07/10/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


07/10/2016

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Hello. If you've been keeping up to date

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with our long-range forecast over the past few days,

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you'll probably recall that we had been thinking Hurricane Matthew,

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which is a very dangerous storm at the moment

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out in the western Atlantic,

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may well head towards our shores

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and influence our weather perhaps in the next ten days or so.

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Now, it now looks more likely that this hurricane

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will start to interact with another tropical storm, Nicole,

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that you can also see there on the satellite image,

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probably decaying somewhere in the west Atlantic,

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rather than moving across to influence our weather.

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Meanwhile, closer to home, we've got an area of high pressure

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situated across Scandinavia.

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The winds drawing in to the south of that from an easterly direction,

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importing some cooler conditions than we have seen.

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So cooler air on the way from some northern parts of Europe.

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Let's take a look at Friday, then. Quite a cloudy story.

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That cloud moving its way east to west across the country,

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bringing some outbreaks of drizzly rain.

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The best of any brightness on Friday will be in the north-west,

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so the west of Scotland, north-west England

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and western parts of Wales, too.

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But it is feeling a little cooler than it has done.

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With all that cloud around, though, and outbreaks of drizzly rain,

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it is looking reasonably mild

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as we head through Friday night and on into Saturday.

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There could be the odd misty patch around first thing.

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A bit of a murky start to the day. But for most of us,

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those temperatures will be in double figures.

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So we're not looking at any frost first thing Saturday.

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Now, through the weekend, no great changes in the weather,

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due to the fact that we've still got the same set-up,

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high-pressure across Scandinavia,

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an easterly breeze coming in from the likes of northern Poland,

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where temperatures are on the chilly side.

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There will be one or two showers heading in,

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particularly later on in the weekend.

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Let's just take a look at the air mass

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during the course of Saturday and Sunday.

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You can see the blue colours,

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they're going to start to drift across the UK.

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The milder air that has been with us recently

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is pushed out towards the Atlantic.

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So we start Saturday, then, quite a bit of cloud around,

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a few drizzly showers here and there.

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The sunshine, as you can see, will start to break

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a few holes in the cloud as we head through the day.

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But fairly cool and cloudy around the east coast,

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with a chance of some showers developing in the south-east

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and temperatures around 13 to 17 degrees.

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Feeling a bit cooler than that

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when you're exposed to the easterly breeze.

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During Sunday, a very similar day once again.

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It's eastern and south-eastern parts of the country

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that will continue to see a feed of a few showers.

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Quite cloudy here and rather cool under that cloud - 12 to 16.

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Best of the brightness towards the west.

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Into the new working week, it's spot the difference.

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So again, we've got a relatively settled picture,

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with high-pressure across Scandinavia dominating things.

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We'll start to see an area of lower pressure, though,

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moving in from the near continent.

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So that could well bring some heavier showers,

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perhaps some hail and some thunder across some eastern areas.

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And temperatures will be dipping down by a degree or two,

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just 11 to 15 degrees.

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Tuesday, a similar day.

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Lots of dry weather, fairly light winds for most of us,

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breezy and cool around the east coast,

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with a few showers in the east.

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Temperatures generally only around 12 to 16 degrees or so.

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Now, the reason that things are so settled

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is because the jet stream is pretty active out there

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in the north and the western Atlantic.

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But across our shores, the jet stream is nowhere to be seen.

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We've got a blocking pattern here.

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And that means we've just not got that drive

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to push weather systems across the UK.

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It does look, by the end of the period, that we could see

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some lower pressure just pushing in from the near continent.

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But generally, the outlook is a cool and a cloudy one.

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The brightest weather always found towards the west

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and there will be some scattered showers at times.

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No great changes in the forecast

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over the next ten days.

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