Episode 3 Made in Britain


Episode 3

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60 years ago, we put on an exhibition

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to show off the best of Britain.

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CONTEMPORARY NARRATION This is the Festival of Britain

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in the city of London.

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In 1951,

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over eight million people visited the South Bank of the Thames

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to see for themselves where Britain stood,

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what we did and what we could be proud of.

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According to the organisers,

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the festival aimed to demonstrate firm confidence in our future.

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Under the constraints of post-war austerity,

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such confidence was in short supply.

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Today, as we recover from a financial crash,

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we're again anxious about our future,

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asking what should we be doing to pay our way in the world.

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What would a new Festival of Britain say about us now?

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For years, we thought the City could keep our economy growing.

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Then came the crash.

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Britain emerged burdened with debt,

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and unsure how to rebuild itself.

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In this series so far, we've seen how, over the last 60 years,

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we've focussed our manufacturing on leaner, higher-value sectors...

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-HE LAUGHS

-Oh, God!

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..how our economy has become more creative,

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graduating from brawn to brain.

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But today we look at the biggest change in direction of all.

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We rely less on traditional manufactured exports.

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Instead, Britain has embarked on a unique experiment,

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developing new ways of paying its bills

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by selling services.

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Fantastic, isn't it?

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Rather than making things, we do things.

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We run things. We organise things.

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'Eight out of ten of us work in services,

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'and yet many still look down on them...'

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What about your TV? How does that go for you?

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'..even though they've helped make us far richer than we were

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'60 years ago.'

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Moving from manufacturing to services

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has changed Britain dramatically,

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far beyond anything that visitors to the Festival of Britain

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would have imagined. But this transition has had costs

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as well as benefits, leaving us a difficult question to answer -

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is the service-based economy that's grown since the '50s

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the right one to deliver us a prosperous future?

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This is where you might come to see how much we buy and sell

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as a nation.

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It's Felixstowe, our biggest container port.

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Ships from all over the world bring their cargo here.

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The overall figures for the port are astonishing.

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In an average year, they unload three million containers here,

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full of goods valued at £40 billion.

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Some of the ships that dock here are a quarter of a mile long,

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and carry 15,000 containers.

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'But what do ships like these take away from Britain?

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'What do we sell to the rest of the world?'

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We sell some goods.

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But of the containers the ships leave with,

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half will be empty.

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Many of the rest will be full of rubbish

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sent abroad for recycling.

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'Last year, the gap between the goods we bought in

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'and the goods we sold to the rest of the world

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'was almost £100 billion.'

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In fact, the last time we were consistently exporting more goods

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than we were importing was the early 1980s.

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Scary stuff!

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Or is it? It's not as bad as it looks,

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because here we've only been talking about trade you can see

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in physical goods -

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things you can touch, put in a box and transport across the world.

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And because you can see it all, many people assume

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that that's what any self-respecting economy should be all about.

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But it isn't - at least not any longer.

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More and more of us work in services.

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Far harder to get a sense of them than the objects round here.

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It's a slippery kind of activity, almost entirely intangible.

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'Services are everything you can't put in a box.

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'But contrary to popular belief,

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'that doesn't mean they're not valuable,

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'and it doesn't mean they can't pay for container-loads

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'of solid imports.'

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In Britain, more than most,

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we do services.

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Forget your picture of people just sitting at desks on the phone.

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'Our services come in all shapes and sizes.

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'And right here on the ship is an example of one.'

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-T minus five.

-Five.

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Four. Three.

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-Two.

-Engine ignition,

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and lift-off of the Atlas V rocket,

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carrying Inmarsat 4 F-1 satellite for Inmarsat Limited.

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You may not have heard of Inmarsat, but it's one British company

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that can reasonably claim to offer a service that's out of this world.

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Sometimes you just can't go around the weather.

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So it's vital to know what's on the horizon.

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Anybody, wherever they are on Earth,

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can use Inmarsat's satellite communications

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to stay in touch,

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and the entire network is run from their control centre in London.

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Chris McLaughlin is the company's vice president.

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We have an increasing number of users -

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it's grown to 63 just as we're talking -

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in Egypt. And then these two up here, cells 65 and 80,

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are Tunisia, which again is in a current political turmoil.

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The satellites are constantly adjusted

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to meet clients' needs.

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Here we're getting into the Afghanistan area.

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Obviously very serious, very dedicated...

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You get an idea of what's going on in the world

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by seeing where the satellites are being used.

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That's right. Often our engineers know before virtually anybody else.

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Inmarsat is worth £2.8 billion.

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It's a service used by over half a million subscribers worldwide.

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Everyone from aid agencies to news organisations rely on it

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for communications in remote locations.

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And, of course, the ships that bring us our imports

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depend on it too. The key thing about Inmarsat

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as a service company is, it makes nothing at all -

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not the phones nor the satellites.

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Instead, it buys them from manufacturers.

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All services need manufactured goods to operate -

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but remember, all manufacturers rely on services as well.

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Inmarsat has three I-4 satellites.

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Each one of them weighs about six tons

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and each is 60 times more powerful than our previous generation.

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We're very fond of them, because they cost us 1.5 billion to launch...

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-Right!

-..between 2005 and 2008.

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-So they're big satellites!

-Each is the size of a London bus,

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and the solar panel is the width of a football pitch,

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so it gives you an idea of scale. Each one of them is a binary bet

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when they launch. It's one of the most expensive bets you'll ever have.

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-It works or it doesn't.

-Light the touch paper.

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There's about a one-in-11 chance of a rocket blowing up,

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so you've shifted around the rockets.

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Granted, most jobs in services

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don't involve firing rockets into space,

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but I've picked this example

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because I don't think we value services as much as we should.

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There's no reason to believe services are second-best.

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Many think the transition of our economy

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towards services, like those of Inmarsat,

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was some kind of deliberate choice, and the wrong choice at that.

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But in fact it was more of a natural evolution.

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The world changed, and our economy changed as a result.

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It wasn't the decision of one person, and although it was painful,

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politicians found it very hard to reverse when they tried.

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So how did we get to where we are today?

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As we all know, great manufacturing used to be spread

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right across Britain. Sunderland was the dockyard to the world.

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At its peak, 12,000 people worked in shipbuilding,

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and during the war, one merchant ship a week

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was sent down the slipway into the Wear.

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APPLAUSE

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I give you to the lads that built the ship.

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Aye-aye! Here's to 'em!

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But these shipyards had a problem.

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Poorer countries found they could make ships too,

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and more cheaply.

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Where we had once led, others had caught up.

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It was devastating for those involved.

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-Is there a feeling in the yard that there might be redundancies?

-Yes.

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-Oh, yes.

-What would this mean to Sunderland,

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-if there were?

-I think the town would be dead.

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-The town would be dead?

-Definitely.

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In time, large-scale shipbuilding disappeared.

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'Chris Mullin became MP for Sunderland South

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'just in time to see it go.'

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So what was actually on this site here?

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This was the North Sands shipyard.

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The last order was the Danish ferry order,

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I think about 15 or 16 Danish ferries.

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And that was in 1989, and if you stood on the bridge behind me,

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and looked down at this site, you'd have seen all the ferries lined up

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along here, waiting to have the tops put on and go off to Denmark.

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It wasn't just ships.

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In so many of our industries,

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we found others could make what we had been making.

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So naturally we had to move on.

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Over the last 60 years, manufacturing had declined

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from 46 percent of our economy to just 12,

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whilst services have rocketed from 47 percent to 78.

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Given the trauma of this upheaval, no wonder people have looked around

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for someone to blame - usually Margaret Thatcher,

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because she welcomed the shift towards services

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that our economy was making.

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So as we have redundancies in the declining industries,

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so we are getting new jobs in the new industries

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and new jobs in some of the service industries,

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and they are being created by our dynamic economy of today.

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But let us not belittle our achievements.

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Many of her admirers and critics agreed on one thing -

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that it was all down to her,

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that politicians could entirely control the forces of economics.

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In 1986,

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chairman of ICI and TV business guru Sir John Harvey-Jones

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addressed the nation.

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The subject of my talk this evening is manufacturing -

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the business of making tangible, useful objects

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with the aim of selling them to people in the UK

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who would otherwise buy an import, and selling them also

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to people abroad, whom we want to choose a British product

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instead of a product made in another country.

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Manufacturing is fast becoming an endangered species.

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It is becoming so undervalued in the country

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that our decline could become irreversible,

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with truly painful consequences for all of us.

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Sir John Harvey-Jones spoke, right here in this room,

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as though the change that was occurring in the economy

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was the result of some kind of conscious decision.

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And yet the inexorable rise of services

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had started well before his speech,

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and it's continued in the decades since.

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Mrs Thatcher didn't cause it,

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and most telling is the fact that politicians before her

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made one serious attempt to strangle the growth of services at birth.

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And it didn't end well.

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SONG: "Taxman" by The Beatles

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# Let me tell you how it will be

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# Cos I'm the taxman #

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It was the 1960s, the Labour government under Harold Wilson.

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Jim Callaghan was chancellor.

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He thought services would never earn enough export revenue

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to help Britain pay its way in the world.

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So in 1966, he introduced the selective employment tax,

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or SET, to drive workers in the services sector

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back into manufacturing jobs.

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I think chancellors in many years to come...

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They may not remember my name, but I'm sure they'll bless the tax.

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It meant that every services business

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had to pay an extra tax for employing staff.

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The revenue could be used to subsidise workers in manufacturing.

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Lloyd's brokers have to pay this selective employment tax,

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and many other people, who contribute much less

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to the balance-of-payments situation of this country

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don't have to pay it. We want to continue

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and to expand and build up our business,

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and this is made more difficult by this tax,

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which really doesn't make any sense at all.

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It produced blatantly ridiculous results.

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Candyfloss makers were not taxed.

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The entire tourism sector, a big exporter, was.

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In Brighton, the Metropole Hotel pays SET on 350 staff.

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What does the director, Mr Webb, think of SET?

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Well, it's shattering. It's an absolute calamity

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as far as our industry is concerned,

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because we feel we are a sort of Cinderella industry in this country.

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This is absolutely ridiculous,

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and it's due time we had proper recognition.

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Unsurprisingly, the selective employment tax

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couldn't thwart the forces of economics.

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It was phased out, and then abolished altogether,

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when VAT was introduced in 1973.

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Since then, no-one has suggested reviving it.

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'Economies seem to have a mind of their own.

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'Even though Mr Callaghan and other critics of services

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'didn't like them, there was little they could do about it.'

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Now, one of the reasons they didn't like services

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was they didn't think you could export enough of them

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to pay the nation's bills.

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But this is where it gets really interesting,

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because Britain has embarked on something of an economic adventure

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over the last few decades, doing just that.

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We've found several novel ways of exporting services.

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Each of these business models has its limitations,

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but together, they've gone further than anyone in the '60s

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might have imagined at helping the nation pay its way in the world.

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To see one of the ways in which we sell services overseas,

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I've come to Dubai.

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Service providers from all over the world come here

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to do their thing, and Britain is a key player.

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We export almost £2 billion of services a year to Dubai

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and the other United Arab Emirates.

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People have a lot of different reactions to Dubai.

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Some feel the excitement. Others think it's rather vulgar.

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Some worry that it doesn't have as much money as it used to,

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and some see it as obscene. There are terrible stories

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of maltreatment of migrant workers. Whatever you think of it,

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it's certainly a place that's changing very quickly.

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It was only 40 years ago

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that Dubai began its extraordinary transformation

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from a quiet desert town into a futuristic metropolis.

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Dubai is strikingly new. But that gives you a clue

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as to why it's been such a great business opportunity

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for British companies.

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You see, one thing fusty old Britain really does have is experience.

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We've been doing stuff for decades.

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Now, if you're a young country and you want some of that experience,

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it's our services you come shopping for.

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And if you've got the money, this is what you can buy.

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In 1993, Dubai wanted to announce its arrival

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as a global destination. The sheikh commissioned the building of a hotel

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that could make a statement to the world -

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the Burj Al Arab.

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Local talent wouldn't have been up to pulling off a project

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of this scale, but a British consultant engineering firm,

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called Atkins, was.

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'Architect Simon Crispe was part of the original design team.

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'What we sold was British service expertise

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'in architecture, project management and engineering.'

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Let's show you some of the drawings of the design.

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-The old plans!

-The old plans.

-Dusted down.

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-Absolutely.

-I bet this brings it all back.

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It does indeed. Now, this one is the original sketch.

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This was August '93,

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and the client said, "Yes. Thanks, Atkins. We'll have it."

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THEY LAUGH

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And, er, away we went.

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At a height of 321 metres,

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it stands taller than the Eiffel Tower.

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The other drawing is the external facade of the building,

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and that shows the wind braces on either side.

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And these are the primary elevational features that you see.

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It's what gives it its character, that initial nautical feel.

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So the clever thing has been to make engineering features

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aesthetically very attractive. You haven't hidden them away.

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-It's absolutely turning them into...

-That's right,

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and it's the bringing together of architecture and engineering

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to create a thing of beauty.

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'Beautiful it may be, but how does it help us pay the bills?'

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Atkins didn't just draw up the plans.

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They project-managed the building's construction,

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and they commissioned ten other British service companies

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to work on everything from its safety features

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to interior design.

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'British services even helped build the artificial island

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'on which the hotel stands.

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'So how much does this all add up to?

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'All the exact figures are commercially confidential.'

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Now, help me out here. You've got a whole cost of the building.

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What proportion of that total cost is the thinking bit,

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-the sort of stuff that Atkins does?

-In broad terms,

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because it's different for different projects,

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you're talking probably... If the whole building costs 100 percent,

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the overall thinking time, the management, the design,

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the conceiving of the project and the delivering of that design

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is roughly anywhere between five and ten percent.

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Across Dubai, we've had a hand in designing and building

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roads and railways, airports and harbours,

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hotels and skyscrapers, and even fantasy islands.

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British service exports are highly regarded around the world.

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And it's not just grand construction projects -

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the city is connected by the Dubai Metro,

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operated by Serco, a British outsourcing specialist.

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Around the world, they run trains, hospitals,

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prisons, recycling centres,

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air-traffic control systems and much else besides.

0:20:520:20:55

So you can go abroad and sell services

0:20:570:21:02

and earn real money for doing so.

0:21:020:21:05

'Britain has gone as far down this track as anyone.'

0:21:050:21:08

But of course we can't all go and live and work

0:21:090:21:12

in different countries.

0:21:120:21:15

So exporting services by going overseas has its limits.

0:21:150:21:19

Fortunately, where Britain has really made its mark

0:21:190:21:23

is in developing a second business model.

0:21:230:21:26

We can make good money by going abroad and selling services,

0:21:290:21:33

but in commercial terms, even better

0:21:330:21:36

is when foreigners come here to Britain to buy them.

0:21:360:21:40

'London is the epicentre.'

0:21:400:21:43

The British capital is like one huge factory

0:21:470:21:51

of commercial service exports.

0:21:510:21:54

This is where the world comes to do business.

0:21:570:22:01

Neatly positioned between America and Asia,

0:22:010:22:04

speaking the global language,

0:22:040:22:07

since the days of empire, London has embraced its role

0:22:070:22:12

as a global city. And it's this role

0:22:120:22:14

that helps Britain pay its way in the world.

0:22:140:22:18

We've encouraged people to come here,

0:22:200:22:22

whether on business or to see the sights,

0:22:220:22:25

and we've sold them services when they do.

0:22:250:22:27

Because they pay for things with money brought from overseas,

0:22:270:22:30

anything they buy is an export,

0:22:300:22:32

helps pay for our manufactured imports.

0:22:320:22:35

And it's all possible because Britain has carved a special role

0:22:350:22:39

as a host nation.

0:22:390:22:41

In order to understand how it happened,

0:22:410:22:44

let's consider London's answer to the Burj Al Arab -

0:22:440:22:47

the Shard.

0:22:470:22:50

Well, I'm on the 37th floor of the Shard.

0:22:520:22:55

That's not even halfway up to the top of the finished building.

0:22:550:23:00

This is undoubtedly going to be a symbol of our capital,

0:23:000:23:03

given its height, but it's also an interesting symbol

0:23:030:23:06

of the internationalisation of the nation and of London.

0:23:060:23:10

When completed, the Shard will be the tallest building

0:23:100:23:14

in the European Union.

0:23:140:23:16

But despite being built on London soil,

0:23:160:23:19

that's little that's particularly British about it.

0:23:190:23:24

This has been financed by money from Qatar,

0:23:240:23:26

the architect Italian,

0:23:260:23:28

the workforce building it from everywhere.

0:23:280:23:31

The glass is Dutch, and this floor, like another 17,

0:23:310:23:36

has been taken by the first tenant, a Hong Kong-based hotel.

0:23:360:23:39

Many of the tenants in this building won't be British,

0:23:410:23:45

and that's the clever part.

0:23:450:23:48

While they're here, we can make money from them.

0:23:480:23:51

So, what do we get out of being a host nation?

0:23:520:23:55

Well, imagine when this building is finished,

0:23:550:23:58

in an extreme case, no British people work or live here.

0:23:580:24:02

The foreigners who work and live here,

0:24:020:24:04

they'll be paying some taxes to the UK government.

0:24:040:24:07

They'll go shopping in the streets nearby.

0:24:070:24:10

They'll use British accountants and insurance companies.

0:24:100:24:13

The Russians living upstairs, when they get divorced,

0:24:130:24:16

will perhaps use a British lawyer. All these services will earn money.

0:24:160:24:20

Because they'll be earning money from foreigners, they're exports -

0:24:200:24:24

exports right here in the centre of London.

0:24:240:24:28

The Shard is testament to our continued willingness and ability

0:24:280:24:32

to attract the super-rich from around the world to London.

0:24:320:24:36

And once we've got them here, anything we can sell them

0:24:360:24:39

while they're in town counts as an export.

0:24:390:24:43

That's because everything they buy has effectively been paid for

0:24:430:24:46

with income derived from abroad.

0:24:460:24:49

It's very hard to put a precise figure

0:24:510:24:54

on how much this is all worth to Britain,

0:24:540:24:56

but it easily runs into billions of pounds.

0:24:560:25:00

You might think it odd for a country like Britain

0:25:000:25:03

to thrive by collecting the small change of the global super-rich.

0:25:030:25:07

So how does it work in practice?

0:25:070:25:11

'Tim Wright works for estate agents Knight Frank.'

0:25:110:25:15

-Hello.

-Nice to meet you. Come on in.

0:25:150:25:17

'They've built a tidy business servicing this market.'

0:25:170:25:20

Nice place!

0:25:200:25:22

-'The hall is as big as my flat.'

-Come on in, please.

0:25:220:25:25

-If you wouldn't mind putting those shoe covers on.

-Put my foot in here?

0:25:250:25:29

-Yeah.

-Wow!

-That'll be brilliant.

0:25:290:25:31

If you'd like to come upstairs, I'll show you the formal drawing room,

0:25:330:25:37

which is a phenomenal space overlooking the park.

0:25:370:25:41

'Last year, nearly 100 £10-million-plus properties

0:25:410:25:46

'were sold in London, almost all of them to foreigners.'

0:25:460:25:50

-It's fantastic, isn't it?

-We're lucky to have a day like this,

0:25:500:25:54

but even on a dull day, it's still a joy to look at.

0:25:540:25:58

OK. So, break the bad news. How much is it?

0:25:580:26:01

Well, Evan, for circa 45 million, you get the entire package.

0:26:010:26:06

So everything that you see is included in the price.

0:26:060:26:09

You can pick up the key, walk in and live...

0:26:090:26:12

-pretty comfortably, because...

-Of course.

0:26:120:26:14

The target market for a house like this

0:26:140:26:17

is the ultra-high-net-worth overseas buyer.

0:26:170:26:21

And what they want and what they attach value to is convenience.

0:26:210:26:25

They don't want to buy a building that will take two years to do up.

0:26:250:26:29

-OK.

-Come on through here, Evan.

0:26:290:26:32

'While we marvel at the house, remember the economic benefits

0:26:320:26:35

'to Britain are the things you can't see,

0:26:350:26:37

'such as the estate agent's commission,

0:26:370:26:39

'likely to be over half a million pounds.

0:26:390:26:42

'With the other services involved,

0:26:420:26:44

'we could be earning a couple of million in exports here,

0:26:440:26:47

'equivalent to a factory with scores of workers.

0:26:470:26:50

'Multiply this by all the other houses,

0:26:500:26:53

'and it's a good business model.'

0:26:530:26:55

Is this a bedroom or a lounge? It is a bedroom.

0:26:550:26:58

It is a master-bedroom suite like you've never seen.

0:26:580:27:01

-Fantastic.

-Isn't it wonderful?

0:27:010:27:03

Are there different national tastes from the foreign buyers?

0:27:030:27:06

Do the Russians go for one style, the Chinese for a different style?

0:27:060:27:09

The Middle Eastern buyer tends to want more staff accommodation,

0:27:090:27:13

for example, than a Russian buyer.

0:27:130:27:16

The Russian will be very happy with one housekeeper

0:27:160:27:19

living in the basement full-time.

0:27:190:27:22

Middle Eastern clients tend to want four or five staff

0:27:220:27:24

full-time in the house, even though they might only be here

0:27:240:27:28

two or three weeks of the year, if they come over for Ascot

0:27:280:27:31

or for Wimbledon.

0:27:310:27:33

-You must come and see the bathrooms.

-More than one bathroom.

0:27:330:27:37

There's a his and hers bathroom.

0:27:370:27:40

You would be very surprised if a British person

0:27:400:27:43

-came and bought this place.

-I would be surprised, yeah.

0:27:430:27:46

Definitely. And if you look at...

0:27:460:27:48

On average, if you look at, across the price sectors

0:27:480:27:52

in central London, then,

0:27:520:27:55

it's about 50/50 domestic to overseas buyers.

0:27:550:27:59

But once you start getting up the price scale,

0:27:590:28:02

so if you're looking at the sector which is the super-prime market,

0:28:020:28:07

say, ten million plus,

0:28:070:28:09

then, it's much more weighted in favour of the overseas buyer,

0:28:090:28:13

so it's probably more like 75, 80 percent to 20 percent domestic.

0:28:130:28:18

Come through to his dressing room.

0:28:180:28:20

'I can see how this is a big earner.

0:28:200:28:23

'But I do have some concerns about the sustainability

0:28:230:28:26

'of the business coming our way.'

0:28:260:28:28

Now...

0:28:280:28:30

will it all just go away?

0:28:300:28:32

Because when we've sold the last house

0:28:320:28:35

to a rich Russian, and we're all squashed, incidentally,

0:28:350:28:38

out in the 'burbs because we can't afford anywhere in London

0:28:380:28:42

because we've been priced out by foreigners...

0:28:420:28:45

When we've sold the last house, your industry dies, doesn't it?

0:28:450:28:49

Potentially I suppose it does, yes.

0:28:490:28:51

I mean, one of the big fears that we have

0:28:510:28:54

is that the people who buy houses like this

0:28:540:28:58

will hold on to them forever, but the reality is

0:28:580:29:01

that actually it's a relatively transient community.

0:29:010:29:05

People will stay here for maybe five years, maybe ten years, maybe 15,

0:29:050:29:09

possibly even longer, but ultimately they do either move,

0:29:090:29:12

or they die, they downsize, they get divorced,

0:29:120:29:16

and every time that happens,

0:29:160:29:19

it releases a big house.

0:29:190:29:21

So I don't think it'll ever stop, in those terms.

0:29:210:29:25

Thank you, Tim.

0:29:260:29:28

'So service companies got a slice of the £3 billion of foreign money

0:29:280:29:32

'that came into London's property market last year.'

0:29:320:29:35

It's an interesting old set-up, that, isn't it?

0:29:380:29:40

But a lot of people are in on the game, earning a living out of it,

0:29:400:29:44

and they then spend the money they've earned,

0:29:440:29:47

and it permeates its way through the whole economy.

0:29:470:29:50

But what an odd place for our economy to have ended up!

0:29:500:29:54

We're the support staff, the butler, to the world's elite.

0:29:540:29:59

'Not all our services exports within the UK

0:30:030:30:07

'depend on the whims of the global super-rich,

0:30:070:30:11

'and not all of them are based in London.'

0:30:110:30:13

Spread throughout the country are institutions

0:30:160:30:19

that are often characterised as a drain on our resources.

0:30:190:30:23

But I want to show you they're one of our leading export industries,

0:30:230:30:26

bringing in an estimated £5 billion annually.

0:30:260:30:30

'British universities attract 250,000 foreign students a year,

0:30:330:30:37

'far outstripping all of our neighbours.'

0:30:370:30:40

A fifth of students at the University of Birmingham

0:30:400:30:44

are fee-paying foreigners. It's a similar story

0:30:440:30:47

at many of our other leading universities.

0:30:470:30:50

What some people see when they come to a place like this

0:30:510:30:54

is a centre for learning.

0:30:540:30:57

Others see an institution that engages in research

0:30:570:31:01

and advances human knowledge.

0:31:010:31:03

What I see is a thriving business that's employing thousands of people

0:31:030:31:08

and earning tens of millions of pounds of export revenues.

0:31:080:31:12

'Birmingham's medical school sells its services

0:31:240:31:27

'to budding doctors from over 150 different countries.

0:31:270:31:31

'The product they come here to buy is a five-year course in medicine,

0:31:310:31:36

'involving two years in the lecture theatre

0:31:360:31:38

'and then three more years of hands-on training.'

0:31:380:31:42

Here they all are. Hi, gang. Hi. I'm Evan.

0:31:430:31:46

-Hello. My name's Himarshi.

-Himarshi?

0:31:460:31:48

-I'm Tala.

-Tala. Nice to meet you. Rahini?

0:31:480:31:52

-Hi. Nice to meet you. Tristan.

-Tristan. Good to see you.

0:31:520:31:55

And you're the consultant, obviously.

0:31:550:31:57

-Hello.

-Andy.

-Nice to see you.

0:31:570:31:59

'The students on today's ward round

0:31:590:32:02

'come from Sri Lanka, India, Trinidad and Jordan.'

0:32:020:32:06

Hi. My name's Tala. Is it OK if I ask you a few questions?

0:32:060:32:10

-Do. Carry on.

-So, what brought you into hospital?

0:32:100:32:13

I was shaking, hot and cold, everything.

0:32:130:32:16

'The great thing for Britain

0:32:160:32:18

'is that not only do we earn the money from these students' fees -

0:32:180:32:21

'any money they spend on rent and other services while they're here

0:32:210:32:26

'is an export too. And then on top of that,

0:32:260:32:29

'they're happy to lend us their labour as apprentice doctors.'

0:32:290:32:32

Do you mind if I just take a look at your hands?

0:32:320:32:35

OK, everyone. Happy? Thank you, sir. Thank you very much. See you again.

0:32:370:32:41

Let's move on.

0:32:410:32:43

'These discerning customers, or students if you prefer,

0:32:430:32:46

'have chosen us from a world of competition.'

0:32:460:32:49

So what's the reputation, then, of the British universities?

0:32:490:32:52

When you go back... This isn't Oxford or Cambridge.

0:32:520:32:55

People have heard of the city of Birmingham.

0:32:550:32:58

They may not have heard of the university.

0:32:580:33:01

Is it going to hold... Is it a good brand to have?

0:33:010:33:04

In Jordan, I think, just the fact that you've graduated from England

0:33:040:33:08

with a degree in medicine is quite impressive on its own,

0:33:080:33:11

regardless of the name of the university,

0:33:110:33:14

regardless of the brand.

0:33:140:33:16

I think so, as well. It's quite similar.

0:33:160:33:18

Carrying a UK education in general still holds a great value.

0:33:180:33:22

Do you get a good deal out of... How much are your fees?

0:33:220:33:25

That depends. The first few years,

0:33:250:33:28

-it's roughly about £12,000.

-A year?

0:33:280:33:31

-And the clinical years, it goes up another £10,000.

-It goes up?

0:33:310:33:34

-So what is it in the clinical years?

-It's about 22,000, 23,000.

0:33:340:33:39

'Britain has a valuable product to sell.

0:33:390:33:42

'But if we want to sell more of it, we're going to have to make choices

0:33:420:33:46

'about how open we're prepared to be.'

0:33:460:33:50

I've got to ask you about visa and immigration requirements,

0:33:500:33:54

because obviously governments have become worried

0:33:540:33:58

about the sorts of people that are coming in, and the numbers.

0:33:580:34:01

How have you felt

0:34:010:34:04

in terms of the welcoming advance of the Home Office

0:34:040:34:07

when you've applied for your student visas?

0:34:070:34:10

I applied three years ago, and it was relatively straightforward.

0:34:100:34:13

All I needed to get was a letter from the university

0:34:130:34:16

and all the accompanying documents, and they just gave me my visa

0:34:160:34:19

for the length of the course. But I've heard from friends

0:34:190:34:22

that it's progressively getting harder.

0:34:220:34:25

A couple of my friends from Trinidad haven't got visas in time.

0:34:250:34:28

The process is taking so much longer and so much more difficult.

0:34:280:34:32

It is getting to be a bit more red tape.

0:34:320:34:34

There are no clear rights and wrongs to any of this.

0:34:360:34:39

But if Britain really does choose to open up to the world,

0:34:390:34:42

there's a lot of money to be made.

0:34:420:34:45

'Edward Harcourt is the university's director

0:34:450:34:48

'of international relations.'

0:34:480:34:50

It's becoming increasingly competitive,

0:34:500:34:53

but it is still a seller's market.

0:34:530:34:55

There's something over three million international students now.

0:34:550:34:59

Britain is the second most popular destination.

0:34:590:35:02

-After the United States?

-After the States.

0:35:020:35:04

It's very difficult to do any kind of sensible projections

0:35:040:35:08

as to future demands. If you think that there are....

0:35:080:35:12

something like 220 million Indians in primary school,

0:35:120:35:15

and given the GDP growth rate in India,

0:35:150:35:19

um,

0:35:190:35:21

many of those families will have the wherewithal

0:35:210:35:24

to pay for their tertiary education,

0:35:240:35:27

and the Indian HE system is going to have a major capacity constraint.

0:35:270:35:31

So many of those families will be looking overseas

0:35:310:35:35

for a quality education.

0:35:350:35:38

And quality education is exactly what we sell here in Britain.

0:35:380:35:42

'This is our nation playing to its strengths.

0:35:420:35:45

'Emerging economies around the world

0:35:450:35:48

'simply can't match the services we can offer.'

0:35:480:35:51

When you hear people say we don't make anything in this country

0:35:510:35:55

any more, well, now you have an answer.

0:35:550:35:57

We make foreign doctors, foreign engineers,

0:35:570:36:00

foreign chemists, lawyers, business people.

0:36:000:36:03

And just think of all the good that our universities do

0:36:030:36:07

around the world.

0:36:070:36:09

So this is the new British economy.

0:36:170:36:20

Rather than just selling the world goods,

0:36:200:36:23

we sell our expertise through services.

0:36:230:36:26

And we're world-class at doing it.

0:36:260:36:29

It all earns export revenue

0:36:290:36:33

on a scale no-one would have imagined

0:36:330:36:35

at the time of the Festival of Britain.

0:36:350:36:38

So far, so good. Our great national experiment

0:36:380:36:41

in building a service-exporting economy

0:36:410:36:44

has worked, up to a point. We've seen services sold abroad,

0:36:440:36:48

services sold to foreigners in London

0:36:480:36:50

and elsewhere in the country.

0:36:500:36:52

But each of these sales channels has its limitations.

0:36:520:36:56

These services are best sold face-to-face,

0:36:560:36:59

and that means they rely on people coming into the country

0:36:590:37:03

or leaving it. And there are severe practical limitations

0:37:030:37:07

as to how many people can do that.

0:37:070:37:09

'So for Britain's experiment to really work,

0:37:100:37:14

'we've needed one other trick up our sleeve -

0:37:140:37:17

'the way of exporting services that, of course, we all know about,

0:37:170:37:20

'the one with the unrivalled ability to earn money

0:37:200:37:24

'but also to lose it - the City.'

0:37:240:37:27

For most of the last two decades,

0:37:290:37:31

it looked like we'd discovered a national champion.

0:37:310:37:35

Barclays Bank has announced record annual profits

0:37:350:37:38

of more than £5.25 billion.

0:37:380:37:40

The HSBC banking group has announced record profits

0:37:400:37:43

of almost £7 million, the largest ever by a British bank.

0:37:430:37:47

Something we did better than anyone else.

0:37:470:37:50

The RBS looks set to complete

0:37:500:37:52

the world's biggest company takeover,

0:37:520:37:54

worth almost £50 billion.

0:37:540:37:56

The flow of profits was unimaginable.

0:37:560:37:59

Here's where you want to work if you're young, brainy

0:37:590:38:02

and keen to make loads of money.

0:38:020:38:05

It collected plaudit after plaudit.

0:38:050:38:08

This is an era that history will record

0:38:080:38:10

as the beginning of a new golden age for the City of London.

0:38:100:38:14

It's remarkable to think that in recent years,

0:38:140:38:17

official data suggests this small corner of England,

0:38:170:38:21

just a few square miles, earns more in export revenue

0:38:210:38:25

than the whole of Wales or Northern Ireland

0:38:250:38:27

or the northeast of England.

0:38:270:38:29

The first thing to understand about the City

0:38:330:38:35

is that it makes its money in remarkably varied ways.

0:38:350:38:39

And here's one part of it you might not have heard much about.

0:38:400:38:44

-BABBLE OF VOICES

-'ICAP is a British service company

0:38:440:38:48

'that makes its money not by trading

0:38:480:38:50

'but by helping global finance operate.

0:38:500:38:52

'Michael Spencer is its chief executive.'

0:38:520:38:56

Let's just start by, perhaps, you explaining just what ICAP does.

0:38:560:39:00

It's not nearly as difficult as people think.

0:39:010:39:04

The world's financial markets are enormous.

0:39:040:39:07

They are global. They are interconnected.

0:39:070:39:11

There's a huge amount of business to financial institutions

0:39:110:39:14

in Japan, deal with financial institutions in Singapore,

0:39:140:39:18

in London, in New York.

0:39:180:39:20

And we are the biggest global intermediary

0:39:200:39:23

between these transactions.

0:39:230:39:25

Is it export revenue for the UK?

0:39:250:39:28

Is it foreigners buying services from ICAP?

0:39:280:39:31

We have 50 offices around the world,

0:39:310:39:33

of which only one is in the UK, in London.

0:39:330:39:36

London is our biggest office, but we have big offices

0:39:360:39:39

in many, many other financial centres.

0:39:390:39:42

Overwhelmingly, our revenue is export earnings to the UK.

0:39:420:39:45

Our financial services yield exports worth 30 times those of France.

0:39:470:39:52

They're even more valuable than America's.

0:39:520:39:55

At ICAP, they don't take risks.

0:39:550:39:58

They offer a service to others, who do.

0:39:580:40:01

Clearly banks are in the business of risk-taking,

0:40:010:40:04

because lending money to customers or dealing in foreign exchange,

0:40:040:40:08

that is what their business is, to take risk in various forms

0:40:080:40:11

in order to facilitate their customers' business.

0:40:110:40:14

But businesses like ours are not in the risk-taking business.

0:40:140:40:17

We're in the facilitation business. We will stay there.

0:40:170:40:20

We're happy in that space, and that's our expertise.

0:40:200:40:23

Alongside you in the City, in facilitation rather than risk,

0:40:230:40:26

you've got the lawyers, who are a huge part of the City...

0:40:260:40:29

The insurance-broking firms, all the equity-broking firms...

0:40:290:40:33

-The accountants as well.

-Of course.

0:40:330:40:36

There's no denying the enormous economic contribution

0:40:370:40:41

companies like ICAP make.

0:40:410:40:43

No risk, real income - just what we want.

0:40:430:40:47

It's a really interesting business model.

0:40:480:40:51

You charge a tiny commission on a huge number of transactions,

0:40:510:40:54

and it adds up to a pretty good business.

0:40:540:40:57

In a way it's an analogy for a lot of what the City does

0:40:570:41:00

and the services it provides.

0:41:000:41:02

They don't bake cakes here.

0:41:020:41:04

They provide services to other people who bake cakes,

0:41:040:41:07

and they pick up the crumbs. And if you provide enough services

0:41:070:41:11

to enough cake-bakers, you can pick up a lot of crumbs

0:41:110:41:15

and you can have a nice cake of your own.

0:41:150:41:17

OK. Now here's the bad news.

0:41:220:41:25

You've got the parts of the City that don't take risks,

0:41:250:41:28

but just as big are the parts that do.

0:41:280:41:30

And we've needed them to do some baking as well.

0:41:300:41:33

We've needed them to earn a lot of money.

0:41:330:41:36

And you don't need me to tell you those are the parts

0:41:360:41:39

that have gone terribly wrong.

0:41:390:41:41

The British government has now agreed terms of a rescue package

0:41:450:41:49

to stabilise the banking system.

0:41:490:41:51

It has been another extraordinary day of fast-moving developments

0:41:510:41:54

for Britain's financial world.

0:41:540:41:57

We all know that the bailouts were expensive.

0:41:570:42:00

But there are reasons to think that the City might be costing us money

0:42:000:42:04

in good times too.

0:42:040:42:06

There is a radical new critique taking shape -

0:42:060:42:09

that although the City earns a lot and contributes,

0:42:090:42:12

paradoxically, a large part of it is also a burden on the economy.

0:42:120:42:17

It gives with one hand, takes away with the other.

0:42:170:42:19

And that's no way to build a good export industry.

0:42:190:42:22

It may be a good business model for the City,

0:42:220:42:25

but not for the country as a whole.

0:42:250:42:28

So how can a successful City not be successful for the nation?

0:42:280:42:33

'Former City high-flyer turned academic, Paul Woolley,

0:42:330:42:37

'thinks many of its profits have come at the expense

0:42:370:42:41

'of the rest of us.'

0:42:410:42:43

In finance, it's only too easy for the banks

0:42:430:42:46

and the middle men generally to appropriate the gains.

0:42:460:42:50

They do so by making things complex and confusing.

0:42:500:42:55

They don't even understand them themselves in some cases.

0:42:550:42:59

So there are ways in which they can feather their nests.

0:42:590:43:05

They create the demand for their own products

0:43:050:43:08

by making the product complicated and saying, "This is what you need."

0:43:080:43:12

-What's the effect of it in the end?

-More new financial instruments

0:43:120:43:16

are introduced, which are often complex,

0:43:160:43:19

difficult to understand. The fees are going up

0:43:190:43:22

with this complexity, and that's what happened.

0:43:220:43:25

That's why the finance sector is so big.

0:43:250:43:27

The complexity has become so extraordinary

0:43:270:43:30

and, er, costly to the economy.

0:43:300:43:35

Now, if you have a strong export sector

0:43:370:43:40

that is as costly to the economy as Paul Woolley suggests,

0:43:400:43:43

well, that's not going to work at all.

0:43:430:43:46

There's no point in exporting £100 if it's cost the rest of us 105.

0:43:460:43:51

No - what Britain needs

0:43:510:43:53

is sustainable, value-creating businesses.

0:43:530:43:56

'The new critique levels another charge against the City.

0:43:580:44:02

'The banks, it says, are propped up by subsidies,

0:44:020:44:06

'not just in crises but every year.

0:44:060:44:08

'This argument comes from the very heart of the city -

0:44:080:44:11

'the Bank of England.

0:44:110:44:14

'How does this subsidy work?

0:44:140:44:16

'Because the taxpayer stands squarely behind the banks,

0:44:160:44:19

'they can borrow more cheaply from around the world

0:44:190:44:22

'and make bigger profits than they otherwise would.

0:44:220:44:26

'Andy Haldane is the executive director

0:44:260:44:29

'of financial stability at the bank.'

0:44:290:44:31

Your contention is that if the banks had no government subsidy,

0:44:310:44:35

they couldn't take risks underpinned by taxpayers,

0:44:350:44:39

and found it harder to borrow money because of that,

0:44:390:44:42

they would be a little smaller than they are.

0:44:420:44:44

Well, certainly the banks would have been somewhat less profitable

0:44:440:44:48

than was the case, than has been the case,

0:44:480:44:51

during the course of much of this century.

0:44:510:44:54

There would still have been profits out there,

0:44:540:44:56

but on a somewhat lesser scale,

0:44:560:44:58

had the risk been borne by investors and banks

0:44:580:45:02

rather than implicitly by the government.

0:45:020:45:05

You've done the maths, tried to add it all up.

0:45:050:45:07

How much do you think the implicit subsidy is?

0:45:070:45:10

I think you'd measure it in terms of tens of billions.

0:45:100:45:13

-Really? That much?

-I think so.

0:45:130:45:15

The cheaper cost of funding for banks

0:45:150:45:17

was a phenomenon well ahead of the crisis.

0:45:170:45:21

How ironic it is!

0:45:250:45:27

So many in the City were critical of the state

0:45:270:45:30

pumping billions of pounds

0:45:300:45:32

into those old, much-loved manufacturing industries -

0:45:320:45:35

and now we've come full circle with a new critique,

0:45:350:45:38

arguing that the City itself is in fact propped up by the taxpayer

0:45:380:45:43

and the rest of the economy.

0:45:430:45:45

'The City was the ace in the pack of business models.

0:45:460:45:50

'But the crash forced us to reappraise our entire experiment

0:45:500:45:55

'of trying to pay our way with services.

0:45:550:45:58

'They did better than many critics thought possible,

0:45:580:46:01

'but they didn't do well enough.'

0:46:010:46:04

'Even though we exported £160 billion of services last year,

0:46:040:46:09

'we still had an overall deficit of about 36 billion.

0:46:090:46:14

'Time to get out of London, with its billionaires and bankers,

0:46:190:46:23

to explore one last hugely important challenge

0:46:230:46:27

'left by our shift to a service economy.'

0:46:270:46:30

You see, the export model Britain's followed may not quite have worked,

0:46:320:46:36

but its weakness isn't going to be felt in the capital.

0:46:360:46:40

'No - London has always had a strong service economy.'

0:46:450:46:50

But what about the rest of the country?

0:46:520:46:54

The worry is that services have made for a more lopsided economy,

0:47:030:47:08

with the most lucrative jobs clustering in London

0:47:080:47:11

and a few other select centres,

0:47:110:47:13

with less well paid work for other parts of Britain.

0:47:130:47:16

'Where better to test that than back in Sunderland,

0:47:200:47:23

'a city that had to rise to the challenge of industrial decline

0:47:230:47:27

'when its great shipbuilding industry disappeared?'

0:47:270:47:31

Sunderland, of course, has an economy

0:47:320:47:34

that's had to reinvent itself more than once, hasn't it?

0:47:340:47:38

Sunderland has done a remarkable job of reinventing itself.

0:47:380:47:42

Even 25 years ago when I first came here,

0:47:420:47:44

the big industries were still shipbuilding,

0:47:440:47:48

coal-mining, glass... We had a brewery,

0:47:480:47:52

and textiles. I had a thousand textile workers

0:47:520:47:55

in my constituency as late as 1997. And all of that's gone. All of it.

0:47:550:47:59

And in its place has come a large number of jobs,

0:47:590:48:03

some of them manufacturing, some of them service jobs.

0:48:030:48:07

Of course he's right. Sunderland has manufacturing.

0:48:080:48:12

But in terms of new service jobs, many think that what Sunderland got

0:48:120:48:16

were low grade and low paid -

0:48:160:48:19

the much-derided call-centre jobs.

0:48:190:48:22

'Is that justified? Here at Doxford International Business Park,

0:48:240:48:28

'thousands of people work in call centres,

0:48:280:48:31

'or contact centres as they're now known.'

0:48:310:48:33

The closest connection it has to shipbuilding

0:48:350:48:37

is a prizewinning sculpture of a ship's hull.

0:48:370:48:40

So this is the new Sunderland economy.

0:48:410:48:44

I say Sunderland. It could be anywhere really, couldn't it -

0:48:440:48:47

these business parks are all over the country.

0:48:470:48:49

No grime, no belching chimneys. Wonderful landscaping.

0:48:490:48:54

Perhaps...a tiny little bit bland?

0:48:540:48:57

Maybe.

0:48:570:48:59

'One of the biggest employers at Doxford is 2Touch.

0:49:010:49:05

'Here the staff receive, and, more often, make calls

0:49:050:49:09

'on behalf of utilities, telephone companies,

0:49:090:49:12

'you name it. You might even have spoken to one of them.

0:49:120:49:15

'There's a real buzz about the place -

0:49:150:49:18

'more than in many factories I've visited.'

0:49:180:49:20

Right. Sure. How are you finding your service with them,

0:49:200:49:23

ie, like, speed and reliability?

0:49:230:49:26

I was calling to see if we could hopefully save some money

0:49:260:49:30

-on your phone bills.

-So you're getting £23 on there.

0:49:300:49:33

What about your TV? How's that going for you?

0:49:330:49:36

Workers can make 250 calls a day.

0:49:360:49:39

Usually only two or three of these will result in a sale.

0:49:390:49:43

'It's hard work. But are these jobs as bad as the critics maintain?'

0:49:430:49:47

Just to let you know our calls are recorded

0:49:470:49:50

for quality assurance and training purposes. Is that OK?

0:49:500:49:54

There are some former industrial workers here.

0:49:540:49:58

Robert Carr used to make refrigerators.

0:49:580:50:01

A lot of people don't think these are real jobs.

0:50:010:50:04

They don't compare to the old job you would have had.

0:50:040:50:07

What did you think when you first came here?

0:50:070:50:09

It's a totally different world to me.

0:50:090:50:11

When I first came, I was alienated. I was struggling.

0:50:110:50:14

The first few weeks I thought, "This is not for me."

0:50:140:50:17

Quite a lot of people would be exactly the same.

0:50:170:50:20

I had a few start with me. They're not here any longer.

0:50:200:50:22

They were here three weeks.

0:50:220:50:25

But it's an environment you've either got to cope with,

0:50:250:50:28

make the best of it...

0:50:280:50:30

64,000 question - which do you prefer,

0:50:300:50:33

this work or the previous work?

0:50:330:50:35

I prefer this work, honestly, because it's not hard work.

0:50:350:50:39

It's stressful work, but it's not hard work.

0:50:390:50:42

'However, this is a long way from the jobs-for-life culture

0:50:430:50:48

'of the old industries. Most employees are young,

0:50:480:50:52

'and on average, those making calls stay for less than a year.

0:50:520:50:55

'Stuart Gray is the managing director.'

0:50:570:51:00

-This isn't a job for everybody.

-No.

0:51:010:51:03

Who doesn't make it? What personality type does it take?

0:51:030:51:06

You've got to be a good communicator.

0:51:060:51:09

You've got to be able to listen.

0:51:090:51:11

You've got to have a sales mentality,

0:51:110:51:14

because that's what the job is. Technically nothing too much.

0:51:140:51:17

We can train all the technicals in.

0:51:170:51:19

It's an ability to bounce back. We call it bounceback-ability.

0:51:190:51:24

There's a lot of rejection with it.

0:51:240:51:26

But the good ones just keep going at a good, solid pace.

0:51:260:51:32

You never ask yourself, "Is this really a good thing to do,

0:51:320:51:35

to sell people these things, utilities or phone packages?"

0:51:350:51:39

I mean, would the world miss it if it wasn't here?

0:51:390:51:43

Um, yes, it would,

0:51:430:51:45

because what we're doing is playing our part

0:51:450:51:49

in giving people opportunities.

0:51:490:51:53

They're getting choice,

0:51:530:51:55

so they have a choice to switch supplier of a product.

0:51:550:51:59

They have a choice to take an additional product from somebody.

0:51:590:52:03

And a lot of what we sell is essential.

0:52:030:52:05

We're big in utility sales. Everybody needs a utility.

0:52:050:52:10

TVs, broadband products...

0:52:100:52:12

People have them, and they enjoy having them.

0:52:120:52:15

So we're not selling anything that's worthless.

0:52:150:52:18

We're selling something that has a value.

0:52:180:52:21

That may be, and services have undoubtedly provided work

0:52:210:52:25

where manufacturing couldn't. But here's the thing.

0:52:250:52:28

Over the last 20 years, inequality between British regions

0:52:280:52:32

has increased.

0:52:320:52:34

BABBLE OF VOICES

0:52:340:52:37

Just look at this place!

0:52:370:52:40

Thousands of jobs, lovely warm offices.

0:52:400:52:43

I'm definitely not one who is scornful

0:52:430:52:47

of this part of our services economy.

0:52:470:52:50

But I do have a certain ambivalence.

0:52:500:52:53

It's clear that all the top-end service jobs,

0:52:530:52:56

the ones paying 50,000 a year rather than 15,

0:52:560:52:59

tend to concentrate in a few big centres.

0:52:590:53:03

It's... It's really hard for a city like Sunderland

0:53:030:53:07

to get itself into the first-class compartment

0:53:070:53:09

of the services train.

0:53:090:53:13

In short, it's the same for Sunderland as it is for Britain.

0:53:140:53:18

Services have been good, but only up to a point.

0:53:180:53:21

They're necessary, but aren't sufficient on their own.

0:53:210:53:25

I wonder whether Sunderland could survive

0:53:250:53:28

as an entirely service-based city,

0:53:280:53:31

or whether it has to have some manufacturing to flourish.

0:53:310:53:35

I'd be very nervous about saying

0:53:350:53:37

we could do without manufacturing industry.

0:53:370:53:40

My gut feeling is that the world of the call centre,

0:53:400:53:44

and even of some of the high-tech industries

0:53:440:53:46

is very short-term. It's very mobile, and could easily disappear overnight.

0:53:460:53:52

Manufacturing lasted a couple of hundred years,

0:53:520:53:54

and we're not completely confident the new generation of industry

0:53:540:53:58

will last so long, so we may have to reinvent ourselves

0:53:580:54:01

every generation or two.

0:54:010:54:03

And that's a bit scary.

0:54:030:54:06

Go back to 1951,

0:54:090:54:12

to the hopes and fears people had at the time of the Festival of Britain.

0:54:120:54:18

You'll see that our economy has reinvented itself

0:54:180:54:21

more than anyone back then would have imagined.

0:54:210:54:24

In the sixth decade since that festival was held here,

0:54:240:54:28

Britain's economy has taken a sharp turn.

0:54:280:54:31

Services have just been one part of a really big shift.

0:54:310:54:35

Across the programmes in this series,

0:54:350:54:38

we've seen how our economy has moved upmarket.

0:54:380:54:43

'We didn't want to compete in low-wage sectors

0:54:430:54:47

'with countries like China. They could make many things as well as us

0:54:470:54:51

'but for a lot less money.'

0:54:510:54:53

So we've discarded some activities,

0:54:530:54:56

and become expert in others.

0:54:560:54:58

We've focussed on areas where we're still in front,

0:54:580:55:01

specialising in products that involve sophisticated engineering,

0:55:010:55:07

small numbers, and high prices.

0:55:070:55:10

The change is symbolised by the humble bicycle.

0:55:110:55:17

'The everyday bikes we used to churn out

0:55:170:55:19

'have been replaced by niche bikes that are harder to design

0:55:190:55:22

'and manufacture, and more expensive to buy.'

0:55:220:55:25

We've also gone upmarket in another way,

0:55:260:55:29

focussing on industries that rely on intellectual property,

0:55:290:55:32

like pharmaceuticals

0:55:320:55:36

or microprocessors.

0:55:360:55:38

'It's British know-how that designs the chips

0:55:380:55:40

'that help power many of the world's mobile phones,

0:55:400:55:43

'a lucrative business.'

0:55:430:55:45

The change in our economy has been painful

0:55:460:55:49

and at times scary, but remember, it has basically worked.

0:55:490:55:53

Even after the financial crash and the setbacks of recent years,

0:55:530:55:56

we're living on incomes three times those

0:55:560:55:59

of the folks of the Festival of Britain.

0:55:590:56:02

But the crash has shown us that, although we've got a lot right,

0:56:020:56:06

it hasn't been perfect. Banking has been exposed

0:56:060:56:09

as not being quite the great money-making enterprise

0:56:090:56:12

that we thought.

0:56:120:56:14

It's been a time to take stock

0:56:140:56:16

of what our nation should and shouldn't be doing.

0:56:160:56:19

Despite all the clever upmarket stuff we do,

0:56:190:56:23

the fact is, we don't quite pay our way in the world.

0:56:230:56:27

We need to export more to pay the bills,

0:56:270:56:29

and we've learned that services can't do it all.

0:56:290:56:33

So if our economy is going to find its way over the next few years,

0:56:340:56:39

we're going to have to rediscover some of the things we've lost.

0:56:390:56:42

It's solid, export-oriented manufacturing

0:56:420:56:46

that needs to grow most quickly.

0:56:460:56:48

And since the crash, there are some signs

0:56:480:56:51

that it's doing just that.

0:56:510:56:53

There's one conclusion I'd draw from everything I've seen -

0:56:560:57:00

that we can't allow our economy to be supported by just one pillar.

0:57:000:57:05

You'll hear people say it's all about manufacturing,

0:57:050:57:09

or all about services or the knowledge economy.

0:57:090:57:13

Well, that's not true. It's about all three

0:57:130:57:16

creating a well balanced economy.

0:57:160:57:19

Now, of course, it may well be grim for the next few years.

0:57:190:57:24

My goodness, we've a lot of problems to solve.

0:57:240:57:26

But long term, I reckon we've every reason to believe

0:57:260:57:30

that the forces that have made so many people so much better off

0:57:300:57:34

over the last few decades

0:57:340:57:36

will carry on making us better off over the next few.

0:57:360:57:40

To discover more about how Britain pays its way in the world,

0:57:480:57:52

and to contribute your experiences

0:57:520:57:54

to the Open University's online toolkit, visit...

0:57:540:57:57

..and follow the link to the Open University.

0:58:010:58:04

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0:58:070:58:11

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