16/08/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


16/08/2016

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If Monday's weather conditions made you start to think of the weekend

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and potentially a weekend under canvas, do not tune out just yet.

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You'll want to see the weekend forecast as it stands at the moment.

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Completely different picture to how we started the week.

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Blue skies almost all the way

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from northern Scotland to the south coast of England

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and the Channel Islands.

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A glorious summer's day across much of the UK.

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And not too hot, not too cold. Temperatures around 25 degrees.

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Tuesday, we almost do it all over again.

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Most under blue skies. Subtle changes, though.

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High pressure drifts a bit further north across the North Sea.

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That means more of a breeze down these eastern coasts,

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so a little bit cooler here.

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Bit of patchy cloud, but a bit warmer in the west.

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27, 28 Celsius possible somewhere between Cardiff and Birmingham.

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And around some of these western and northern coasts,

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we could hit, quite easily, 24 or 25 degrees.

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Go into the evening on a fine note, too, for many,

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but just the chance of one or two heavy showers,

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maybe the odd rumble of thunder in Northern Ireland,

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and that's as this weather front

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starts to creep its way in for Wednesday.

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Its impact on Wednesday fairly limited to across Ireland.

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Some occasional, maybe thundery rain.

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Not going to rain all day long even where you see that wetter weather.

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And an isolated chance of a shower towards south-west England

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and the south-west of Wales.

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Most, though, dry and sunny once again.

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Coolest down these North Sea coasts. Warmer further west.

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Temperatures drop a little bit in the far west,

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though we could still hit 27 or 28 Celsius

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somewhere across southern England.

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Don't let this chart frighten you too much

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as we go through into Thursday.

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Things are starting to destabilise across southern areas,

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greater potential for some showers, maybe the odd rumble of thunder.

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Where we do see that, it could be torrential.

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But there are increasing signs that those torrential thunderstorms

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may be a bit further south across France.

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Most continue with the dry story.

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But even if those storms are across us, likely to stay dry,

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parts of northern England and across Scotland.

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But temperatures starting to fall away a bit.

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We're having more of an easterly drift across the country,

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so temperatures in the low 20s at the very best

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instead of the high 20s.

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But you want to take a bit more of a look at the chart

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as we go towards the end of the week.

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This looks quite a nasty area of low pressure pushing its way in.

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The main weather front stays out to the west, but ahead of it,

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we could start to see outbreaks of rain develop quite widely

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across Ireland, parts of Wales,

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and eventually central and southern England.

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Some could be heavy and thundery.

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It's certainly a cloudier, windier end to the day.

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Parts of northern England and Scotland

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likely to say driest for longest.

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Still with some sunny spells,

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especially away from some of those eastern coasts.

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But temperature-wise, starting to feel much cooler indeed.

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Then, as I said, if you're thinking about a weekend under canvas,

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this is the sort of chart you definitely don't want to see.

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A tightly packed area of low pressure

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could bring strong to gale force winds.

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Don't write the weekend off as far as potentially wash-out,

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because the heaviest of the rain

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will likely be across Scotland, maybe northern England, on Saturday.

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Elsewhere, hit and miss showers, heavy and thundery.

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But the real story could be the wind strengths.

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Could be touching gale force

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across the southern parts of the UK in particular.

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That area of low pressure

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will only slowly trundle its way eastwards as we go into Sunday,

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so still potential for some wet and windy weather at times.

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Some sunnier weather, too, but into the early part of next week,

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a little ridge of high pressure builds,

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settling things down, at least to begin with.

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How long that little ridge of high pressure lasts will be crucial.

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Looks like it could last most likely across southern areas,

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sending occasional weather fronts across the north

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with bands of rain and some blustery conditions.

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That's the most likely set-up into next week.

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But there is a chance that ridge of high pressure builds a bit further

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and we end up with something like we've got

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during the middle part of this week.

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A weather front out towards the west,

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many other parts of the UK staying dry,

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best chance of sunshine towards the east.

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So we'll keep an eye on that over the next few days,

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and I'll be back to update you.

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