04/01/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


04/01/2017

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Hello, there. Yes, I know it's early days,

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but so far our January weather has not been too troubling.

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We have seen winter features from day to day,

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and, in actual fact,

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with clear skies by day

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leading to a hard frost through the night,

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we've some beautiful Weather Watchers pictures sent in -

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but, once the frost has lifted

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and the ice has cleared,

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we've had some glorious spells of sunshine, as well.

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This was Tuesday afternoon

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down in the south-west, in Cornwall -

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certainly the place to be.

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Some stormy skies further north and east,

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and some rough seas, as well,

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and it looks as though we will continue to see,

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up into the north-east,

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rough seas through the course of the day today.

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Still a bit more of a breeze.

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This weak weather front

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continues to sink its way south and west.

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It's not really producing that much in the way of rain.

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A band of cloud, drizzly rain sinking south-west,

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so, a slow improvement through the Midlands, North Wales,

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Northern Ireland and anywhere north of that.

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Beautiful blue sky and sunshine for much of Wednesday afternoon.

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Always the risk of a few sharp showers

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with that wind off the North Sea coast,

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highs of 4 to 9 degrees,

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but, with clear skies by day, that's going to lead to clear skies

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through the night,

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and temperatures again falling away really quite sharply.

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Widely, even in towns and city centres,

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temperatures close to or just below freezing,

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so, in more rural spots,

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we could see lows down to minus 5,

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minus 6 degrees - maybe even lower,

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so, it's going to be a bitterly cold start

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to Thursday morning.

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Hopefully, though, yet again with some blue sky and sunshine.

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We need to keep an eye on some freezing fog patches,

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and I will keep you posted on developments of that,

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but through the day, dry, lots of sunshine coming through,

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bit more of a breeze

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and thicker cloud out to the west

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because of these fronts that are likely to push in during Friday,

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bringing some breezier conditions, yes -

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outbreaks of rain steadily spilling south and east,

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perhaps staying dry until daylight hours, though,

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across much of the south-east corner.

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It'll be windy with it - some of the rain quite heavy

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across the north-west, and it will continue to sink south.

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Top temperatures of around 7 to 11.

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But as we move out of the weekend, that weather will clear

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across the south, and things quieten down quite nicely.

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High pressure hanging on into the south -

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but it does look as though the weekend doesn't look to bad at all.

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It'll be breezy,

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and the strongest of the winds always the further north you are,

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with a scattering of isolated showers,

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but a largely dry day in the offing on Saturday,

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6 to 11 degrees the high,

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the winds perhaps strengthening a little more on Sunday,

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and, because they're coming from a westerly direction,

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always the risk of a few more showers

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on exposed west-facing coasts,

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but, again, a good deal of usable weather in the story.

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So, what's happening, then,

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in the longer six to ten day period?

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Well, this is what we've had so far this January -

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with high pressure dominating across much of the country

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and lows up into the north,

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and we've got this really rather unusual looking jet stream -

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quite flabby - and we can all relate to that,

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really, at this time of year,

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and the jet stream is going to firm up over the next few days,

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and it will become a little more organised

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and a little more fast-moving.

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That's going to allow these low pressures

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to continue to dominate up into the north,

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but the jet stream may well sink a little bit further south

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in the longer six to ten day period, and if that happens,

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the unsettled weather will also sink a little bit further south.

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There is still a level of uncertainty

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as to just where this high is sitting,

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and the influence that's going to have

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across central and southern parts of the UK,

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but it does look as though things will get a little bit more mobile,

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a little more unsettled in the longer term picture.

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So, more unsettled weather into the north,

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potentially drier further south.

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I will, of course, firm up on the position of that high pressure,

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if I can, over the next few days.

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Until then, take care.

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