23/08/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


23/08/2016

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The weather looks interesting as we go towards the bank holiday weekend,

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bank holiday for most of us, that is, but even before we get

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there, there's going to be some fun and games in the atmosphere.

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We've got big contrasts right now across the UK -

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a weather front bringing cloud and rain

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across Scotland and Northern Ireland

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during much of Tuesday.

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For England and Wales,

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a grey, misty, murky start,

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but then the sun gets to work

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and the temperatures really shoot up.

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Where there's the cloud and the rain further north,

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it's going to be a cool day,

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but for England and Wales

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and the sunshine in the afternoon,

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widely into the mid-20s and 30 Celsius is possible

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in and around London.

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Now, we'll keep the clear skies through Tuesday night

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across the southern half of the UK.

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That weather front gets going

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across southern and eastern Scotland.

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The potential for some big thunderstorms

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on that weather front

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still marking the boundary between the warm air

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and the fresher air, so a comfortable night

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behind that weather front,

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but ahead of it across eastern and southern England,

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really warm and humid on Tuesday night.

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It may not drop in some towns and cities

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below 20 Celsius.

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So it's a warm start to Wednesday

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and potentially with that weather front

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still in the far north-east, a wet start,

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but the rain edges away from Shetland.

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Bar a few scattered showers in Western Scotland,

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Wednesday's a dry day.

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A much brighter day for Scotland

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and in Northern Ireland,

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but still a hot one across East Anglia

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and the south-east.

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We're drawing in the hotter air still from the Continent

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and this weather front is still wriggling around.

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It looks like it's heading away,

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but then we get a little ripple on it on Wednesday night

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and Thursday and combined with some moisture,

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heat and moisture means things go bang

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through the summer months.

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That means thunderstorms potentially developing

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on Wednesday night and through Thursday.

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It's difficult to say exactly where,

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but some places could get torrents of rain.

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A risk that these thunderstorms are quite vicious,

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potentially over the Midlands and northern England,

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but they could be a little further east or west.

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That is something we'll keep an eye on.

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That weather front still bringing the boundaries,

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the warm air hanging on across the south-east

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although potentially not as warm.

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Elsewhere, we're in the high teens or low 20s.

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Now, that weather front still around on Thursday evening,

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potentially bringing some downpours,

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but, finally, we say goodbye to it on Friday.

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High pressure toppling in behind for most of us

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and with the cold front moving through,

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it will be much fresher across East Anglia

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and the south-east.

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Quite breezy across the north-west,

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we could see a few showers here,

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but, for most, Friday is a pretty pleasant day.

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High teens or low 20s and, as I say,

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you'll notice that cooler feel across the south-east.

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Will the high last for the weekend?

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Well, it's never that straightforward, is it?

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Low pressure is edging slowly towards the UK

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as we go towards Saturday.

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Now, it is edging slowly and the main reason for that is,

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well, let's look high up in the atmosphere

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at the jet stream.

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It's in one of its more wiggly phases,

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shall we say.

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It's not particularly strong,

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but when we get this pattern

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with the jet stream,

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it means everything tends to move quite slowly

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and starting off with this area of low pressure

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edging in from the Atlantic.

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As it does so, it may well draw up some warmth

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for the start of the weekend,

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particularly across southern parts of the UK.

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So that's how we start the weekend

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and then, at some point,

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the low pressure system will cross the UK.

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Whether it's to the north,

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whether it's to the south,

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that is open to some doubt,

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but behind it,

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high pressure will at least for a time move in,

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so the things we know about the weekend -

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there's the potential for some warmth,

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particularly early on.

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There will be a spell of rain for all of us,

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but exactly when and exactly where

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we see the heaviest stuff,

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we'll have to firm up on that.

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It may then turn drier as we go into Monday

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before things look like turning back

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to more changeable conditions

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as we go further into next week.

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We'll continue to keep you updated.

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CHEERING

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30 years. We've come a long way, that's for sure.

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Something's not right, Charlie.

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