RBS: Inside the Bank That Ran Out of Money


RBS: Inside the Bank That Ran Out of Money

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The outlook is always a difficult subject. Predicting the future is a

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hazardous occupation at the best of times and these are not the best of

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times. Sir Fred Goodwin, Knight of the Realm for services to banking,

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was the chief executive of the Royal Bank of Scotland when it ran

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up the biggest, corporate loss in history. A loss of �24.1 billion.

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In the good times, the Royal Bank of Scotland grew faster than any

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other British bank. It pulled off a record-breaking deals. It made

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billions of pounds in investment banking. Its top executives drove

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the bank forward to become at one point the world's biggest bank, and

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collected fabulous bonuses along the way. Then in October 2008, RBS

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came within hours of running out of money. Any news on the banking

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bail-out? It had to be bailed out by the British taxpayer. It is

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decision time. RBS was not the only bad to be rescued, but by the time

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of the financial crash it was the most toxic bank in Britain. I knew

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sorry? That is something that did I am Andrew Johnson from the Daily

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Express. Would you give us some idea why you are the right man to

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lead the bank out of the situation, given that what has happened has

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been a failure of risk management, which is one of the core

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competencies they bank is supposed to have? It is not me solely that

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runs the bank. There are a few people who run the bank and we are

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of one mind to go forward. We are in the middle of a crisis which has

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been the worst for a generation, for 70 years, and it is certainly

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the case the industry is in a tight place and as a major participant we

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are in a tight place. Do you not think you have been in the job too

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long? There have been studies where they show chief executives start

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losing effectiveness after seven years. With individuals it is very

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hard to pin things down. I do not know how long reporters have to

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report before they lose their effectiveness. Too long. I will not

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do this job forever, but right now you find me galvanised to the task

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at hand. We have got a big task and we are of one mind and of one focus

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to get through this. This is a film about Scotland's largest bank, up-

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to-date and looking after every aspect of your business life. It is

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a friendly bank, it is the Royal Bank. It was seen as a Scottish

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back with a Scottish identity, but one that was looking to do things

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differently and was not the same as the run of the male, slightly

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larger banks that dominated the scene across the UK at the time.

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The Royal Bank of Scotland was a Scottish institution, prudent,

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effective and ambitious. In 1998, its iMac -- dynamic and successful

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Jeep executive George Mathewson was looking for new blood to lead the

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bank forward. I was looking for a finance director, but we would like

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one who had potential to become chief executive because replacing

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meat was on my mind as well as other people's minds. I thought,

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wait a minute, we have Fred Goodwin right here in Scotland. He did

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strike me as someone who could lead. I just felt he had a lot to offer.

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Fred Goodwin was the rising star of Scottish banking, a chartered

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accountant in charge of the Clydesdale Bank before he was 40.

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He had earned a reputation for cost-cutting and acquired his

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enduring nickname. The Fred the Shred reputation was there. He was

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a tough, hard man. No one doubted his intelligence and his

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determination, but he had that reputation for being quite

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difficult as a boss and quite hard on staff. My first hearing that

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Fred Goodwin was coming on board from the Clydesdale Bank was that

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they had been celebrating his departure for three days and they

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wished us all the very best of luck. That was my first introduction to

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the name Fred Goodwin. I will not forget it. With George and Fred at

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the helm, Scotland was no longer big enough to contain RBS's

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ambitions. They aimed to grow RBS into an international banking for

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us. But they were not the only ambitious, Scottish bank. The Bank

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of Scotland was also hungry for growth. Both of them faced the same

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obstacle. They both had the same problem, they were anchored in a

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small economy in the home market. Both took the view they had to make

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a jump to something bigger to avoid their over-dependence on the

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Scottish economy. The quickest and the boldest way to achieve this was

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by carrying out a takeover. Traditionally in banking takeovers

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involved bigger banks buying up smaller ones. That is not what RBS

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had in mind. First, RBS audaciously sniffed around Barclays. But they

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were warned off by the City. Then, they both began to look at another

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venerable City institution, Nat West. It was a bank more than twice

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their size. They say when a company builds a new head of us, gets a

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corporate jet and has a fountain and a flagpole, it is time to sell

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the chairs -- shares. Nat West built the NatWest Tower. NatWest

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Bank was huge, but ailing. Its share price was low and it was Bank

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of Scotland that moved first. we see with NatWest is a hugely

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undervalued opportunity, it is undervalued and underperforming. We

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believe we can help turn it around. I was at the Ryder Cup and my phone

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went illegally and they said you have to come back, the Bank of

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Scotland have just bid for NatWest. At a meeting in London they were

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all saying, you must bid. I said, no. We will bid when we know as

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much as it is possible to know. few weeks later, RBS joined the

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takeover battle, promising bigger savings. George did the strategy,

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Fred mustered the detail and set about convincing the City that RBS

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could pull it off. The bulk of the cost savings relayed to back off as

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processing, to head office, they do not relate to customer facing staff.

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There was incredulity that two small banks could actually have the

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nerve to go for this bastion of the British banking industry. Some of

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the management felt let down by the City, that they could take

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seriously a bid of this nature. there were doubters, but the

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general feeling at the time in the City was that anything other than

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the current NatWest management. After a hard fought takeover battle,

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NatWest shareholders had to decide where their bank's future lay.

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was a close-run thing. In fact, at lunchtime on the last day, I

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thought we had one and then the tide swung against us in the

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afternoon. I was very fed up. At the end of the day, it was the

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shareholders' decision. There was elation for about 10 minutes, no,

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it was about two days. At that stage I stepped back to become

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deputy chairman. There was never any question of whether Fred

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Goodman was not the right man to take over the new RBS. Fred and

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George had arrived on the big stage. As the savings, including 18,000

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job cuts and integration as were made, it became clear that not only

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had they done the biggest hostile takeover in UK history, but they

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had done it brilliantly. Fred got a bonus of �800,000 and George one of

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�750,000, which he insisted would barely give him bragging rights in

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a Soho wine bar. It was an extraordinary exercise in putting

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together two banks. They had a very strong following in the city. It

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means your share price looks better because investors want to buy your

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shares and people believe in your story, so they encourage you to do

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more deals because that is what is working. The share price dipped a

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little, then it jumped up. RBS now had access to the future vaults of

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NatWest savings and deposits. The question was what to do with them?

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The answer was spend them. They bought another insurance company, a

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credit card operation in Germany and a second hand car franchise.

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What can I say about acquisitions that has not been said before?

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Goodwin picked up a knighthood along the way. We do not do

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acquisitions for fun. He was acclaimed by Forbes Global magazine

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as the Businessman of the Year. The place that made most sense for

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RBS to do at positions was the USA. It was the biggest market in the

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world. -- acquisitions. Thousands of little banks sat waiting to be

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gobbled up and RBS already had Citizens. Citizens was run,

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prudently, by Larry Fish. We are very proud of our credit record

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over a long period of time, so we have avoided unsecured lending to

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the consumer and the corporate sector. Larry Fish probably said in

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the morning, I will take deposits, and in the afternoon I will take

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little deposits and later on if he was brave, I will lend money. It

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was a community bank. It was the third largest bank in Rhode Island,

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not a major claim to fame, but it was very community-based. It was

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big in small areas. But RBS wanted Citizens to be big in bigger areas.

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Larry embarked on an acquisitions spree of his own, a prudent

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acquisition spree, buying up other small banks dotted around New

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England and stripping out costs and selling new, financial products to

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the customers. In 2001, Larry Fish raised the stakes and expanded

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Citizens West into the huge Philadelphia market, spending $2

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billion on a bank called Mel and financial. This deal made Citizens

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bake in a much bigger area and earned it a starring role in RBS's

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next corporate video, alongside its many other impressive purchases and

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Just three years on from the NatWest deal, RBS was by some

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measures the fifth-biggest bank in the world. Edinburgh was the

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headquarters of an international banking group. But there was a

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price to all this growth. The culture inside the bank had changed.

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We lost a lot of the collegiate atmosphere. Under George he very

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much wanted to hear what people had to say and he wanted to bring

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George was very charismatic. He was extremely well-liked and respected

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by many who worked for him. Fred was more efficient. Probably the

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best description. He can be a little too acerbic. He is not very

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good at suffering fools gladly. In fact, he could be quite forbidding.

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Fred had a very impressive intellect but he used it to bully

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those around him. People were intimidated from speaking their own

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mind because they feared his reaction. This created an

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atmosphere around him which inhibited even the most senior

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people in the bank from expressing their views. This atmosphere was

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apparent at the highest level in the bank. The morning meeting was a

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particular innovation they brought in to Nat West. A team would get

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together and they would sit for as long as it took to thrash out the

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problems of the day. The morning meetings quickly became known as

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the morning beatings. Fred seemed to just a brand and decide which

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senior executive was going to be roasted that day. It was nice --

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not nice to be part. But you would say, at least it was not made. Suck

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it up was the phrase that was used. That is life at the -- in the big

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city. He was asleep at the wheel. always believed that there were

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many ways and spinning as far as leadership was concerned. Fred had

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his way and for a long time it was very effective. Fred proved to be

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particularly effective for RBS shareholders. Despite, or be hap --

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perhaps of, his robust management by at -- style, he got results. He

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delivered profits year after year as the bank grew. In May 2004, the

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moment RBS had been waiting for A deal that would transform

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Citizens from a big regional bank into one of the biggest banks in

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America. The target was a bank called Charter One. Charter One was

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be -- brought to as by Larry Fish. You had seen all of the

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acquisitions we had done previously. We had a very successful

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acquisition and integration record. He believed in at low risk. Charge

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a one would expand Larry Fish's empire into the huge Chicago market,

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with its millions of households and potential customers. It was a very

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logical geographical extension. It is a significant increase in scale.

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Overall we think that there was a low risk acquisition to execute.

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Fred and the border backed the deal and RBS made a huge offer of $10.5

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million. -- Fred and the board. RBS became the 7th biggest bank in the

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USA but they did not stop there. Shortly after this, RBS bought a �1

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billion state in China. -- stake in China. RBS was now a global

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14th December 2005 was a big day in the history of RBS. A new purpose-

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built headquarters in Edinburgh was being opened by the Queen. Just as

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she had opened the NatWest Tower 24 years earlier. The new headquarters

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was a work of wonder. It certainly had a fountain and it has built

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next to the airport where the senior executives could use the

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private jet. While RBS bosses mingled with royalty, City analysts

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were less impressed, and wondering if the time had come to share RBS

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shares. The bank's share price was not performing as well as expected.

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The problem was Charter One. RBS was struggling to make its usual

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savings and grow its usual profits and the City pot Fred and his bank

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had paid far too much. -- thought Fred and his bank. It's was not a

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good deal. It was over sold to us. The city but into the deal but they

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were sceptical. They never thought The City's scepticism at the buying

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spree came out at an analyst conference at this time. I think

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there is the perception among some investors have that Fred is a

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That is not the first time I have heard that. I am sure there are a

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lot of people who think that. I do not think it stands a lot of

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scrutiny in terms of what we have done. The results demonstrate a

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coherent strategy and one that we have executed with considerable

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internal discipline. I up until Charter One, Fred had had free rein

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on anything he wanted to do. What Charter One did was make the city

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step back and think about the price that RBS was paying and, crucially,

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people started to look at the underlying business and the actual

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growth that was taking place in the existing businesses. By 2005,

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Fred's RBS had acquired 25 businesses and had spent nearly �30

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billion. But its shareholders now RBS could still expand by making

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money out of money. This was another way of saying Corporate and

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investment banking. In 2005, RBS Investment Bank was run by Johnny

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Cameron, the son of one of the bank's former vice-chairman and a

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financial wizard in his own right. I will make a huge effort to walk

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the walk. We may be successful but we are still restless. We talk

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about keeping the magic. There is some magic about what got us here

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and about our culture. We need to retain that even while growing this

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international business. Johnny Cameron's investment bank took

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money from Nat West and RBS accounts and invested it in a whole

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Sitting within the investment bank was a small specialist outfit

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called RBS Greenwich Capital, tucked away in a quiet corner of

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Connecticut. We had inherited a RBS Greenwich Capital with NatWest and

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I went there and it was full of very clever people. It also had

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some of the best risk-management I had seen anywhere at the time. You

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had instant results. You could see how they were managing their risks

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and all of the rest of it. I thought there was a reasonable

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chance we could well out losses. RBS Greenwich Capital made money

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out of mortgages, not as a lender to house buyers, but as a trader.

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It but huge bundles of thousands of ordinary domestic mortgages from

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banks and other lenders across the USA. Then, it packaged these up,

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sliced, diced and sold them on to The investors were taking Straw and

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turning it into gold by slicing and dicing. As they kept slicing and by

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saying they were skimming off profits and RBS Greenwich Capital

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was at the forefront of taking those mortgages and trying to find

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a new and innovative ways of essentially making money for the

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In the early years of Johnny's reign, the American housing market

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was booming, and mortgage trading was where the big money could be

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It became a bubble. As time went on, banks began to branch out of money

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to lend to. -- run out of money to lend to. There are only so many

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times you can do that. Most people with a lot of income and good

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credit are already owned a house so if you were looking for new

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customers, where did you go? You looked at people who did not have a

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house or credit and people who, in These people were known as subprime

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borrowers. Although these mortgages were more risky, they were still

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sliced, diced and traded. As long as they kept paying their mortgages,

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traders and investors would keep getting rich. This was a business

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that was built on that. It was that layered on that covered with debt,

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sprinkled with debt. That was built into it every layer. -- debt was

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built into it every layer. Greenwich Capital moved up the

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leader table of mortgage traders, competing with the biggest Wall

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Some of its trading was prime, sum up subprime, and some exotic

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cocktails of both all mixed up together. -- some subprime. It was

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The single most important impression I want to leave you with

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is this is a great business. had some of the smartest people in

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the world working on this, top mathematicians and physicists. They

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were not working in nuclear establishment, they were working

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financial borders to see how they could model risk and predict the

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future. That is where the income was. You packed it up with the big

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numbers and you could make tens of In 2004, the profits of Johnny

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Cameron's part of the bank grew by nearly 18 % from the previous year.

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In 2005, its profits were up another 22 %, and it accounted for

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almost two-thirds of the entire RBS Good morning, ladies and gentlemen,

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and welcome to the 2006 Interim Results Presentation. It is a

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special pleasure for me to welcome you today as this is the first set

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of results since my taking over as chairman. In 2006, the success

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story continued, and with Sir George Mathewson retiring as

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chairman, it was down to Sir Tom McKillop to deliver the good news.

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Total income for the first half rose by 10 % to �13.6 billion.

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resulted in group operating profit rising by 15 % to over �4.6 billion.

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I believe that today's results, based as they are, purely on

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organic growth, demonstrate these fundamental strengths of the group

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and the sustainability of hour operations. Over half of the profit

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that year came directly from I am happy with the platform we

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have built in GBM. I think our results are first class for the

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business we are in, but there are things we can do more and we will

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do more. That is part of the excitement. Following on from these

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results, the city began to believe once more in the RBS story. And the

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Bank's share price inched back up. RBS allowed itself another glitzy

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If we were wanting to build what we have today from today, it really

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could not be done. The bank's senior managers targeted more

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growth. In terms of what is happening at the moment I remain

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extremely excited about what is happening in front of us. Everyone

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seems to be benefiting from this magical, a new form of banking and

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nobody likes to admit they do not understand things and there is a

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sense of pride involved in it. As a result the barrier -- bankers were

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allowed to carry on what they were doing largely unsupervised and they

0:31:480:31:58
0:31:580:32:09

did not understand the risks their Just as everything was looking rosy

0:32:090:32:14

for RBS, the engine driving the growth of the entire banking

0:32:140:32:24
0:32:240:32:24

industry ran out of steam. In late 2006, the American housing bubble

0:32:240:32:31

well and truly burst. As American interest rates went up, many of

0:32:310:32:35

those with sub-prime mortgages could no longer afford their loans,

0:32:350:32:45
0:32:450:32:48

so they stopped paying. Anxiety spread throughout the markets and

0:32:480:32:58
0:32:580:32:59

across continents. It is a big wake-up call for the UK, the

0:32:590:33:04

analysts and investors. There was a profit warning from HSBC at the

0:33:040:33:10

beginning of 2007 where they revealed they had suffered heavier

0:33:100:33:13

losses than expected on his portfolio of sub-prime mortgage

0:33:130:33:19

loans in the US. At that point they started looking around saying, who

0:33:190:33:25

else has got these kind of loans? RBS reassured the City there were

0:33:250:33:31

not in sub-prime lending. We have portfolios at Citizens where we do

0:33:310:33:39

not do sub-prime lending. It is another land mine we have kept away

0:33:390:33:46

from. We have seen evidence that is a good place not to be. But all

0:33:460:33:50

that slicing and dicing of mortgage debt meant there was no escape.

0:33:500:33:54

What happened in the system is sub- prime became such a big part of

0:33:540:34:00

what banks did, not just originate it, but buying it, lending to the

0:34:000:34:07

people who did it, packaging it, selling it, structuring it, trading

0:34:070:34:15

it. Every bank did sub-prime. is the housing exposure you have

0:34:150:34:20

got? Analysts wanted to know how much sub-prime RBS held in its

0:34:200:34:26

investment banks. The amount of sub-prime, sub-investment grade

0:34:260:34:30

exposure we have across warehouses and collateral lending is really

0:34:300:34:40
0:34:400:34:42

very, very small. It is a miniscule amount. Good morning... With a

0:34:420:34:47

miniscule, sub-prime problem, the investment banks were in great

0:34:470:34:53

shape and Fred was optimistic about the future. We faced 2007 with some

0:34:540:35:00

confidence. But if the American housing market was in decline, how

0:35:000:35:04

would our beards grow now? I as long as I have been writing about

0:35:040:35:10

RBS, people have been speculating about RBS making a big acquisition.

0:35:100:35:14

There was a sense that when possible, when the conditions

0:35:140:35:19

allowed it, that Fred Goodwin was really keen to do another big deal.

0:35:190:35:24

To could you give us some sense of how you feel at the moment about

0:35:240:35:29

the possibility of acquisitions? Whether you think you are out of

0:35:290:35:34

the sin bin when it comes to future deals? I think we are out of the

0:35:340:35:39

sin bin, but that does not equate to making acquisitions. We have

0:35:390:35:45

been clear all along about our guidance on acquisitions. The

0:35:450:35:48

outlook is conditioned by availability. I do not think there

0:35:480:35:56

is anything out there at the moment that seems desirable or affordable.

0:35:560:36:01

I and everybody else interpreted it as a sign there were no big

0:36:010:36:06

acquisitions on the horizon. In retrospect, that turned out to be

0:36:060:36:16
0:36:160:36:19

not the case. Five weeks later, Fred Goodwin announced the biggest

0:36:190:36:24

banking takeover in history. The target was a Dutch bank, one of

0:36:240:36:31

Europe's the largest called ABN AMRO. It contained an American bank,

0:36:310:36:38

a Brazilian bank, banks in Italy, Holland, India, an investment bank

0:36:380:36:46

which sprawled across the globe. It was big, unwieldy and badly run.

0:36:460:36:51

For the second time in less than a decade, RBS entered a huge, hostile

0:36:510:36:56

takeover battle after a competitor moved first. This time it was

0:36:560:37:03

Barclays Bank that announced a friendly merger with ABN AMRO. So,

0:37:030:37:08

Fred and his advisers put together a consortium of three banks to

0:37:080:37:16

launch a not so friendly takeover. The most important thing is that

0:37:160:37:21

Barclays was going to buy the whole of ABN AMRO. They talked at the

0:37:210:37:27

time of a merger of equals. The bed of the consortium was not friendly,

0:37:270:37:34

it was aggressive. RBS, Santander and 40s. They all wanted separate

0:37:340:37:43

parts and they wanted to tear it up in two parts. RBS's share of the

0:37:430:37:48

spoils would include the investment bank and the American operation, a

0:37:480:37:55

large bank based in Chicago called LaSalle. It would give RBS access

0:37:550:38:03

to the lucrative, American, corporate market. But ABN AMRO's

0:38:030:38:09

management was fighting for survival. To scupper the consortium

0:38:090:38:15

they sold off LaSalle. Quite a few people were convinced RBS would

0:38:150:38:19

throw in the towel after the announcement LaSalle was going to

0:38:190:38:24

be sold. We all knew the Investment Bank was not that successful, so

0:38:240:38:28

why would RBS want to spend so much money on something that is not so

0:38:280:38:34

successful? ABN AMRO has many good businesses, many attractive

0:38:340:38:39

franchises and operates in many attractive markets. That got a bit

0:38:390:38:44

lost in the rhetoric around the subject. RBS pressed ahead

0:38:440:38:51

regardless. In a conference called to analysts, Fred announced there

0:38:510:38:57

would be no major scrutiny of the ABN AMRO books. It is a process

0:38:570:39:07
0:39:070:39:27

You need to do due diligence in order to make sure you know what

0:39:270:39:32

you are buying, what the Bank promises to be. Therefore, it

0:39:320:39:40

surprised me they did not do due diligence. It is unbelievable. Come

0:39:400:39:46

on, you are spending so much money. You take a big risk. I do not think

0:39:460:39:51

they had any idea what they were buying. Almost every question you

0:39:510:39:55

asked on that respect, the answer came back that when we did NatWest,

0:39:550:40:00

we did it like this and this is what we are going to do again.

0:40:000:40:05

is worth comparing it to our experience with NatWest. We had

0:40:050:40:09

limited to diligence. But that interview when I went over there

0:40:090:40:16

filled me with enormous confidence. RBS was filled with such confidence

0:40:160:40:22

that they offered 27 billion euros for their share of the massive deal.

0:40:220:40:29

However, while the Dutch regulators were delaying the deal being signed

0:40:290:40:36

off, it became clear that the sub- prime problem was not going away.

0:40:370:40:46
0:40:470:40:50

In fact, it was getting worse. The crisis was spreading from lenders

0:40:500:40:58

up the food chain and penetrating investment banks. There was no

0:40:580:41:04

knowing where it might end. By the time RBS was buying ABN AMRO, there

0:41:040:41:10

were people saying this deal is completely mad. There was

0:41:100:41:16

definitely pressure put on RBS by ABN AMRO investors, from its

0:41:160:41:19

partners in the consortium, particularly Santander. There was

0:41:190:41:25

pressure to put on them to see the deal through. There was probably

0:41:250:41:33

also an element of pride on Fred Goodwin's part. I had no idea why

0:41:330:41:38

the Royal Bank did not walk away. They could have walked away. Life

0:41:380:41:43

was obviously getting tougher, and yet they still continued to pay top

0:41:430:41:48

dollar. There would have been a penalty for walking away from it,

0:41:480:41:54

but it would have been a very cheap penalty! The board of RBS

0:41:540:42:01

unanimously approved the deal. RBS went ahead with the biggest banking

0:42:010:42:07

takeover in history. It took the unusual step of paying mostly in

0:42:070:42:12

cash from the Bank's reserves. Welcome to our interim results

0:42:130:42:20

presentation. But the next RBS results meeting and optimism

0:42:200:42:28

prevailed. Business is very good indeed. We are one step removed

0:42:280:42:33

from it. We have never lent directly to people who are involved

0:42:330:42:38

in sub-prime. We stand back from that. We have a business in the US

0:42:380:42:44

that is involved in the packaging of those debts. We see what is

0:42:440:42:48

happening, it is affecting the market in which we operate, but it

0:42:480:42:54

is not impacting as in a direct way. Johnny, you had something you

0:42:540:43:03

wanted to add. The complexity of the products were part of the

0:43:030:43:07

problem and the interpretation you could put on his statements about

0:43:070:43:13

not doing sub-prime and not having ownership of those assets, would be

0:43:130:43:17

the interpretation he did not understand that fully himself. They

0:43:170:43:22

were certainly complicated products. I think perhaps only one or two of

0:43:220:43:26

the directors might have understood that properly. Six months ago,

0:43:260:43:31

there was a lot of speculation ahead of our annual results and

0:43:320:43:35

presentation that we would be adversely affected by the sub-prime

0:43:350:43:39

situation and it did not happen. We said it would not happen, and you

0:43:390:43:49

have seen it again today. We are not operating in that space.

0:43:490:43:54

directors reassured the City that RBS's Investment Bank was still in

0:43:540:44:02

good health. We cut back a lot since the year-end of 2006 in our

0:44:020:44:06

exposure to these markets and I told you then they were very modest.

0:44:060:44:13

We have not taken any credit losses on our portfolio. Generally

0:44:130:44:17

Worleston volatility has made for some difficulties, it has made for

0:44:170:44:26

some opportunities as well. September, the sub-prime crisis

0:44:260:44:30

finally spread to Britain's High Street. Northern Rock experienced

0:44:300:44:37

the first run on a bank in the UK for nearly 150 years. Markets went

0:44:370:44:45

into turmoil. Surely after words, and to its dismay, RBS was finally

0:44:450:44:50

able to discover just what ABN AMRO had on its books. It was not good

0:44:500:44:57

news. It contained exposure to hundreds of millions of pounds to

0:44:570:45:04

sub-prime related investments which were turning toxic. RBS could

0:45:040:45:11

reassure the City no longer. Johnny's own investment bank was

0:45:110:45:21
0:45:210:45:33

Fed announced that RBS was writing off �1.5 billion. -- Fred announced.

0:45:330:45:42

When we saw him in 2007, it was clearly the creation of a lot of

0:45:420:45:48

other banks. The big mystery for me that has not become clear is why

0:45:480:45:54

this man who paid such attention to detail knew so little about what

0:45:540:45:59

was going on in this giant investment bank. What people saw

0:45:590:46:05

was this huge global bank sitting on the doorstep which had grown

0:46:050:46:10

from humble beginnings to become a powerhouse globally and it was

0:46:100:46:17

difficult to equate that with a bank that could have problems.

0:46:170:46:24

losses did not sold -- stop there. In February, billions were wiped

0:46:240:46:29

off of RBS's investments. They had been sliced, diced and finally

0:46:290:46:37

trashed. Its cash reserved, drained by the purchase of ABN Amro -- ABN

0:46:370:46:43

Amro, were struggling to strain. One vital measure of its financial

0:46:440:46:47

health, its so-called Core Equity Tier One Ratio, was getting

0:46:470:46:55

dangerously low. Analysts wanted to know just how low. Are there any

0:46:550:47:00

questions you might have. Can you tell us what is the Core Equity

0:47:000:47:07

Tier One Ratio on a look through basis? Are you saying it is a

0:47:070:47:11

number that you know that you cannot share with us or you do not

0:47:110:47:18

know it? It is a number that you can work out but it is not a number

0:47:180:47:23

that we can realise because we will not get to the point to do that. It

0:47:230:47:31

begins with a four and a seven. much as we would like to say at

0:47:310:47:36

this point... I am sorry, you can work it out or we can work it out?

0:47:360:47:43

It is not a meaningful number in terms of how we operate right now

0:47:430:47:49

because the group is the group. City analysts grew increasingly

0:47:490:47:54

convinced that RBS would have to ask shareholders for more cash. In

0:47:540:48:03

financial jargon, and inorganic capital raising. There are no plans

0:48:030:48:08

for any inorganic capital raisings or anything of the sword.

0:48:080:48:13

remember Fred Goodwin being asked about it repeatedly. The --

0:48:130:48:19

anything of the sort. The were no plans for any inorganic planning

0:48:190:48:26

exercises. -- Derek were no plans. That turned out not to be the case

0:48:260:48:32

several weeks later. As the losses mounted, RBS did ask shareholders

0:48:320:48:42
0:48:420:48:44

for help. P ball stopped believing what he said. -- people. When

0:48:440:48:52

people stop believing what you say that is fatal. RBS was running out

0:48:520:49:02

More heavy losses came in the spring. By April, there were �6

0:49:020:49:09

billion of them. The bank pleaded for double that, for �12 billion to

0:49:090:49:19
0:49:190:49:22

Shareholders were reassured that this could Secure the Bank's future

0:49:220:49:32
0:49:320:49:48

As you all know, this morning we I hope you have got a sense to

0:49:480:49:54

date... I have a range of emotions about all of this and I am numbed

0:49:540:50:01

by this. -- a sense today. I feel this has overshadowed the strength

0:50:010:50:08

of this business. I hope you get a sense of my determination to get us

0:50:080:50:13

out of this place. My colleagues and I do not enjoy being in this

0:50:130:50:17

place but we have a business that is strong and resilient and we are

0:50:170:50:23

taking it forward to get us out of this situation. Maybe you need to

0:50:230:50:30

be a bit of a masochist. It is when things are dire that you can see

0:50:300:50:36

organisations perform. In the midst of this there are still lots of

0:50:360:50:42

opportunities out there. If we can drive the businesses properly for a

0:50:420:50:52

word, this can be differentiating. I am a great believer in sorting

0:50:520:51:02
0:51:020:51:03

out who the long-term winners will RBS had grown and tell it could

0:51:030:51:08

grow no more. It became, briefly, the biggest bank in the world by

0:51:080:51:14

assets. At its bloated size, it left the bank or vulnerable. The

0:51:140:51:19

one golden rule of banking is that the banks must be able to cover

0:51:200:51:27

their balance sheet through cash for loans from other banks. The ABN

0:51:270:51:33

Amro take over double the size of RBS's balance sheet, took it to

0:51:330:51:43
0:51:430:51:49

nearly two -- �2 million in debt at The credit crunch turned into a

0:51:490:51:55

financial crisis and the markets seized up. RBS had run out of

0:51:560:52:02

options. Its cash reserves were trained on ABN Amro and its share

0:52:020:52:09

price dropped like a stone. But other banks held on to it. The Bank

0:52:090:52:16

of England was keeping it afloat. Confidence was evaporated. For a

0:52:160:52:22

few days, the entire baking system teetered on the brink. -- banking

0:52:220:52:28

system. RBS came within two hours of running out of money and taking

0:52:280:52:32

down the British financial institution with it. I am angry

0:52:320:52:37

with what has happened. Almost all of the losses in the subprime

0:52:370:52:45

market in America are related to the acquisition of ABN Amro.

0:52:450:52:51

was forced to accept a �20 billion bailout from the UK government paid

0:52:510:53:01
0:53:010:53:07

One condition of the Bank being bailed out was that Fred Goodwin

0:53:070:53:17
0:53:170:53:18

leave the company. Are you sorry? Before he left, he had to face

0:53:180:53:23

RBS's shareholders one last time, shareholders who had seen over 90 %

0:53:230:53:28

of the value of their shares finish during his reign. A lot of people

0:53:280:53:33

have been waiting for this. I know you speak on behalf of the board

0:53:330:53:39

but this is an opportunity. A lot of people would like to hear him

0:53:390:53:49
0:53:490:53:55

say sorry. I can only ask Sir Fred I do not want there to be any doubt

0:53:560:54:01

in anyone's mind. I am entirely Surrey on behalf of I'll of the

0:54:010:54:08

board. -- I am entirely apologetic on behalf of the entire board. I am

0:54:080:54:17

sad to leave the company under these extremely difficult times.

0:54:170:54:27
0:54:270:54:35

There are probably 20,000 people in Scotland who built up a little nest

0:54:350:54:42

egg. That nest egg was blown out of the water. But there are lots and

0:54:420:54:49

lots of people who had been affected. That hurts me, actually.

0:54:500:54:57

I do not think that needed to happen. It did not have to happen

0:54:570:55:02

this way. We did not have to try and become the biggest bank in the

0:55:020:55:06

globe. If we had been more prudent and careful we could have avoided

0:55:060:55:16
0:55:160:55:20

the storm. We should have avoided Incredibly sad. Incredibly sad.

0:55:200:55:30
0:55:300:55:33

Bemused as to how it could actually happen. When my father died, he

0:55:330:55:38

felt, as a Glaswegian, this was the place he felt safe. I felt this was

0:55:380:55:48
0:55:480:56:03

not just a tragedy not just for the As a human being, were you

0:56:030:56:13
0:56:130:56:15

disappointed? Angry or upset? obviously disappointed. I was

0:56:150:56:25
0:56:250:56:28

obviously upset. Angry... Not When it all played out, Fred was

0:56:280:56:36

not alone in leaving the bank. Johnny Cameron's banks incurred

0:56:360:56:42

losses of millions of pounds and he resigned, forgoing a pay-off, and

0:56:420:56:47

eventually agreed not to hold a full-time financial office again.

0:56:470:56:53

Tom McKillop followed a few months later, also without a pay-off.

0:56:530:57:01

Larry Fish retired. He had not done subprime mortgages. He had built up

0:57:010:57:09

a portfolio of other investments worth around $10 billion which

0:57:090:57:19
0:57:190:57:20

later turned toxic. He left RDS with a pension pot of $27 million.

0:57:200:57:30
0:57:300:57:31

And Fred? Well, everyone knows about Fred's pension. His pension

0:57:310:57:35

entitlement has widely been reported at hundreds of thousands

0:57:350:57:41

of pounds but the actual number is 693. The media speculation is

0:57:410:57:51

slightly lower than the actual Fred eventually agreed to reduce

0:57:510:58:00

his pension to �340,000 per year. A fine reward for running a total

0:58:000:58:06

losses of �24.1 billion. And there, in a nutshell, is what happened

0:58:060:58:16
0:58:160:58:19

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