Episode 2 The Secret War on Terror


Episode 2

Similar Content

Browse content similar to Episode 2. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

For ten years, the West has waged a secret war against Al-Qaeda.

0:00:070:00:11

Last time, we detailed America's campaign of abduction, clandestine interrogation and torture.

0:00:130:00:20

But in recent years, the secret war has moved into a new phase.

0:00:230:00:29

The best game in town, the one that's shifted the battlefield in our favour.

0:00:310:00:35

Under increasing pressure, Al-Qaeda has found ways to adapt and strike back, to deadly effect.

0:00:350:00:42

It's not a watch, it's a detonator.

0:00:420:00:46

To kill as much as I can, insha'Allah.

0:00:460:00:48

President Obama claims he has the enemy on the run...

0:00:480:00:52

We have put Al-Qaeda on a path to defeat, and we will not relent until the job is done.

0:00:520:00:57

..hunting down its leaders right to the very top.

0:00:570:01:02

This was way high risk. If you're having a bunch of guys

0:01:020:01:05

running around a hot compound

0:01:050:01:06

at night, with high walls, he ain't gonna come out but feet first, I think.

0:01:060:01:12

I've watched this story unfold since 9/11.

0:01:150:01:19

For this series, I've talked to those at the heart

0:01:190:01:22

of this secret war, including the former head of MI5.

0:01:220:01:25

In her first ever television interview, she reveals how the threat escalated.

0:01:250:01:31

We felt...really, really oppressed by the scale of what we were having to deal with

0:01:310:01:35

and the choices we were having to make.

0:01:350:01:37

After a decade of fighting the world's most formidable terrorist organisation

0:01:410:01:46

and with Bin Laden now dead, is the West winning?

0:01:460:01:51

And are we now any safer from attack?

0:01:510:01:53

Schiphol Airport, Amsterdam.

0:02:180:02:21

On Christmas Day 2009,

0:02:210:02:24

Jasper Schuringa was heading to America on Flight 253

0:02:240:02:27

to spend the holidays with his sister.

0:02:270:02:30

'The beginning of the flight was just like any regular flight.

0:02:430:02:47

'It was easy-going, I slept, just had some breakfast.'

0:02:470:02:50

'As we begin our approach, please make sure that all seats are in the upright position...'

0:02:580:03:02

'The plane was getting ready for final approach.

0:03:020:03:05

'Suddenly, we heard like an explosion.

0:03:050:03:08

A real sharp explosion.

0:03:080:03:11

And when you hear an explosion in a plane,

0:03:110:03:14

you really...like, your heart stops.

0:03:140:03:16

Come here!

0:03:180:03:19

But Jasper reacted instinctively.

0:03:190:03:22

He launched himself straight at the bomber.

0:03:220:03:24

'He was trying to do something in the area of his underpants, so I grabbed this bomb thing.'

0:03:240:03:30

It was on fire, it was a really strange object.

0:03:300:03:33

'But he was trying to resist, and the bomb residue was dripping on the floor,'

0:03:330:03:39

so at that point my major concern was that this plane was getting on fire.

0:03:390:03:43

He was very scared, he was, like, shivering, and he had liked this dead,

0:03:430:03:49

dead look in his eyes, like he thought he was already gone, I thought, that he might be in heaven.

0:03:490:03:55

Give me a hand! Hold his leg!

0:03:560:03:58

'I told him, I said to him, "So what is wrong with you?"'

0:04:010:04:05

"How can you do this?" And then I slapped him.

0:04:050:04:08

Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab had a bomb sewn into his underwear.

0:04:100:04:15

It contained the highly explosive powder PETN,

0:04:150:04:19

and he was struggling to trigger a full-scale explosion that would have brought down the plane.

0:04:190:04:24

Flight 253, safe on the ground after what the White House says was a serious terrorist attempt.

0:04:340:04:41

It was later on that I found out, I think a day later that I found out

0:04:410:04:44

it was actually Al-Qaeda and the big terrorist network behind it.

0:04:440:04:49

-How lucky were you?

-We really shouldn't be here,

0:04:510:04:55

because the first pop that we had in the plane, that was supposed to be the final detonation of the bomb.

0:04:550:05:02

And so I don't know why, maybe it was my little angel on my shoulder,

0:05:020:05:06

but...yeah, so...we survived.

0:05:060:05:10

How close did Abdulmutallab come to succeeding over Detroit on Christmas Day?

0:05:130:05:19

Unfortunately, too close.

0:05:200:05:22

This particular individual was putting these explosives together.

0:05:220:05:26

I would consider it to be, as my experts would,

0:05:260:05:29

to be very creative and very good.

0:05:290:05:31

What are you doing?!

0:05:310:05:32

How do you regard the passenger who tackled Abdulmutallab?

0:05:320:05:36

A hero!

0:05:360:05:38

A true hero.

0:05:380:05:40

More than eight years after 9/11, Al-Qaeda could still breach security

0:05:410:05:46

at a European airport and be seconds away from destroying an American aircraft over an American city.

0:05:460:05:52

The bomber, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab,

0:05:550:05:58

had been identified to the CIA as a known extremist,

0:05:580:06:01

but he was never stopped from boarding a flight.

0:06:010:06:04

It wasn't meant to be like this.

0:06:080:06:11

Since 9/11, intelligence agencies on both sides of the Atlantic

0:06:110:06:14

have had massive increases in funding to counter the terrorist threat.

0:06:140:06:18

MI5's budget increased dramatically after the 2005 London bombings.

0:06:180:06:24

In Britain, even before the attacks, intelligence chiefs were alarmed

0:06:250:06:29

as they were inundated with potential plots.

0:06:290:06:32

We felt...really, really oppressed

0:06:330:06:37

by the scale of what we were having to deal with

0:06:370:06:40

and the choices we were having to make, which was why, when I became director general,

0:06:400:06:45

I asked the Prime Minister and the Cabinet for substantial extra resources

0:06:450:06:50

to deal with this... much greater problem than we had previously anticipated.

0:06:500:06:56

By the summer of 2006, the increased funding was beginning to pay off.

0:06:590:07:05

British and American intelligence were now tracking the biggest terrorist plot since 9/11.

0:07:050:07:10

It was destined to change the nature of air travel for millions across the world.

0:07:100:07:16

It was, and remains today, ten years in, the most significant plot that we've faced.

0:07:190:07:24

It's my view that it was intended to be a fifth anniversary attack.

0:07:240:07:31

The plans were ambitious and extensive.

0:07:320:07:37

The technology was simple.

0:07:370:07:39

The plot was to smuggle explosives concealed in soft-drinks bottles

0:07:450:07:49

through airport security at Heathrow.

0:07:490:07:51

They came up with a very innovative solution, which was a binary explosive.

0:07:540:07:58

Combine the two liquids and you have an explosive.

0:07:580:08:03

Make it look like Gatorade or some sort of drink,

0:08:030:08:06

and onboard it goes and probably would have been effective.

0:08:060:08:10

To demonstrate what the liquid bombs would have done to an airliner, the BBC conducted this experiment

0:08:100:08:16

using the same ingredients and formula as the bombers.

0:08:160:08:21

The plan was to detonate bombs on seven transatlantic flights simultaneously.

0:08:290:08:35

It would have been an attack conducted by British citizens

0:08:350:08:39

against the United States of America and Canada.

0:08:390:08:44

If the explosions had taken place in mid-Atlantic,

0:08:440:08:49

the chances are high that we would not have known how it had happened.

0:08:490:08:53

The airline industry would have closed down

0:08:530:08:58

or been severely altered for a number of years,

0:08:580:09:02

and it would have been a major political success for Al-Qaeda.

0:09:020:09:07

But the expansion of covert surveillance in Britain and America was producing results.

0:09:150:09:21

The scale of the surveillance was unprecedented.

0:09:250:09:29

It was of such a scale that it enabled us to have complete visibility

0:09:290:09:35

on the planning and the experimentation and the activities of these people.

0:09:350:09:40

So we were quite content that we could keep the public safe at the same time as gathering evidence.

0:09:400:09:45

Surveillance teams watched the plotters until they were on the brink of carrying out the attack.

0:09:490:09:54

They even listened in as the suicide videos were being recorded.

0:09:550:10:01

We Muslims are people of honour.

0:10:030:10:06

We are people of izzat, we're brave.

0:10:060:10:08

We've warned you so many times to get out of our lands, leave us alone.

0:10:080:10:12

And now the time has come for you to be destroyed,

0:10:120:10:14

and you have nothing but to expect but floods of martyr operation,

0:10:140:10:18

volcanoes of anger and revenge erupting amongst your capital.

0:10:180:10:22

SIRENS WAIL

0:10:260:10:29

The police moved in and arrested the plotters.

0:10:290:10:32

Six young British Muslims were convicted and sentenced to life.

0:10:340:10:37

It was an unprecedented success for the West's secret war on terror.

0:10:410:10:46

If they were conducting that plot against our security services

0:10:480:10:53

as they existed in 2000 or 2001,

0:10:530:10:57

that plot succeeds.

0:10:570:10:59

But we've changed, we've gotten better.

0:10:590:11:02

That plot is much more difficult now for them to pull off.

0:11:020:11:06

But what happened next would show that the intelligence services still faced formidable obstacles.

0:11:090:11:14

The airlines plot, like many others,

0:11:160:11:19

was conceived, organised and directed not from Britain, but from Pakistan.

0:11:190:11:23

One of the instigators was British-born Rashid Rauf,

0:11:250:11:28

the son of a baker from Birmingham.

0:11:280:11:31

Rauf was now living in Pakistan.

0:11:340:11:36

I think there's little doubt that Rashid Rauf was a key planner,

0:11:400:11:44

a key plotter, probably a key leader in this.

0:11:440:11:47

He was obviously a link between the network here in the UK

0:11:470:11:51

and Al-Qaeda leadership in Pakistan.

0:11:510:11:53

He was very connected to core Al-Qaeda all the way up to the leadership.

0:11:530:12:00

He was very involved with the leadership of external operations,

0:12:000:12:04

so he was intimately involved with core Al-Qaeda and I consider him a member of core Al-Qaeda.

0:12:040:12:10

Shortly before the plotters were arrested in the UK, Rauf was seized by the Pakistani authorities.

0:12:130:12:19

But, just 16 months later, he escaped.

0:12:210:12:24

On the way back from court, he'd asked to stop off at a fast food outlet.

0:12:280:12:33

He then asked to pray at the mosque next door.

0:12:380:12:41

As his guards waited in the car outside,

0:12:440:12:46

Rashid Rauf slipped out of the back.

0:12:460:12:49

We had, not only a player,

0:12:510:12:53

not only a critical player, but a critical player

0:12:530:12:55

directed against citizens of the UK and America

0:12:550:13:00

and it looked like he went out the back door.

0:13:000:13:02

I remember the morning I heard that, like, "I can't believe this."

0:13:020:13:05

This isn't some chump change facilitator, this is a player.

0:13:050:13:08

So, I confess, a lot of anger and frustration.

0:13:080:13:11

Rauf's escape highlighted the fundamental tensions in the relationship

0:13:130:13:17

between western intelligence and their counterparts in Pakistan.

0:13:170:13:21

Pakistan, and especially Pakistan's army and intelligence service,

0:13:250:13:30

is our most important ally in the war against Al-Qaeda

0:13:300:13:33

and our most difficult ally in the war against Al-Qaeda.

0:13:330:13:37

And nothing demonstrated these difficulties more

0:13:370:13:40

than the fate of Osama Bin Laden after he fled Afghanistan in 2001.

0:13:400:13:44

We're going to smoke him out,

0:13:440:13:46

and we're adjusting our thinking to the new type of enemy.

0:13:460:13:51

There's an old poster out west that said, "Wanted dead or alive."

0:13:510:13:57

But the key question was, where was he?

0:14:000:14:02

I used to brief President Bush every Thursday morning.

0:14:040:14:07

I got that question in some way, shape or form once a week every Thursday morning.

0:14:070:14:12

And I came back and I called my chief of counter-terrorism and said,

0:14:120:14:16

"Come on, for the nth time, the President of United States has asked me,

0:14:160:14:22

"Why can't we find Osama bin Laden?"

0:14:220:14:25

And my chief of counter-terrorism, a very serious man, very talented,

0:14:250:14:29

leans forward and says, in response to my question, "Why can't we find him?

0:14:290:14:34

"Because he's hiding."

0:14:340:14:36

Hiding, yes, but not in a cave.

0:14:400:14:43

We now know, that from at least 2005,

0:14:430:14:45

America's high value target number one

0:14:450:14:48

was actually living under the nose

0:14:480:14:51

of Pakistan's intelligence agency, the ISI,

0:14:510:14:54

in a garrison town a mere 40 miles from Islamabad.

0:14:540:14:58

To think that nobody was aware that something unusual was going on,

0:14:580:15:02

I think, is a bit of a stretch.

0:15:020:15:04

These suspicions arise because, for more than 30 years,

0:15:040:15:08

Pakistan has fought its own secret war in the region,

0:15:080:15:11

to serve its own strategic ends.

0:15:110:15:14

Pakistan has encouraged Islamist militants to fight its enemies

0:15:140:15:17

since the 1980s when the Russians invaded Afghanistan.

0:15:170:15:21

Against the Soviet Union we encouraged a Jihad.

0:15:210:15:25

We called it a Jihad and we called it a Jihad because we wanted mujahideen,

0:15:250:15:30

and we called them mujahideen to come from all over the Muslim world.

0:15:300:15:34

And they came from Morocco to Indonesia,

0:15:340:15:36

everyone came, 35,000, roughly.

0:15:360:15:39

And then we trained Taliban and sent them in.

0:15:390:15:41

From tribal agencies of Pakistan,

0:15:410:15:44

so we introduced religious militancy in Afghanistan,

0:15:440:15:49

and its fallout on Pakistan

0:15:490:15:51

and also we introduced the concept of Jihad.

0:15:510:15:55

Pakistan, and especially the Pakistani army,

0:15:550:15:58

over the course of the last three or four decades,

0:15:580:16:00

has been the incubator and midwife

0:16:000:16:03

of more international terrorist Jihadist organisations

0:16:030:16:06

than any other in the world.

0:16:060:16:08

In effect, they have created a Jihadist Frankenstein

0:16:080:16:11

in order to pursue their own national security interests.

0:16:110:16:13

The suspicion was that Pakistan tolerated, even aided,

0:16:160:16:19

the fugitive Al-Qaeda leadership inside the country,

0:16:190:16:22

enabling them to carry out further attacks on the west.

0:16:220:16:26

And, following his escape in 2006, Rashid Rauf,

0:16:270:16:31

one of the suspected instigators of the airlines plot,

0:16:310:16:34

was soon operational again.

0:16:340:16:37

Less than two years later,

0:16:370:16:40

he met a young Jihadi volunteer who'd been brought up in America.

0:16:400:16:44

This was the new, very dangerous model, which is, "We, Al-Qaeda, will recruit you.

0:16:480:16:53

"We will train you to be very capable."

0:16:530:16:56

And he was very capable in terms of the explosives he was making.

0:16:560:16:59

Very dangerous, very, very potent.

0:16:590:17:02

"And then we'll send you home and you figure out what your targets

0:17:050:17:08

"going to be, but just make it big and impactful."

0:17:080:17:11

After being trained in Pakistan, new recruit Najibullah Zazi headed back to America.

0:17:270:17:33

He'd been identified as a terrorist suspect through intercepted e-mails.

0:17:370:17:42

The FBI secretly monitored him buying peroxide and acetone,

0:17:420:17:46

household products that were the ingredients for a bomb.

0:17:460:17:49

This was the real thing. This wasn't aspirational.

0:17:510:17:54

This wasn't, "He was planning to or thinking about."

0:17:540:17:57

This was he had built the explosives, tested them, understood that he could build them and was going to New York

0:17:570:18:02

to manufacture more explosives and then to deploy that operation likely in New York.

0:18:020:18:07

Zazi planned to strike at the very heart of New York, but FBI agents were watching.

0:18:080:18:14

They saw him visiting some of the biggest transport intersections like Grand Central Station

0:18:150:18:21

and suspected he was planning a catastrophic attack on the subway.

0:18:210:18:25

But, before he could act, the police arrested him and two other members of his cell.

0:18:270:18:31

Were it not for the combined efforts of the law enforcement and intelligence communities,

0:18:340:18:39

it could have been devastating.

0:18:390:18:40

The FBI's operation disrupted what would have been America's first home-grown suicide attack.

0:18:440:18:50

Najibullah Zazi represented probably the gravest threat of terrorism on American soil since 9/11.

0:18:560:19:01

For the second time, a major plot linked to Rashid Rauf

0:19:050:19:09

had narrowly failed to inflict massive civilian casualties.

0:19:090:19:13

In November 2008, it appears that Rashid Rauf's career

0:19:240:19:28

as a key Al-Qaeda operative suddenly came to an end.

0:19:280:19:32

My information is that Rashid Rauf...

0:19:380:19:41

..was killed in a drone attack.

0:19:420:19:45

For several years, the Americans had been developing a new state-of-the-art tactic.

0:19:490:19:54

It's a high-tech pilotless drone aircraft with a lethal payload of hellfire missiles.

0:19:540:20:01

It's used to target key figures in Al-Qaeda,

0:20:020:20:05

bypassing the need for Pakistan's sometimes unreliable co-operation.

0:20:050:20:10

It's known as the Predator.

0:20:110:20:13

Barack Obama's election victory in November 2008

0:20:340:20:37

signalled a fundamental shift in America's approach to the war against Al-Qaeda.

0:20:370:20:42

Under previous president George W Bush, the CIA and the military had been given free rein

0:20:440:20:50

to wage a secret war against the terrorists using abduction,

0:20:500:20:54

secret interrogation black sites and torture.

0:20:540:20:58

America doesn't torture,

0:21:000:21:01

and I'm going to make sure that we don't torture.

0:21:010:21:05

Those are part and parcel of an effort to regain America's moral stature in the world.

0:21:050:21:11

Obama pledged to restore human rights in the balance of liberty and security.

0:21:140:21:19

But behind the liberal rhetoric was a clinical decision

0:21:190:21:22

to hit Al-Qaeda hard, using legally contentious means.

0:21:220:21:27

America first deployed its new secret weapon under George W Bush,

0:21:310:21:36

but now Obama decided to ratchet up the use of these pilotless aircraft.

0:21:360:21:41

My agency has pointed out

0:21:430:21:45

that a significant fraction of Al-Qaeda's senior leadership

0:21:450:21:48

in the tribal region has, the euphemism we have used is

0:21:480:21:51

"taken off the battlefield".

0:21:510:21:53

By the way, "taken off the battlefield" used to mean "killed or captured".

0:21:530:21:57

In the last couple of years, "taken off the battlefield" simply means killed.

0:21:570:22:02

We just aren't doing many, any, capturing.

0:22:020:22:05

Although launched from Afghanistan,

0:22:120:22:15

the drones are piloted by remote control thousands of miles away inside the United States.

0:22:150:22:20

The military is happy to show off its drones,

0:22:220:22:25

but the CIA programme is so secret

0:22:250:22:27

the agency won't even acknowledge its existence.

0:22:270:22:31

A significant portion of Al-Qaeda senior leadership in the tribal region of Pakistan has been killed.

0:22:310:22:37

-By drones?

-Well, your words, not mine.

0:22:370:22:39

All I can say is they've been killed.

0:22:390:22:41

Killed with suddenness and precision, I could add.

0:22:410:22:45

President Obama has authorised more than 160 drone strikes,

0:22:500:22:54

almost four times those sanctioned by President Bush.

0:22:540:22:57

The best game in town,

0:23:000:23:02

the one that's shifted the battlefield in our favour.

0:23:020:23:08

It has been a very strong,

0:23:080:23:12

significant force in making Al-Qaeda's senior leadership

0:23:120:23:17

spend most of their waking moments worrying about their survival

0:23:170:23:21

rather than threatening yours or mine.

0:23:210:23:23

And that is a war-winning effort.

0:23:230:23:26

But there's a downside to drone attacks -

0:23:290:23:32

hundreds of civilians have been killed.

0:23:320:23:35

CHANTING

0:23:350:23:37

Protests have mounted across Pakistan,

0:23:410:23:43

fuelling anti-American propaganda even more.

0:23:430:23:47

What's your view of the drone attacks on Pakistani soil?

0:24:060:24:10

I'm sure they pick up the right targets.

0:24:100:24:12

But then there is the problem of collateral damage, number one.

0:24:130:24:18

Killing of civilians.

0:24:180:24:19

And the second issue of violation of our territorial integrity or sovereignty.

0:24:190:24:25

Did you say the Americans could do this?

0:24:250:24:28

-Did you say they could carry out drone attacks on Pakistani soil?

-No.

0:24:280:24:32

-I didn't say that.

-You didn't agree to it?

-No. No.

0:24:320:24:34

The use of drone strikes

0:24:350:24:37

inside countries where the US is not involved in armed conflict

0:24:370:24:41

is a violation of international law according to some authorities.

0:24:410:24:45

And some believe it's tantamount to unlawful extra-judicial killing.

0:24:450:24:50

This is a quite awesome power,

0:24:520:24:54

the power to label somebody as an enemy

0:24:540:24:57

and by virtue of having labelled them as an enemy,

0:24:570:25:00

wipe them out without judicial process of any kind.

0:25:000:25:03

Isn't that state authorised assassination?

0:25:030:25:06

To target suspects, fire missiles at them from out of the sky?

0:25:060:25:11

Absolutely not.

0:25:110:25:12

In the traditional conduct of war,

0:25:120:25:15

and, Peter, that's the punchline here, this is a war.

0:25:150:25:19

You asked the question, aren't these assassinations?

0:25:190:25:21

No. They're not assassinations.

0:25:210:25:23

This is armed conflict.

0:25:230:25:25

This is action against opposing armed enemy force.

0:25:250:25:27

This is an inherent right of the American state to self-defence.

0:25:270:25:31

But the war is in Afghanistan, not in Pakistan.

0:25:310:25:33

That may be some people's views.

0:25:330:25:35

But it's not the view of the United States government.

0:25:350:25:38

The President... Two Presidents of the United States have said we are at war.

0:25:380:25:42

We've seen, over and over again, the administration,

0:25:420:25:46

first the Bush administration and now the Obama administration,

0:25:460:25:50

label somebody as a terrorist, only to find out later on

0:25:500:25:53

that the evidence we relied on was weak or just outright wrong.

0:25:530:25:57

The first question is have they identified the person right?

0:26:020:26:05

The second question is have they targeted, have they got the right place to shoot the drone at,

0:26:050:26:10

is that where the individual really is?

0:26:100:26:12

The odds of them getting that right are very slim.

0:26:120:26:15

The third problem is who does get killed?

0:26:150:26:17

Are these really Taliban people in Al-Qaeda

0:26:170:26:20

or are they random civilians who had nothing to do with it?

0:26:200:26:22

It would be naive to believe the propaganda that says that

0:26:240:26:28

firing these fantastic weapons is killing the right people.

0:26:280:26:31

Although President Obama may be free of the stigma of abduction and torture,

0:26:340:26:39

drone attacks are now fuelling Al-Qaeda propaganda

0:26:390:26:43

just as the abuses under the Bush administration once did.

0:26:430:26:46

And they're driving more recruits to the terrorist cause,

0:26:460:26:50

as one dramatic event in late 2009 was to prove.

0:26:500:26:54

Forward Operating Base Chapman is the intelligence nerve centre

0:26:580:27:03

of America's secret drone war.

0:27:030:27:05

Located in Khost, just across the Afghan border from Pakistan,

0:27:060:27:09

it's where the CIA gather pinpoint intelligence to target the drones.

0:27:090:27:14

The drones only work

0:27:160:27:18

if you have good human intelligence sources on the ground

0:27:180:27:21

that tell you where to fly.

0:27:210:27:22

From here, the CIA runs a network of spies and informers.

0:27:270:27:32

This is the precarious frontline in the secret war on terror.

0:27:320:27:36

If you're going to run assets into the tribal belt

0:27:380:27:42

on the Pakistani side of the Afghan-Pakistan border,

0:27:420:27:46

you have to be as close as possible.

0:27:460:27:48

You don't want to have to communicate with them from afar.

0:27:480:27:51

You want to be able to deal with your assets within an hour or so

0:27:510:27:55

after they leave Pakistan.

0:27:550:27:58

This is very dangerous work against a very capable enemy.

0:27:590:28:03

That's an example of our pursuing the kind of exquisite intelligence

0:28:050:28:09

that is legally and morally required

0:28:090:28:11

before you can carry on some of these activities.

0:28:110:28:15

This is not without risk.

0:28:150:28:16

Towards the end of 2009,

0:28:250:28:27

the CIA agents at the base were presented with a unique opportunity.

0:28:270:28:32

Jordanian intelligence had a Palestinian source called Khalil al-Balawi

0:28:350:28:41

who said he'd infiltrated the highest ranks of Al-Qaeda.

0:28:410:28:44

In this case, you had an asset who had spent considerable time

0:28:460:28:52

building his cover story, that he was a penetration of Al-Qaeda.

0:28:520:28:57

That he'd been Al-Qaeda propagandist.

0:28:570:29:00

But that he had turned,

0:29:000:29:01

he had come to see that Al-Qaeda was an enemy of Islam.

0:29:010:29:04

What al-Balawi was offering was the holy grail of the secret intelligence war.

0:29:070:29:11

Al-Balawi was offering extraordinary information,

0:29:180:29:22

something we'd been looking for for a decade and hadn't even come close to,

0:29:220:29:26

the location of high-value target number two,

0:29:260:29:29

and perhaps high-value target number one,

0:29:290:29:32

Ayman al-Zawahiri and Osama bin Laden.

0:29:320:29:35

Second only to the elusive Osama bin Laden,

0:29:370:29:40

al-Zawahiri was the strategic mastermind of Al-Qaeda.

0:29:400:29:44

Al-Balawi's story seemed highly credible,

0:29:440:29:47

an opportunity that could not be missed

0:29:470:29:50

and he came with eye-watering proof of his association with Zawahiri.

0:29:500:29:54

My understanding is that he actually provided photographs

0:29:570:30:00

that showed him and Zawahiri meeting together.

0:30:000:30:04

The ultimate proof that he knew where the target was.

0:30:040:30:10

The CIA agents arranged to meet their priceless asset at the base.

0:30:100:30:14

When al-Balawi arrived with his Jordanian handler,

0:30:210:30:24

the most valuable asset the agency had ever recruited in its secret war against Al-Qaeda

0:30:240:30:29

was greeted by a CIA reception committee.

0:30:290:30:32

But only hours before he entered the CIA compound,

0:30:380:30:41

al-Balawi had recorded this chilling video message for his hosts.

0:30:410:30:45

As al-Balawi stepped down from the car,

0:31:250:31:27

the CIA moved in to check him out.

0:31:270:31:30

They were concerned that his hands were still under his cloak.

0:31:330:31:36

Al-Balawi pressed the button.

0:31:380:31:39

EXPLOSION

0:31:400:31:42

Seven CIA officers were killed, including the head of station.

0:31:440:31:49

It was the deadliest attack on the CIA in more than 25 years.

0:31:490:31:54

The attack at Khost showed just how sophisticated and cunning Al-Qaeda has become.

0:31:570:32:03

It's not a watch, it's a detonator. To kill as much as I can.

0:32:030:32:09

In this deadliest of spy games,

0:32:090:32:11

Al-Qaeda had outwitted the CIA and won.

0:32:110:32:15

God willing, I go to paradise and you will be sent to hell.

0:32:150:32:19

You had here an operation where Al-Qaeda is running it

0:32:200:32:23

and using two allies in order to facilitate the operation.

0:32:230:32:28

A triple agent, three organisations involved in running it,

0:32:280:32:33

a prior suicide video already made.

0:32:330:32:35

This was a very elaborate and very thought-through operation.

0:32:350:32:39

Sitting next to al-Balawi in the suicide video

0:32:540:32:57

was the brother of the Taliban leader in Pakistan

0:32:570:32:59

who'd been killed in a drone attack six months earlier.

0:32:590:33:03

May Allah have mercy on him.

0:33:050:33:06

We taught the American CIA and Jordanian intelligence

0:33:060:33:09

a lesson they will never forget with Allah's permission.

0:33:090:33:13

The attack on the CIA base was clinical revenge.

0:33:150:33:18

The damage inflicted by drones has dealt Al-Qaeda a crippling blow.

0:33:250:33:31

Pakistan is no longer seen as a safe haven.

0:33:310:33:33

No longer can Al-Qaeda train and organise in its tribal areas with impunity.

0:33:330:33:38

That's a key reason why Al-Qaeda's focus has changed.

0:33:400:33:43

It's always been a learning organisation. It's always adapted.

0:33:440:33:49

It's, for want of a better phrase, a worthy adversary in that sense.

0:33:490:33:53

But I think as a measure of our success,

0:33:530:33:57

Al-Qaeda has been forced to adapt,

0:33:570:33:59

perhaps in ways they would not have chosen otherwise.

0:33:590:34:03

It's suffered lots of setbacks. It's lost some key people.

0:34:050:34:10

But like all terrorist organisations, it mutates and learns.

0:34:100:34:15

Franchises spread out so there will be groups all around the world,

0:34:160:34:21

some of whom may be directed today by the core of Al-Qaeda.

0:34:210:34:24

You know, it looks as though the only place we don't think it is is Antarctica.

0:34:260:34:30

The Christmas Day attack on the flight over Detroit

0:34:360:34:39

was a terrifying demonstration of Al-Qaeda's new flexibility.

0:34:390:34:43

The young bomber, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab,

0:34:430:34:46

had never set foot in Pakistan.

0:34:460:34:48

The Nigerian student had been trained in Yemen

0:34:590:35:02

by Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, or AQAP.

0:35:020:35:05

In my opinion, AQAP right now

0:35:080:35:11

is a greater imminent threat than core Al-Qaeda.

0:35:110:35:15

Yemen has now become an alternative location for terrorist training,

0:35:160:35:20

a location that boasts its own charismatic Al-Qaeda figurehead.

0:35:200:35:24

It is important that we present the proper role models

0:35:310:35:35

for ourselves to follow, for our children.

0:35:350:35:39

'Anwar al-Awlaki is an American citizen,

0:35:390:35:42

'the Bin Laden of the Internet.

0:35:420:35:44

'He has both charisma and a track record.

0:35:440:35:47

'He's been linked to the most recent terrorist attacks on the West...'

0:35:470:35:51

..we need to study their biographies, learn about them.

0:35:510:35:54

'..and has squeezed every ounce of propaganda

0:35:540:35:57

'from the abortive aircraft attack over Detroit.'

0:35:570:36:00

Our brother Umar Farouk has succeeded in breaking through

0:36:010:36:05

the security systems that have cost the US government alone

0:36:050:36:08

over 40 billion since 9/11.

0:36:080:36:13

So, al-Awlaki's more than just a cleric?

0:36:130:36:16

Much more than just a cleric.

0:36:160:36:18

-What is he?

-He's a terrorist.

0:36:180:36:20

And he's involved increasingly in virtually every plot we see

0:36:200:36:24

emanating from the Arabian peninsular,

0:36:240:36:26

because of the power of his ideological message.

0:36:260:36:29

'Because of the global reach of the Internet

0:36:290:36:32

'and the fact that he speaks English,

0:36:320:36:34

'al-Awlaki has managed to radicalise

0:36:340:36:37

'and recruit young Muslims around the world,

0:36:370:36:40

'seduced by his call to jihad.

0:36:400:36:41

'He's becoming the spokesman for an Islamist revolution.'

0:36:410:36:45

'We cannot stand idly in the face of such aggression,

0:36:450:36:48

'and we will fight back and incite others to do the same.'

0:36:480:36:51

What a terrible tragedy. Stunning.

0:36:530:36:55

As I say, as I've gone around to the hospital here,

0:36:550:36:58

as I've been at the scene,

0:36:580:36:59

soldiers and family members

0:36:590:37:01

and many of the great civilians that work here are absolutely devastated.

0:37:010:37:04

'Al-Awlaki was mentor to Major Nidal Hasan,

0:37:060:37:08

'a Palestinian psychiatrist serving in the American military.

0:37:080:37:12

'In November 2009,

0:37:130:37:15

'he shot dead 13 soldiers inside a Texas military base.

0:37:150:37:20

'In May last year, a young British student stabbed and wounded

0:37:270:37:30

'the former Government minister Stephen Timms

0:37:300:37:33

'at his constituency surgery.

0:37:330:37:34

'She admitted she'd drawn the inspiration to kill him

0:37:340:37:38

'from watching al-Awlaki on the Internet.'

0:37:380:37:41

A very charismatic individual, he's very articulate,

0:37:410:37:45

and, if we could say, in some shape an intelligent human being,

0:37:450:37:51

albeit warped human being.

0:37:510:37:53

'Last October, al-Awlaki's group managed to place

0:37:540:37:57

'two sophisticated bombs on cargo planes bound for the US.

0:37:570:38:02

'They were concealed in printer cartridges.

0:38:020:38:05

'Had the bombs exploded,

0:38:060:38:08

'the results could have been two Lockerbie-style disasters.'

0:38:080:38:12

It was not only sophisticated, but it was creative.

0:38:140:38:18

And incredibly, incredibly difficult to detect

0:38:190:38:23

through routine measures that are taken.

0:38:230:38:28

'And al-Awlaki lost no opportunity to publicise his coup.

0:38:290:38:33

'His glossy in-house magazine boasted

0:38:330:38:36

'the operation had cost just 4,200,

0:38:360:38:39

'including post and packing.

0:38:390:38:41

'It had forced every cargo company to increase its security,

0:38:430:38:47

'at great cost.

0:38:470:38:48

'Al-Awlaki's revolutionary influence is being felt

0:38:560:38:58

'inside Muslim communities across the English-speaking world.

0:38:580:39:02

'In the UK, a mosque in Luton has experienced the effect.'

0:39:020:39:06

In Anwar al-Awlaki, we can't deny, his knowledge is disseminated.

0:39:100:39:15

People listen to him.

0:39:160:39:17

What's his appeal?

0:39:170:39:19

His appeal is he goes against the grain.

0:39:190:39:22

"Here's America, and here's the West,

0:39:220:39:24

"the great Satans attacking the Muslim lands,

0:39:240:39:27

"we have to defend ourselves."

0:39:270:39:29

So people tend to like this sort of person

0:39:290:39:32

because he's going against the grain.

0:39:320:39:36

'During Ramadan in 2007, a young man came to the Luton Islamic Centre

0:39:360:39:41

'and began expressing extremist views

0:39:410:39:43

'and preaching the need for jihad.

0:39:430:39:45

'The mosque chairman stepped in.'

0:39:450:39:47

I exposed his beliefs in front of the community. He was sitting there,

0:39:470:39:51

listening to all that.

0:39:510:39:52

I thought that would be enough embarrassment for him

0:39:520:39:54

to remain silent, but instead he got up and he stormed out.

0:39:540:39:59

'Then, last December,

0:40:010:40:03

'a suicide bomber attacked the centre of Stockholm.

0:40:030:40:06

'The bomber blew himself up, but luckily, no-one else died,

0:40:060:40:09

'as his bomb exploded

0:40:090:40:11

'before he could reach the busy shopping streets.

0:40:110:40:14

'The bomber's name was Taimour al-Abdaly.

0:40:140:40:17

'He was the young Muslim who'd stormed out of the Luton mosque.'

0:40:170:40:21

It's thought that Anwar al-Awlaki influenced al-Abdaly in Stockholm.

0:40:240:40:29

Would that surprise you?

0:40:290:40:31

No, it wouldn't surprise me, because Anwar al-Awlaki advocates

0:40:310:40:35

suicide bombing, he advocates killing innocent people.

0:40:350:40:38

'Al-Awlaki's influence and ability to communicate directly

0:40:400:40:44

'with so many impressionable young Muslims suggests that

0:40:440:40:47

'it's more important than ever for the community to inform the police

0:40:470:40:51

'about potential extremists.

0:40:510:40:53

'But for many Muslims,

0:40:530:40:54

'that's a difficult and controversial step to take.'

0:40:540:40:57

Didn't you feel any obligation as a British citizen to inform

0:40:570:41:01

the authorities about somebody about whom you're concerned,

0:41:010:41:05

because of his extremist views?

0:41:050:41:07

If we are seen to pass on information about the people we're dealing with

0:41:070:41:12

on a grass-root level, number one, we lose our credibility,

0:41:120:41:16

number two, these people will then go into hiding.

0:41:160:41:19

That makes the job for the intelligence service harder.

0:41:190:41:22

'Al-Awlaki is now a marked man.

0:41:300:41:33

'It's believed that he has become the first American citizen to be

0:41:330:41:36

'designated for capture or killing, authorised by President Obama.

0:41:360:41:41

'A recent drone attack reportedly almost got him.'

0:41:410:41:44

I understand that the President has authorised

0:41:440:41:46

the targeting of al-Awlaki.

0:41:460:41:49

Is that not state-authorised assassination?

0:41:520:41:54

You know I can't comment on that, Peter.

0:41:560:41:58

But he's somebody you would be happy to see removed from the scene?

0:42:000:42:05

What I would be happy is that

0:42:050:42:07

these individuals need to be neutralised in some way.

0:42:070:42:10

'Al-Awlaki personifies the most pressing current threat

0:42:150:42:18

'in the secret war on terror.

0:42:180:42:20

'His ability to preach in English through the Internet has radicalised

0:42:200:42:24

'a new generation.'

0:42:240:42:25

'But many in the intelligence world I've spoken to now point to

0:42:320:42:36

'another looming danger

0:42:360:42:37

'rooted in the spread of militant Islam around the world.'

0:42:370:42:41

'To find out more, I travelled to the cold and unlikely setting

0:42:460:42:50

'of America's Midwest.'

0:42:500:42:51

'Minneapolis is home to the largest community of Somalis

0:42:580:43:01

'in the United States.

0:43:010:43:03

'Most have fled the brutal civil wars

0:43:030:43:06

'that have ravaged their homeland for more than 30 years.

0:43:060:43:08

'Zuhur Ahmed hosts a local community radio show.'

0:43:110:43:14

Here with the Somali community,

0:43:150:43:17

because they're newly-immigrant communities,

0:43:170:43:20

and they have yet to adapt to the American system.

0:43:200:43:23

There's a lot of broken families, there's a lot of issues here,

0:43:230:43:27

and struggles, as far as youth and the older generation,

0:43:270:43:31

there's a gap between parents and their children.

0:43:310:43:34

So, because of all these existing issues,

0:43:340:43:37

of course it created that vulnerable group of young men.

0:43:370:43:42

We're just coming into the Somali area now, are we?

0:43:450:43:49

Yeah, that's correct. This is the Cedar-Riverside area of Minneapolis.

0:43:490:43:53

'FBI agent EK Wilson became concerned

0:43:530:43:57

'three years ago when a number

0:43:570:44:00

'of young Somalis suddenly disappeared from their homes.'

0:44:000:44:03

They had in some cases left for school one morning

0:44:070:44:11

and simply not returned, simply vanished.

0:44:110:44:13

And the parents would have no idea

0:44:130:44:15

where they had gone and what they were doing?

0:44:150:44:18

Correct, right.

0:44:180:44:20

But even given that dramatic set of circumstances,

0:44:200:44:26

there was still nobody coming to the police or nobody coming to the FBI

0:44:260:44:30

saying, "My son disappeared - was he kidnapped?

0:44:300:44:34

"We're concerned for his safety."

0:44:340:44:36

We know that young men had disappeared,

0:44:360:44:41

that they had left their families here in Minneapolis

0:44:410:44:46

without saying where they were going.

0:44:460:44:50

They had made their way back to Somalia.

0:44:500:44:52

'At least 20 young Somalis had left Minneapolis

0:44:570:45:00

'and travelled 8,000 miles to the heart of a brutal civil war.'

0:45:000:45:03

'They'd gone to fight for al-Shabab, which means "the youth",

0:45:150:45:19

'a militant Islamic army fighting for control of the country.'

0:45:190:45:22

'Al-Shabab is affiliated to Al-Qaeda.'

0:45:280:45:31

When you look at the al-Shabab videos,

0:45:310:45:35

they're calling out for the youth, specifically for the youth,

0:45:350:45:38

and they're saying, "Come and fight for your land,

0:45:380:45:40

"fight for your religion,

0:45:400:45:41

"and come and free yourself from the oppression."

0:45:410:45:44

'One of the young men who went to join al-Shabab was Shirwa Ahmed.

0:45:470:45:51

'To his friends,

0:45:510:45:52

'he was just a typical American kid who'd recently left college.'

0:45:520:45:56

'Nimco Ahmed had been his good friend for many years,

0:45:580:46:01

'since their days together at high school.'

0:46:010:46:04

He did well, everything he did.

0:46:060:46:08

Things that every young man does in this country -

0:46:080:46:12

work, go to school, go to the movies,

0:46:120:46:16

play basketball, and just hang out.

0:46:160:46:18

But someone who was never violent,

0:46:210:46:24

someone who never raised their voice at anyone,

0:46:240:46:26

someone who just respected everybody and liked those that knew him.

0:46:260:46:32

'But in 2008, Shirwa Ahmed drove a vehicle loaded with explosives

0:46:340:46:39

'into a Somali government compound and blew himself up,

0:46:390:46:44

'killing 29 people.'

0:46:440:46:45

It never came to mind that

0:46:450:46:47

I would actually know someone who would commit a suicide bombing,

0:46:470:46:52

because that was something that I'd normally just see

0:46:520:46:55

and always be frightened about.

0:46:550:46:57

The first day I actually saw Shirwa's face was on a newspaper.

0:46:570:47:01

And...

0:47:010:47:03

And I just broke down...

0:47:050:47:06

I broke down and I just didn't know

0:47:060:47:10

whether it was the same Shirwa I knew

0:47:100:47:13

or whether this was somebody else.

0:47:130:47:15

He was America's first ever suicide bomber.

0:47:170:47:20

His remains were returned to his family in Minneapolis.

0:47:210:47:25

They are now buried beneath the snow.

0:47:250:47:27

Are you worried about

0:47:390:47:41

young American Muslims going to Somalia,

0:47:410:47:43

joining al-Shabaab and then coming back

0:47:430:47:46

and forming sleeper cells on mainland America?

0:47:460:47:50

Yes and they may have already done that

0:47:500:47:52

and that is one of our missions to detect that and to prevent that.

0:47:520:47:58

But we would be not doing our job if we weren't thinking ahead

0:47:580:48:03

and looking at the possibility that actually some of these folks

0:48:030:48:06

are coming back for planning here in the United States attacks.

0:48:060:48:10

Why do you say some of them may already have done that?

0:48:100:48:13

We have not identified all of those individuals

0:48:130:48:16

that have travelled back to the United States

0:48:160:48:18

so the question is, has that evolution of the group

0:48:180:48:22

and their contacts with other Al-Qaeda affiliates

0:48:220:48:26

matured to the point where the United States is the primary goal?

0:48:260:48:31

In the years since 9/11, the man who designated America

0:48:330:48:37

as Al-Qaeda's primary target, Osama Bin Laden,

0:48:370:48:40

had neither been captured nor killed.

0:48:400:48:42

He was still living in secret in the heart of Pakistan.

0:48:420:48:46

In May 2011, all that changed.

0:48:480:48:52

To me, this was way high risk.

0:48:530:48:56

A series of intelligence fragments finally brought

0:48:560:48:59

an elite squad of US Special Forces in the dead of night

0:48:590:49:03

to a sleepy garrison town near Pakistan's capital Islamabad.

0:49:030:49:07

Their mission, to capture or kill the man who President Obama believed was Al-Qaeda's leader.

0:49:070:49:12

You've got two big risks going in.

0:49:120:49:15

First, we haven't positively identified

0:49:150:49:18

that this is Osama Bin Laden.

0:49:180:49:19

So you're sacrificing potentially US men

0:49:190:49:22

and the US reputation to go after an unknown target.

0:49:220:49:25

Second, that the operation, if the intelligence is accurate,

0:49:250:49:29

somehow ends up in disaster.

0:49:290:49:30

In that case, potentially even to get in a firefight with Pakistani police or military.

0:49:300:49:35

The President and his team watched the entire operation

0:49:350:49:39

unfold from the White House but never breathed a word to Pakistan.

0:49:390:49:42

They feared a leak

0:49:420:49:44

and that Bin Laden might disappear before they could get him.

0:49:440:49:49

The Navy Seals found Bin Laden in his bedroom.

0:49:490:49:53

They shot him twice, once in the chest and once in the head.

0:49:530:49:56

He was unarmed.

0:49:560:49:57

I think the prospect of taking him alive was very low

0:49:580:50:01

but the prospect that somebody said, "You can only take him dead"

0:50:010:50:05

I think is outlandish. I don't buy that for a moment.

0:50:050:50:08

But you're having a bunch of guys running around a hot compound at night with high walls,

0:50:080:50:13

he's not going to come out but feet-first, I think.

0:50:130:50:15

We can say to those families who have lost loved ones

0:50:200:50:23

to Al-Qaeda's terror,

0:50:230:50:25

justice has been done.

0:50:250:50:27

CROWD CHANTS: USA!

0:50:270:50:32

I was disturbed the day after to see Americans on the streets

0:50:340:50:37

in the United States, cos it suggested to me

0:50:370:50:39

first that people were too happy thinking this is the end of a book

0:50:390:50:43

instead of just the end of a chapter. And second that we're celebrating

0:50:430:50:46

the death of a human being. You don't celebrate death.

0:50:460:50:49

But does the fact that Bin Laden was finally hiding

0:50:490:50:52

in such a prominent location suggest

0:50:520:50:55

that Pakistan cannot be trusted as an ally in this secret war?

0:50:550:50:58

To suggest a national conspiracy in Pakistan...

0:51:000:51:02

I mean, let's face it, they had been, not only embarrassed, but humiliated by this exercise.

0:51:020:51:07

And I just don't think the leadership was involved in this kind of protection operation.

0:51:070:51:12

Ten years on from the 9/11 attacks,

0:51:200:51:22

the secret war on terror has changed beyond recognition.

0:51:220:51:26

But even with Bin Laden dead, Al-Qaeda remains resilient.

0:51:260:51:30

The American base at Guantanamo Bay is a stubborn reminder

0:51:340:51:38

of how difficult and controversial the war has been.

0:51:380:51:41

Within days of taking office, President Obama promised to close Guantanamo

0:51:430:51:47

and with it an unedifying chapter in American history.

0:51:470:51:53

And we then provide the process

0:51:530:51:56

whereby Guantanamo will be closed no later than one year from now.

0:51:560:52:00

But more than two years later,

0:52:020:52:04

there are still around 170 detainees held without trial.

0:52:040:52:09

Many Al-Qaeda's hardcore, some who've been ill-treated in the past.

0:52:090:52:15

We were only allowed to film a few and forbidden to show their faces.

0:52:150:52:19

Well, we've been with these guys for nine years. We know...

0:52:220:52:27

We know who we picked off the battlefield,

0:52:270:52:30

we know what type of guys they are

0:52:300:52:32

as far as compliant and non-compliant.

0:52:320:52:36

Just because they are compliant,

0:52:360:52:39

doesn't mean that their ideology has not changed.

0:52:390:52:42

They still want to kill our guards,

0:52:420:52:44

they still want to disrupt our organisation,

0:52:440:52:49

they're still in a fight.

0:52:490:52:52

In the wake of Bin Laden's death,

0:52:520:52:54

some former CIA chiefs maintain that it was the secret

0:52:540:52:58

interrogation techniques that helped identify the courier

0:52:580:53:01

who eventually led to his hideout. It proves, they argue,

0:53:010:53:04

that the techniques were justified.

0:53:040:53:08

The Obama White House dismisses this and says it was the result

0:53:080:53:11

of multiple sources and years of painstaking intelligence work.

0:53:110:53:16

But the death of Bin Laden hasn't solved

0:53:160:53:19

the problem of Guantanamo Bay.

0:53:190:53:21

President Obama pledged to try the detainees

0:53:210:53:24

in civilian courts in America.

0:53:240:53:27

But it's proved almost impossible.

0:53:270:53:29

Much of the evidence obtained through torture

0:53:290:53:31

and ill-treatment is likely to be thrown out.

0:53:310:53:35

So now the President has ordered a resumption

0:53:350:53:38

of military tribunals at Guantanamo.

0:53:380:53:40

If Bin Laden had been brought back alive,

0:53:400:53:43

this is probably the justice he would have faced.

0:53:430:53:46

For the time being, it looks like Obama is stuck with Guantanamo

0:53:460:53:50

and the legacy it represents.

0:53:500:53:52

If you remember September 12th, 2001,

0:53:520:53:55

there was an enormous reservoir of goodwill towards the United States

0:53:550:53:59

because Americans had been victims of a terrible crime.

0:53:590:54:04

But because we responded to that in a way that threw away our values,

0:54:040:54:08

and we were viewed as hypocrites, we created Guantanamo Bay in Cuba

0:54:080:54:13

and we said it was to preserve our way of life

0:54:130:54:16

and yet the first thing we jettisoned was the rule of law.

0:54:160:54:20

Hypocrisy breeds hatred

0:54:200:54:23

and I'm afraid it has bred hatred around the world.

0:54:230:54:26

And now people... large numbers of people around the world,

0:54:260:54:30

despise us who used to feel sympathy for us.

0:54:300:54:33

But despite the damage done to America's reputation

0:54:360:54:39

by the abuses of the secret war,

0:54:390:54:41

intelligence chiefs feel that the pressure on Al-Qaeda is paying off.

0:54:410:54:46

They believe that ten years of steady attrition against Al-Qaeda

0:54:460:54:51

has made a 9/11 type attack much less likely.

0:54:510:54:54

It's much more difficult for them to conduct a spectacular.

0:54:560:54:59

The way I summarise it is

0:54:590:55:00

future attacks will be less complex,

0:55:000:55:02

less well organised,

0:55:020:55:04

less likely to succeed,

0:55:040:55:06

less lethal if they do succeed,

0:55:060:55:09

and more numerous.

0:55:090:55:11

I mean, what is Al-Qaeda other than a terrorist organisation?

0:55:130:55:17

I mean, what's the identity of Al-Qaeda globally?

0:55:170:55:20

If you take terror away, they're pretty damn ordinary.

0:55:200:55:24

The secret war has left its lasting mark on the conflict,

0:55:260:55:30

but there's now a growing realisation within the intelligence community

0:55:300:55:35

that hearts and minds are an increasingly critical front on the battleground.

0:55:350:55:40

I think that making sure that we hold to our values,

0:55:400:55:45

our ethical standards, our laws

0:55:450:55:49

and are not tempted to go down the route

0:55:490:55:54

which others in my view have made the profound mistake of going down

0:55:540:55:59

means that in the longer run

0:55:590:56:01

we will have a chance from that moral authority

0:56:010:56:04

of addressing some of the underlying causes of these problems,

0:56:040:56:09

looking for the long-term... the long-term political solutions.

0:56:090:56:13

Is the war winnable?

0:56:130:56:15

Not in a military sense.

0:56:150:56:17

There won't be a Waterloo...

0:56:170:56:21

an El Alamo.

0:56:210:56:23

If we can get to a state where there are fewer attacks,

0:56:230:56:28

less lethal attacks, fewer young people being drawn into this,

0:56:280:56:33

less causes, resolution of the Palestinian question,

0:56:330:56:37

less impetus for this activity,

0:56:370:56:42

I think we can get to a stage where the threat is much reduced.

0:56:420:56:46

But the terminology about winning the war on terror

0:56:460:56:49

was not something that I ever subscribed to.

0:56:490:56:52

This is the end of a chapter, it is not the end of a buck.

0:56:560:56:59

And unless we maintain momentum, not only on the remnants,

0:56:590:57:04

the deadly remnants of Al-Qaeda in Pakistan,

0:57:040:57:07

but on the now successful affiliate organisations in places like Yemen,

0:57:070:57:12

the Sahel in Africa, South-East Asia...

0:57:120:57:14

I think we will lose unless we maintain momentum.

0:57:140:57:17

In the end, most terrorist conflicts

0:57:200:57:22

are either resolved by outright victory for one side or the other,

0:57:220:57:27

or by governments talking to the terrorists

0:57:270:57:29

and addressing the political roots of the conflict.

0:57:290:57:32

A dramatic new way of thinking may now be required.

0:57:320:57:36

Do we have to talk to Al-Qaeda?

0:57:390:57:42

I would hope that people are trying to do so. I don't know.

0:57:420:57:46

It's always better to talk to the people who are attacking you

0:57:460:57:52

than attacking them, if you can.

0:57:520:57:54

I don't know whether they are,

0:57:540:57:55

but I would hope that people trying to reach out

0:57:550:57:58

to the Taliban, to people on the edges of Al-Qaeda, to talk to them.

0:57:580:58:02

Do you think that the terrorists, the Taliban, Al-Qaeda, will listen?

0:58:020:58:07

I don't know.

0:58:070:58:09

It doesn't mean to say it's not worth trying.

0:58:090:58:11

Subtitles by Red Bee Media Ltd

0:58:370:58:40

E-mail [email protected]

0:58:400:58:43

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS