21/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello there. Whether it's the astronomical calendar

or the meteorological calendar that you follow, it's safe to say

we're now in summer.

The summer solstice, though, started on a fairly ominous note,

grim scenes for commuters across England and Wales in the morning,

much like this captured by one of our weather watchers in Reading,

and if you're packing at the moment for Glastonbury,

this is the last thing you want to see - very boggy ground

on Monday morning thanks to the heavy overnight rain,

but before you lose heart don't forget we had a bit more of this

through the second half of Monday and we'll probably see a bit more

of this than the wet stuff in Glastonbury as we head towards

the start of the festival. In fact, most of you will spend Tuesday dry,

better day than Monday, although it will stay rather misty and grey

across the English Channel, Channel Islands, further rain or drizzle,

which could get close the south coast at times.

And more wet weather to the north-west of Scotland

and the west of Northern Ireland. But for most it's a dry day

and with light winds, especially further east, very

pleasant in the variable amounts of sunshine, temperatures

at levels they should be for the time of year.

As we go through Tuesday night and into Wednesday,

low pressure to the north-west of us will bring further showers

to Scotland and Northern Ireland but this weather front waving,

that's linked into the misty, low cloud through the English Channel

on Tuesday, pushing its way north into some southern

and eastern parts of England, bringing a greyer day, a damper day,

occasional rain or drizzle, maybe the odd heavier burst

and humidity levels starting to creep up too.

Further north and west of that, we stick in the fresher,

by comparison, Atlantic air, but still warm enough in the sunshine,

only one or two showers to speak of. Let's deal with that humid air

cos it starts to build again through this week,

across France in particular, and it shows signs that we will start

to draw it towards us

particularly through Wednesday night into Thursday.

With it, of course, comes the risk of thunderstorms.

Those thunderstorms could become nasty, limiting sunshine

as we go into Thursday and mainly focused towards East Anglia

and the south-east, but don't forget it could be a little bit further

east of that at this range, maybe a bit further west,

so keep checking the forecast, cos where you see those storms

they will be intense. North and west of that some clearer skies,

some sunshine, only one or two isolated showers and fresher.

Fresher air trying to win through into Friday,

clearing off those storms off into the North Sea,

but there's just a small chance we could see that humid air curve back

in towards the north-east of Scotland and into Shetland.

Most though, by Friday, largely into the Atlantic air,

sunshine, a few showers around, mainly prone towards western areas

by this stage. And we've still got a broad area of low pressure

with us as we go into the start of the weekend.

We'll have to watch how close this stuff gets, though,

there is the potential of more thundery, humid air close by.

But at the moment, it does look like we'll stay in the

Atlantic regime. Showers possible anywhere on Saturday,

heaviest will be across England and Wales -

they may avoid Glastonbury, can't promise it will stay completely dry.

Where we do see the showers, though, they could be quite heavy at times,

rumbles of thunder too. And slow-moving,

so rainfall totals for one or two could be rather large.

As we finish the weekend, slight area of high pressure

easing off the showers just a touch. But it's this area of high pressure

we really want to be concentrating on as we get to this time of year,

this is the Azores High, this is what can bring us

some prolonged drier weather. Now, next week it just flirts with us,

to be honest, it extends its way towards southern areas

at times, drying things out, showers most prone towards the north-west

of the country, jet stream driving those in, but every now and again

the high pressure will recede, the showers will start

to work their way southwards and eastwards so any one of us will have

a little bit of wet weather at times through the week,

before that area of high pressure builds back in once again.

So it's an oscillating pattern next week, ever-changing.

But if you've tickets for the first week of Wimbledon,

you'll want that high pressure to stay around a little bit longer.

Bye for now.