19/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


19/06/2016

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Hello there. Well, at last, Saturday brought much, much quieter

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weather to the UK after what's been a very turbulent

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and, in places, very stormy week we've seen.

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Cumulonimbus thunder clouds piling high into the sky,

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dropping huge amounts of rain and hail

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and causing flooding for some of you.

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At least we go into the new week on a much quieter note,

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to a certain extent. Not a drier one

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because we've got a weak weather front

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in the west first thing Sunday and then

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a more active one pushing in later in the day

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with stronger winds wrapped around

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that deep area of low pressure.

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The day starts off fairly quiet.

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Sunniest towards eastern areas,

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brighter weather lasting longest in East Anglia,

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the south-east and around the Moray Firth,

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we could see temperatures around 20 degrees here

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but further west, patchy rain in the morning

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replaced by something heavier

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into the afternoon and some gusty winds.

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Winds however coming from the south and the south-west

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so temperatures won't fall away too much.

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Still looking at highs of around 16 to 18 degrees.

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That rain then pushes its way across

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all other parts of the UK

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as we go through Sunday night.

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It may linger across the south-east corner

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as we go into Monday morning but extensive low cloud

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through Sunday night into Monday

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and a very humid, muggy one once again

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but it's a fairly short-lived spell

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of humid weather, at least to begin with.

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The breeze will shepherd in some fresher air through Monday itself,

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perhaps holding on to the more humid air

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towards the south-east and East Anglia

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for that bit longer before the rain clears.

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A few heavy showers, maybe the odd rumble of thunder,

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but not as intense as we saw through the week.

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And then, as you can see, sunny spells

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and only isolated showers by the end of the day.

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Temperatures of 16 to 20 degrees.

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We continue with that feed of winds off the Atlantic as we go

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through the night and into Tuesday.

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Another area of low pressure, a smaller one,

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pushing in towards the north-west of the UK late in the day.

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Winds lightest across the south

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so we will start here with some mist, low cloud

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and some patchy fog, brightening up

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with some sunny spells later on.

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We're going to see outbreaks of rain, mainly for parts of Scotland

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and Northern Ireland but even here, some brighter weather too.

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It'll be pleasant enough in the sunshine.

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Into Wednesday, a band of showery rain

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trying to push its way eastwards

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but then getting caught up in a developing

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south-to-south-westerly airflow and with that,

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we start to see humidity levels creep up again

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and a few heavy showers towards the south-west.

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In fact, for later in the week,

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we tap into the humid air across Europe once again.

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The drift of that, it will only be

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slowly northwards across the UK

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so it'll be only southern areas

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affected by and large.

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As you can see, we can see some heavy showers,

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maybe the odd rumble of thunder

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as that weather system pushes away but it still

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holds on to eastern areas

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as we go through into Thursday.

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Another low out to the west of Ireland,

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all helping to maintain this drift of air northwards.

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Nothing desperately strong,

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never overly humid the further north we go

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but it's across this part of England and Wales once again -

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we're going to have to watch the forecast very closely.

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It's going to be difficult to pinpoint the exact

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details of these, certainly through Thursday and indeed for Friday

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but with those low pressure systems around, humidity levels

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creeping up, yes, we are likely to see some thunderstorms.

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So a quieter start to the week.

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The end of the week though, those thunderstorms will return.

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As I said, southern and eastern areas most prone.

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But while we finish the week with that,

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it looks like the jet stream

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will return once again next weekend.

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That will push away the really humid air.

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Low pressure systems

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pushing close to the north and the west

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and hopefully a zone of high exerting its influence

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through southern areas at times into next weekend and beyond.

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What does that mean is that close to areas of low pressure,

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it's mainly north and west UK, we're likely to see some rain at times.

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It will push its way southwards and eastwards once again

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but southern areas always tending to be that bit drier.

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Crucial, of course, because we've got Glastonbury next weekend

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and the following week, the start of Wimbledon.

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