Putin: The New Tsar


Putin: The New Tsar

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Russia is about to elect a new president.

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There's no doubt who it's going to be.

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The same man who has ruled unchecked for the last 18 years.

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Now it's classical one-man dictatorship.

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That's what always happens with dictators.

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You look at Hitler and Stalin, it's always, you know,

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step-by-step, step-by-step.

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The real Vladimir Putin remains an enigma.

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So who is the world's most powerful and feared leader?

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We talk to the presidents he has threatened...

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He said, "Your friends are making lots of nice promises to you,

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"but they never deliver.

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"I don't promise you anything nice, but I always deliver."

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..the Western leaders whose vulnerability he has exploited...

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Putin has invented new kinds of warfare,

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which Western countries are still struggling to come to terms with.

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What is called this full-spectrum capability.

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..and the inner circle of intimates

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who made him president in the first place.

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Vladimir Putin's psyche

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has been forged on the anvil of absolute power.

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The consequences for the future of the world are nothing

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if not significant.

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It's not IF Putin would attack, it's only when and where.

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You could take the view that Putin's had long enough,

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it's time for somebody else.

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Really a time for a change is the root of what you should be saying.

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Ksenia Sobchak is one of eight Russian presidential candidates.

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Vladimir Putin has been a family friend for decades.

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One important goal is to speak to the world,

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to make them understand that Russia is not Putin.

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She's meeting Lord Bell, one-time Thatcher confidante,

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for some strategic advice.

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You're a woman, for a start.

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That gives you an immediate advantage over Putin

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-and every other contestant.

-A young woman.

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It wasn't true of Thatcher.

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Thatcher had never thought of herself as a woman.

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THEY LAUGH

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-She thought of herself as a politician...

-That's true.

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I actually met her in Saint Petersburg, you know.

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I know you worked with her...

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But Sobchak knows her family friend all too well.

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He isn't going to allow her to win.

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..after elections,

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I hope it will be a big result to understand

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that chances of winning are quite minimal right now, shall we say.

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-But...

-But never say that, though, will you?

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Yes, I am saying it.

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You should always tell people you're going to win.

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You want people to vote for you...

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But in Russia, you know, people know that Putin will win.

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He created the system that allows only him to win,

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so the system is unfair.

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There were no hints of the future Tsar back in the '70s.

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Born to poor parents in a tough suburb,

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he fought his way to university and then a lowly KGB post.

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But that only lasted as long as the Soviet Union.

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In the chaos of the time,

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Mayor Anatoly Sobchak needed a tough guy -

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and the KGB officer fitted the role perfectly.

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From being a grey-faced KGB agent, just a servant

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of the state, he becomes a personality,

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and so the ego starts to grow.

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Struggling to understand the unfolding enigma

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of Vladimir Putin, successive world leaders have turned

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to one man for answers, a respected authority on power and the mind.

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The human brain has a single reward network,

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a single feel-good network that gets switched on whenever we feel,

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paid a compliment, whenever we have sex, whenever we take cocaine

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and whenever we have power and great success.

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What happens is you get a surge of intense pleasure

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and satisfaction from the stimulus,

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but as you repeat that at a higher level, the brain needs more

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and more to achieve the same effect. That's called tolerance.

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It's an insatiable appetite.

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I don't think Putin was born to be an emperor.

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His brain was PROFOUNDLY changed by the power he managed to get.

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CHEERING AND MUSIC

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In the late 1990s post-Soviet Russia was on the brink of collapse.

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A drunk president, gang warfare,

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robber baron businessmen, openly contemptuous of the rule of law.

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Kremlin insiders knew the country needed a saviour.

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Any saviour.

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The obvious successor to Yeltsin was Deputy Prime Minister Boris Nemtsov,

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charismatic, eloquent and principled.

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But Yeltsin hated him, after he opposed the Chechen war.

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And there was somebody else.

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In 1996, Vladimir Putin had come to Moscow

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to work in the administration, keeping a low profile.

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POLICE SIREN

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Gleb Pavlovsky was Boris Yeltsin's spin doctor,

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and he was tasked with preparing the succession.

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APPLAUSE AND CHEERING

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Now he's locked in a bitter legal conflict with Putin's government,

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but back in the '90s,

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his old dacha neighbour was also a Kremlin insider.

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APPLAUSE AND CHEERING

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If you're made president, that's one big, big rush.

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That is an enormous biological hit to the reward network.

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Suddenly, you're no longer just subject to the corporatist

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ideology of the communist regime.

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That regime is dead.

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You're now in charge of a new regime.

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That is a rush to the brain.

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That is a rush to the brain.

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You have not been brought up with the notion

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that there are constraints in power.

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You know, you've been brought up in a system,

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there's no democracy to it.

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That ideology has gone, the communist ideology has gone,

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so he's left without an ideology.

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The ideology he's witnessed in Saint Petersburg

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and around him is an ideology of power.

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Of power and money.

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Putin asked me at that time,

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just two days after he became Acting President, he called for me

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and offered me position of Prime Minister.

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I listed my conditions,

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those conditions were just very simple, just like 10, 15

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reforms, which I understood and were absolutely sure Russia badly needed.

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And he accepted it.

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And the only clamour from his side was just, "Don't step on his field."

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On presidential field.

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Erm, I...

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..decided to accept this.

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CAMERAS CLICK

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Mr Putin implemented his promises.

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He supported all the reforms.

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Except one.

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Except the reform of gas sector.

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APPLAUSE

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I first met him early in the year 2000.

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He was very much the apprentice leader.

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He had been surprised to find himself President of Russia.

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When he became president,

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everybody in Moscow was saying "Who is this man?"

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He had no political background, he'd hardly ever made a political speech.

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He was quite nervous.

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But also very sharp.

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He selected Tony Blair as the first foreign leader that he wished

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to meet, because at the time Tony Blair was the pre-eminent

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leader in Europe, he was at the height of his popularity

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and, in a sense, one felt that Putin was trying

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to learn from Tony Blair how to be a political leader.

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My impression of this was that he was a guy who was in charge,

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who was comfortable in his skin.

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And, of course, Tony Blair was the same.

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So there was a lot of testosterone around.

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You know, Tony, one of the reasons why he was

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so successful was he has a very strong sense of who he is

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and who he was and also he likes himself and he likes his body.

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I mean, neither will thank me for saying this,

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but they are actually remarkably similar in many ways.

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Putin said, "I want to make Russia a strong state again and I want

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"to reconnect it with the West,"

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and he spent a lot of the next three to four years

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trying to get a seat at the top table of world and Western leaders.

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Question to President Bush -

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is this a man that Americans can trust?

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I'll answer the question. I looked the man in the eye,

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I found him to be very straightforward and trustworthy.

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I was able to...

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..erm, get a sense of his soul.

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The sight of their president back on the world stage,

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his team's success in stabilising the country's battered economy

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led to soaring personal approval ratings.

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But also a desire for personal compensation.

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I never dreamed to become the member of the government,

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and actually I was Deputy Minister of Transport,

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and that was just coincidentally.

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TYPEWRITER CLICKS IN BACKGROUND

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INTERVIEWER: You know, the lazy argument in the West

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is that you only got these posts

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because you were a neighbour of Vladimir Putin.

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Er, quite contrary.

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Er...

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Quite contrary.

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At that time he was already in Moscow

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and that was a pure invitation

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from the Ministry of Transport.

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INAUDIBLE

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It wasn't only a reward for a job well done.

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Ministers' rising compensation

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was a reflection of others' vast wealth.

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At that time, 46%...

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..of entire GDP...

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..of Russian Federation

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was produced by companies,

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privatised companies,

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which actually belong to eight families

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in Russian Federation.

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It is not known.

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You are the first to whom I am telling this openly.

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And what is the danger of an economy that is controlled by eight people?

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Same like all over the world.

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Inequality.

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Just inequality.

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Putin now trained his sights on those eight men, the oligarchs.

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They'd been gifted their companies and huge wealth

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by the Yeltsin administration, in a chaotic auction,

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in return for political support.

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Early in 2003, the President engineered a gladiatorial clash.

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On the one side, the man who ruled Russia.

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On the other, the men who owned half of it.

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The chosen topic of conversation, corruption.

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A double-edged sword.

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Mikhail Khodorkovsky was the spokesman for the oligarchs,

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the fourth richest man in the world,

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suspected by the Kremlin of wanting to turn wealth

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into political influence.

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I didn't pay much attention at that time,

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because, just, it was announced that there would be meeting

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devoted to, er, corruption

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and the oligarchs' team, erm...

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..offered to Mikhail Khodorkovsky

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to make a presentation on their behalf.

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And then Putin, he explode a little bit and saying how all of you,

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and you particular, Khodorkovsky, got your wealth.

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I arranged this meeting.

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-You arranged it?

-Yes.

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-What?!

-Yeah.

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MIKHAIL BREATHES HEAVILY AND SIGHS

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LAUGHTER

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Khodorkovsky's fatal mistake was that he chose a massive oil deal

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as his major example of corruption.

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A deal which it turned out his president knew everything about.

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Mr Putin started to explain me, in the many, many details,

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he knew everything in details, that was...brought me to the

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understanding there's something wrong, started to appear...

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That he knew about the terms of this transaction.

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Putin was as good as his private word.

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Khodorkovsky was slammed in jail and his vast business sold off,

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first to a vodka bar in Siberia,

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and then to a company controlled

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by one of the President's closest allies.

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This was a turning point,

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because Yukos was the poster child for the Russian oil industry.

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It was very well regarded in the West,

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and you thought, you are damaging Russia's image

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in the Western business world.

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You're damaging the chances of getting more investment in.

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So it seemed like a pretty high-risk policy, but for Putin,

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zapping Khodorkovsky was so important

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that the economic considerations took second place.

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The West may not have liked it, but ordinary Russians did.

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They were delighted to see their president

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taking on the hated oligarchs.

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And it wasn't the only sign of a new-found personal confidence.

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Russia and Belarus were negotiating a gas deal and talks broke down.

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I instructed Gazprom, continue to supply.

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It's February, minus 25 in Minsk,

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continue to supply, then later we negotiate.

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And next morning just Prime Minister of Poland calling me,

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Prime Minister of Lithuania...

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Governor of Kaliningrad Region.

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"What's going on? We have no gas."

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Because just they were on the same line, on the same pipeline.

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President of Gazprom, he said -

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"Putin instructed me to cut supplies."

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Then we were shouting to each other.

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HE LAUGHS So what did you say?

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He said he didn't respect Lukashenko, didn't respect me.

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I, Putin, asked him personally just to accept this price and he didn't.

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He didn't sign the contract. He didn't respect me.

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Two weeks after, I was fired.

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The whole Cabinet was fired just two weeks prior to elections.

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HE LAUGHS

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Stability at home, his vast country once again at peace

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and a Cabinet under his direct control.

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It looks like the new president has single-handedly reversed

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the years of decline.

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One of the features of unlimited power

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is the acquired narcissism that occurs.

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And the acquired narcissism leads to, you know,

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a really...enormously inflated ego.

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You know, you're teaching cranes to fly,

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or you're fighting bears, you're wrestling tigers.

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You're just the smartest, cleverest, strongest,

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best-looking guy in the world!

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HE LAUGHS

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And, you know, if you inflate an ego enough,

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then the vulnerability of it increases proportionately.

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SHOUTING AND CHANTING

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Then trouble broke out where he least expected it...

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Georgia.

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Revolutions swept away his allies

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and a coltish reformer took power, Mikheil Saakashvili.

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My first contact with Vladimir Putin

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was during my first official visit to Moscow.

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They tried to persuade...

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Er, he actually rolled out red, red carpet,

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first full official visit ceremony.

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The whole setting was meant to be a kind of recruiting session,

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because Putin first took us to the office that...

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He'd said that it was former office of Stalin,

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and then he took off his tie, jacket,

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he invited me to do the same, and then sat down with me

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in what was meant to be a very,

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you know, friendly and open conversation.

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From the very first meeting, I ask him, "So, so, Vladimir,

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"do you have any problems with our dealings with the Americas?"

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"No", he said "no".

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"I myself friends with George Bush.

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"Of course we strongly...

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"No, we are not in principle against you dealing with the Americas,

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"we are just against you being slaves to the Americas".

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But then he told me something very clear.

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He told me that the sitting Georgian Minister of Security

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in Shevardnadze's government, he told me that this is our guy.

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"We have very good experience of working with him.

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"He really helped us a lot and I hope he keeps his position.

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"If he keeps his position, that will make it very easy,

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"our co-operation."

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Second time I met him, he asks, "Where is he?"

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And I told him, "Well, he got promoted.

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"We appointed him as Deputy Prosecutor General.

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He said, "Well, this is not a promotion.

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"We wanted to help him as Minister of Internal Security".

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By that he told me, "You are not going to fool me".

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Saakashvili, he enjoyed sort of poking the bear in the eye,

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and that's not always a very wise policy,

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and some people around him advised him not to do it,

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and he would've been better advised not to do it.

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The psychological and the personal now

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plays a much bigger role in international politics,

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because of the old certainties,

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the old tectonic plates of ideology and of interest between blocs,

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they've all gone,

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and we're now in a system where individual human psychology

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and personality plays much more of a role.

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CHEERING AND APPLAUSE

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To Putin's intense irritation,

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Bush immediately responded to Saakashvili's overtures,

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reversing the pro-Russian stance he'd earlier held.

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Georgia is today most sovereign and free

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and a beacon of liberty for this region and the world.

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CHEERING AND APPLAUSE

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Putin began to believe that the Americans could never be trusted.

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A view strengthened as the tide of revolution

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reached neighbouring Ukraine.

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BBC NEWS THEME

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-HUW EDWARDS:

-Now to the political crisis in Ukraine.

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CROWD CHANTS

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The Orange Revolution pitted Putin's man, incumbent Viktor Yanukovich,

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against challenger Viktor Yushchenko,

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who the Kremlin thought was a US puppet.

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At the polls, Yushchenko won,

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despite the best efforts of Putin's personal spin doctor.

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That was a massive humiliation for Putin

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and it was the shakiest moment of his 18 years in power.

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For three months after that, people in Moscow were actually asking

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whether he would last till the end of his Presidential term.

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It was a huge defeat for him

0:31:470:31:49

because he was perceived as having lost Ukraine.

0:31:490:31:53

It's a defeat the President has never forgotten and never forgiven.

0:31:560:32:01

He could never trust the West again.

0:32:010:32:04

A perception its politicians,

0:32:040:32:06

glorying in democracy's victory in Ukraine, only strengthened.

0:32:060:32:10

From the West's point of view, this was the end of history,

0:32:150:32:19

liberal capitalism had triumphed.

0:32:190:32:22

I was a bit tough on the Russians, but there we are.

0:32:220:32:25

And I wish we'd handled it differently.

0:32:260:32:29

Imagine if, in the United Kingdom, there'd not just been Scottish

0:32:290:32:34

independence but Welsh independence and Northern Irish independence,

0:32:340:32:37

but the North West and the North East of England

0:32:370:32:41

and the South West had also decided to declare independence.

0:32:410:32:44

So we didn't really factor that in in my view

0:32:470:32:50

and we then scared the Russians with this absolutely fundamental

0:32:500:32:58

anxiety they've always had about being encircled.

0:32:580:33:03

In hindsight, I think that we created the anxieties

0:33:030:33:08

and we could have avoided them

0:33:080:33:10

from which many of Putin's subsequent policies followed.

0:33:100:33:14

2005, everything changes.

0:33:210:33:25

Vladimir Putin turns inward back to Russia and its people.

0:33:250:33:30

Gone modernisation, gone attempts to woo the fickle West.

0:33:300:33:35

Instead, "Putin is Russia, Russia is Putin" is the new slogan.

0:33:350:33:40

He will rebuild his country himself.

0:33:400:33:43

But there's a looming problem.

0:34:050:34:08

In two years' time, Putin has to stand down.

0:34:080:34:11

A new president is to be elected

0:34:110:34:13

and liberal opponents are already starting their campaigns.

0:34:130:34:17

Notably chess grandmaster Garry Kasparov.

0:34:170:34:21

It was a very different game from one that I'd been playing before

0:34:230:34:27

because that game was a clear winning combination.

0:34:270:34:32

In 2007 there still was a chance for Putin to walk away.

0:34:320:34:36

Already probably the richest man in the world,

0:34:360:34:39

and was a massive influence and, by the way, with a decent reputation.

0:34:390:34:43

This is the world's most famous chess player,

0:34:460:34:48

then still ranked number one.

0:34:480:34:51

Definitely one of the most recognisable faces in Russia.

0:34:510:34:54

Absolutely the most recognisable face in Russia

0:34:540:34:57

outside of movie stardom and Putin.

0:34:570:35:00

Certainly the man, if you asked anybody anywhere in Russia,

0:35:010:35:04

"Who's the smartest man in Russia?"

0:35:040:35:07

they'd probably say Garry Kasparov.

0:35:070:35:10

He almost immediately went on tour

0:35:120:35:15

and I was with him on this little chartered plane.

0:35:150:35:20

Within the space of a week, things started shutting down.

0:35:220:35:27

First we had to give up the plane

0:35:280:35:31

because they would no longer let him land.

0:35:310:35:33

In Beslan he couldn't get the venue where he was supposed to speak.

0:35:350:35:41

They said that they had a burst pipe

0:35:410:35:45

or they had an electrical failure.

0:35:450:35:48

Wherever anyone went it was either a burst pipe or an electrical failure.

0:35:480:35:51

I think that was the first place where he got stuff thrown at him

0:35:530:35:58

and we actually thought it was a gunshot.

0:35:580:36:01

By the time we got to Sverdlovsk,

0:36:010:36:02

which is the largest city in Southern Russia,

0:36:020:36:05

it was no longer a chain of coincidences.

0:36:050:36:08

At this point the plane is grounded,

0:36:080:36:10

the place where he is supposed to speak had a burst pipe

0:36:100:36:14

and then we try to check into a hotel and they say,

0:36:140:36:16

"No, you can't check into this hotel."

0:36:160:36:18

We had a dinner booked for 30 or 40 people

0:36:200:36:26

from the local small business association

0:36:260:36:29

and we get to this restaurant

0:36:290:36:32

and there was one person there.

0:36:320:36:34

And it emerged as we talked...

0:36:360:36:39

She was from the small business organisation.

0:36:390:36:41

It emerged as we talked that she had lost her cellphone the day before,

0:36:410:36:46

so she was the only one who wasn't called

0:36:460:36:50

and threatened by the Governor's people.

0:36:500:36:53

The grandmaster soon finds himself under arrest.

0:36:590:37:02

Tell your leaders that this regime is criminal. It's a police state.

0:37:090:37:13

I have to say that, compared to what we are seeing today,

0:37:160:37:19

those were vegetarian times.

0:37:190:37:23

Ten years ago, for protesting peacefully against Putin

0:37:230:37:27

on the streets you could end up in prison for five or ten days.

0:37:270:37:30

Today you would end up in prison for five or ten years.

0:37:300:37:33

My first trial, which ended up with a £40 fine,

0:37:380:37:42

but the judge there, she set up the rules for the future

0:37:420:37:45

because everything that happened with me was videotaped.

0:37:450:37:48

I had videotape, I had witnesses that proved that everything that

0:37:480:37:52

they presented in court was a lie.

0:37:520:37:54

She said she trusted a policeman, one policeman, over the rest

0:37:540:37:59

of the pile of evidence because he wore the military uniform.

0:37:590:38:06

Kasparov isn't the only one trying his luck.

0:38:280:38:32

So is Mikhail Kasyanov, keen to return to power.

0:38:320:38:36

I decided to run. I believed at that time we had a chance.

0:38:360:38:41

I started to run and at that time it was necessary to collect

0:38:410:38:45

two million signatures and we did it.

0:38:450:38:49

Then my support started to grow from 6%, which is usually 5%-6%,

0:38:490:38:56

up to 18% and one month after they cut me out of elections,

0:38:560:39:02

just describing that 35 signatures out of two million signatures

0:39:020:39:06

we believe not right, not correct.

0:39:060:39:08

HE LAUGHS

0:39:080:39:11

With no Kasyanov or Kasparov in the mix, Putin's man, Prime Minister

0:39:120:39:17

Dmitry Medvedev, succeeds him as President, but then, in defiance of

0:39:170:39:22

the spirit if not the letter of the constitution,

0:39:220:39:25

that new Prime Minister is Vladimir Putin.

0:39:250:39:29

His country's future too important to relinquish.

0:39:290:39:32

Power too addictive to give up.

0:39:320:39:35

That is absolutely clear for everyone in Russia

0:39:350:39:38

that his successor is simply just to keep the presidential seat warm

0:39:380:39:44

and he successfully implemented this goal Mr Putin wanted him to do.

0:39:440:39:50

This is why democracy was invented.

0:39:520:39:55

Take anyone who is given absolute power for more than, say,

0:39:550:40:00

eight or ten years, that will inevitably distort their behaviour

0:40:000:40:05

in ways that can be very dangerous.

0:40:050:40:07

In 2006, Putin had pushed a law through Parliament allowing

0:40:140:40:17

the KGB to kill traitors outside Russia.

0:40:170:40:21

Months later, Alexander Litvinenko lay dead in London,

0:40:230:40:27

the KGB defector poisoned with radioactive polonium after

0:40:270:40:31

eating sushi and drinking tea in a Mayfair restaurant.

0:40:310:40:36

I was on my way to London for a meeting with Tony Blair

0:40:360:40:39

and Litvinenko had been murdered a few days before that

0:40:390:40:44

and everybody was talking about it.

0:40:440:40:47

So we had to stop over in Minsk.

0:40:470:40:48

We went to see an exhibit, after which we had a banquet.

0:40:480:40:52

There was Putin in the middle.

0:40:520:40:54

I was on his right hand and Lukashenko on his left.

0:40:540:40:59

And Lukashenko has this habit of poking Putin from time to time,

0:40:590:41:05

even making fun of him.

0:41:050:41:08

And so he started to say, "So from here you're leaving for London

0:41:080:41:13

"so you should really be well fed.

0:41:130:41:15

"I don't advise you to eat anything in London."

0:41:150:41:18

And so he said, "Especially I don't advise you to eat any sushi.

0:41:180:41:23

"Don't even go close to sushi, but the safest thing to eat from

0:41:230:41:27

"which you won't for sure be poisoned

0:41:270:41:29

"is from plate in front of Vladimir."

0:41:290:41:31

So he takes plate from Putin and gives it to me.

0:41:310:41:35

And so Putin suddenly interrupts and says,

0:41:350:41:40

"I have nothing to do with the murder of this Litvinenko guy."

0:41:400:41:44

He got visibly annoyed.

0:41:440:41:45

"No. Who the hell needed Litvinenko? He was nobody.

0:41:480:41:52

"Why would I murder him?"

0:41:520:41:54

But it really got under his skin.

0:41:540:41:57

Ever since, Russia has persistently denied responsibility

0:41:570:42:01

for Litvinenko's death.

0:42:010:42:04

But behind the jokes in Minsk lay tension,

0:42:040:42:08

Putin warning Saakashvili he should drop the West or pay the price.

0:42:080:42:12

He took me aside. It was a meeting without witnesses.

0:42:140:42:18

It was a dark room next to the main hall.

0:42:180:42:22

We sat on chairs. There was not even a table.

0:42:220:42:26

So he put his hand on my knee, like, with nails and,

0:42:260:42:31

looking straight into my eyes, said,

0:42:310:42:33

"You really underestimate us. You cannot play around with Russia."

0:42:330:42:38

The all-powerful Putin was increasingly inclined to show

0:42:400:42:44

open contempt for his former allies.

0:42:440:42:46

One thing that struck me,

0:42:490:42:51

an anecdote about Putin which reveals to me

0:42:510:42:55

that he's probably not a very nice person, is Angela Merkel is

0:42:550:43:00

afraid of dogs and made the mistake of divulging this to Putin.

0:43:000:43:06

And one time when she was in Russia, what did he do,

0:43:090:43:11

but bring this enormous horrible big dog into the room

0:43:110:43:15

just so that he could then enjoy the power that comes, that

0:43:150:43:19

somewhat sadistic power that comes from making someone frightened.

0:43:190:43:24

2008 - The Georgian crisis boiled over.

0:43:290:43:33

A separatist rioted in the dissident republic of South Ossetia.

0:43:330:43:37

The Russian Army massed on the border with Putin certain

0:43:370:43:40

the hapless West would do absolutely nothing.

0:43:400:43:44

It was obviously that it was basically on the edge of war,

0:43:440:43:49

so Europeans and America started to make statements.

0:43:490:43:53

I tried to call Medvedev because Medvedev was officially the

0:43:530:43:55

President, but then they called me back from Russian protocol and said,

0:43:550:43:59

"Vladimir Putin wants to talk to you."

0:43:590:44:01

And Putin says, "Why are you calling Medvedev?

0:44:010:44:03

"It's me who is doing all these things

0:44:030:44:05

"and I'm directing the whole operation."

0:44:050:44:08

So I told him, "Look, we are very worried. Not only are we worried.

0:44:080:44:12

"Look at the statements. We have the White House, the European Union."

0:44:120:44:17

He said, "I already saw the statements.

0:44:170:44:20

"They are really very harsh, strong statements."

0:44:200:44:23

He said lots of paper was spent on the statements.

0:44:230:44:27

So he told me, "Mikheil, why don't you call your friends in the West

0:44:270:44:31

"and tell them to roll this paper and stick it in their asses?"

0:44:310:44:35

While the rest of the world is watching the Beijing Olympics,

0:44:470:44:51

Vladimir Putin sends in the tanks

0:44:510:44:54

for the first time since the collapse of the Soviet Union.

0:44:540:44:58

What happened at that moment, finally the Americans will help.

0:45:070:45:11

I have directed the Secretary of Defense Bob Gates to begin

0:45:140:45:17

a humanitarian mission to the people of Georgia

0:45:170:45:20

headed by the United States military.

0:45:200:45:23

This mission will be vigorous and ongoing.

0:45:230:45:27

And one of the things that they leaked was that Cheney wanted

0:45:270:45:30

to hit the Russians with cruise missiles.

0:45:300:45:33

Within 40 minutes of the Bush announcement,

0:45:350:45:38

Russian troops' advance on our capital was stopped.

0:45:380:45:42

So Putin got the message.

0:45:420:45:45

The West was horrified by the invasion and relieved at the

0:45:450:45:48

pull back, but even a five-day war

0:45:480:45:51

made Russians feel their country was strong again.

0:45:510:45:54

A firm leader at its tiller.

0:45:540:45:56

Worried European countries decide it's time to try

0:45:560:46:00

and be friends again.

0:46:000:46:01

I visited Moscow and I saw then-President Medvedev.

0:46:030:46:07

This was in the period

0:46:070:46:09

when Putin had stepped into being Prime Minister

0:46:090:46:12

while, of course, still holding the reins of power.

0:46:120:46:16

Medvedev is much more a normal European politician.

0:46:160:46:21

Talking to him you get a much less sinister feeling really

0:46:210:46:26

than talking to President Putin.

0:46:260:46:28

I escorted him to the Olympics when he came here in 2012.

0:46:310:46:37

I took him to the ExCel Centre to see the Judo.

0:46:370:46:41

I know a bit about Judo. I've done some Judo. Not as much as he has.

0:46:410:46:46

A Russian won the gold medal, which Putin enjoyed, of course,

0:46:460:46:49

immensely because he wasn't going to go back to Moscow

0:46:490:46:52

until he had seen a Russian win a gold medal.

0:46:520:46:55

He was going to stay as long as necessary.

0:46:550:46:57

We had champagne, you know, we had quite a party

0:46:570:47:04

and we waved him off, knowing that they'd won a gold medal,

0:47:040:47:07

with some relief that he didn't need to stay a couple of days.

0:47:070:47:10

Two years later, the Sochi Olympics were intended to be another

0:47:200:47:23

stepping stone in Russia's path to global dominance.

0:47:230:47:26

The President poured vast amounts of time and money into the project.

0:47:280:47:32

But the Games also served to distract the world's cameras

0:47:370:47:40

from his next bold foreign policy manoeuvre,

0:47:400:47:43

as Russia seized control of Crimea.

0:47:430:47:46

Dictators never ask why. It's always why not?

0:47:510:47:54

But we could see an acceleration.

0:47:560:47:58

For Hitler it took 20 months from Berlin Olympics

0:47:580:48:02

to annexation of Austria.

0:48:020:48:04

For Putin it took only 20 days,

0:48:040:48:07

from Olympics to annexation of Crimea.

0:48:070:48:09

Putin has developed a very clear consistent approach in dealing with

0:48:130:48:18

problems in those neighbours, which is to take a physical stake in them.

0:48:180:48:22

Something which,

0:48:220:48:24

every time he does it, is astonishing to Western opinion.

0:48:240:48:27

Of course it wouldn't be astonishing any more because he's done it

0:48:270:48:30

several times, but to physically take part of one of those countries,

0:48:300:48:36

to stop that country functioning as a sovereign state...

0:48:360:48:40

..and that is how he arrests the arrival

0:48:420:48:45

or the growth of Western ideas.

0:48:450:48:48

And of course he was bold enough to do the same in Syria.

0:48:510:48:54

To physically intervene, in my view,

0:48:540:48:57

emboldened by Western failure to intervene.

0:48:570:49:02

One of the key features

0:49:040:49:07

of the extreme narcissism of the emperor

0:49:070:49:12

is you lose the ability to distinguish your interests

0:49:120:49:17

from the interests of the country.

0:49:170:49:20

And so you and your nation's interest becomes identical.

0:49:200:49:24

To the baffled West, Vladimir Putin looked arbitrary and out of control.

0:49:260:49:31

But to his people he looked like a true Tsar, happy to flout

0:49:310:49:35

Western norms of behaviour to safeguard Russia's vital interests.

0:49:350:49:39

Then one old rival decides to challenge the apparently

0:49:450:49:48

invincible President.

0:49:480:49:49

CROWDS CHANT

0:49:500:49:54

Boris himself had as close a relationship to power as anyone.

0:49:540:49:58

For many years he was perceived as the heir apparent to Yeltsin.

0:49:580:50:02

And then Putin takes that place.

0:50:020:50:04

And, of course,

0:50:050:50:08

neither of them can sort of

0:50:080:50:09

let the other alone.

0:50:090:50:12

Nemtsov, I think, for principled reasons,

0:50:120:50:14

and Putin for reasons of insecurity and vengefulness.

0:50:140:50:16

Boris Nemtsov started small -

0:50:200:50:23

a pamphlet alleging that his nemesis had 58 jets, two yachts,

0:50:230:50:29

a summer palace,

0:50:290:50:30

making Vladimir Putin the world's richest man.

0:50:300:50:34

His co-author was a former government minister.

0:50:340:50:37

Boris Nemtsov and myself, we were questioning the whole narrative

0:50:390:50:42

that things got so much better under Putin that we should be just

0:50:420:50:46

happy and let him be the lifetime monarch.

0:50:460:50:49

We described a lot of irregularities and serious problems that

0:50:490:50:53

existed underneath the economically brilliant surface.

0:50:530:50:57

Growing inequality became much higher than in the 1990s,

0:50:570:51:03

growing corruption and institutionalised corruption,

0:51:030:51:06

which also was never the case in the '90s because, in the '90s,

0:51:060:51:09

it was all bribes from businessmen to bureaucrats, but under Putin,

0:51:090:51:15

it became bureaucrats completely affiliated with making dirty money,

0:51:150:51:19

and actually it became their business,

0:51:190:51:21

and their only business, to do so.

0:51:210:51:24

You know, we are not perfect,

0:51:250:51:28

but who actually is?

0:51:280:51:30

Did I commit things?

0:51:320:51:34

Yes, I committed things.

0:51:340:51:36

But I never killed a person,

0:51:360:51:40

I never slapped anybody by the face,

0:51:400:51:44

either figurally, either, you know, physically,

0:51:440:51:48

and I never stealed from anybody.

0:51:480:51:52

I help a lot and, you know, from time to time,

0:51:520:51:57

it returns to me in the form of just unexpected support.

0:51:570:52:01

I call him Boris,

0:52:070:52:10

but sometimes I have started to call him suspect.

0:52:100:52:15

But he was a man with a brilliant sense of humour.

0:52:150:52:21

He was preparing the next pamphlet devoted to the election in Crimea.

0:52:240:52:30

It's a very sensitive subject for Putin's regime.

0:52:320:52:35

One winter's night, Boris Nemtsov

0:52:450:52:48

starts to cross the Moskvoretsky Bridge,

0:52:480:52:50

in the shadow of the Kremlin walls.

0:52:500:52:53

Moments later, he's shot in the back and the head four times.

0:52:530:52:59

I was of course shocked.

0:52:590:53:00

I couldn't even imagine that it could happen

0:53:000:53:03

in the 21st century,

0:53:030:53:04

with us, in the centre of Moscow.

0:53:040:53:07

I immediately came there, on the bridge,

0:53:090:53:12

and I just was standing,

0:53:120:53:14

and the body of... Murdered my friend.

0:53:140:53:18

Just on the front of Kremlin wall,

0:53:180:53:21

where just all Secret Service cameras were just installed.

0:53:210:53:25

I was shocked. It was a real shock for me.

0:53:330:53:37

I didn't think it was possible.

0:53:370:53:38

I didn't think it was possible.

0:53:400:53:42

And I didn't know...

0:53:420:53:43

..who was guilty of it.

0:53:450:53:47

Despite the absence of any CCTV -

0:53:470:53:50

Kremlin's cameras were being serviced that night -

0:53:500:53:53

four men are arrested for Nemtsov's murder - one a former para.

0:53:530:53:57

But Nemtsov's supporters doubt ultimate responsibility lies

0:53:590:54:03

with the former serviceman.

0:54:030:54:05

If you stand there and look at the location,

0:54:050:54:08

then you completely understand that,

0:54:080:54:10

in this place, it cannot happen

0:54:100:54:14

without not only the permission but the order from person number one.

0:54:140:54:19

Almost all people who hold great power for a long time begin

0:54:310:54:36

to feel so special.

0:54:360:54:38

"I am so amazing.

0:54:380:54:40

"God must have something to do with this.

0:54:420:54:44

"Look, I can snap my fingers and they invade a country.

0:54:470:54:51

"I can... I have power of life and death over man and woman."

0:54:510:54:55

George W Bush confessed he thought that God was

0:54:570:55:01

involved in his decision on the Iraq war.

0:55:010:55:04

Tony Blair hinted of a wee chat with God now and again.

0:55:040:55:09

Julius Caesar had himself deified when he was still alive.

0:55:090:55:12

With unchallenged authority at home

0:55:130:55:15

and his nearest neighbours put in their place,

0:55:150:55:18

the President is now able to spread his influence even further afield.

0:55:180:55:23

It seems very evident there was a Russian interference

0:55:240:55:29

in the election.

0:55:290:55:30

The amount of evidence amassed by the intelligence agencies

0:55:300:55:34

in the United States about Russia is unlikely to be wrong.

0:55:340:55:38

A lot of people say, as an example, you know,

0:55:380:55:41

"Hillary likes to play tough with Russia."

0:55:410:55:44

Putin looks at her and he laughs, OK?

0:55:440:55:47

Putin's goals are strategic goals.

0:55:520:55:55

He wants chaos because that's his breathing air.

0:55:550:56:01

He needs chaos because that's how he installs his authorities

0:56:010:56:06

inside and outside of Russia.

0:56:060:56:08

He doesn't want to compete.

0:56:090:56:11

He cannot compete with the free world,

0:56:110:56:13

but the moment it comes into wars and conflicts,

0:56:130:56:16

he's dominant because he is very quick at making decisions.

0:56:160:56:20

He doesn't bother about Parliament, free press,

0:56:200:56:23

public opinion, so he immediately grabs

0:56:230:56:26

an opportunity if it is presented.

0:56:260:56:31

He looks at the world map, looking for bargaining chips,

0:56:310:56:35

because for him it's all geo-political casino.

0:56:350:56:37

I think this is part of a pattern where there has quite probably been

0:56:400:56:44

Russian interference in elections

0:56:440:56:47

and referendums throughout Europe over the last few years,

0:56:470:56:52

not always to achieve a specific result

0:56:520:56:55

but to diminish confidence in the democratic process

0:56:550:57:01

over time and to weaken the unity of the West.

0:57:010:57:05

And it's not over.

0:57:070:57:09

With just days to go to the election,

0:57:200:57:23

the President announces a new global arms race, with nukes

0:57:230:57:28

designed to elude any antimissile system, present or future.

0:57:280:57:32

Out on the campaign trail, there's

0:57:460:57:48

a growing tide of suspicion that the President is just using his family

0:57:480:57:52

friend as a window-dressing on his inevitable accession to power.

0:57:520:57:56

So you're not the Kremlin's puppet, then?

0:57:590:58:02

Well, I'm tired of answering this question. No, I'm not.

0:58:020:58:06

Do you want to be the next president?

0:58:060:58:08

Well, I want to,

0:58:080:58:11

but I'm not sure it will be this year.

0:58:110:58:14

But I hope in six years, I'll have a chance to do that.

0:58:140:58:17

To my mind, there is no way out,

0:58:170:58:20

he will stay there for a long time.

0:58:200:58:24

Even if you could arrange a handover

0:58:290:58:33

that guaranteed he would not suffer the fate of Gaddafi

0:58:330:58:38

or Saddam Hussein,

0:58:380:58:40

how would you replace the incredible

0:58:400:58:44

mainlining into your reward network of exceptional power?

0:58:440:58:49

There is an awful bleakness and blackness out there awaiting you.

0:58:490:58:53

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