28/10/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Good evening. If you've been off for half term,

the weather has been pretty kind this week.

Without giving the game away too much,

this being the extended weather forecast

any changes will be very slow in the coming six to ten days.

But we've had some super weather watcher pictures in.

This was the Isle of Wight late in the day on Thursday.

It really does make you want to be there.

It wasn't too far away that we recorded the highest temperature

of the day - 17 degrees Celsius, so still into the 60s Fahrenheit.

Not bad given it is October.

The reason for all this warmth at the moment is the wind direction.

We are bathed in the south-westerly wind coming in off the Atlantic.

With high pressure around, any weather fronts tend to be

disintegrating as they come into that high pressure.

As you can see, will see that milder air right across the UK,

enveloping the UK this weekend.

Because for Friday, at least,

it will be a little colder across Scotland.

It does mean brighter weather here, a touch of frost in the valleys,

a few showers, but certainly here the best sunshine.

Whilst further south, there will still be fog around,

pockets of dense fog if you are travelling.

So do be aware.

After that, there's more cloud around for Northern Ireland,

for northern England, North Wales.

Some drizzly rain and hill fog here.

If we see some brightness, we could realise 16 or 17 degrees Celsius.

But on the whole, quite a bit of cloud.

By Saturday, that same weather front

will have pushed back northwards again.

Hence the fact that we are enveloped in that mild Atlantic air

under the influence of high pressure.

So the usual, in the morning it's quite chilly with some patchy fog.

Quite a bit around potentially on Saturday morning.

By that stage into the afternoon,

temperatures have risen more across Scotland again into the milder air.

Saturday night and Sunday brings rainy conditions for the far

north-west of Scotland and Northern Ireland

As this weather front pushes close by.

So, for most, Saturday and Sunday look dry and fine.

It is Diwali, of course, and you'll get an extra hour in bed as we

go through Saturday night into Sunday

because the clocks fall backwards.

But what does Sunday hold for us?

As I say, the big change is what is happening in the north-west

and parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland

will see thicker cloud and some patchy rain, still quite mild.

Whilst for England and Wales,

we'll pick up some drier air coming in from the low country

so possibly a bit more sunshine and fewer fog problems.

But again, there will be patchy fog around

both Sunday and Monday morning for the rush-hour.

By that stage, our weather front has settled across northern Scotland.

Very slow-moving weather front, so that even by Tuesday it is

only sinking its way into Northern Ireland and northern England,

pushed along by high-pressure and a colder wind

coming down from the Arctic, a bit of a northerly setting in.

So that's the big change for Tuesday.

It starts to feel chillier across Scotland.

Maybe see some winteriness in those showers.

That establishes the pattern for the rest of next week.

Earlier this week,

Nick's been telling you about the uncertainties regarding this

area of low pressure. At the moment, on balance, it looks as if it

will stay to the south and the high-pressure will move in.

Still fighting with this low pressure over Scandinavia.

So in between, we've got the northerly wind

bringing in that cold air down from the Arctic.

So that's probably the big change

through the middle part of next week,

that it is going to get colder, so night-time frosts and showers

will fall as sleet and snow in the north.

We may even see the first snows of the season at lower levels

across the far north of Scotland.

We'll also see the return to some foggy mornings and some

brighter afternoons.

Crisp, clear air but colder than it has been this week.

So, looking further ahead,

it does look dry for a lot of us away from the north and east

but there will be some showers here and it turns colder with more

widespread night-time frosts.