02/07/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


02/07/2016

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Hello there. We may will have had a change of month

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but sadly we haven't got a change of weather type.

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There is no sign of any settled summer sunshine and warmth

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to come in this 6 to 10 day forecast.

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Just look at Friday, shower clouds threatening

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across the poppy fields of Lincolnshire.

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There is a disappointing feel with just a maximum of 20 degrees.

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Cast your mind back to 1st July just a year ago,

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we had the hottest July day ever recorded.

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But back to reality this weekend looks likely

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to be a showery and breezy one.

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Starting off relatively dry but plenty of showers

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piling in across the country with that stiffening brisk West breeze,

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and so feeling disappointingly cool in the far north,

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15 or 16 degrees, highest values again of around 20 Celsius.

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Now as we push out of Saturday into Sunday,

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there'll be a weather front just drifting through

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the Channel coast, bringing outbreaks of cloud

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and light drizzly rain. Perhaps fewer showers

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further north with the exception of Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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Here we keep some showers going, but where we've got

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the dryer slots, perhaps temperatures a degree or so up.

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As we move out of Sunday, we've got this trailing weather front,

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which will bring outbreaks of rain for a time

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and that weather front really is going to be the boundary

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between milder air down to the south

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and a somewhat disappointing feel continuing into the north.

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Not just milder but potentially humid air

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is going to be drawn in from the near continent

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from time to time, so in some sunshine

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it's not all doom and gloom, but it always stays

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a little disappointing further north.

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As we move into Monday then,

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So if you get some sunshine and you get that humidity,

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it will feel reasonably pleasant with highs of 22 degrees

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but we'll continue with some sharper showers

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further north and west, 14-16 just the high.

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That weather front continues to sweep its way

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eastwards across the country.

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It will bring some outbreaks of more persistent rain

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for a time to clear from the south-east

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first thing on Tuesday. Once it's done so,

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some of those showers are quite sharp but still highs of 22.

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Fewer showers further north and west

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but still those temperatures not budging very far.

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As we move into Wednesday, we'll start off

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with a relatively quieter theme to the day

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before a weather front pushes in from the south and west.

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This weather front continues to trail

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these lows across the northern half

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of the country, which could be the story

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as we move into the longer period.

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With the low pressures always brushing across

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the top, we need this area of high pressure

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down into the south-west. This is the Azores high.

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As that moves through, it will bring us

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some dry, settled weather, but the jet stream

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at the moment is pretty strong, and it's always going

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to be centred to the north of the country

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and drift these low pressures back across the country.

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At times, the high pressure will try to squeeze back in,

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only to be pushed out of the way by the low,

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because the jet stream looks likely to be

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sitting up to the far north-west, this ribbon of fast-moving air,

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high up in the atmosphere

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which drives the low pressures across us.

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If that jet stream is not moving very far very fast,

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the weather story is not changing very far very fast either,

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so further ahead for the 6-10 day period,

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some of us will keep sunshine and showers,

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and a disappointing feel.

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I suspect down to the south there's a greater chance

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of seeing a little more in the way of sunshine,

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and at times it will feel humid and a little warmer,

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but all in all, there's little signs

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of any significant change in the story

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over the next 6-10 day period.

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This is as good as it gets right here -

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open roads, blue skies, one of history's most iconic muscle cars.

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