it's eight or nine degrees.

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Might get 12 or 13 in the London area.

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Then through the evening, showers drifting their way ever eastwards.

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There's a few wintry ones still to be had,

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but for many the skies are clearing,

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so again it'll be cold and frosty to start the day on Thursday.

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All in all, a better day,

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I suspect, particularly for central and eastern areas, dry and bright.

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Some showers developing towards the south-west of England, South Wales,

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and later in the day we'll start to see some wetter,

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windier weather in Northern Ireland.

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Again, many places will be in single figures.

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In southernmost parts we're going to be just about into double figures.

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But that wetter, windier weather in Northern Ireland spreads

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across all parts during the day on Friday,

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and you'll notice quite a few isobars on the chart, as well.

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So it looks like we're going to end the week on a fairly wet

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and windy note, the strongest winds probably down

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towards the south and west, where the rain's probably at its heaviest.

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There's also the potential for some snow over higher ground in Scotland.

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That low is still with us on Saturday, slowly pulling

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away into the North Sea, but still a lot of isobars wrapped around it.

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A very blustery day on Saturday.

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And maybe not quite so much rain around in the south-west of the

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UK, but there will be plenty of rain elsewhere, I suspect,

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although maybe parts of the south-east not doing too badly.

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But it will be quite windy.

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Northern Ireland not seeing persistent rain,

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but some showers come in on that breeze.

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Temperatures, though, by this stage pretty much into double figures with

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the winds beginning to come in from the Atlantic.

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Those Atlantic winds continue into Sunday, bringing weather fronts,

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but a reasonable start for central and eastern areas.

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We might get 15 degrees before that rain arrives in the London area.

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And again, most places should be in double figures.

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Now, for much of this week, we've got this sort of jet-stream pattern.

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It's snaking its way towards the north-west of Northern Ireland

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and down towards the southern counties of the UK.

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With a low to the east, a high to the west,

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we get that cold air coming down from the north.

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But, as we get into next week,

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it looks like the position of the jet stream will change,

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orientating as more of a westerly, so it'll be more unsettled,

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particularly in the north of the UK,

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where we are closest to an area of low pressure.

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Further south, high pressure may build in and settle things down.

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Where will the dividing line be between the wetter

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weather in the north and the brighter weather in the south?

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It's going to be somewhere across the heart of the UK.

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So, as we look towards early May, with those westerly winds

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developing, certainly a lot less chilly than it is right now.

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Temperatures might still be below average, but less chilly than now.

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Some rain at times, mainly in the north,

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driest in the south, and round about eight,

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nine days from now the overnight frosts look less and less likely.

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