20/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. First, let's take stock of what's happened

so far this June, because it's been quite an interesting

month as far as the stats are concerned.

It's been a month dominated by easterly winds.

That's affected the temperatures.

Blue colours on this Met Office chart show where temperatures

have been below average,

easterly winds off a cold sea

which have then warmed as they've worked their way westwards,

red colours showing where temperatures have been

largely above average.

Rainfall amounts: bet you wouldn't have thought Shetland was the driest

place in the month so far - up until the overnight rain,

just three millimetres of rain here.

Nottinghamshire, Sutton Bonington, we've seen almost two months' worth

of June rainfall,

and that's because of those slow-moving storms last week.

We've got rid of them, introduced westerly winds to start this week,

clearing away some of that overnight rain, though that will linger

over East Anglia and the south-east towards the end of the day.

A few heavy showers before it gradually clears.

Elsewhere, brighter skies through the summer solstice

with sunshine a bit more abundant

through the afternoon than the morning.

But because it's westerly winds, one or two showers

coming in the breeze, and it's to the east of high ground

where we'll see the highest temperatures,

namely eastern Scotland and the north-east of England.

So, more sunshine to end the day than we began.

And if you want to see the solstice sunset,

you'll have to wait up till gone half past ten in Lerwick,

around quarter past nine in Dover, and hopefully we will see late sun,

the weather fronts clearing through into the near Continent

on that westerly flow,

which eases a little bit as we go into Tuesday,

the jet stream weakening but strong enough to bring weather fronts

very close to north-west Scotland. Northern Ireland, occasional rain.

The odd shower across other western areas, but many of you

will be dry on Tuesday - quite a pleasant day, sunny spells,

driest and warmest towards the east of the country.

There will, however, be a trailing weather front close to the English

Channel, which may keep things gloomy across

in the Channel Islands, and that separates us

from building heat and humidity again across parts of France

which, through Wednesday, could get scooped up

and start to be pushed towards us by this low pressure to the north-west.

The winds going more southerly could bring

that humid air towards East Anglia and the south-east.

Away from it, not a bad day, warm enough in the sunshine,

a few showers for Scotland, Northern Ireland, but a lot of dry weather.

But as the humidity levels rise later on, there is

the chance of storms in the Channel Islands

and then the south-east and East Anglia.

Now, this far ahead, it's always very difficult to see how far

east, how far west they come.

They could be further west. They may not even give us a glancing blow

and stay across Belgium and the Netherlands.

But it's something to bear in mind through Wednesday and Thursday.

And with this low pressure starting to become more dominant across

western areas of the UK,

showers will be a bit more frequent compared with Wednesday.

Now, as we finish Thursday and go into Friday,

this low will push in even further, hopefully pushing away

the stormy weather from the south-east if it does occur.

But it does mean a threat of showers towards the end of the week.

Very hit and miss, the winds will be light for some, so slow-moving.

A bit more speed about them towards the south-west, which is good news,

in one respect, because if any do come Glastonbury's way,

they will push through rapidly. But there's no guarantee you'll get wet.

But if you do, it's only going to add to the soggy ground we have.

And that low pressure's still with us into Saturday.

Southern areas could be the focus for the heaviest of the rain,

but as we go through the weekend,

it looks like the jet stream will kick back into gear to the

north of us, bringing low-pressure systems close to the north-west

and helping the Azores high just to build close to southern parts.

And in terms of weather? Well, always more likely

to see rain at times across the likes

of Scotland, Northern Ireland, not ruling out some showers

further south, but tending to be a little bit drier here.

Of course, for tennis fans that's quite crucial,

because early next week sees the start of Wimbledon. Bye for now.