22/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


22/06/2016

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Hello there.

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With no particularly strong jet stream blowing across the Atlantic

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at the moment, the weather patterns from day-to-day don't vary greatly.

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But in each individual location,

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there could be some stark contrasts from one day to the next.

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Now, we start with Wednesday.

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We've got a resurgence of humid air from the near Continent,

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to the south of this weather front.

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This weather front will divide that between something fresher,

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brighter, with just occasional showers through Wednesday,

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but on the front itself, which will meander between south-west

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England, Wales, the Midlands, Lincolnshire and the Wash,

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on that we will see some outbreaks of rain which every now and again

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could push a little further north into northern parts of England.

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Temperatures don't look vastly different from one

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side of the country to the next, OK, warmer towards the south and east,

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but it's here where it's increasingly muggy later in the day,

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that humid air really taking hold at the moment

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across France, and by the end of Wednesday afternoon it's across

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northern France we could see cells of severe thunderstorms develop.

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The general flow is a south-westerly one,

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so that'll take those through Wednesday evening

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and Wednesday night towards the south-east and East Anglia.

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Like we saw the other week, some of those could be quite torrential.

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Some of you will avoid them altogether, but in some spots

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you could see as much as

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half-a-month's rainfall in the space of an hour.

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As you look on Wednesday evening, you can see those storms

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work their way through.

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The exact position of them could change from one hour to the next.

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They will rumble out into the North Sea though, I think,

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as we start Thursday, one or two still close to Kent,

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but into Thursday most will be dry,

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one or two isolated showers in Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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The best of the sunshine away from East Anglia and the south-east,

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but you'll notice temperatures here still in the mid-20s.

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And some very sultry air to go with it.

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Which hangs around into Thursday evening,

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we could see a repeat performance of storms moving

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up from the near Continent during the evening, lasting the night

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and only slowly clearing into Friday morning.

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By Friday morning though, we start to see more in the way of

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showers across the western half of the country.

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Generally, more cloud across the UK on Friday, those showers

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becoming slow-moving, heavy and thundery in the west this time.

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Not as severe as those ones we've seen in the east,

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but they could get very close to Glastonbury.

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Maybe lasting into the evening before fading away.

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There are signs of a ridge of high pressure trying to build

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in by Saturday.

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So, the showers you see on here should be few and far between.

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And should be a little bit lighter than those on Friday,

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many of you should have a reasonably dry day.

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And there you go, the Azores High trying to build in

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as we finish Saturday and go into Sunday.

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Getting squeezed out a little bit as it recedes into Sunday

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itself, allowing these weather fronts to

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push into the north-west of Scotland.

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Bringing in a bit more persistent rain and gusty wind.

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A few showers can't be ruled out from the south and east.

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But I think in much of England and Wales - you will be into some

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drier weather by Sunday.

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And pleasant enough in the sunshine after a misty

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and foggy start in places.

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So the high has receded for Sunday

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but by the time we get into Monday,

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it could well start to build in once again,

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and in doing so, the weather front as it tries to work its way south

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and east across the country, fizzles out into nothing more than showers.

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And that pattern of the high pressure extending into

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the UK and relaxing away, will continue as we go through next week.

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So it's going to produce a fairly variable pattern,

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nothing drastic though, from one day to the next.

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Southern areas always closest to that area of high pressure

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but every now and again as that pushes away,

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the showers which will be more prone to the north and west will

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work their way across other parts of the country,

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whether it's just individual showers or a spell of slightly longer rain.

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But before you've seen them arrive,

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they will be almost gone again, high pressure builds in once more.

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So it's a constantly changing pattern throughout next week

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and we'll keep you updated every step of the way.

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