15/05/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


15/05/2016

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Such is the strength of sun at this time of year

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that Saturday may actually have felt pretty warm

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to some of you, but temperatures compared to last weekend

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were a good 10 to 13 degrees down.

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We've been on the wrong side

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of an area of high pressure,

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out to the west, we were on the cold side,

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dragging down the winds from the Arctic,

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and you felt that chill across eastern coasts

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on Saturday, with a bit more cloud

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and also breeze.

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That's still there on Sunday,

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but the breeze easing down a little bit,

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high pressure has nudged in a bit closer to us.

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It's also helped to bring in more cloud

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to the far north of Scotland for Sunday.

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A few showers in that, and a few afternoon showers

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for northern England, the east Midlands,

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towards East Anglia and potentially along

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southern parts of Sussex and Kent.

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But on the face of it, temperature values

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much as they were during Saturday,

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though it may feel warmer for some of you.

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More cloud to end Sunday compared with Saturday,

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and that cloud will stop the temperature

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dropping away too much.

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Notice the winds, though, starting to switch

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into a westerly direction.

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Sunday night into Monday, not as cold.

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If you're going to see a frost,

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it's going to be very, very isolated indeed.

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Monday, we've still got that ridge of high pressure with us,

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it's going to hold on,

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keeping things largely dry,

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but because we are not bringing the air down

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from the north, more off the Atlantic,

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it does mean it's going to bring

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more cloud than we've been used to

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through this weekend.

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Whilst there will be sunny spells,

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always a few cloudier moments during the day,

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and yes, the chance of some showers,

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very isolated, mainly across

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northern parts of the UK

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and perhaps down this eastern part as well,

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but temperatures across eastern coast of Scotland,

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eastern England, starting to rise.

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And they will rise further through this week -

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a warmer week in store for you, at least,

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as we start to see the winds coming off the Atlantic.

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That process starts as we go into Tuesday -

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the high pressure sinks to the south of us,

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will allow south-westerly winds to develop.

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Very light at this stage, for the most part.

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Sunniest across eastern areas,

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clouding over in the west later,

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some rain, particularly to the west of Scotland

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and Northern Ireland later -

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a few heavier bursts going into the evening.

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But temperatures widely

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in the mid to potentially high teens.

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Now, as this weather front pushes through

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the night into Wednesday,

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we'll see some heavy bursts of rain here and there.

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It's going to be a fairly showery feature

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and same again on Wednesday -

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occasional heavy, maybe thundery, showers.

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The overriding thing, though, for Wednesday

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is the wind strength - the windiest day

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we have had for quite a while.

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Temperatures still up, holding up into the mid-teens,

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maybe dropping later on

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as we start to pull in colder air

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on the western flank of that low pressure system.

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As we go into Thursday, though,

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it all cruxes on where this is going.

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There is a chance it may move to the south of us,

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across northern France, southern England,

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there's a chance it may develop into more of a low

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and push across the central swathe of the UK.

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At the moment, we're dealing with it

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as an area of more persistent rain,

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pushing through the Channel, some showers

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and heavy spells of rain further north,

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but a little sunshine in-between

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and then things turn blustery later.

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That is one aspect of the forecast

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which could change.

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Either way, what happens on Thursday,

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towards the end of the week, into next weekend,

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we have a Jet Stream which is set

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to buckle its way across the UK

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and, in doing so, it's set to bring

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an area of low pressure our way,

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which will bring some more wet and windy weather.

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So, the general story for the week

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is that temperatures will be rising, dragging the winds off the Atlantic,

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so gone are the cool conditions of the weekend.

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But windier weather than we have seen for a while

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and also some wetter weather at times too.

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But by the time we get into the following week,

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signs are high pressure will

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build in from the south-west.

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It may bring further showers around,

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and a rather cool flow from the north-west of the UK,

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but with heat building across the near continent,

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if that high pressure is a little further east,

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we will drag warmth back our way,

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and we'll keep you updated on that in the next few days.

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They might tell me one of my twins has died.

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They are not going to say that baby.

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I don't know how he's going to come out of there.

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