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Although we haven't got the official statistics for September 2016, | 0:00:03 | 0:00:06 | |
you don't need me to stand here and tell you it was a warm month, | 0:00:06 | 0:00:09 | |
a record-breaking month around the 13th of September. | 0:00:09 | 0:00:13 | |
We even had some warmth | 0:00:13 | 0:00:14 | |
towards the end of the month as well. | 0:00:14 | 0:00:16 | |
Now, at this time of year, | 0:00:16 | 0:00:17 | |
average temperatures should be | 0:00:17 | 0:00:19 | |
sitting around mid- to high teens. | 0:00:19 | 0:00:21 | |
But just take a look at Wednesday's high. | 0:00:21 | 0:00:24 | |
With a little sunshine, we got some warmth, | 0:00:24 | 0:00:26 | |
22 degrees in some places, | 0:00:26 | 0:00:28 | |
peaking at 24 across the Kent coast | 0:00:28 | 0:00:30 | |
at 75 Fahrenheit. | 0:00:30 | 0:00:32 | |
A fresher story up into the far north of Scotland | 0:00:32 | 0:00:35 | |
because of cloud, wind and rain | 0:00:35 | 0:00:37 | |
and that cooler air will start to descend | 0:00:37 | 0:00:40 | |
a little bit further south | 0:00:40 | 0:00:41 | |
as we move towards the weekend | 0:00:41 | 0:00:43 | |
so that could be a bit of a shock to the system. | 0:00:43 | 0:00:46 | |
Gales around first thing on Thursday morning, | 0:00:46 | 0:00:48 | |
severe gales for a time | 0:00:48 | 0:00:50 | |
in the far north of Scotland | 0:00:50 | 0:00:51 | |
and although the winds will ease, | 0:00:51 | 0:00:53 | |
it's going to be a blustery afternoon | 0:00:53 | 0:00:54 | |
with plenty of squally showers in the north and west. | 0:00:54 | 0:00:57 | |
The rain easing across the south-east corner, | 0:00:57 | 0:00:59 | |
brighter skies, but still a blustery afternoon | 0:00:59 | 0:01:01 | |
and because of the strength of the wind, | 0:01:01 | 0:01:03 | |
feeling noticeably fresher already, | 0:01:03 | 0:01:05 | |
12 to 20 degrees the afternoon highs. | 0:01:05 | 0:01:08 | |
As we move out of Thursday, | 0:01:08 | 0:01:10 | |
we still keep the isobars across the UK | 0:01:10 | 0:01:13 | |
which means, basically, it will stay pretty breezy | 0:01:13 | 0:01:16 | |
through the night and into Friday. | 0:01:16 | 0:01:18 | |
Friday looks like a typical autumnal day - | 0:01:18 | 0:01:20 | |
blustery, plenty of showers coming in, | 0:01:20 | 0:01:22 | |
but also tinged with some sunshine, | 0:01:22 | 0:01:24 | |
but feeling fresher - 13 to 19 degrees | 0:01:24 | 0:01:28 | |
so pretty much around average | 0:01:28 | 0:01:29 | |
for this time of year. | 0:01:29 | 0:01:31 | |
As we move out of Friday | 0:01:31 | 0:01:32 | |
into the start of the weekend, though, | 0:01:32 | 0:01:34 | |
that cool theme set to continue, particularly on Saturday, | 0:01:34 | 0:01:37 | |
because we could see some showers or longer spells of rain, | 0:01:37 | 0:01:40 | |
but hopefully Sunday will see an improving picture. | 0:01:40 | 0:01:43 | |
More in the way of sunshine coming through | 0:01:43 | 0:01:45 | |
and pleasant enough. | 0:01:45 | 0:01:46 | |
But the wind's a feature, | 0:01:46 | 0:01:47 | |
particularly through the Channel coast, | 0:01:47 | 0:01:49 | |
driving in some showers or longer spells of rain | 0:01:49 | 0:01:52 | |
and underneath the cloud and rain, | 0:01:52 | 0:01:53 | |
12 or 13 degrees is going to feel pretty miserable. | 0:01:53 | 0:01:56 | |
The area of low pressure | 0:01:56 | 0:01:58 | |
will drift its way steadily eastwards | 0:01:58 | 0:02:00 | |
through Saturday night into Sunday, | 0:02:00 | 0:02:01 | |
allowing this little bump in the isobars | 0:02:01 | 0:02:03 | |
to quieten things down before the next system | 0:02:03 | 0:02:07 | |
arrives early on into the next week. | 0:02:07 | 0:02:10 | |
So it does mean that on Sunday morning, | 0:02:10 | 0:02:12 | |
we could start off on a chilly note | 0:02:12 | 0:02:14 | |
with a touch of frost in sheltered areas | 0:02:14 | 0:02:16 | |
so, yes, a chilly start to Sunday, | 0:02:16 | 0:02:18 | |
but a quieter one, | 0:02:18 | 0:02:19 | |
dry with some sunshine coming through. | 0:02:19 | 0:02:21 | |
For most of us, | 0:02:21 | 0:02:23 | |
it will stay dry throughout the day | 0:02:23 | 0:02:24 | |
with highs likely around 13 to 18 Celsius, | 0:02:24 | 0:02:27 | |
but with a little more sunshine, | 0:02:27 | 0:02:30 | |
it shouldn't feel too bad. | 0:02:30 | 0:02:31 | |
As we move out of Sunday into Monday, | 0:02:31 | 0:02:33 | |
here's that next area of low pressure | 0:02:33 | 0:02:35 | |
arriving from the west, | 0:02:35 | 0:02:36 | |
bringing yet more wet and windy weather, | 0:02:36 | 0:02:38 | |
but notice how it just sits up | 0:02:38 | 0:02:40 | |
into the far north-west of the country. | 0:02:40 | 0:02:42 | |
The south-east sees a return to southerly winds | 0:02:42 | 0:02:44 | |
so we could see temperatures a degree or so up. | 0:02:44 | 0:02:47 | |
So, what's happening in the longer term period? | 0:02:47 | 0:02:49 | |
The jet stream has been fairly active | 0:02:49 | 0:02:52 | |
in recent days and when we get | 0:02:52 | 0:02:53 | |
this fast-moving jet, | 0:02:53 | 0:02:55 | |
we tend to get a kink in it | 0:02:55 | 0:02:56 | |
and it tends to then kick the areas of low pressure | 0:02:56 | 0:02:59 | |
up into the north-west, | 0:02:59 | 0:03:01 | |
allowing high pressure | 0:03:01 | 0:03:02 | |
to dominate down into the south-east. | 0:03:02 | 0:03:04 | |
That's been the story and that looks likely | 0:03:04 | 0:03:06 | |
to continue to happen | 0:03:06 | 0:03:07 | |
for the early half of next week, | 0:03:07 | 0:03:09 | |
but as we move later on | 0:03:09 | 0:03:10 | |
into the six- to ten-day period, | 0:03:10 | 0:03:12 | |
it looks potentially as we lose the high | 0:03:12 | 0:03:14 | |
and there is a possibility | 0:03:14 | 0:03:16 | |
that the jet stream will weaken slightly | 0:03:16 | 0:03:18 | |
and then it becomes a little flabbier | 0:03:18 | 0:03:20 | |
and that means that the low pressures | 0:03:20 | 0:03:22 | |
will start to drift right across the country | 0:03:22 | 0:03:24 | |
and it could be a little more unsettled for all of us at times. | 0:03:24 | 0:03:28 | |
More details coming up tomorrow. | 0:03:28 | 0:03:30 |