11/10/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


11/10/2016

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Hello. Before we delve into a fairly chilly week of weather,

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let me show you a few Weather Watchers' shots from Monday,

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because they reveal an unusual phenomenon.

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These are fallstreak, or punch hole, clouds,

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formed in layers altocumulus cloud.

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They're usually made up of water droplets, but with aircraft

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passing through them, it disturbed the air around a bit too much

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and with a few extra particles in the atmosphere,

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those water droplets froze, and as they froze, they got

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heavier and fell from the sky,

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but certainly provided a welcome distraction from

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what was a rather cool start to the week.

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High-pressure dominant across Scandinavia,

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stopping Atlantic weather fronts going in,

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but feeling cool, 13, 14 Celsius.

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Just look upstream,

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temperatures were much, much lower.

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We won't see temperatures like that through this week,

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because the easterly winds are pushing across

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warming waters, 11 to 17 degrees,

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the North Sea temperatures.

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But as that cool air pushes across one warm waters,

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it's like a pan of water on the stove.

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We see clouds bubble up, shower clouds at that,

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and that's why we're seeing showers across eastern areas

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pushed westwards on the breeze.

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What you will notice on Tuesday,

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not as much sunshine, a lot more cloud around.

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It is to the south and the west

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where we continue with the sunniest skies

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after a frosty start.

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With the wind starting to strengthen,

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it will probably feel that bit cooler.

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That high deflects low-pressure systems

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away from us,

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one pushing down towards Iberia,

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which will have a greater influence

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later in the week.

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High pressure dominates on Wednesday,

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still feeding shower clouds into eastern areas,

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as that increasingly stronger wind

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pushes across the warm North Sea.

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The showers will get further westwards,

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but still some sunny spells.

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Many will spend the bulk, if not all, the day dry.

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Best place for that will be in the west.

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With the strengthening wind, it'll feel much like

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single-figure temperatures, rather than double-figure ones.

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So, high pressure towards the north,

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low pressure coming towards the south,

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starting to have more of an influence by Thursday.

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As they get closer,

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the winds get stronger and stronger,

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and it feels that bit colder still.

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Weather-wise, still showers in the east

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pushing westwards on the strength of that wind.

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A bit of sunshine in between the showers,

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best of which in the west.

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Sunshine becomes more of a premium

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as we head into Friday,

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as our low-pressure system works its way northwards.

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The low starts to have more influence

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to the end of the week than the high.

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The strongest winds

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across the northern half of the country.

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Rain, initially across the south,

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spreading across central and eastern England

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towards northern England and south-west Scotland.

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As we go into the weekend,

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it's that low-pressure system

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circulating towards the south-west

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which has the biggest influence.

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The winds will be light.

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It will be less chilly in the sunnier moments,

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but there will be showers and longer spells of rain.

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Showers across eastern Scotland,

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north-eastern England push their way westwards,

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a bit of sunshine,

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but winds could touch gale force.

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The reason we're still not seeing any mobile change to conditions

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is that high pressure deflecting the jet stream to the north,

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low pressure stranded towards the south as we go into next week,

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so rain towards the south, brighter further north,

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but still with those strong and cold east winds.

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For a change, we have to look to the western side of the Atlantic.

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This area of cloud we thought could bring a change.

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It's the remnants of Hurricane Matthew.

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That'll head towards Greenland.

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Instead, we'll be watching this one, tropical storm Nicole,

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set to become a hurricane and push towards Bermuda.

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Maybe THAT will influence our weather next week.

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I'll keep you updated.

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