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60 years ago, we put on an exhibition | 0:00:06 | 0:00:10 | |
to show off the best of Britain. | 0:00:10 | 0:00:13 | |
CONTEMPORARY NARRATION This is the Festival of Britain | 0:00:14 | 0:00:17 | |
in the city of London. | 0:00:17 | 0:00:19 | |
In 1951, | 0:00:22 | 0:00:25 | |
over eight million people visited the South Bank of the Thames | 0:00:25 | 0:00:29 | |
to see for themselves where Britain stood, | 0:00:29 | 0:00:32 | |
what we did and what we could be proud of. | 0:00:32 | 0:00:36 | |
According to the organisers, | 0:00:36 | 0:00:38 | |
the festival aimed to demonstrate firm confidence in our future. | 0:00:38 | 0:00:43 | |
Under the constraints of post-war austerity, | 0:00:43 | 0:00:45 | |
such confidence was in short supply. | 0:00:45 | 0:00:49 | |
Today, as we recover from a financial crash, | 0:00:53 | 0:00:57 | |
we're again anxious about our future, | 0:00:57 | 0:00:59 | |
asking what should we be doing to pay our way in the world. | 0:00:59 | 0:01:02 | |
What would a new Festival of Britain say about us now? | 0:01:02 | 0:01:06 | |
For years, we thought the City could keep our economy growing. | 0:01:09 | 0:01:14 | |
Then came the crash. | 0:01:15 | 0:01:17 | |
Britain emerged burdened with debt, | 0:01:17 | 0:01:20 | |
and unsure how to rebuild itself. | 0:01:20 | 0:01:24 | |
In this series so far, we've seen how, over the last 60 years, | 0:01:24 | 0:01:28 | |
we've focussed our manufacturing on leaner, higher-value sectors... | 0:01:28 | 0:01:33 | |
-HE LAUGHS -Oh, God! | 0:01:33 | 0:01:36 | |
..how our economy has become more creative, | 0:01:36 | 0:01:40 | |
graduating from brawn to brain. | 0:01:40 | 0:01:42 | |
But today we look at the biggest change in direction of all. | 0:01:44 | 0:01:47 | |
We rely less on traditional manufactured exports. | 0:01:47 | 0:01:51 | |
Instead, Britain has embarked on a unique experiment, | 0:01:52 | 0:01:56 | |
developing new ways of paying its bills | 0:01:56 | 0:01:59 | |
by selling services. | 0:01:59 | 0:02:01 | |
Fantastic, isn't it? | 0:02:01 | 0:02:03 | |
Rather than making things, we do things. | 0:02:05 | 0:02:08 | |
We run things. We organise things. | 0:02:08 | 0:02:11 | |
'Eight out of ten of us work in services, | 0:02:12 | 0:02:16 | |
'and yet many still look down on them...' | 0:02:16 | 0:02:18 | |
What about your TV? How does that go for you? | 0:02:18 | 0:02:21 | |
'..even though they've helped make us far richer than we were | 0:02:21 | 0:02:24 | |
'60 years ago.' | 0:02:24 | 0:02:27 | |
Moving from manufacturing to services | 0:02:27 | 0:02:29 | |
has changed Britain dramatically, | 0:02:29 | 0:02:32 | |
far beyond anything that visitors to the Festival of Britain | 0:02:32 | 0:02:35 | |
would have imagined. But this transition has had costs | 0:02:35 | 0:02:38 | |
as well as benefits, leaving us a difficult question to answer - | 0:02:38 | 0:02:42 | |
is the service-based economy that's grown since the '50s | 0:02:42 | 0:02:46 | |
the right one to deliver us a prosperous future? | 0:02:46 | 0:02:50 | |
This is where you might come to see how much we buy and sell | 0:03:03 | 0:03:08 | |
as a nation. | 0:03:08 | 0:03:10 | |
It's Felixstowe, our biggest container port. | 0:03:11 | 0:03:14 | |
Ships from all over the world bring their cargo here. | 0:03:18 | 0:03:21 | |
The overall figures for the port are astonishing. | 0:03:21 | 0:03:25 | |
In an average year, they unload three million containers here, | 0:03:25 | 0:03:30 | |
full of goods valued at £40 billion. | 0:03:30 | 0:03:33 | |
Some of the ships that dock here are a quarter of a mile long, | 0:03:35 | 0:03:38 | |
and carry 15,000 containers. | 0:03:38 | 0:03:41 | |
'But what do ships like these take away from Britain? | 0:03:45 | 0:03:49 | |
'What do we sell to the rest of the world?' | 0:03:51 | 0:03:54 | |
We sell some goods. | 0:03:55 | 0:03:57 | |
But of the containers the ships leave with, | 0:03:57 | 0:04:00 | |
half will be empty. | 0:04:00 | 0:04:02 | |
Many of the rest will be full of rubbish | 0:04:02 | 0:04:04 | |
sent abroad for recycling. | 0:04:04 | 0:04:07 | |
'Last year, the gap between the goods we bought in | 0:04:07 | 0:04:10 | |
'and the goods we sold to the rest of the world | 0:04:10 | 0:04:13 | |
'was almost £100 billion.' | 0:04:13 | 0:04:16 | |
In fact, the last time we were consistently exporting more goods | 0:04:16 | 0:04:20 | |
than we were importing was the early 1980s. | 0:04:20 | 0:04:24 | |
Scary stuff! | 0:04:25 | 0:04:27 | |
Or is it? It's not as bad as it looks, | 0:04:27 | 0:04:30 | |
because here we've only been talking about trade you can see | 0:04:30 | 0:04:34 | |
in physical goods - | 0:04:34 | 0:04:36 | |
things you can touch, put in a box and transport across the world. | 0:04:36 | 0:04:41 | |
And because you can see it all, many people assume | 0:04:41 | 0:04:44 | |
that that's what any self-respecting economy should be all about. | 0:04:44 | 0:04:48 | |
But it isn't - at least not any longer. | 0:04:48 | 0:04:50 | |
More and more of us work in services. | 0:04:50 | 0:04:53 | |
Far harder to get a sense of them than the objects round here. | 0:04:53 | 0:04:57 | |
It's a slippery kind of activity, almost entirely intangible. | 0:04:57 | 0:05:02 | |
'Services are everything you can't put in a box. | 0:05:03 | 0:05:08 | |
'But contrary to popular belief, | 0:05:08 | 0:05:10 | |
'that doesn't mean they're not valuable, | 0:05:10 | 0:05:13 | |
'and it doesn't mean they can't pay for container-loads | 0:05:13 | 0:05:16 | |
'of solid imports.' | 0:05:16 | 0:05:18 | |
In Britain, more than most, | 0:05:18 | 0:05:21 | |
we do services. | 0:05:21 | 0:05:23 | |
Forget your picture of people just sitting at desks on the phone. | 0:05:23 | 0:05:27 | |
'Our services come in all shapes and sizes. | 0:05:27 | 0:05:31 | |
'And right here on the ship is an example of one.' | 0:05:33 | 0:05:36 | |
-T minus five. -Five. | 0:05:39 | 0:05:40 | |
Four. Three. | 0:05:40 | 0:05:43 | |
-Two. -Engine ignition, | 0:05:43 | 0:05:45 | |
and lift-off of the Atlas V rocket, | 0:05:45 | 0:05:48 | |
carrying Inmarsat 4 F-1 satellite for Inmarsat Limited. | 0:05:48 | 0:05:52 | |
You may not have heard of Inmarsat, but it's one British company | 0:05:58 | 0:06:03 | |
that can reasonably claim to offer a service that's out of this world. | 0:06:03 | 0:06:07 | |
Sometimes you just can't go around the weather. | 0:06:07 | 0:06:11 | |
So it's vital to know what's on the horizon. | 0:06:11 | 0:06:14 | |
Anybody, wherever they are on Earth, | 0:06:14 | 0:06:16 | |
can use Inmarsat's satellite communications | 0:06:16 | 0:06:19 | |
to stay in touch, | 0:06:19 | 0:06:21 | |
and the entire network is run from their control centre in London. | 0:06:21 | 0:06:26 | |
Chris McLaughlin is the company's vice president. | 0:06:26 | 0:06:29 | |
We have an increasing number of users - | 0:06:29 | 0:06:32 | |
it's grown to 63 just as we're talking - | 0:06:32 | 0:06:34 | |
in Egypt. And then these two up here, cells 65 and 80, | 0:06:34 | 0:06:38 | |
are Tunisia, which again is in a current political turmoil. | 0:06:38 | 0:06:42 | |
The satellites are constantly adjusted | 0:06:42 | 0:06:45 | |
to meet clients' needs. | 0:06:45 | 0:06:47 | |
Here we're getting into the Afghanistan area. | 0:06:47 | 0:06:50 | |
Obviously very serious, very dedicated... | 0:06:50 | 0:06:55 | |
You get an idea of what's going on in the world | 0:06:55 | 0:06:57 | |
by seeing where the satellites are being used. | 0:06:57 | 0:07:00 | |
That's right. Often our engineers know before virtually anybody else. | 0:07:00 | 0:07:03 | |
Inmarsat is worth £2.8 billion. | 0:07:03 | 0:07:07 | |
It's a service used by over half a million subscribers worldwide. | 0:07:07 | 0:07:11 | |
Everyone from aid agencies to news organisations rely on it | 0:07:11 | 0:07:17 | |
for communications in remote locations. | 0:07:17 | 0:07:20 | |
And, of course, the ships that bring us our imports | 0:07:20 | 0:07:24 | |
depend on it too. The key thing about Inmarsat | 0:07:24 | 0:07:27 | |
as a service company is, it makes nothing at all - | 0:07:27 | 0:07:31 | |
not the phones nor the satellites. | 0:07:31 | 0:07:33 | |
Instead, it buys them from manufacturers. | 0:07:35 | 0:07:38 | |
All services need manufactured goods to operate - | 0:07:38 | 0:07:42 | |
but remember, all manufacturers rely on services as well. | 0:07:42 | 0:07:46 | |
Inmarsat has three I-4 satellites. | 0:07:46 | 0:07:49 | |
Each one of them weighs about six tons | 0:07:49 | 0:07:52 | |
and each is 60 times more powerful than our previous generation. | 0:07:52 | 0:07:55 | |
We're very fond of them, because they cost us 1.5 billion to launch... | 0:07:55 | 0:07:59 | |
-Right! -..between 2005 and 2008. | 0:07:59 | 0:08:01 | |
-So they're big satellites! -Each is the size of a London bus, | 0:08:01 | 0:08:05 | |
and the solar panel is the width of a football pitch, | 0:08:05 | 0:08:08 | |
so it gives you an idea of scale. Each one of them is a binary bet | 0:08:08 | 0:08:11 | |
when they launch. It's one of the most expensive bets you'll ever have. | 0:08:11 | 0:08:15 | |
-It works or it doesn't. -Light the touch paper. | 0:08:15 | 0:08:18 | |
There's about a one-in-11 chance of a rocket blowing up, | 0:08:18 | 0:08:21 | |
so you've shifted around the rockets. | 0:08:21 | 0:08:23 | |
Granted, most jobs in services | 0:08:23 | 0:08:26 | |
don't involve firing rockets into space, | 0:08:26 | 0:08:29 | |
but I've picked this example | 0:08:29 | 0:08:31 | |
because I don't think we value services as much as we should. | 0:08:31 | 0:08:34 | |
There's no reason to believe services are second-best. | 0:08:34 | 0:08:40 | |
Many think the transition of our economy | 0:08:41 | 0:08:44 | |
towards services, like those of Inmarsat, | 0:08:44 | 0:08:46 | |
was some kind of deliberate choice, and the wrong choice at that. | 0:08:46 | 0:08:51 | |
But in fact it was more of a natural evolution. | 0:08:51 | 0:08:54 | |
The world changed, and our economy changed as a result. | 0:08:54 | 0:08:57 | |
It wasn't the decision of one person, and although it was painful, | 0:08:57 | 0:09:01 | |
politicians found it very hard to reverse when they tried. | 0:09:01 | 0:09:05 | |
So how did we get to where we are today? | 0:09:05 | 0:09:08 | |
As we all know, great manufacturing used to be spread | 0:09:10 | 0:09:14 | |
right across Britain. Sunderland was the dockyard to the world. | 0:09:14 | 0:09:18 | |
At its peak, 12,000 people worked in shipbuilding, | 0:09:18 | 0:09:23 | |
and during the war, one merchant ship a week | 0:09:23 | 0:09:26 | |
was sent down the slipway into the Wear. | 0:09:26 | 0:09:29 | |
APPLAUSE | 0:09:30 | 0:09:32 | |
I give you to the lads that built the ship. | 0:09:37 | 0:09:40 | |
Aye-aye! Here's to 'em! | 0:09:40 | 0:09:43 | |
But these shipyards had a problem. | 0:09:43 | 0:09:46 | |
Poorer countries found they could make ships too, | 0:09:46 | 0:09:49 | |
and more cheaply. | 0:09:49 | 0:09:51 | |
Where we had once led, others had caught up. | 0:09:51 | 0:09:55 | |
It was devastating for those involved. | 0:09:55 | 0:09:58 | |
-Is there a feeling in the yard that there might be redundancies? -Yes. | 0:09:58 | 0:10:02 | |
-Oh, yes. -What would this mean to Sunderland, | 0:10:02 | 0:10:04 | |
-if there were? -I think the town would be dead. | 0:10:04 | 0:10:07 | |
-The town would be dead? -Definitely. | 0:10:07 | 0:10:09 | |
In time, large-scale shipbuilding disappeared. | 0:10:09 | 0:10:14 | |
'Chris Mullin became MP for Sunderland South | 0:10:15 | 0:10:18 | |
'just in time to see it go.' | 0:10:18 | 0:10:21 | |
So what was actually on this site here? | 0:10:22 | 0:10:24 | |
This was the North Sands shipyard. | 0:10:24 | 0:10:27 | |
The last order was the Danish ferry order, | 0:10:27 | 0:10:29 | |
I think about 15 or 16 Danish ferries. | 0:10:29 | 0:10:32 | |
And that was in 1989, and if you stood on the bridge behind me, | 0:10:32 | 0:10:36 | |
and looked down at this site, you'd have seen all the ferries lined up | 0:10:36 | 0:10:40 | |
along here, waiting to have the tops put on and go off to Denmark. | 0:10:40 | 0:10:45 | |
It wasn't just ships. | 0:10:47 | 0:10:50 | |
In so many of our industries, | 0:10:50 | 0:10:52 | |
we found others could make what we had been making. | 0:10:52 | 0:10:55 | |
So naturally we had to move on. | 0:10:55 | 0:10:59 | |
Over the last 60 years, manufacturing had declined | 0:10:59 | 0:11:03 | |
from 46 percent of our economy to just 12, | 0:11:03 | 0:11:08 | |
whilst services have rocketed from 47 percent to 78. | 0:11:08 | 0:11:13 | |
Given the trauma of this upheaval, no wonder people have looked around | 0:11:13 | 0:11:17 | |
for someone to blame - usually Margaret Thatcher, | 0:11:17 | 0:11:21 | |
because she welcomed the shift towards services | 0:11:21 | 0:11:23 | |
that our economy was making. | 0:11:23 | 0:11:25 | |
So as we have redundancies in the declining industries, | 0:11:25 | 0:11:30 | |
so we are getting new jobs in the new industries | 0:11:30 | 0:11:33 | |
and new jobs in some of the service industries, | 0:11:33 | 0:11:36 | |
and they are being created by our dynamic economy of today. | 0:11:36 | 0:11:39 | |
But let us not belittle our achievements. | 0:11:39 | 0:11:42 | |
Many of her admirers and critics agreed on one thing - | 0:11:42 | 0:11:47 | |
that it was all down to her, | 0:11:47 | 0:11:50 | |
that politicians could entirely control the forces of economics. | 0:11:50 | 0:11:55 | |
In 1986, | 0:11:55 | 0:11:57 | |
chairman of ICI and TV business guru Sir John Harvey-Jones | 0:11:57 | 0:12:01 | |
addressed the nation. | 0:12:01 | 0:12:03 | |
The subject of my talk this evening is manufacturing - | 0:12:03 | 0:12:07 | |
the business of making tangible, useful objects | 0:12:07 | 0:12:10 | |
with the aim of selling them to people in the UK | 0:12:10 | 0:12:13 | |
who would otherwise buy an import, and selling them also | 0:12:13 | 0:12:17 | |
to people abroad, whom we want to choose a British product | 0:12:17 | 0:12:20 | |
instead of a product made in another country. | 0:12:20 | 0:12:22 | |
Manufacturing is fast becoming an endangered species. | 0:12:22 | 0:12:25 | |
It is becoming so undervalued in the country | 0:12:25 | 0:12:28 | |
that our decline could become irreversible, | 0:12:28 | 0:12:31 | |
with truly painful consequences for all of us. | 0:12:31 | 0:12:34 | |
Sir John Harvey-Jones spoke, right here in this room, | 0:12:34 | 0:12:38 | |
as though the change that was occurring in the economy | 0:12:38 | 0:12:42 | |
was the result of some kind of conscious decision. | 0:12:42 | 0:12:45 | |
And yet the inexorable rise of services | 0:12:45 | 0:12:47 | |
had started well before his speech, | 0:12:47 | 0:12:50 | |
and it's continued in the decades since. | 0:12:50 | 0:12:52 | |
Mrs Thatcher didn't cause it, | 0:12:52 | 0:12:54 | |
and most telling is the fact that politicians before her | 0:12:54 | 0:12:58 | |
made one serious attempt to strangle the growth of services at birth. | 0:12:58 | 0:13:03 | |
And it didn't end well. | 0:13:03 | 0:13:05 | |
SONG: "Taxman" by The Beatles | 0:13:05 | 0:13:06 | |
# Let me tell you how it will be | 0:13:08 | 0:13:11 | |
# Cos I'm the taxman # | 0:13:11 | 0:13:13 | |
It was the 1960s, the Labour government under Harold Wilson. | 0:13:13 | 0:13:18 | |
Jim Callaghan was chancellor. | 0:13:18 | 0:13:20 | |
He thought services would never earn enough export revenue | 0:13:20 | 0:13:25 | |
to help Britain pay its way in the world. | 0:13:25 | 0:13:27 | |
So in 1966, he introduced the selective employment tax, | 0:13:27 | 0:13:33 | |
or SET, to drive workers in the services sector | 0:13:33 | 0:13:37 | |
back into manufacturing jobs. | 0:13:37 | 0:13:39 | |
I think chancellors in many years to come... | 0:13:39 | 0:13:42 | |
They may not remember my name, but I'm sure they'll bless the tax. | 0:13:42 | 0:13:46 | |
It meant that every services business | 0:13:46 | 0:13:49 | |
had to pay an extra tax for employing staff. | 0:13:49 | 0:13:52 | |
The revenue could be used to subsidise workers in manufacturing. | 0:13:52 | 0:13:56 | |
Lloyd's brokers have to pay this selective employment tax, | 0:13:56 | 0:14:00 | |
and many other people, who contribute much less | 0:14:00 | 0:14:04 | |
to the balance-of-payments situation of this country | 0:14:04 | 0:14:07 | |
don't have to pay it. We want to continue | 0:14:07 | 0:14:10 | |
and to expand and build up our business, | 0:14:10 | 0:14:13 | |
and this is made more difficult by this tax, | 0:14:13 | 0:14:17 | |
which really doesn't make any sense at all. | 0:14:17 | 0:14:20 | |
It produced blatantly ridiculous results. | 0:14:21 | 0:14:25 | |
Candyfloss makers were not taxed. | 0:14:25 | 0:14:28 | |
The entire tourism sector, a big exporter, was. | 0:14:28 | 0:14:32 | |
In Brighton, the Metropole Hotel pays SET on 350 staff. | 0:14:32 | 0:14:36 | |
What does the director, Mr Webb, think of SET? | 0:14:36 | 0:14:39 | |
Well, it's shattering. It's an absolute calamity | 0:14:39 | 0:14:42 | |
as far as our industry is concerned, | 0:14:42 | 0:14:44 | |
because we feel we are a sort of Cinderella industry in this country. | 0:14:44 | 0:14:48 | |
This is absolutely ridiculous, | 0:14:48 | 0:14:50 | |
and it's due time we had proper recognition. | 0:14:50 | 0:14:53 | |
Unsurprisingly, the selective employment tax | 0:14:53 | 0:14:56 | |
couldn't thwart the forces of economics. | 0:14:56 | 0:14:59 | |
It was phased out, and then abolished altogether, | 0:14:59 | 0:15:02 | |
when VAT was introduced in 1973. | 0:15:02 | 0:15:05 | |
Since then, no-one has suggested reviving it. | 0:15:05 | 0:15:09 | |
'Economies seem to have a mind of their own. | 0:15:11 | 0:15:14 | |
'Even though Mr Callaghan and other critics of services | 0:15:14 | 0:15:18 | |
'didn't like them, there was little they could do about it.' | 0:15:18 | 0:15:21 | |
Now, one of the reasons they didn't like services | 0:15:22 | 0:15:25 | |
was they didn't think you could export enough of them | 0:15:25 | 0:15:28 | |
to pay the nation's bills. | 0:15:28 | 0:15:30 | |
But this is where it gets really interesting, | 0:15:30 | 0:15:32 | |
because Britain has embarked on something of an economic adventure | 0:15:32 | 0:15:36 | |
over the last few decades, doing just that. | 0:15:36 | 0:15:39 | |
We've found several novel ways of exporting services. | 0:15:39 | 0:15:43 | |
Each of these business models has its limitations, | 0:15:43 | 0:15:46 | |
but together, they've gone further than anyone in the '60s | 0:15:46 | 0:15:49 | |
might have imagined at helping the nation pay its way in the world. | 0:15:49 | 0:15:53 | |
To see one of the ways in which we sell services overseas, | 0:15:57 | 0:16:01 | |
I've come to Dubai. | 0:16:01 | 0:16:03 | |
Service providers from all over the world come here | 0:16:03 | 0:16:07 | |
to do their thing, and Britain is a key player. | 0:16:07 | 0:16:10 | |
We export almost £2 billion of services a year to Dubai | 0:16:12 | 0:16:16 | |
and the other United Arab Emirates. | 0:16:16 | 0:16:19 | |
People have a lot of different reactions to Dubai. | 0:16:19 | 0:16:23 | |
Some feel the excitement. Others think it's rather vulgar. | 0:16:23 | 0:16:27 | |
Some worry that it doesn't have as much money as it used to, | 0:16:27 | 0:16:30 | |
and some see it as obscene. There are terrible stories | 0:16:30 | 0:16:33 | |
of maltreatment of migrant workers. Whatever you think of it, | 0:16:33 | 0:16:37 | |
it's certainly a place that's changing very quickly. | 0:16:37 | 0:16:41 | |
It was only 40 years ago | 0:16:42 | 0:16:44 | |
that Dubai began its extraordinary transformation | 0:16:44 | 0:16:48 | |
from a quiet desert town into a futuristic metropolis. | 0:16:48 | 0:16:52 | |
Dubai is strikingly new. But that gives you a clue | 0:16:52 | 0:16:57 | |
as to why it's been such a great business opportunity | 0:16:57 | 0:16:59 | |
for British companies. | 0:16:59 | 0:17:01 | |
You see, one thing fusty old Britain really does have is experience. | 0:17:01 | 0:17:06 | |
We've been doing stuff for decades. | 0:17:06 | 0:17:08 | |
Now, if you're a young country and you want some of that experience, | 0:17:08 | 0:17:12 | |
it's our services you come shopping for. | 0:17:12 | 0:17:15 | |
And if you've got the money, this is what you can buy. | 0:17:18 | 0:17:22 | |
In 1993, Dubai wanted to announce its arrival | 0:17:25 | 0:17:29 | |
as a global destination. The sheikh commissioned the building of a hotel | 0:17:29 | 0:17:33 | |
that could make a statement to the world - | 0:17:33 | 0:17:36 | |
the Burj Al Arab. | 0:17:36 | 0:17:38 | |
Local talent wouldn't have been up to pulling off a project | 0:17:38 | 0:17:41 | |
of this scale, but a British consultant engineering firm, | 0:17:41 | 0:17:45 | |
called Atkins, was. | 0:17:45 | 0:17:48 | |
'Architect Simon Crispe was part of the original design team. | 0:17:50 | 0:17:55 | |
'What we sold was British service expertise | 0:17:56 | 0:17:59 | |
'in architecture, project management and engineering.' | 0:17:59 | 0:18:03 | |
Let's show you some of the drawings of the design. | 0:18:05 | 0:18:11 | |
-The old plans! -The old plans. -Dusted down. | 0:18:11 | 0:18:13 | |
-Absolutely. -I bet this brings it all back. | 0:18:13 | 0:18:16 | |
It does indeed. Now, this one is the original sketch. | 0:18:16 | 0:18:21 | |
This was August '93, | 0:18:21 | 0:18:23 | |
and the client said, "Yes. Thanks, Atkins. We'll have it." | 0:18:23 | 0:18:27 | |
THEY LAUGH | 0:18:27 | 0:18:29 | |
And, er, away we went. | 0:18:29 | 0:18:31 | |
At a height of 321 metres, | 0:18:31 | 0:18:34 | |
it stands taller than the Eiffel Tower. | 0:18:34 | 0:18:36 | |
The other drawing is the external facade of the building, | 0:18:36 | 0:18:40 | |
and that shows the wind braces on either side. | 0:18:40 | 0:18:43 | |
And these are the primary elevational features that you see. | 0:18:43 | 0:18:46 | |
It's what gives it its character, that initial nautical feel. | 0:18:46 | 0:18:51 | |
So the clever thing has been to make engineering features | 0:18:51 | 0:18:56 | |
aesthetically very attractive. You haven't hidden them away. | 0:18:56 | 0:18:59 | |
-It's absolutely turning them into... -That's right, | 0:18:59 | 0:19:02 | |
and it's the bringing together of architecture and engineering | 0:19:02 | 0:19:06 | |
to create a thing of beauty. | 0:19:06 | 0:19:08 | |
'Beautiful it may be, but how does it help us pay the bills?' | 0:19:08 | 0:19:12 | |
Atkins didn't just draw up the plans. | 0:19:12 | 0:19:15 | |
They project-managed the building's construction, | 0:19:15 | 0:19:18 | |
and they commissioned ten other British service companies | 0:19:18 | 0:19:21 | |
to work on everything from its safety features | 0:19:21 | 0:19:23 | |
to interior design. | 0:19:23 | 0:19:26 | |
'British services even helped build the artificial island | 0:19:30 | 0:19:34 | |
'on which the hotel stands. | 0:19:34 | 0:19:36 | |
'So how much does this all add up to? | 0:19:38 | 0:19:41 | |
'All the exact figures are commercially confidential.' | 0:19:42 | 0:19:45 | |
Now, help me out here. You've got a whole cost of the building. | 0:19:45 | 0:19:49 | |
What proportion of that total cost is the thinking bit, | 0:19:49 | 0:19:53 | |
-the sort of stuff that Atkins does? -In broad terms, | 0:19:53 | 0:19:56 | |
because it's different for different projects, | 0:19:56 | 0:19:58 | |
you're talking probably... If the whole building costs 100 percent, | 0:19:58 | 0:20:03 | |
the overall thinking time, the management, the design, | 0:20:03 | 0:20:07 | |
the conceiving of the project and the delivering of that design | 0:20:07 | 0:20:11 | |
is roughly anywhere between five and ten percent. | 0:20:11 | 0:20:14 | |
Across Dubai, we've had a hand in designing and building | 0:20:16 | 0:20:20 | |
roads and railways, airports and harbours, | 0:20:20 | 0:20:23 | |
hotels and skyscrapers, and even fantasy islands. | 0:20:23 | 0:20:27 | |
British service exports are highly regarded around the world. | 0:20:27 | 0:20:32 | |
And it's not just grand construction projects - | 0:20:32 | 0:20:35 | |
the city is connected by the Dubai Metro, | 0:20:35 | 0:20:38 | |
operated by Serco, a British outsourcing specialist. | 0:20:38 | 0:20:43 | |
Around the world, they run trains, hospitals, | 0:20:46 | 0:20:50 | |
prisons, recycling centres, | 0:20:50 | 0:20:52 | |
air-traffic control systems and much else besides. | 0:20:52 | 0:20:55 | |
So you can go abroad and sell services | 0:20:57 | 0:21:02 | |
and earn real money for doing so. | 0:21:02 | 0:21:05 | |
'Britain has gone as far down this track as anyone.' | 0:21:05 | 0:21:08 | |
But of course we can't all go and live and work | 0:21:09 | 0:21:12 | |
in different countries. | 0:21:12 | 0:21:15 | |
So exporting services by going overseas has its limits. | 0:21:15 | 0:21:19 | |
Fortunately, where Britain has really made its mark | 0:21:19 | 0:21:23 | |
is in developing a second business model. | 0:21:23 | 0:21:26 | |
We can make good money by going abroad and selling services, | 0:21:29 | 0:21:33 | |
but in commercial terms, even better | 0:21:33 | 0:21:36 | |
is when foreigners come here to Britain to buy them. | 0:21:36 | 0:21:40 | |
'London is the epicentre.' | 0:21:40 | 0:21:43 | |
The British capital is like one huge factory | 0:21:47 | 0:21:51 | |
of commercial service exports. | 0:21:51 | 0:21:54 | |
This is where the world comes to do business. | 0:21:57 | 0:22:01 | |
Neatly positioned between America and Asia, | 0:22:01 | 0:22:04 | |
speaking the global language, | 0:22:04 | 0:22:07 | |
since the days of empire, London has embraced its role | 0:22:07 | 0:22:12 | |
as a global city. And it's this role | 0:22:12 | 0:22:14 | |
that helps Britain pay its way in the world. | 0:22:14 | 0:22:18 | |
We've encouraged people to come here, | 0:22:20 | 0:22:22 | |
whether on business or to see the sights, | 0:22:22 | 0:22:25 | |
and we've sold them services when they do. | 0:22:25 | 0:22:27 | |
Because they pay for things with money brought from overseas, | 0:22:27 | 0:22:30 | |
anything they buy is an export, | 0:22:30 | 0:22:32 | |
helps pay for our manufactured imports. | 0:22:32 | 0:22:35 | |
And it's all possible because Britain has carved a special role | 0:22:35 | 0:22:39 | |
as a host nation. | 0:22:39 | 0:22:41 | |
In order to understand how it happened, | 0:22:41 | 0:22:44 | |
let's consider London's answer to the Burj Al Arab - | 0:22:44 | 0:22:47 | |
the Shard. | 0:22:47 | 0:22:50 | |
Well, I'm on the 37th floor of the Shard. | 0:22:52 | 0:22:55 | |
That's not even halfway up to the top of the finished building. | 0:22:55 | 0:23:00 | |
This is undoubtedly going to be a symbol of our capital, | 0:23:00 | 0:23:03 | |
given its height, but it's also an interesting symbol | 0:23:03 | 0:23:06 | |
of the internationalisation of the nation and of London. | 0:23:06 | 0:23:10 | |
When completed, the Shard will be the tallest building | 0:23:10 | 0:23:14 | |
in the European Union. | 0:23:14 | 0:23:16 | |
But despite being built on London soil, | 0:23:16 | 0:23:19 | |
that's little that's particularly British about it. | 0:23:19 | 0:23:24 | |
This has been financed by money from Qatar, | 0:23:24 | 0:23:26 | |
the architect Italian, | 0:23:26 | 0:23:28 | |
the workforce building it from everywhere. | 0:23:28 | 0:23:31 | |
The glass is Dutch, and this floor, like another 17, | 0:23:31 | 0:23:36 | |
has been taken by the first tenant, a Hong Kong-based hotel. | 0:23:36 | 0:23:39 | |
Many of the tenants in this building won't be British, | 0:23:41 | 0:23:45 | |
and that's the clever part. | 0:23:45 | 0:23:48 | |
While they're here, we can make money from them. | 0:23:48 | 0:23:51 | |
So, what do we get out of being a host nation? | 0:23:52 | 0:23:55 | |
Well, imagine when this building is finished, | 0:23:55 | 0:23:58 | |
in an extreme case, no British people work or live here. | 0:23:58 | 0:24:02 | |
The foreigners who work and live here, | 0:24:02 | 0:24:04 | |
they'll be paying some taxes to the UK government. | 0:24:04 | 0:24:07 | |
They'll go shopping in the streets nearby. | 0:24:07 | 0:24:10 | |
They'll use British accountants and insurance companies. | 0:24:10 | 0:24:13 | |
The Russians living upstairs, when they get divorced, | 0:24:13 | 0:24:16 | |
will perhaps use a British lawyer. All these services will earn money. | 0:24:16 | 0:24:20 | |
Because they'll be earning money from foreigners, they're exports - | 0:24:20 | 0:24:24 | |
exports right here in the centre of London. | 0:24:24 | 0:24:28 | |
The Shard is testament to our continued willingness and ability | 0:24:28 | 0:24:32 | |
to attract the super-rich from around the world to London. | 0:24:32 | 0:24:36 | |
And once we've got them here, anything we can sell them | 0:24:36 | 0:24:39 | |
while they're in town counts as an export. | 0:24:39 | 0:24:43 | |
That's because everything they buy has effectively been paid for | 0:24:43 | 0:24:46 | |
with income derived from abroad. | 0:24:46 | 0:24:49 | |
It's very hard to put a precise figure | 0:24:51 | 0:24:54 | |
on how much this is all worth to Britain, | 0:24:54 | 0:24:56 | |
but it easily runs into billions of pounds. | 0:24:56 | 0:25:00 | |
You might think it odd for a country like Britain | 0:25:00 | 0:25:03 | |
to thrive by collecting the small change of the global super-rich. | 0:25:03 | 0:25:07 | |
So how does it work in practice? | 0:25:07 | 0:25:11 | |
'Tim Wright works for estate agents Knight Frank.' | 0:25:11 | 0:25:15 | |
-Hello. -Nice to meet you. Come on in. | 0:25:15 | 0:25:17 | |
'They've built a tidy business servicing this market.' | 0:25:17 | 0:25:20 | |
Nice place! | 0:25:20 | 0:25:22 | |
-'The hall is as big as my flat.' -Come on in, please. | 0:25:22 | 0:25:25 | |
-If you wouldn't mind putting those shoe covers on. -Put my foot in here? | 0:25:25 | 0:25:29 | |
-Yeah. -Wow! -That'll be brilliant. | 0:25:29 | 0:25:31 | |
If you'd like to come upstairs, I'll show you the formal drawing room, | 0:25:33 | 0:25:37 | |
which is a phenomenal space overlooking the park. | 0:25:37 | 0:25:41 | |
'Last year, nearly 100 £10-million-plus properties | 0:25:41 | 0:25:46 | |
'were sold in London, almost all of them to foreigners.' | 0:25:46 | 0:25:50 | |
-It's fantastic, isn't it? -We're lucky to have a day like this, | 0:25:50 | 0:25:54 | |
but even on a dull day, it's still a joy to look at. | 0:25:54 | 0:25:58 | |
OK. So, break the bad news. How much is it? | 0:25:58 | 0:26:01 | |
Well, Evan, for circa 45 million, you get the entire package. | 0:26:01 | 0:26:06 | |
So everything that you see is included in the price. | 0:26:06 | 0:26:09 | |
You can pick up the key, walk in and live... | 0:26:09 | 0:26:12 | |
-pretty comfortably, because... -Of course. | 0:26:12 | 0:26:14 | |
The target market for a house like this | 0:26:14 | 0:26:17 | |
is the ultra-high-net-worth overseas buyer. | 0:26:17 | 0:26:21 | |
And what they want and what they attach value to is convenience. | 0:26:21 | 0:26:25 | |
They don't want to buy a building that will take two years to do up. | 0:26:25 | 0:26:29 | |
-OK. -Come on through here, Evan. | 0:26:29 | 0:26:32 | |
'While we marvel at the house, remember the economic benefits | 0:26:32 | 0:26:35 | |
'to Britain are the things you can't see, | 0:26:35 | 0:26:37 | |
'such as the estate agent's commission, | 0:26:37 | 0:26:39 | |
'likely to be over half a million pounds. | 0:26:39 | 0:26:42 | |
'With the other services involved, | 0:26:42 | 0:26:44 | |
'we could be earning a couple of million in exports here, | 0:26:44 | 0:26:47 | |
'equivalent to a factory with scores of workers. | 0:26:47 | 0:26:50 | |
'Multiply this by all the other houses, | 0:26:50 | 0:26:53 | |
'and it's a good business model.' | 0:26:53 | 0:26:55 | |
Is this a bedroom or a lounge? It is a bedroom. | 0:26:55 | 0:26:58 | |
It is a master-bedroom suite like you've never seen. | 0:26:58 | 0:27:01 | |
-Fantastic. -Isn't it wonderful? | 0:27:01 | 0:27:03 | |
Are there different national tastes from the foreign buyers? | 0:27:03 | 0:27:06 | |
Do the Russians go for one style, the Chinese for a different style? | 0:27:06 | 0:27:09 | |
The Middle Eastern buyer tends to want more staff accommodation, | 0:27:09 | 0:27:13 | |
for example, than a Russian buyer. | 0:27:13 | 0:27:16 | |
The Russian will be very happy with one housekeeper | 0:27:16 | 0:27:19 | |
living in the basement full-time. | 0:27:19 | 0:27:22 | |
Middle Eastern clients tend to want four or five staff | 0:27:22 | 0:27:24 | |
full-time in the house, even though they might only be here | 0:27:24 | 0:27:28 | |
two or three weeks of the year, if they come over for Ascot | 0:27:28 | 0:27:31 | |
or for Wimbledon. | 0:27:31 | 0:27:33 | |
-You must come and see the bathrooms. -More than one bathroom. | 0:27:33 | 0:27:37 | |
There's a his and hers bathroom. | 0:27:37 | 0:27:40 | |
You would be very surprised if a British person | 0:27:40 | 0:27:43 | |
-came and bought this place. -I would be surprised, yeah. | 0:27:43 | 0:27:46 | |
Definitely. And if you look at... | 0:27:46 | 0:27:48 | |
On average, if you look at, across the price sectors | 0:27:48 | 0:27:52 | |
in central London, then, | 0:27:52 | 0:27:55 | |
it's about 50/50 domestic to overseas buyers. | 0:27:55 | 0:27:59 | |
But once you start getting up the price scale, | 0:27:59 | 0:28:02 | |
so if you're looking at the sector which is the super-prime market, | 0:28:02 | 0:28:07 | |
say, ten million plus, | 0:28:07 | 0:28:09 | |
then, it's much more weighted in favour of the overseas buyer, | 0:28:09 | 0:28:13 | |
so it's probably more like 75, 80 percent to 20 percent domestic. | 0:28:13 | 0:28:18 | |
Come through to his dressing room. | 0:28:18 | 0:28:20 | |
'I can see how this is a big earner. | 0:28:20 | 0:28:23 | |
'But I do have some concerns about the sustainability | 0:28:23 | 0:28:26 | |
'of the business coming our way.' | 0:28:26 | 0:28:28 | |
Now... | 0:28:28 | 0:28:30 | |
will it all just go away? | 0:28:30 | 0:28:32 | |
Because when we've sold the last house | 0:28:32 | 0:28:35 | |
to a rich Russian, and we're all squashed, incidentally, | 0:28:35 | 0:28:38 | |
out in the 'burbs because we can't afford anywhere in London | 0:28:38 | 0:28:42 | |
because we've been priced out by foreigners... | 0:28:42 | 0:28:45 | |
When we've sold the last house, your industry dies, doesn't it? | 0:28:45 | 0:28:49 | |
Potentially I suppose it does, yes. | 0:28:49 | 0:28:51 | |
I mean, one of the big fears that we have | 0:28:51 | 0:28:54 | |
is that the people who buy houses like this | 0:28:54 | 0:28:58 | |
will hold on to them forever, but the reality is | 0:28:58 | 0:29:01 | |
that actually it's a relatively transient community. | 0:29:01 | 0:29:05 | |
People will stay here for maybe five years, maybe ten years, maybe 15, | 0:29:05 | 0:29:09 | |
possibly even longer, but ultimately they do either move, | 0:29:09 | 0:29:12 | |
or they die, they downsize, they get divorced, | 0:29:12 | 0:29:16 | |
and every time that happens, | 0:29:16 | 0:29:19 | |
it releases a big house. | 0:29:19 | 0:29:21 | |
So I don't think it'll ever stop, in those terms. | 0:29:21 | 0:29:25 | |
Thank you, Tim. | 0:29:26 | 0:29:28 | |
'So service companies got a slice of the £3 billion of foreign money | 0:29:28 | 0:29:32 | |
'that came into London's property market last year.' | 0:29:32 | 0:29:35 | |
It's an interesting old set-up, that, isn't it? | 0:29:38 | 0:29:40 | |
But a lot of people are in on the game, earning a living out of it, | 0:29:40 | 0:29:44 | |
and they then spend the money they've earned, | 0:29:44 | 0:29:47 | |
and it permeates its way through the whole economy. | 0:29:47 | 0:29:50 | |
But what an odd place for our economy to have ended up! | 0:29:50 | 0:29:54 | |
We're the support staff, the butler, to the world's elite. | 0:29:54 | 0:29:59 | |
'Not all our services exports within the UK | 0:30:03 | 0:30:07 | |
'depend on the whims of the global super-rich, | 0:30:07 | 0:30:11 | |
'and not all of them are based in London.' | 0:30:11 | 0:30:13 | |
Spread throughout the country are institutions | 0:30:16 | 0:30:19 | |
that are often characterised as a drain on our resources. | 0:30:19 | 0:30:23 | |
But I want to show you they're one of our leading export industries, | 0:30:23 | 0:30:26 | |
bringing in an estimated £5 billion annually. | 0:30:26 | 0:30:30 | |
'British universities attract 250,000 foreign students a year, | 0:30:33 | 0:30:37 | |
'far outstripping all of our neighbours.' | 0:30:37 | 0:30:40 | |
A fifth of students at the University of Birmingham | 0:30:40 | 0:30:44 | |
are fee-paying foreigners. It's a similar story | 0:30:44 | 0:30:47 | |
at many of our other leading universities. | 0:30:47 | 0:30:50 | |
What some people see when they come to a place like this | 0:30:51 | 0:30:54 | |
is a centre for learning. | 0:30:54 | 0:30:57 | |
Others see an institution that engages in research | 0:30:57 | 0:31:01 | |
and advances human knowledge. | 0:31:01 | 0:31:03 | |
What I see is a thriving business that's employing thousands of people | 0:31:03 | 0:31:08 | |
and earning tens of millions of pounds of export revenues. | 0:31:08 | 0:31:12 | |
'Birmingham's medical school sells its services | 0:31:24 | 0:31:27 | |
'to budding doctors from over 150 different countries. | 0:31:27 | 0:31:31 | |
'The product they come here to buy is a five-year course in medicine, | 0:31:31 | 0:31:36 | |
'involving two years in the lecture theatre | 0:31:36 | 0:31:38 | |
'and then three more years of hands-on training.' | 0:31:38 | 0:31:42 | |
Here they all are. Hi, gang. Hi. I'm Evan. | 0:31:43 | 0:31:46 | |
-Hello. My name's Himarshi. -Himarshi? | 0:31:46 | 0:31:48 | |
-I'm Tala. -Tala. Nice to meet you. Rahini? | 0:31:48 | 0:31:52 | |
-Hi. Nice to meet you. Tristan. -Tristan. Good to see you. | 0:31:52 | 0:31:55 | |
And you're the consultant, obviously. | 0:31:55 | 0:31:57 | |
-Hello. -Andy. -Nice to see you. | 0:31:57 | 0:31:59 | |
'The students on today's ward round | 0:31:59 | 0:32:02 | |
'come from Sri Lanka, India, Trinidad and Jordan.' | 0:32:02 | 0:32:06 | |
Hi. My name's Tala. Is it OK if I ask you a few questions? | 0:32:06 | 0:32:10 | |
-Do. Carry on. -So, what brought you into hospital? | 0:32:10 | 0:32:13 | |
I was shaking, hot and cold, everything. | 0:32:13 | 0:32:16 | |
'The great thing for Britain | 0:32:16 | 0:32:18 | |
'is that not only do we earn the money from these students' fees - | 0:32:18 | 0:32:21 | |
'any money they spend on rent and other services while they're here | 0:32:21 | 0:32:26 | |
'is an export too. And then on top of that, | 0:32:26 | 0:32:29 | |
'they're happy to lend us their labour as apprentice doctors.' | 0:32:29 | 0:32:32 | |
Do you mind if I just take a look at your hands? | 0:32:32 | 0:32:35 | |
OK, everyone. Happy? Thank you, sir. Thank you very much. See you again. | 0:32:37 | 0:32:41 | |
Let's move on. | 0:32:41 | 0:32:43 | |
'These discerning customers, or students if you prefer, | 0:32:43 | 0:32:46 | |
'have chosen us from a world of competition.' | 0:32:46 | 0:32:49 | |
So what's the reputation, then, of the British universities? | 0:32:49 | 0:32:52 | |
When you go back... This isn't Oxford or Cambridge. | 0:32:52 | 0:32:55 | |
People have heard of the city of Birmingham. | 0:32:55 | 0:32:58 | |
They may not have heard of the university. | 0:32:58 | 0:33:01 | |
Is it going to hold... Is it a good brand to have? | 0:33:01 | 0:33:04 | |
In Jordan, I think, just the fact that you've graduated from England | 0:33:04 | 0:33:08 | |
with a degree in medicine is quite impressive on its own, | 0:33:08 | 0:33:11 | |
regardless of the name of the university, | 0:33:11 | 0:33:14 | |
regardless of the brand. | 0:33:14 | 0:33:16 | |
I think so, as well. It's quite similar. | 0:33:16 | 0:33:18 | |
Carrying a UK education in general still holds a great value. | 0:33:18 | 0:33:22 | |
Do you get a good deal out of... How much are your fees? | 0:33:22 | 0:33:25 | |
That depends. The first few years, | 0:33:25 | 0:33:28 | |
-it's roughly about £12,000. -A year? | 0:33:28 | 0:33:31 | |
-And the clinical years, it goes up another £10,000. -It goes up? | 0:33:31 | 0:33:34 | |
-So what is it in the clinical years? -It's about 22,000, 23,000. | 0:33:34 | 0:33:39 | |
'Britain has a valuable product to sell. | 0:33:39 | 0:33:42 | |
'But if we want to sell more of it, we're going to have to make choices | 0:33:42 | 0:33:46 | |
'about how open we're prepared to be.' | 0:33:46 | 0:33:50 | |
I've got to ask you about visa and immigration requirements, | 0:33:50 | 0:33:54 | |
because obviously governments have become worried | 0:33:54 | 0:33:58 | |
about the sorts of people that are coming in, and the numbers. | 0:33:58 | 0:34:01 | |
How have you felt | 0:34:01 | 0:34:04 | |
in terms of the welcoming advance of the Home Office | 0:34:04 | 0:34:07 | |
when you've applied for your student visas? | 0:34:07 | 0:34:10 | |
I applied three years ago, and it was relatively straightforward. | 0:34:10 | 0:34:13 | |
All I needed to get was a letter from the university | 0:34:13 | 0:34:16 | |
and all the accompanying documents, and they just gave me my visa | 0:34:16 | 0:34:19 | |
for the length of the course. But I've heard from friends | 0:34:19 | 0:34:22 | |
that it's progressively getting harder. | 0:34:22 | 0:34:25 | |
A couple of my friends from Trinidad haven't got visas in time. | 0:34:25 | 0:34:28 | |
The process is taking so much longer and so much more difficult. | 0:34:28 | 0:34:32 | |
It is getting to be a bit more red tape. | 0:34:32 | 0:34:34 | |
There are no clear rights and wrongs to any of this. | 0:34:36 | 0:34:39 | |
But if Britain really does choose to open up to the world, | 0:34:39 | 0:34:42 | |
there's a lot of money to be made. | 0:34:42 | 0:34:45 | |
'Edward Harcourt is the university's director | 0:34:45 | 0:34:48 | |
'of international relations.' | 0:34:48 | 0:34:50 | |
It's becoming increasingly competitive, | 0:34:50 | 0:34:53 | |
but it is still a seller's market. | 0:34:53 | 0:34:55 | |
There's something over three million international students now. | 0:34:55 | 0:34:59 | |
Britain is the second most popular destination. | 0:34:59 | 0:35:02 | |
-After the United States? -After the States. | 0:35:02 | 0:35:04 | |
It's very difficult to do any kind of sensible projections | 0:35:04 | 0:35:08 | |
as to future demands. If you think that there are.... | 0:35:08 | 0:35:12 | |
something like 220 million Indians in primary school, | 0:35:12 | 0:35:15 | |
and given the GDP growth rate in India, | 0:35:15 | 0:35:19 | |
um, | 0:35:19 | 0:35:21 | |
many of those families will have the wherewithal | 0:35:21 | 0:35:24 | |
to pay for their tertiary education, | 0:35:24 | 0:35:27 | |
and the Indian HE system is going to have a major capacity constraint. | 0:35:27 | 0:35:31 | |
So many of those families will be looking overseas | 0:35:31 | 0:35:35 | |
for a quality education. | 0:35:35 | 0:35:38 | |
And quality education is exactly what we sell here in Britain. | 0:35:38 | 0:35:42 | |
'This is our nation playing to its strengths. | 0:35:42 | 0:35:45 | |
'Emerging economies around the world | 0:35:45 | 0:35:48 | |
'simply can't match the services we can offer.' | 0:35:48 | 0:35:51 | |
When you hear people say we don't make anything in this country | 0:35:51 | 0:35:55 | |
any more, well, now you have an answer. | 0:35:55 | 0:35:57 | |
We make foreign doctors, foreign engineers, | 0:35:57 | 0:36:00 | |
foreign chemists, lawyers, business people. | 0:36:00 | 0:36:03 | |
And just think of all the good that our universities do | 0:36:03 | 0:36:07 | |
around the world. | 0:36:07 | 0:36:09 | |
So this is the new British economy. | 0:36:17 | 0:36:20 | |
Rather than just selling the world goods, | 0:36:20 | 0:36:23 | |
we sell our expertise through services. | 0:36:23 | 0:36:26 | |
And we're world-class at doing it. | 0:36:26 | 0:36:29 | |
It all earns export revenue | 0:36:29 | 0:36:33 | |
on a scale no-one would have imagined | 0:36:33 | 0:36:35 | |
at the time of the Festival of Britain. | 0:36:35 | 0:36:38 | |
So far, so good. Our great national experiment | 0:36:38 | 0:36:41 | |
in building a service-exporting economy | 0:36:41 | 0:36:44 | |
has worked, up to a point. We've seen services sold abroad, | 0:36:44 | 0:36:48 | |
services sold to foreigners in London | 0:36:48 | 0:36:50 | |
and elsewhere in the country. | 0:36:50 | 0:36:52 | |
But each of these sales channels has its limitations. | 0:36:52 | 0:36:56 | |
These services are best sold face-to-face, | 0:36:56 | 0:36:59 | |
and that means they rely on people coming into the country | 0:36:59 | 0:37:03 | |
or leaving it. And there are severe practical limitations | 0:37:03 | 0:37:07 | |
as to how many people can do that. | 0:37:07 | 0:37:09 | |
'So for Britain's experiment to really work, | 0:37:10 | 0:37:14 | |
'we've needed one other trick up our sleeve - | 0:37:14 | 0:37:17 | |
'the way of exporting services that, of course, we all know about, | 0:37:17 | 0:37:20 | |
'the one with the unrivalled ability to earn money | 0:37:20 | 0:37:24 | |
'but also to lose it - the City.' | 0:37:24 | 0:37:27 | |
For most of the last two decades, | 0:37:29 | 0:37:31 | |
it looked like we'd discovered a national champion. | 0:37:31 | 0:37:35 | |
Barclays Bank has announced record annual profits | 0:37:35 | 0:37:38 | |
of more than £5.25 billion. | 0:37:38 | 0:37:40 | |
The HSBC banking group has announced record profits | 0:37:40 | 0:37:43 | |
of almost £7 million, the largest ever by a British bank. | 0:37:43 | 0:37:47 | |
Something we did better than anyone else. | 0:37:47 | 0:37:50 | |
The RBS looks set to complete | 0:37:50 | 0:37:52 | |
the world's biggest company takeover, | 0:37:52 | 0:37:54 | |
worth almost £50 billion. | 0:37:54 | 0:37:56 | |
The flow of profits was unimaginable. | 0:37:56 | 0:37:59 | |
Here's where you want to work if you're young, brainy | 0:37:59 | 0:38:02 | |
and keen to make loads of money. | 0:38:02 | 0:38:05 | |
It collected plaudit after plaudit. | 0:38:05 | 0:38:08 | |
This is an era that history will record | 0:38:08 | 0:38:10 | |
as the beginning of a new golden age for the City of London. | 0:38:10 | 0:38:14 | |
It's remarkable to think that in recent years, | 0:38:14 | 0:38:17 | |
official data suggests this small corner of England, | 0:38:17 | 0:38:21 | |
just a few square miles, earns more in export revenue | 0:38:21 | 0:38:25 | |
than the whole of Wales or Northern Ireland | 0:38:25 | 0:38:27 | |
or the northeast of England. | 0:38:27 | 0:38:29 | |
The first thing to understand about the City | 0:38:33 | 0:38:35 | |
is that it makes its money in remarkably varied ways. | 0:38:35 | 0:38:39 | |
And here's one part of it you might not have heard much about. | 0:38:40 | 0:38:44 | |
-BABBLE OF VOICES -'ICAP is a British service company | 0:38:44 | 0:38:48 | |
'that makes its money not by trading | 0:38:48 | 0:38:50 | |
'but by helping global finance operate. | 0:38:50 | 0:38:52 | |
'Michael Spencer is its chief executive.' | 0:38:52 | 0:38:56 | |
Let's just start by, perhaps, you explaining just what ICAP does. | 0:38:56 | 0:39:00 | |
It's not nearly as difficult as people think. | 0:39:01 | 0:39:04 | |
The world's financial markets are enormous. | 0:39:04 | 0:39:07 | |
They are global. They are interconnected. | 0:39:07 | 0:39:11 | |
There's a huge amount of business to financial institutions | 0:39:11 | 0:39:14 | |
in Japan, deal with financial institutions in Singapore, | 0:39:14 | 0:39:18 | |
in London, in New York. | 0:39:18 | 0:39:20 | |
And we are the biggest global intermediary | 0:39:20 | 0:39:23 | |
between these transactions. | 0:39:23 | 0:39:25 | |
Is it export revenue for the UK? | 0:39:25 | 0:39:28 | |
Is it foreigners buying services from ICAP? | 0:39:28 | 0:39:31 | |
We have 50 offices around the world, | 0:39:31 | 0:39:33 | |
of which only one is in the UK, in London. | 0:39:33 | 0:39:36 | |
London is our biggest office, but we have big offices | 0:39:36 | 0:39:39 | |
in many, many other financial centres. | 0:39:39 | 0:39:42 | |
Overwhelmingly, our revenue is export earnings to the UK. | 0:39:42 | 0:39:45 | |
Our financial services yield exports worth 30 times those of France. | 0:39:47 | 0:39:52 | |
They're even more valuable than America's. | 0:39:52 | 0:39:55 | |
At ICAP, they don't take risks. | 0:39:55 | 0:39:58 | |
They offer a service to others, who do. | 0:39:58 | 0:40:01 | |
Clearly banks are in the business of risk-taking, | 0:40:01 | 0:40:04 | |
because lending money to customers or dealing in foreign exchange, | 0:40:04 | 0:40:08 | |
that is what their business is, to take risk in various forms | 0:40:08 | 0:40:11 | |
in order to facilitate their customers' business. | 0:40:11 | 0:40:14 | |
But businesses like ours are not in the risk-taking business. | 0:40:14 | 0:40:17 | |
We're in the facilitation business. We will stay there. | 0:40:17 | 0:40:20 | |
We're happy in that space, and that's our expertise. | 0:40:20 | 0:40:23 | |
Alongside you in the City, in facilitation rather than risk, | 0:40:23 | 0:40:26 | |
you've got the lawyers, who are a huge part of the City... | 0:40:26 | 0:40:29 | |
The insurance-broking firms, all the equity-broking firms... | 0:40:29 | 0:40:33 | |
-The accountants as well. -Of course. | 0:40:33 | 0:40:36 | |
There's no denying the enormous economic contribution | 0:40:37 | 0:40:41 | |
companies like ICAP make. | 0:40:41 | 0:40:43 | |
No risk, real income - just what we want. | 0:40:43 | 0:40:47 | |
It's a really interesting business model. | 0:40:48 | 0:40:51 | |
You charge a tiny commission on a huge number of transactions, | 0:40:51 | 0:40:54 | |
and it adds up to a pretty good business. | 0:40:54 | 0:40:57 | |
In a way it's an analogy for a lot of what the City does | 0:40:57 | 0:41:00 | |
and the services it provides. | 0:41:00 | 0:41:02 | |
They don't bake cakes here. | 0:41:02 | 0:41:04 | |
They provide services to other people who bake cakes, | 0:41:04 | 0:41:07 | |
and they pick up the crumbs. And if you provide enough services | 0:41:07 | 0:41:11 | |
to enough cake-bakers, you can pick up a lot of crumbs | 0:41:11 | 0:41:15 | |
and you can have a nice cake of your own. | 0:41:15 | 0:41:17 | |
OK. Now here's the bad news. | 0:41:22 | 0:41:25 | |
You've got the parts of the City that don't take risks, | 0:41:25 | 0:41:28 | |
but just as big are the parts that do. | 0:41:28 | 0:41:30 | |
And we've needed them to do some baking as well. | 0:41:30 | 0:41:33 | |
We've needed them to earn a lot of money. | 0:41:33 | 0:41:36 | |
And you don't need me to tell you those are the parts | 0:41:36 | 0:41:39 | |
that have gone terribly wrong. | 0:41:39 | 0:41:41 | |
The British government has now agreed terms of a rescue package | 0:41:45 | 0:41:49 | |
to stabilise the banking system. | 0:41:49 | 0:41:51 | |
It has been another extraordinary day of fast-moving developments | 0:41:51 | 0:41:54 | |
for Britain's financial world. | 0:41:54 | 0:41:57 | |
We all know that the bailouts were expensive. | 0:41:57 | 0:42:00 | |
But there are reasons to think that the City might be costing us money | 0:42:00 | 0:42:04 | |
in good times too. | 0:42:04 | 0:42:06 | |
There is a radical new critique taking shape - | 0:42:06 | 0:42:09 | |
that although the City earns a lot and contributes, | 0:42:09 | 0:42:12 | |
paradoxically, a large part of it is also a burden on the economy. | 0:42:12 | 0:42:17 | |
It gives with one hand, takes away with the other. | 0:42:17 | 0:42:19 | |
And that's no way to build a good export industry. | 0:42:19 | 0:42:22 | |
It may be a good business model for the City, | 0:42:22 | 0:42:25 | |
but not for the country as a whole. | 0:42:25 | 0:42:28 | |
So how can a successful City not be successful for the nation? | 0:42:28 | 0:42:33 | |
'Former City high-flyer turned academic, Paul Woolley, | 0:42:33 | 0:42:37 | |
'thinks many of its profits have come at the expense | 0:42:37 | 0:42:41 | |
'of the rest of us.' | 0:42:41 | 0:42:43 | |
In finance, it's only too easy for the banks | 0:42:43 | 0:42:46 | |
and the middle men generally to appropriate the gains. | 0:42:46 | 0:42:50 | |
They do so by making things complex and confusing. | 0:42:50 | 0:42:55 | |
They don't even understand them themselves in some cases. | 0:42:55 | 0:42:59 | |
So there are ways in which they can feather their nests. | 0:42:59 | 0:43:05 | |
They create the demand for their own products | 0:43:05 | 0:43:08 | |
by making the product complicated and saying, "This is what you need." | 0:43:08 | 0:43:12 | |
-What's the effect of it in the end? -More new financial instruments | 0:43:12 | 0:43:16 | |
are introduced, which are often complex, | 0:43:16 | 0:43:19 | |
difficult to understand. The fees are going up | 0:43:19 | 0:43:22 | |
with this complexity, and that's what happened. | 0:43:22 | 0:43:25 | |
That's why the finance sector is so big. | 0:43:25 | 0:43:27 | |
The complexity has become so extraordinary | 0:43:27 | 0:43:30 | |
and, er, costly to the economy. | 0:43:30 | 0:43:35 | |
Now, if you have a strong export sector | 0:43:37 | 0:43:40 | |
that is as costly to the economy as Paul Woolley suggests, | 0:43:40 | 0:43:43 | |
well, that's not going to work at all. | 0:43:43 | 0:43:46 | |
There's no point in exporting £100 if it's cost the rest of us 105. | 0:43:46 | 0:43:51 | |
No - what Britain needs | 0:43:51 | 0:43:53 | |
is sustainable, value-creating businesses. | 0:43:53 | 0:43:56 | |
'The new critique levels another charge against the City. | 0:43:58 | 0:44:02 | |
'The banks, it says, are propped up by subsidies, | 0:44:02 | 0:44:06 | |
'not just in crises but every year. | 0:44:06 | 0:44:08 | |
'This argument comes from the very heart of the city - | 0:44:08 | 0:44:11 | |
'the Bank of England. | 0:44:11 | 0:44:14 | |
'How does this subsidy work? | 0:44:14 | 0:44:16 | |
'Because the taxpayer stands squarely behind the banks, | 0:44:16 | 0:44:19 | |
'they can borrow more cheaply from around the world | 0:44:19 | 0:44:22 | |
'and make bigger profits than they otherwise would. | 0:44:22 | 0:44:26 | |
'Andy Haldane is the executive director | 0:44:26 | 0:44:29 | |
'of financial stability at the bank.' | 0:44:29 | 0:44:31 | |
Your contention is that if the banks had no government subsidy, | 0:44:31 | 0:44:35 | |
they couldn't take risks underpinned by taxpayers, | 0:44:35 | 0:44:39 | |
and found it harder to borrow money because of that, | 0:44:39 | 0:44:42 | |
they would be a little smaller than they are. | 0:44:42 | 0:44:44 | |
Well, certainly the banks would have been somewhat less profitable | 0:44:44 | 0:44:48 | |
than was the case, than has been the case, | 0:44:48 | 0:44:51 | |
during the course of much of this century. | 0:44:51 | 0:44:54 | |
There would still have been profits out there, | 0:44:54 | 0:44:56 | |
but on a somewhat lesser scale, | 0:44:56 | 0:44:58 | |
had the risk been borne by investors and banks | 0:44:58 | 0:45:02 | |
rather than implicitly by the government. | 0:45:02 | 0:45:05 | |
You've done the maths, tried to add it all up. | 0:45:05 | 0:45:07 | |
How much do you think the implicit subsidy is? | 0:45:07 | 0:45:10 | |
I think you'd measure it in terms of tens of billions. | 0:45:10 | 0:45:13 | |
-Really? That much? -I think so. | 0:45:13 | 0:45:15 | |
The cheaper cost of funding for banks | 0:45:15 | 0:45:17 | |
was a phenomenon well ahead of the crisis. | 0:45:17 | 0:45:21 | |
How ironic it is! | 0:45:25 | 0:45:27 | |
So many in the City were critical of the state | 0:45:27 | 0:45:30 | |
pumping billions of pounds | 0:45:30 | 0:45:32 | |
into those old, much-loved manufacturing industries - | 0:45:32 | 0:45:35 | |
and now we've come full circle with a new critique, | 0:45:35 | 0:45:38 | |
arguing that the City itself is in fact propped up by the taxpayer | 0:45:38 | 0:45:43 | |
and the rest of the economy. | 0:45:43 | 0:45:45 | |
'The City was the ace in the pack of business models. | 0:45:46 | 0:45:50 | |
'But the crash forced us to reappraise our entire experiment | 0:45:50 | 0:45:55 | |
'of trying to pay our way with services. | 0:45:55 | 0:45:58 | |
'They did better than many critics thought possible, | 0:45:58 | 0:46:01 | |
'but they didn't do well enough.' | 0:46:01 | 0:46:04 | |
'Even though we exported £160 billion of services last year, | 0:46:04 | 0:46:09 | |
'we still had an overall deficit of about 36 billion. | 0:46:09 | 0:46:14 | |
'Time to get out of London, with its billionaires and bankers, | 0:46:19 | 0:46:23 | |
to explore one last hugely important challenge | 0:46:23 | 0:46:27 | |
'left by our shift to a service economy.' | 0:46:27 | 0:46:30 | |
You see, the export model Britain's followed may not quite have worked, | 0:46:32 | 0:46:36 | |
but its weakness isn't going to be felt in the capital. | 0:46:36 | 0:46:40 | |
'No - London has always had a strong service economy.' | 0:46:45 | 0:46:50 | |
But what about the rest of the country? | 0:46:52 | 0:46:54 | |
The worry is that services have made for a more lopsided economy, | 0:47:03 | 0:47:08 | |
with the most lucrative jobs clustering in London | 0:47:08 | 0:47:11 | |
and a few other select centres, | 0:47:11 | 0:47:13 | |
with less well paid work for other parts of Britain. | 0:47:13 | 0:47:16 | |
'Where better to test that than back in Sunderland, | 0:47:20 | 0:47:23 | |
'a city that had to rise to the challenge of industrial decline | 0:47:23 | 0:47:27 | |
'when its great shipbuilding industry disappeared?' | 0:47:27 | 0:47:31 | |
Sunderland, of course, has an economy | 0:47:32 | 0:47:34 | |
that's had to reinvent itself more than once, hasn't it? | 0:47:34 | 0:47:38 | |
Sunderland has done a remarkable job of reinventing itself. | 0:47:38 | 0:47:42 | |
Even 25 years ago when I first came here, | 0:47:42 | 0:47:44 | |
the big industries were still shipbuilding, | 0:47:44 | 0:47:48 | |
coal-mining, glass... We had a brewery, | 0:47:48 | 0:47:52 | |
and textiles. I had a thousand textile workers | 0:47:52 | 0:47:55 | |
in my constituency as late as 1997. And all of that's gone. All of it. | 0:47:55 | 0:47:59 | |
And in its place has come a large number of jobs, | 0:47:59 | 0:48:03 | |
some of them manufacturing, some of them service jobs. | 0:48:03 | 0:48:07 | |
Of course he's right. Sunderland has manufacturing. | 0:48:08 | 0:48:12 | |
But in terms of new service jobs, many think that what Sunderland got | 0:48:12 | 0:48:16 | |
were low grade and low paid - | 0:48:16 | 0:48:19 | |
the much-derided call-centre jobs. | 0:48:19 | 0:48:22 | |
'Is that justified? Here at Doxford International Business Park, | 0:48:24 | 0:48:28 | |
'thousands of people work in call centres, | 0:48:28 | 0:48:31 | |
'or contact centres as they're now known.' | 0:48:31 | 0:48:33 | |
The closest connection it has to shipbuilding | 0:48:35 | 0:48:37 | |
is a prizewinning sculpture of a ship's hull. | 0:48:37 | 0:48:40 | |
So this is the new Sunderland economy. | 0:48:41 | 0:48:44 | |
I say Sunderland. It could be anywhere really, couldn't it - | 0:48:44 | 0:48:47 | |
these business parks are all over the country. | 0:48:47 | 0:48:49 | |
No grime, no belching chimneys. Wonderful landscaping. | 0:48:49 | 0:48:54 | |
Perhaps...a tiny little bit bland? | 0:48:54 | 0:48:57 | |
Maybe. | 0:48:57 | 0:48:59 | |
'One of the biggest employers at Doxford is 2Touch. | 0:49:01 | 0:49:05 | |
'Here the staff receive, and, more often, make calls | 0:49:05 | 0:49:09 | |
'on behalf of utilities, telephone companies, | 0:49:09 | 0:49:12 | |
'you name it. You might even have spoken to one of them. | 0:49:12 | 0:49:15 | |
'There's a real buzz about the place - | 0:49:15 | 0:49:18 | |
'more than in many factories I've visited.' | 0:49:18 | 0:49:20 | |
Right. Sure. How are you finding your service with them, | 0:49:20 | 0:49:23 | |
ie, like, speed and reliability? | 0:49:23 | 0:49:26 | |
I was calling to see if we could hopefully save some money | 0:49:26 | 0:49:30 | |
-on your phone bills. -So you're getting £23 on there. | 0:49:30 | 0:49:33 | |
What about your TV? How's that going for you? | 0:49:33 | 0:49:36 | |
Workers can make 250 calls a day. | 0:49:36 | 0:49:39 | |
Usually only two or three of these will result in a sale. | 0:49:39 | 0:49:43 | |
'It's hard work. But are these jobs as bad as the critics maintain?' | 0:49:43 | 0:49:47 | |
Just to let you know our calls are recorded | 0:49:47 | 0:49:50 | |
for quality assurance and training purposes. Is that OK? | 0:49:50 | 0:49:54 | |
There are some former industrial workers here. | 0:49:54 | 0:49:58 | |
Robert Carr used to make refrigerators. | 0:49:58 | 0:50:01 | |
A lot of people don't think these are real jobs. | 0:50:01 | 0:50:04 | |
They don't compare to the old job you would have had. | 0:50:04 | 0:50:07 | |
What did you think when you first came here? | 0:50:07 | 0:50:09 | |
It's a totally different world to me. | 0:50:09 | 0:50:11 | |
When I first came, I was alienated. I was struggling. | 0:50:11 | 0:50:14 | |
The first few weeks I thought, "This is not for me." | 0:50:14 | 0:50:17 | |
Quite a lot of people would be exactly the same. | 0:50:17 | 0:50:20 | |
I had a few start with me. They're not here any longer. | 0:50:20 | 0:50:22 | |
They were here three weeks. | 0:50:22 | 0:50:25 | |
But it's an environment you've either got to cope with, | 0:50:25 | 0:50:28 | |
make the best of it... | 0:50:28 | 0:50:30 | |
64,000 question - which do you prefer, | 0:50:30 | 0:50:33 | |
this work or the previous work? | 0:50:33 | 0:50:35 | |
I prefer this work, honestly, because it's not hard work. | 0:50:35 | 0:50:39 | |
It's stressful work, but it's not hard work. | 0:50:39 | 0:50:42 | |
'However, this is a long way from the jobs-for-life culture | 0:50:43 | 0:50:48 | |
'of the old industries. Most employees are young, | 0:50:48 | 0:50:52 | |
'and on average, those making calls stay for less than a year. | 0:50:52 | 0:50:55 | |
'Stuart Gray is the managing director.' | 0:50:57 | 0:51:00 | |
-This isn't a job for everybody. -No. | 0:51:01 | 0:51:03 | |
Who doesn't make it? What personality type does it take? | 0:51:03 | 0:51:06 | |
You've got to be a good communicator. | 0:51:06 | 0:51:09 | |
You've got to be able to listen. | 0:51:09 | 0:51:11 | |
You've got to have a sales mentality, | 0:51:11 | 0:51:14 | |
because that's what the job is. Technically nothing too much. | 0:51:14 | 0:51:17 | |
We can train all the technicals in. | 0:51:17 | 0:51:19 | |
It's an ability to bounce back. We call it bounceback-ability. | 0:51:19 | 0:51:24 | |
There's a lot of rejection with it. | 0:51:24 | 0:51:26 | |
But the good ones just keep going at a good, solid pace. | 0:51:26 | 0:51:32 | |
You never ask yourself, "Is this really a good thing to do, | 0:51:32 | 0:51:35 | |
to sell people these things, utilities or phone packages?" | 0:51:35 | 0:51:39 | |
I mean, would the world miss it if it wasn't here? | 0:51:39 | 0:51:43 | |
Um, yes, it would, | 0:51:43 | 0:51:45 | |
because what we're doing is playing our part | 0:51:45 | 0:51:49 | |
in giving people opportunities. | 0:51:49 | 0:51:53 | |
They're getting choice, | 0:51:53 | 0:51:55 | |
so they have a choice to switch supplier of a product. | 0:51:55 | 0:51:59 | |
They have a choice to take an additional product from somebody. | 0:51:59 | 0:52:03 | |
And a lot of what we sell is essential. | 0:52:03 | 0:52:05 | |
We're big in utility sales. Everybody needs a utility. | 0:52:05 | 0:52:10 | |
TVs, broadband products... | 0:52:10 | 0:52:12 | |
People have them, and they enjoy having them. | 0:52:12 | 0:52:15 | |
So we're not selling anything that's worthless. | 0:52:15 | 0:52:18 | |
We're selling something that has a value. | 0:52:18 | 0:52:21 | |
That may be, and services have undoubtedly provided work | 0:52:21 | 0:52:25 | |
where manufacturing couldn't. But here's the thing. | 0:52:25 | 0:52:28 | |
Over the last 20 years, inequality between British regions | 0:52:28 | 0:52:32 | |
has increased. | 0:52:32 | 0:52:34 | |
BABBLE OF VOICES | 0:52:34 | 0:52:37 | |
Just look at this place! | 0:52:37 | 0:52:40 | |
Thousands of jobs, lovely warm offices. | 0:52:40 | 0:52:43 | |
I'm definitely not one who is scornful | 0:52:43 | 0:52:47 | |
of this part of our services economy. | 0:52:47 | 0:52:50 | |
But I do have a certain ambivalence. | 0:52:50 | 0:52:53 | |
It's clear that all the top-end service jobs, | 0:52:53 | 0:52:56 | |
the ones paying 50,000 a year rather than 15, | 0:52:56 | 0:52:59 | |
tend to concentrate in a few big centres. | 0:52:59 | 0:53:03 | |
It's... It's really hard for a city like Sunderland | 0:53:03 | 0:53:07 | |
to get itself into the first-class compartment | 0:53:07 | 0:53:09 | |
of the services train. | 0:53:09 | 0:53:13 | |
In short, it's the same for Sunderland as it is for Britain. | 0:53:14 | 0:53:18 | |
Services have been good, but only up to a point. | 0:53:18 | 0:53:21 | |
They're necessary, but aren't sufficient on their own. | 0:53:21 | 0:53:25 | |
I wonder whether Sunderland could survive | 0:53:25 | 0:53:28 | |
as an entirely service-based city, | 0:53:28 | 0:53:31 | |
or whether it has to have some manufacturing to flourish. | 0:53:31 | 0:53:35 | |
I'd be very nervous about saying | 0:53:35 | 0:53:37 | |
we could do without manufacturing industry. | 0:53:37 | 0:53:40 | |
My gut feeling is that the world of the call centre, | 0:53:40 | 0:53:44 | |
and even of some of the high-tech industries | 0:53:44 | 0:53:46 | |
is very short-term. It's very mobile, and could easily disappear overnight. | 0:53:46 | 0:53:52 | |
Manufacturing lasted a couple of hundred years, | 0:53:52 | 0:53:54 | |
and we're not completely confident the new generation of industry | 0:53:54 | 0:53:58 | |
will last so long, so we may have to reinvent ourselves | 0:53:58 | 0:54:01 | |
every generation or two. | 0:54:01 | 0:54:03 | |
And that's a bit scary. | 0:54:03 | 0:54:06 | |
Go back to 1951, | 0:54:09 | 0:54:12 | |
to the hopes and fears people had at the time of the Festival of Britain. | 0:54:12 | 0:54:18 | |
You'll see that our economy has reinvented itself | 0:54:18 | 0:54:21 | |
more than anyone back then would have imagined. | 0:54:21 | 0:54:24 | |
In the sixth decade since that festival was held here, | 0:54:24 | 0:54:28 | |
Britain's economy has taken a sharp turn. | 0:54:28 | 0:54:31 | |
Services have just been one part of a really big shift. | 0:54:31 | 0:54:35 | |
Across the programmes in this series, | 0:54:35 | 0:54:38 | |
we've seen how our economy has moved upmarket. | 0:54:38 | 0:54:43 | |
'We didn't want to compete in low-wage sectors | 0:54:43 | 0:54:47 | |
'with countries like China. They could make many things as well as us | 0:54:47 | 0:54:51 | |
'but for a lot less money.' | 0:54:51 | 0:54:53 | |
So we've discarded some activities, | 0:54:53 | 0:54:56 | |
and become expert in others. | 0:54:56 | 0:54:58 | |
We've focussed on areas where we're still in front, | 0:54:58 | 0:55:01 | |
specialising in products that involve sophisticated engineering, | 0:55:01 | 0:55:07 | |
small numbers, and high prices. | 0:55:07 | 0:55:10 | |
The change is symbolised by the humble bicycle. | 0:55:11 | 0:55:17 | |
'The everyday bikes we used to churn out | 0:55:17 | 0:55:19 | |
'have been replaced by niche bikes that are harder to design | 0:55:19 | 0:55:22 | |
'and manufacture, and more expensive to buy.' | 0:55:22 | 0:55:25 | |
We've also gone upmarket in another way, | 0:55:26 | 0:55:29 | |
focussing on industries that rely on intellectual property, | 0:55:29 | 0:55:32 | |
like pharmaceuticals | 0:55:32 | 0:55:36 | |
or microprocessors. | 0:55:36 | 0:55:38 | |
'It's British know-how that designs the chips | 0:55:38 | 0:55:40 | |
'that help power many of the world's mobile phones, | 0:55:40 | 0:55:43 | |
'a lucrative business.' | 0:55:43 | 0:55:45 | |
The change in our economy has been painful | 0:55:46 | 0:55:49 | |
and at times scary, but remember, it has basically worked. | 0:55:49 | 0:55:53 | |
Even after the financial crash and the setbacks of recent years, | 0:55:53 | 0:55:56 | |
we're living on incomes three times those | 0:55:56 | 0:55:59 | |
of the folks of the Festival of Britain. | 0:55:59 | 0:56:02 | |
But the crash has shown us that, although we've got a lot right, | 0:56:02 | 0:56:06 | |
it hasn't been perfect. Banking has been exposed | 0:56:06 | 0:56:09 | |
as not being quite the great money-making enterprise | 0:56:09 | 0:56:12 | |
that we thought. | 0:56:12 | 0:56:14 | |
It's been a time to take stock | 0:56:14 | 0:56:16 | |
of what our nation should and shouldn't be doing. | 0:56:16 | 0:56:19 | |
Despite all the clever upmarket stuff we do, | 0:56:19 | 0:56:23 | |
the fact is, we don't quite pay our way in the world. | 0:56:23 | 0:56:27 | |
We need to export more to pay the bills, | 0:56:27 | 0:56:29 | |
and we've learned that services can't do it all. | 0:56:29 | 0:56:33 | |
So if our economy is going to find its way over the next few years, | 0:56:34 | 0:56:39 | |
we're going to have to rediscover some of the things we've lost. | 0:56:39 | 0:56:42 | |
It's solid, export-oriented manufacturing | 0:56:42 | 0:56:46 | |
that needs to grow most quickly. | 0:56:46 | 0:56:48 | |
And since the crash, there are some signs | 0:56:48 | 0:56:51 | |
that it's doing just that. | 0:56:51 | 0:56:53 | |
There's one conclusion I'd draw from everything I've seen - | 0:56:56 | 0:57:00 | |
that we can't allow our economy to be supported by just one pillar. | 0:57:00 | 0:57:05 | |
You'll hear people say it's all about manufacturing, | 0:57:05 | 0:57:09 | |
or all about services or the knowledge economy. | 0:57:09 | 0:57:13 | |
Well, that's not true. It's about all three | 0:57:13 | 0:57:16 | |
creating a well balanced economy. | 0:57:16 | 0:57:19 | |
Now, of course, it may well be grim for the next few years. | 0:57:19 | 0:57:24 | |
My goodness, we've a lot of problems to solve. | 0:57:24 | 0:57:26 | |
But long term, I reckon we've every reason to believe | 0:57:26 | 0:57:30 | |
that the forces that have made so many people so much better off | 0:57:30 | 0:57:34 | |
over the last few decades | 0:57:34 | 0:57:36 | |
will carry on making us better off over the next few. | 0:57:36 | 0:57:40 | |
To discover more about how Britain pays its way in the world, | 0:57:48 | 0:57:52 | |
and to contribute your experiences | 0:57:52 | 0:57:54 | |
to the Open University's online toolkit, visit... | 0:57:54 | 0:57:57 | |
..and follow the link to the Open University. | 0:58:01 | 0:58:04 | |
Subtitles by Red Bee Media Ltd | 0:58:07 | 0:58:11 | |
E-mail [email protected] | 0:58:11 | 0:58:15 | |
. | 0:58:15 | 0:58:15 |