02/11/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


02/11/2016

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In the last day or so, it's almost as if Mother Nature

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has turned a switch.

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We had a warm end of October, warm Halloween.

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Now, we're into November and it's got quite a bit colder

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and there are some frosts on the way, particularly in the morning.

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But it's not all bad, we've got some sunshine on the way as well.

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High pressure is in charge on Wednesday.

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It will be cold and crisp and sunny in the morning and that's

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exactly what we're going to keep in the afternoon.

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Let's not forget, those of us who like the cold mornings

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and the crisp, sunny afternoons,

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that is what we will get on Wednesday.

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Not completely dry.

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There will be one or two showers around.

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One or two sprinkles flirting with these North Sea coasts.

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They may be from more northern and eastern Scotland, down into Norwich

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but the vast majority of the UK will be enjoying that autumn sunshine.

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Now, high pressure is with us.

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We'll talk about this weather front in a second,

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but high pressure is across the south of the country.

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It is retreating a bit but still sitting across the south.

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So that is where we will have the light winds and the frosty

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weather into Thursday.

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Thursday morning's chilly.

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More of a breeze across the north, so perhaps that frost lifting a bit.

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So here's Thursday,

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still high pressure and dry weather in the south, some sunshine there.

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But low pressure comes in off the Atlantic and introduces more cloud,

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outbreaks of rain.

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This is not milder weather, low pressures often bring milder weather

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but this one has a lot of chilly weather stuck in it and circling

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around so I think on Friday, rather than crisp and cold, it's going to

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be damp and cold for a lot of us.

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So cloudy, outbreaks of rain.

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There'll be some sunshine around,

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but for many of us, quite a cloudy day.

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And look at those temperatures, around eight degrees in Newcastle.

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This low is going to shift a little bit towards the east and then

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the isobars come in from the north.

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So this is where our airstream is coming from.

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This is the air mass. Remember it's relative temperature,

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this does not mean it will be freezing.

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This is where the mild air is, this is where the colder air is.

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So we have that northerly, north-easterly wind,

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bringing those chilly conditions.

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Lots of shells on Saturday across

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North Sea coasts and further inland as well.

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Hail a possibility.

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Nine degrees, a wind-chill as well.

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And then on Saturday night, Bonfire Night, it's not looking too bad.

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There will be some clear skies around but more of a breeze

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and a chance of catching some showers,

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but I think there will be some good conditions around as well.

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Here's Sunday, again you can see the air is coming in from the

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north and north-east.

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Chilly conditions, it really will be Mickey in Newcastle.

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And barely into double figures across the south.

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Let's see what's happening in the next week.

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So we have high pressure towards the south and then these weather fronts

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try to push in into north-western parts of the UK.

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You will notice rain here.

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It all follows the same pattern of the Jet Stream.

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When we see the Jet Stream coming in from the north,

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that's when where our air is coming from.

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So it's still going to be on the chilly side.

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Had this Jet stream been further south, going that way,

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it would have been milder.

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But this is slightly, not mild air,

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but slightly less cold air that will be toppling over and the really

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chilly crisp air will be moving a little bit further towards the east.

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So not as cold, not as crisp, but still chilly.

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There will be rain at times throughout the UK

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but the driest of the weather will remain in the south.

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Thanks for watching.

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