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| Line | From | To | |
|---|---|---|---|
currency. The Europeans already had a problem to ensure financial | :00:05. | :00:08. | |
stability in the euro area as a whole because of the problems of | :00:08. | :00:12. | |
some sovereigns. That is the problem of financial stability | :00:12. | :00:22. | |
| :00:22. | :00:27. | ||
which had to be fixed. Do you think this deal fixes it? The indications | :00:27. | :00:32. | |
are good ones. The orientations are comprehensive and baked will be | :00:32. | :00:41. | |
issues. It is a systemic problem. You have to cover the backstop for | :00:41. | :00:48. | |
the sovereign and improve the Government's. What is at the heart | :00:48. | :00:53. | |
of everything is that the crisis, which is a mix of all advanced | :00:53. | :00:58. | |
economies, reveals your weaknesses. The paradox of the euro area or is | :00:58. | :01:03. | |
that we do not have many weaknesses as a whole, but individual | :01:03. | :01:07. | |
countries and economies did not behave properly and create its | :01:07. | :01:14. | |
fertility. That comes out of an absence of sufficient governance. | :01:14. | :01:19. | |
You say it has to be a plan that covers everything. There is a part | :01:19. | :01:24. | |
that books about risk and a part about the rescue plan. But the rare | :01:24. | :01:28. | |
huge holes. There is said it will detail. Does it really mean | :01:28. | :01:38. | |
| :01:38. | :01:40. | ||
anything. The rescue fund is going to go from 440 be in euros to when | :01:40. | :01:46. | |
-- billion euros to one trillion euros. It is despising risks, not | :01:46. | :01:55. | |
producing it. These are Orient Way Asians. They are good. There is no | :01:55. | :02:05. | |
| :02:05. | :02:08. | ||
doubt. But it is hard work. -- Gorry and --. The isn't it time for | :02:08. | :02:18. | |
| :02:18. | :02:24. | ||
complacency because you have to implement all of them. Half of | :02:24. | :02:31. | |
Greek debt may be written off. Eat I was Irish are no wonder why Irish | :02:31. | :02:37. | |
taxpayers had to put off their Gympie date and Greeks had only 80 | :02:37. | :02:46. | |
per. This has to be seen through the system implications of all the | :02:46. | :02:54. | |
decisions that it again. What has been decided by government, not by | :02:54. | :03:04. | |
| :03:04. | :03:05. | ||
us. We took no part in his negotiations. As well as not in the | :03:05. | :03:07. | |
previous one. It is the responsibility of the governments | :03:07. | :03:12. | |
involved. What is extremely important is that you have | :03:12. | :03:20. | |
something which is working and voluntary. Greece is a special case. | :03:20. | :03:27. | |
It was said very clearly on 21st July and repeated in this case. | :03:27. | :03:34. | |
are not worried about contagion's about any one who has been to | :03:34. | :03:42. | |
Ireland, Spain or Italy asking: Why not us next? It is the | :03:42. | :03:49. | |
responsibility of in debate will entities and the College of the | :03:49. | :03:54. | |
heads to for the be consistent with what they said on 21st July and | :03:54. | :03:59. | |
repeated that risk was risk. Everybody recognises that it is a | :03:59. | :04:09. | |
| :04:09. | :04:14. | ||
special place. -- that Greece was at Greece. It is the system which | :04:14. | :04:20. | |
is at stake. You have been careful to say that this is a decision by | :04:21. | :04:26. | |
governments. That you were not part of the plan. A lot of people TCCB | :04:26. | :04:36. | |
| :04:36. | :04:39. | ||
should have paid her a much larger part. -- think that the ECB. | :04:39. | :04:46. | |
Central banks are being to live up to their responsibilities. These | :04:46. | :04:54. | |
responsibilities a very heavy. When you do you are criticised. We are | :04:54. | :05:02. | |
living in democracies. We have been criticised, Rolling Stones, or | :05:02. | :05:12. | |
| :05:12. | :05:16. | ||
pictures in Treasuries. -- predecessor as, for instance. | :05:16. | :05:22. | |
People do not believe that. They so you were not willing to do it | :05:22. | :05:25. | |
originally and you back down for political reasons. Absolutely | :05:25. | :05:31. | |
untrue. The German members of the governing council believes that. | :05:31. | :05:41. | |
| :05:41. | :05:41. | ||
do not think so. NZ in cases it was an overwhelming majority and | :05:41. | :05:46. | |
minority. But all decisions have been taken by the governing council | :05:47. | :05:53. | |
which is used The Independent. There is no doubt of that in the | :05:53. | :06:03. | |
| :06:03. | :06:03. | ||
month of its purpose. -- which used fiercely independent. Do you | :06:03. | :06:09. | |
understand it when politicians say that this crisis could have been | :06:09. | :06:13. | |
stopped if the European Central Bank had responded to the panic. | :06:13. | :06:18. | |
Had stopped the irrational panic around countries like Italy. And I | :06:18. | :06:23. | |
remind you that we will be the first Central Bank in the world to | :06:23. | :06:31. | |
embark on measures on 9th August 2007 for 95 billion euros of | :06:31. | :06:37. | |
providing liquidity on an unlimited basis on a fixed rate. We were | :06:37. | :06:45. | |
criticised for that, for this bold as, for this swift decision. It was | :06:45. | :06:50. | |
five days before every were be recognised that we had a visit | :06:50. | :06:54. | |
judgement. The governing council of the Central Bank has taken | :06:54. | :07:02. | |
decisions which were criticised from the start. I would not say at | :07:02. | :07:09. | |
because we were criticised by its we win this is the Rigi... I would | :07:09. | :07:15. | |
say that in any case we do not substitute for governments. Do you | :07:15. | :07:25. | |
think it is true that he the ECB was willing to offer unlimited | :07:25. | :07:32. | |
support that would solve the immediate crisis? No, because what | :07:32. | :07:37. | |
counts easy determination and the will of governments to do what is | :07:37. | :07:42. | |
necessary, taking into account their run responsibilities. That is | :07:42. | :07:51. | |
what is look at why it all looks at us. And across be, with all the | :07:51. | :08:00. | |
experience of the crisis, the backing... it is very important | :08:00. | :08:05. | |
because we're living in the Cup receipts was the decision was taken | :08:05. | :08:10. | |
in Germany be so is showing the Majority Whip the opposition and | :08:10. | :08:20. | |
are much more united than was perceived by observers. Taking an | :08:20. | :08:25. | |
appropriate decision is something which it's very important. A | :08:25. | :08:30. | |
Central Bank cannot substitute for governments or Parliament. A trust | :08:30. | :08:37. | |
that everybody knows we are bit without being credibility. The euro | :08:37. | :08:45. | |
is a solid currency. It is credible for the next ten years. It is | :08:45. | :08:50. | |
because we are signing the currency. The credibility is coming from the | :08:50. | :08:56. | |
governments of ECB. Just to go back into the way into this crisis. | :08:56. | :09:01. | |
There is a thing that there was a lot of complacency before the | :09:01. | :09:06. | |
crisis from governments, regulators, financial institutions foster but | :09:06. | :09:13. | |
somehow the ECB has tried to say we have no part in that. In 2008 you | :09:13. | :09:19. | |
said the euro area did not suffer from major imbalances. How was it | :09:19. | :09:22. | |
possible to say that when countries like Spain had enormous current | :09:22. | :09:27. | |
account deficits? The paradox of this situation is that the euro | :09:27. | :09:35. | |
area as a whole has... this situation much better than the US, | :09:35. | :09:45. | |
they Japan and UK and other large advanced economies. 4.5 % of public | :09:45. | :09:51. | |
funds to visit. At the end of this year more than half the level that | :09:51. | :09:59. | |
you haven't the US or Japan. It is also true for the current account. | :09:59. | :10:09. | |
On a consolidated basis approximate be balanced. It does not matter in | :10:09. | :10:19. | |
| :10:19. | :10:21. | ||
advanced economies. The stability he and growth pact was absolutely | :10:21. | :10:29. | |
necessary. We had to use a baby the finances of the individual | :10:29. | :10:33. | |
countries. We did not change our and rhetoric. It is exactly the | :10:33. | :10:42. | |
same. You believe that and you have always put it back. Looking back do | :10:42. | :10:47. | |
you think it was a mistake to go ahead with monetary union without | :10:47. | :10:53. | |
fiscal union? Without some form of, and finance Ministry that you may | :10:53. | :11:02. | |
say is necessary. Certainly not. By a rigorously applied the Stability | :11:02. | :11:08. | |
and Growth Pact, which was part of the treaty to create the euro area. | :11:08. | :11:15. | |
If it had been rigorously applied we would not be in this situation. | :11:15. | :11:20. | |
Have applied myself against the large companies in Europe in 2004 | :11:20. | :11:26. | |
amid 2005. They did not want the Stability and Growth Pact to be | :11:26. | :11:31. | |
applied to them or to continue to operate. They wanted to dismantle | :11:31. | :11:41. | |
| :11:41. | :11:46. | ||
More than that. You had to strive for public finance to be balanced | :11:46. | :11:51. | |
or in surplus. The first time Spain had actually missed it was in 2008. | :11:51. | :11:57. | |
The first time Ireland violated it was 2008. That is the reason why we | :11:57. | :12:00. | |
have always asked for the structural opposition to be | :12:00. | :12:05. | |
analysed and not only the nominal account situation. And it is | :12:05. | :12:13. | |
absolutely clear that it is of the essence. If I can go back. We have | :12:13. | :12:18. | |
a crisis which started in the other hemisphere, it started in the US, | :12:18. | :12:22. | |
an ongoing crisis which puts into question all advanced economies, | :12:22. | :12:27. | |
because it concentrates on the advanced economies. All advanced | :12:27. | :12:34. | |
economies, without exception. Not surprisingly, this crisis operates | :12:34. | :12:39. | |
as an X-ray. Everything that is unsustainable in the policies of | :12:39. | :12:44. | |
all advanced economies are put into question very clearly. We all have | :12:44. | :12:53. | |
problems. Not surprisingly, as I said, here the problem is not the | :12:53. | :13:03. | |
USA as a whole, is the governance. It is not a new analysis for us. We | :13:03. | :13:08. | |
have to continue our own analysis. And we are not practising | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
complacency too much. Neither of benign neglect. It is true that we | :13:12. | :13:17. | |
were criticised very heavily when we were saying that the Stability | :13:17. | :13:23. | |
and Growth Pact is absolutely necessary, a lot of economists said | :13:23. | :13:28. | |
it was too tight a jacket, you should not have it. At a time where | :13:28. | :13:32. | |
there was a general benign neglect. I don't think that you could see | :13:32. | :13:37. | |
that we were practising benign neglect. We infuriated governments | :13:37. | :13:43. | |
and we were criticised by many economies -- economists and | :13:43. | :13:48. | |
institutions because we were supposed to be much too orthodox. | :13:48. | :13:55. | |
With the benefit of hindsight, that orthodoxy has been recognised as | :13:55. | :14:00. | |
probably harmful. President Sarkozy has said that Greece was not ready | :14:00. | :14:05. | |
for the euro. Do you agree? I would have to say that the decision to | :14:05. | :14:12. | |
enter into euro was, to enter Greece into the euro, was taken by | :14:12. | :14:17. | |
all the governments of Europe, without any exception. But with | :14:17. | :14:21. | |
hindsight, were they wrong? I would say that all governments of Europe, | :14:21. | :14:27. | |
without any exception, and with the hindsight, they should have applied | :14:27. | :14:34. | |
rigorously the rules that existed in the EU, rigorously. But at the | :14:34. | :14:44. | |
time, as I said, benign neglect, benign neglect of the markets, it | :14:44. | :14:48. | |
was the Government's, individually and collectively, let the thing go. | :14:48. | :14:51. | |
When we look at the way that the contagion has worked, Italy, | :14:51. | :14:58. | |
everybody thought the numbers of bouquet for the last -- the numbers | :14:58. | :15:02. | |
looked OK up until a few months ago. Now the markets are in trouble and | :15:02. | :15:09. | |
any country cannot cover its debts if interest rates get high enough. | :15:09. | :15:13. | |
If France is next on that list? Will you still say that the French | :15:13. | :15:17. | |
government has to act? That it is right that it should lose its AAA | :15:17. | :15:21. | |
rating? How do you feel about the role of France coming into it? | :15:21. | :15:25. | |
message is the same for all countries in Europe. Be very | :15:25. | :15:31. | |
cautious. You have to do what you have to do. And take into account | :15:31. | :15:36. | |
all elements of a situation. Markets are moving every day, on a | :15:36. | :15:41. | |
minute to minute, half-day two half-day basis, and you have to do | :15:41. | :15:45. | |
the job. You have to endure in the medium to long run that they are | :15:45. | :15:50. | |
right. And that is something which is important. One of the major | :15:50. | :15:53. | |
lessons of the crisis, which was agreed upon by all advanced | :15:53. | :16:00. | |
economies, and all emerging economy is, was very clear. First, market | :16:00. | :16:04. | |
economies are the best way to produce wealth. This is not | :16:04. | :16:11. | |
challenged. Second, financial markets are much too fragile, much | :16:11. | :16:18. | |
too erratic and hectic, and we have to make them much more resilient. | :16:18. | :16:23. | |
That remains true. We walked -- work on all fronts. But if they are | :16:23. | :16:27. | |
erratic and hectic, that means we come back to the beginning, | :16:27. | :16:31. | |
precisely the moment when central banks come in and say, this is not | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
a reasonable view to have of Italy or of France. We are going to put | :16:35. | :16:38. | |
an end to this panic. It is absolutely clear that for a number | :16:38. | :16:46. | |
of reasons the credibility of the countries in the euro area has been | :16:46. | :16:51. | |
put into question when it is absurd in terms of fundamentals. That is | :16:51. | :16:56. | |
clear. But if it is absurd, why not stop that absurd panic? We are | :16:56. | :17:00. | |
telling all governments to take all of the appropriate ways of | :17:00. | :17:05. | |
communicating. One of the problems of Europe as a whole, you have, as | :17:05. | :17:14. | |
I I er fundamentals than what you have in other countries. | :17:14. | :17:20. | |
That being said, we have 17 democracies. They have to improve, | :17:20. | :17:26. | |
and they are learning by doing, if I can say, to improve progressively | :17:26. | :17:31. | |
their way of running governments in the euro area. But it is clear. I | :17:31. | :17:35. | |
am totally confident. Because when you look at the various countries | :17:35. | :17:39. | |
concerned, you know, of course, that their fundamentals are much | :17:39. | :17:45. | |
better than his more or less thought by some of the observers | :17:45. | :17:50. | |
from outside. One message that has come out of these 17 vibrant | :17:50. | :17:52. | |
democracies that you talk about seems to be that although they are | :17:52. | :17:56. | |
amongst the richest in the world, they cannot come up with enough | :17:56. | :18:00. | |
resources to solve their own problems, they need to go cap in | :18:00. | :18:07. | |
hand to China. The rest of the world is looking at us, and I am | :18:07. | :18:10. | |
absolutely sure that the rest of the world is sharing the view that | :18:10. | :18:15. | |
I just expressed, that the medium run, it goes without saying that | :18:15. | :18:20. | |
the fundamental of Europe -- fundamentals of Europe are very | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
solid and Europe is a very impressive Continent. I have no | :18:24. | :18:33. | |
doubt of that. I did not hear myself having participated in the | :18:33. | :18:36. | |
meetings that the Europeans were deciding to ask any other country | :18:36. | :18:41. | |
to help. Are you shocked that they are now, but the head of the rescue | :18:41. | :18:46. | |
fund has been to China? No mac. He has programmed his trip for a long | :18:46. | :18:51. | |
time. He is in the US, in China. We are in a global world. But you | :18:51. | :18:54. | |
don't think it is embarrassing for humbling? That Europe is going to | :18:54. | :19:00. | |
China? Not at all. How do you think that the various other countries | :19:00. | :19:04. | |
themselves in the advanced world finance? We are all on the global | :19:05. | :19:12. | |
markets. The way that you describe the crisis, it is hard to match | :19:12. | :19:16. | |
that with what seems to be the reality, which is, for example, why | :19:16. | :19:20. | |
are the government leaders, at the summit, coming up with a very | :19:20. | :19:24. | |
detailed, complex ways to increase the leverage of the rescue fund, if | :19:24. | :19:28. | |
not because they have not got the money? The car provide the | :19:28. | :19:38. | |
resources in the real world? Thank you. It is normal. It is | :19:38. | :19:44. | |
normal what is happening? If I can simplify equity, with this equity, | :19:44. | :19:52. | |
we go to other participants, it is the normal way of dealing. | :19:52. | :19:56. | |
Everything is very normal? Interest rates are a normal subject for the | :19:56. | :20:00. | |
European Central Bank. People say it was a mistake to raise interest | :20:00. | :20:03. | |
rates in 2008 just before the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and | :20:03. | :20:07. | |
there was a similar mistake this year, raising interest rates twice. | :20:07. | :20:16. | |
Do you agree with that? Do you think it will be reversed soon? | :20:16. | :20:19. | |
First of all, I will not say anything about the future. It | :20:19. | :20:24. | |
depends on the governing council. And nothing but I say should be | :20:24. | :20:29. | |
interpreted in terms of front -- future interest rates. Many only | :20:29. | :20:34. | |
say that what is extremely important, in normal times, as well | :20:34. | :20:39. | |
as in difficult times, is to southerly anchor expectations. | :20:39. | :20:46. | |
Because if you have expectations, you add to the difficulties of the | :20:46. | :20:52. | |
time. Inflation expectations are solidly anchored. They have always | :20:52. | :20:56. | |
been, and remain solidly anchored, in line with a definition, which | :20:56. | :21:01. | |
protects ourselves against the risk of inflation. Also, the risk of | :21:01. | :21:05. | |
deflation, and in difficult times, when you have a recession, the risk | :21:05. | :21:10. | |
of deflation is important. I think that what we have been doing, of | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
course, all decisions are taken by the governing council as a whole, | :21:14. | :21:19. | |
it is a team, a strong team, but we thought that it was appropriate in | :21:19. | :21:23. | |
the circumstances. Finally, you may know that the American President, | :21:23. | :21:27. | |
when he leaves office, he leaves a letter for his successor on the | :21:27. | :21:34. | |
desk. Will you leave a matter for your successor? We are in | :21:34. | :21:43. | |
permanently close contact. We are members of the same team. We are | :21:43. | :21:50. | |
not... Not in an electoral contest. He took all the decisions with all | :21:50. | :21:58. | |
of us himself. Of course he will have all that is needed. We do not | :21:58. | :22:02. |