10/10/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


10/10/2016

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Thanks for tuning in. Let's check the weather for the next week or so.

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And in the short term,

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there's not actually going to be an awful lot of change.

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That is for the next 24 hours or so.

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It will be a mix of weather, some lovely sunshine,

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just like over the weekend, and also some shower clouds,

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a beautiful picture here of a cumulonimbus cloud,

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you can even see a hint of a rainbow

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in that rain streak.

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But I think the main message is easterly winds, east or

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north-easterly winds will continue, a bit like over the last 24 hours.

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This is the radar, showing the showers,

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you can see them coming in.

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They haven't been penetrating very deep inland but as we go

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through the course of the week we'll start to see those showers

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coming in a little but further.

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There will be more of them, we will see increasing winds and it

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will start to feel a little bit cooler.

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But in the small hours of Monday morning,

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most of the showers are still confined to these eastern areas.

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Inlands dry, and cool, if not cold.

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In fact, in rural spots - really nippy.

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Frost hollows, the sort of typical areas where

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we get the temperatures dipping, that sort of thing,

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around about zero degrees if not a few degrees below freezing,

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particularly across Scotland. Now, you'll notice even

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the potential for one or two thunderstorms. Now, this is

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moisture coming in off the North Sea, on an east/north-easterly wind.

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Some of these showers will be quite heavy, a real soaking.

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But most of us at any one time, should actually have a decent

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amount of sunshine. Temperatures will typically be around about

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13 to 15 degrees Celsius. Now, this high,

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you can just about see it there, it's across Scandinavia,

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it is dominating our weather. This low is trying to come in.

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We'll talk about that in a second -

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off Newfoundland, that's the remnants of Matthew,

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used to be Hurricane Matthew, not any more.

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So, easterly winds, I think, will be the main theme

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for most of this week. Best of the weather on Tuesday

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still across many western areas of the UK.

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Still those showers coming in, in fact, probably by the time

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we get to Tuesday, a little bit more than just showers,

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big clumps of cloud coming in off the North Sea,

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so quite cloudy, gloomy and chilly, with some rain on and off

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across these eastern areas and these showers are caught

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around the bottom periphery of this high pressure.

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Now, look at these isobars, very straight.

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When we get straight isobars - I was talking about this yesterday,

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we get strong winds as well, so the more curved the isobars are,

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the lighter the winds can be.

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So straight winds coming out of the east or the north-east

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bringing further showers and cloudy conditions to some of these

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eastern areas and actually increasing winds through Thursday

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and these bits and pieces of rain will move a little bit

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further into western parts of the UK, as well, and feeling colder

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and colder, 10 or 11 degrees. I think on that North Sea coast

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it won't feel very pleasant. Now, the remnants of these tropical

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weather systems will be playing a part in how our weather behaves.

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Sort of starts to impact on how the low pressures start to behave

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closer to the UK.

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Too much detail to go into in this short weather report.

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I think, suffice to say, there should be a low pressure developing

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to the south of the country, probably south and

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south-western areas at risk of getting the heaviest of the rain.

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Normally, it should be the other way round,

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we should have a high pressure down here, low pressure to the north,

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closer to Iceland, and these sort of milder Westerlies

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but that's just not happening. By next weekend, we still have that

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low to the south, high pressure to the north

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and in between, if you imagine these are corkscrews,

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we get those easterly winds. So, let's summarise all of that -

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it is all about easterly winds this week. Increasing showers

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and that cloud coming in off the North Sea.

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And obviously, when you get these two things, it is going to feel

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on the chilly side, so kind of autumn is here

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but sort of the other way round.

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