Browse content similar to 18/04/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Hello and welcome to this special edition of One Hundred Days. | :00:17. | :00:19. | |
I'm Christian Fraser in Westminster, our headlines: | :00:20. | :00:20. | |
Hello and welcome to this special edition of One Hundred Days. | :00:21. | :00:23. | |
I'm Christian Fraser in Westminster, our headlines: | :00:24. | :00:25. | |
Hello and welcome to this special edition of One Hundred Days. | :00:26. | :00:27. | |
I'm Christian Fraser in Westminster, our headlines: | :00:28. | :00:29. | |
Theresa May takes the UK by surprise. | :00:30. | :00:30. | |
The Prime Minister announces a snap election | :00:31. | :00:32. | |
At this moment of enormous national significance | :00:33. | :00:36. | |
there should be unity here in Westminster. | :00:37. | :00:37. | |
The country is coming together, but Westminster is not. | :00:38. | :00:41. | |
And will the snap election change anything? | :00:42. | :00:44. | |
And Scotland's First Minister describes it | :00:45. | :00:47. | |
as a huge political miscalculation - | :00:48. | :00:48. | |
will this affect her independence bid? | :00:49. | :00:50. | |
A legal battle is underway in Arkansas, | :00:51. | :00:56. | |
where authorities are trying to carry out | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
before one of the drugs required expires. | :01:00. | :01:05. | |
And President Trump's team is on the move. | :01:06. | :01:07. | |
his top cabinet members are in some of the world's hot spots. | :01:08. | :01:24. | |
there would be no general election until 2020. | :01:25. | :01:28. | |
The country needs stability, she said, | :01:29. | :01:31. | |
That was the position before the Easter recess. | :01:32. | :01:35. | |
But while on a walking holiday in Wales last week, | :01:36. | :01:37. | |
An unelected Prime Minister needs a mandate. | :01:38. | :01:43. | |
In the polls, here's just one of them from YouGov, | :01:44. | :01:46. | |
Theresa May and the Conservatives have a commanding lead. | :01:47. | :01:50. | |
Her allies were telling her there was no better time | :01:51. | :01:52. | |
So, if this parliament here votes tomorrow | :01:53. | :01:57. | |
to approve her call for a snap election - | :01:58. | :01:59. | |
then Britain will vote again in six weeks' time, | :02:00. | :02:03. | |
They are calling it the Brexit election. | :02:04. | :02:05. | |
Our political editor Laura Kuensberg begins our coverage. | :02:06. | :02:15. | |
Did she surprise them? Did she surprise you? Did Theresa May even | :02:16. | :02:24. | |
surprise herself? Her biggest decision as Prime Minister taken | :02:25. | :02:32. | |
only days ago. I have just chaired a meeting of the Cabinet where we | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
agreed that the government should call a general election to be held | :02:37. | :02:42. | |
on the 8th of June. That was not her plan. But she says to get Brexit | :02:43. | :02:46. | |
done, she needs more support around here. In recent weeks, Labour have | :02:47. | :02:51. | |
threatened to vote against the final agreement we reach with the European | :02:52. | :02:56. | |
Union. The Liberal Democrats have said they want to grind the business | :02:57. | :03:00. | |
of government to a standstill. The Scottish National Party say they | :03:01. | :03:04. | |
will vote against the legislation that formally repealed Britain's | :03:05. | :03:08. | |
membership of the European Union. And unelected members of the House | :03:09. | :03:12. | |
of Lords have vowed to fight as every step of the way. Our opponents | :03:13. | :03:18. | |
believe because the government's majority is so small that our | :03:19. | :03:22. | |
resolve will weaken and that they can force us to change course, they | :03:23. | :03:28. | |
are wrong. So, tomorrow there will be a vote in parliament that will | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
all but certainly get the process going and if you are in any doubt | :03:33. | :03:35. | |
about how the Tories will bring your choice... I have only recently and | :03:36. | :03:42. | |
reluctantly come to this conclusion. Since I became Prime Minister, I | :03:43. | :03:44. | |
have said that they should be no election until 2020, but now I have | :03:45. | :03:51. | |
concluded that the only way to guarantee certainty and stability | :03:52. | :03:55. | |
for the years ahead is to hold the selection and secure support for the | :03:56. | :04:00. | |
decisions I must take. Most of her ministers had been in the dark. Only | :04:01. | :04:05. | |
in the last three days did she decide. Theresa May only moved in | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
the year 279 days ago, and she said consistently there should be no | :04:11. | :04:13. | |
early general election. But quite simply she has changed her mind and | :04:14. | :04:17. | |
what happens next to Theresa May will be up to you. Labour will | :04:18. | :04:22. | |
support to moral's vote to boost the bottom, even though the weakness of | :04:23. | :04:26. | |
Jeremy Corbyn is one of the reasons why an early election is on. Yet his | :04:27. | :04:30. | |
supporters hope his ideas can cut through. I welcome the opportunity | :04:31. | :04:35. | |
for us, to put the keys to the people of Britain to stand up | :04:36. | :04:39. | |
against this government and its failed economic agenda, which has | :04:40. | :04:43. | |
left our NHS in problems, which has left our schools are underfunded and | :04:44. | :04:49. | |
so many people uncertain. We want to put a case out there for the people | :04:50. | :04:52. | |
of Britain of a society that cares for all, an economy that works for | :04:53. | :04:57. | |
all and a Brexit that works for all. More than ever, perhaps, this | :04:58. | :05:01. | |
election will not just be about what happened here. The whole country's | :05:02. | :05:06. | |
Constitution. The Tories will not promise another vote on independence | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
in Scotland, but a Nicola Sturgeon well. This is a biggest U-turn in | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
recent political history but it is very clear that the announcement | :05:15. | :05:18. | |
today is one all about the narrow interests of her own party, not the | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
interests of the country overall. On the road already as planned for the | :05:23. | :05:28. | |
local elections, the Lib Dems the opportunity to come back from rock | :05:29. | :05:32. | |
bottom. It is an opportunity for the people of this country to change the | :05:33. | :05:35. | |
direction of this country, to decide that they do not want a hard Brexit, | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
they want to keep Britain in the single market and indeed it is an | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
opportunity for us to have a decent, strong opposition in this country | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
that we desperately need. How many more times are you going to change | :05:50. | :05:52. | |
your mind Prime Minister? When and Theresa May is get some | :05:53. | :05:58. | |
political problems but the hurly-burly of any political | :05:59. | :06:01. | |
campaign causes some problems too, just ask anybody who has ever left | :06:02. | :06:02. | |
at this address. and David Lammy from | :06:03. | :06:04. | |
the Labour party. Welcome, all of you. Thanks for | :06:05. | :06:15. | |
being with us. I was always conscious, Dominic, when I saw the | :06:16. | :06:19. | |
Prime Minister going to Europe, that she must have felt she was the only | :06:20. | :06:22. | |
one sitting at the table without a mandate and that must have played on | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
her mind. She has certainly got a mandate for a referendum, with 34 | :06:27. | :06:30. | |
million people participating. I think the truth is that she did not | :06:31. | :06:34. | |
ideally want to go to an election but she knows it is necessary, | :06:35. | :06:38. | |
necessary to give us the best chance of getting the best out of these | :06:39. | :06:42. | |
negotiations but also to keep the economy firing on all the wonders | :06:43. | :06:45. | |
and to deal with some of these pressing social issues, education | :06:46. | :06:48. | |
for youngsters to social care. This is about leadership and the | :06:49. | :06:52. | |
comparison between her and Jeremy Corbyn in this, looking back to some | :06:53. | :06:57. | |
socialist paradigms from the 70s or the Lib Dems wanting to tear up the | :06:58. | :07:00. | |
result, is going to be stark and clear for the country. It certainly | :07:01. | :07:04. | |
helps if you are now two pro Minister rather than one who has | :07:05. | :07:08. | |
been shovelled into the job on the back of a referendum vote. In terms | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
of the Brexit negotiations, we have got the biggest direct democratic | :07:13. | :07:15. | |
mandate and living history but it is clear, I think, to the Prime | :07:16. | :07:19. | |
Minister, having taken advice from senior ministers, that to do all the | :07:20. | :07:22. | |
things that this government wants to achieve, yes on Brexit but also the | :07:23. | :07:25. | |
economy and some of those pressing social justice issues that she has | :07:26. | :07:28. | |
talked a lot about, she will need to have the mandate from the people and | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
I think, as I said, this will be about leadership and all those | :07:33. | :07:35. | |
areas. So, David, the Conservatives are going to campaign on leadership. | :07:36. | :07:39. | |
We will speak to the Lib in moment but they will campaign on Brexit, | :07:40. | :07:43. | |
what is Jeremy Corbyn going to campaign on question I watched him | :07:44. | :07:47. | |
in buying them dropping about the NHS, housing, education, you didn't | :07:48. | :07:50. | |
mention Brexit. -- talking about. I have been an MP for 17 years. I | :07:51. | :07:56. | |
cannot see any scenario in which the next two and a half months we are | :07:57. | :07:59. | |
going to be able to run an election solely on the issue of Brexit. Of | :08:00. | :08:05. | |
course it will be on the button but if you have elderly parents, you | :08:06. | :08:08. | |
care about the collapse of care system. If you're waiting seven | :08:09. | :08:12. | |
hours A, you care about the fact the images of the crisis. If you | :08:13. | :08:14. | |
have a child in state school, you are aware of the huge cuts to | :08:15. | :08:19. | |
education funding. Those are the bread-and-butter issues. Yes, Brexit | :08:20. | :08:22. | |
was also about living standards, of course it was, and that will be | :08:23. | :08:25. | |
central to the discussion, but right across the general election cycle, | :08:26. | :08:37. | |
as night follows day, people will come back to the ordinary issues | :08:38. | :08:39. | |
that matter to them and I think Jeremy was right. When you go out | :08:40. | :08:42. | |
campaigning, as you may do towards the end of this week, and put out | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
your literature, are you going to have Jeremy Corbyn pictured? Jeremy | :08:46. | :08:47. | |
is my next door neighbours so of course, he wants my campaign last | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
time round! In that context, you're asking the wrong person! Will you | :08:51. | :08:55. | |
take him to the doorstep? I will hope he will not be in the top and | :08:56. | :08:57. | |
constituency and that is because we are not usually described as a | :08:58. | :09:02. | |
marginal! I hope he gets around the country. Tim Farron was in the South | :09:03. | :09:05. | |
West today, where he is open to do well, not so well in 2015 of course. | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
They lost a lot of MPs down there, the Lib Dems. I hear the already | :09:10. | :09:12. | |
booked, the literature is already there ready to go. There is 300 | :09:13. | :09:18. | |
candidates, so the Lib Dems were prepared for this? We had prepared | :09:19. | :09:22. | |
for a possible snap general election in autumn last year. So we have had | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
candidates in players who have been campaigning in anticipation of that | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
election. They were kept in post because we pushed it back to the end | :09:31. | :09:33. | |
of May. Now we have got the election and are ready for it and looking | :09:34. | :09:36. | |
forward to fighting the campaign, and the Prime Minister has chosen | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
the territory that we would want to fight the election. She wants to go | :09:41. | :09:44. | |
for hard Brexit, we think the UK should stay in the single market and | :09:45. | :09:47. | |
Customs union and we will make that a central feature of her campaign | :09:48. | :09:52. | |
because millions of jobs, the livelihood of millions of Britons, | :09:53. | :09:54. | |
depend on it. The bright spot for you was Richmond Park in south-west | :09:55. | :09:57. | |
London, where you took a seat, overturning a huge majority for a | :09:58. | :10:01. | |
former Conservative MP, but he did not do too well in stalk and I am | :10:02. | :10:05. | |
wondering north of Watford, basically, I've country going to | :10:06. | :10:09. | |
thank you for are running the issues of the referendum? Well, what we are | :10:10. | :10:13. | |
council by-elections, another barometer of how parties are doing, | :10:14. | :10:16. | |
all across the country, it does not matter where it is, | :10:17. | :10:31. | |
please is supposedly ordered that wouldn't remain, we are making more | :10:32. | :10:35. | |
games than all of the other parties. So even in Stoke-on-Trent, for | :10:36. | :10:37. | |
instance, we have even made advances. I think, had the | :10:38. | :10:38. | |
Manchester by-election taken place in fact been intended, we would also | :10:39. | :10:41. | |
got a very good result there. We may well have taken that the from | :10:42. | :10:44. | |
Labour. What is a good majority? That is for the pundits in the | :10:45. | :10:48. | |
media. She has took until the backbencher. If you are a politician | :10:49. | :10:52. | |
going into a general election, the last thing you want to do is make | :10:53. | :10:56. | |
assumptions or be presumptuous about the voters. They get to decide but | :10:57. | :11:00. | |
we have got a terrific record on creating almost 3 million new jobs. | :11:01. | :11:04. | |
We have taken 4 million of the lowest paid out of income tax. Tom | :11:05. | :11:10. | |
was talking about education. Actually, sorry, David, we have got | :11:11. | :11:13. | |
1.8 million more children in state schools deemed good or outstanding | :11:14. | :11:17. | |
than we had in 2010. We are looking forward to running on a record but | :11:18. | :11:21. | |
also a positive vision, not looking back to the 1970s and socialist | :11:22. | :11:24. | |
utopia, not ripping up the referendum trying to pretend that we | :11:25. | :11:27. | |
do not have a duty to follow through on the will of the British people. | :11:28. | :11:36. | |
We are the ones actually with a positive agenda today putting | :11:37. | :11:38. | |
forward. They are shaking their heads. We can do this more, we have | :11:39. | :11:41. | |
got six weeks! Thank you very much indeed. | :11:42. | :11:43. | |
I suppose one of the things that strikes me listening to that | :11:44. | :11:45. | |
discussion is the sense in which this is going to be a really unusual | :11:46. | :11:50. | |
election. I mean, 83 was the last big landslide for the Tories, 1997 | :11:51. | :11:53. | |
for labour and already there seems to be an expectation that it is not | :11:54. | :11:57. | |
going to be much of a cliffhanger. Well, you could say that at the | :11:58. | :12:01. | |
moment but we know that politics is pretty unpredictable at the moment. | :12:02. | :12:06. | |
I think winter is me was walking in the -- I think when Theresa May was | :12:07. | :12:09. | |
walking in the Welsh hills, I think she probably reflected on some of | :12:10. | :12:14. | |
these polls, there has been no sitting prime ministers since 1983 | :12:15. | :12:16. | |
for the Conservatives who are violating the ball flight she has at | :12:17. | :12:20. | |
the moment but we also know that holes must not always be trusted. We | :12:21. | :12:23. | |
have seen that over the last three years. The other thing that she will | :12:24. | :12:28. | |
also consider, John, is that she has only a smallish majority and there | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
will be times along this path of negotiation on Brexit were she will | :12:33. | :12:35. | |
have to compromise and it is much easier to compromise if you do not | :12:36. | :12:38. | |
have to keep looking over your shoulder at the backbenchers. The | :12:39. | :12:41. | |
third thing, and I was just making this point to Dominic, is that when | :12:42. | :12:45. | |
she goes to Europe, it does strengthening her hand as she is | :12:46. | :12:48. | |
sitting there with the majority, with a mandate from the British | :12:49. | :12:51. | |
people for the things that she is probably | :12:52. | :13:05. | |
going to be denied Conservative Party manifesto. | :13:06. | :13:08. | |
And I guess a lot of people around the world must be bewildered by the | :13:09. | :13:11. | |
idea that you could call a snap election, particularly when Britain | :13:12. | :13:13. | |
passed a law that was meant to prevent that. Anyway! Let us move | :13:14. | :13:14. | |
on. And for more on the reaction | :13:15. | :13:14. | |
from Europe to today's announcement, with the BBC's | :13:15. | :13:17. | |
Gavin Lee in Brussels. There was a real shock actually. It | :13:18. | :13:23. | |
get a sense that there was no pre-warning from Theresa May because | :13:24. | :13:27. | |
I was sitting in the usual press briefing, where all of the issues on | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
the European Union agenda, and the officials are presenting the head of | :13:32. | :13:34. | |
the European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, said, when I asked him | :13:35. | :13:38. | |
about what his first response was, said he knew nothing, what is this? | :13:39. | :13:42. | |
I think there was a genuine sense of shock. Obviously article that he has | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
already been triggered so, in a sense, presumably it is going to be | :13:47. | :13:54. | |
a five-week hiatus while they are busy fighting the election and | :13:55. | :13:56. | |
nobody is there negotiating. Yes, but there was already some ground | :13:57. | :13:58. | |
amid a privately between EU officials and British Brexit | :13:59. | :14:00. | |
officials, given the fact there was the French elections and it was a | :14:01. | :14:03. | |
period of calm, allowing the EU officials to get their ducks in | :14:04. | :14:07. | |
order, really, when it came to how they would negotiate this, which is | :14:08. | :14:12. | |
about a 5-6 week period. She has chosen that time. Behind the scenes, | :14:13. | :14:17. | |
what is interesting, in the UK some MPs were seeing this strengthens | :14:18. | :14:21. | |
Theresa May 's hand. If she wins this election, she goes in with a | :14:22. | :14:25. | |
stronger voice. The EU officials I have spoken to the actually what | :14:26. | :14:28. | |
this might do is give a single channel to talk to, and any chance | :14:29. | :14:34. | |
of behind-the-scenes hard Brexit years having an effect on the talks | :14:35. | :14:38. | |
might go away. They know if Theresa May wins this election, there may be | :14:39. | :14:42. | |
a single channel, that her vision is a stronger if that is reinforced in | :14:43. | :14:45. | |
the polls. Thank you very much. | :14:46. | :14:48. | |
Well, with me now is Michael Gove - former Education and Justice | :14:49. | :14:50. | |
Secretary for the Conservative Party. | :14:51. | :14:52. | |
He is one of the chief architect for Brexit. I keep coming to talk to us. | :14:53. | :15:00. | |
Just telling me that you are very excited to be going camping again | :15:01. | :15:03. | |
shortly but he did not know. You were at Notting Hill tube station! I | :15:04. | :15:08. | |
had no idea. My wife rang the other was getting on the tube and asked me | :15:09. | :15:11. | |
what was going on, she had no idea. My wife rang the other was getting | :15:12. | :15:14. | |
on the tube and asked me what was going on, she is a press conference | :15:15. | :15:17. | |
and I had no idea. Made it clear that she wanted to have a second | :15:18. | :15:26. | |
independence referendum and really tried to put, you know, tried to | :15:27. | :15:28. | |
undermine Teresa's progress, I thought I might be a strong case but | :15:29. | :15:31. | |
everybody said that it was not going to happen. You could have knocked me | :15:32. | :15:34. | |
down with a feather when the news broke. In the next few weeks, I | :15:35. | :15:36. | |
would imagine the Prime Minister is going to put together her manifesto, | :15:37. | :15:39. | |
and one would expect the manifesto will be her blueprint for Brexit. | :15:40. | :15:44. | |
Would that be fair? Yes, I think it will be. The Prime Minister clearly | :15:45. | :15:47. | |
feels that when it comes to making sure that we can implement our | :15:48. | :15:52. | |
departure from the European Union on her terms, then having won an | :15:53. | :15:55. | |
election, which I am confident she will, having her own mandate and | :15:56. | :15:59. | |
manifesto, which the country has endorsed, will strengthen her hand | :16:00. | :16:03. | |
hugely. Not just in negotiating with Brussels but also in dealing with | :16:04. | :16:06. | |
the political problems here. The House of Lords is full of people who | :16:07. | :16:10. | |
are deeply disappointed with the Brexit result, have not come to | :16:11. | :16:13. | |
terms with that, once too frustrated and a mandate will allow to raise up | :16:14. | :16:18. | |
to be able to ensure that the former Brexit the people voted for and that | :16:19. | :16:21. | |
she believes then can I be permitted. -- will allow Theresa May | :16:22. | :16:24. | |
to be sure. The debate within the Conservative | :16:25. | :16:27. | |
Party within the next few weeks will be something to be watched, because | :16:28. | :16:31. | |
Robbie backbenchers who will not want to compromise on some of the | :16:32. | :16:37. | |
issues related to the negotiation. One of the things that has been | :16:38. | :16:39. | |
striking ever since she became pregnant as, even though there have | :16:40. | :16:43. | |
been individuals, such as Ken Clarke, overall she has enjoyed a | :16:44. | :16:46. | |
greater degree of unity and support than many people might have | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
imagined. -- since she became Prime Minister. Having someone who was a | :16:52. | :16:55. | |
reluctant the men are in charge of the party, determined to implement | :16:56. | :16:58. | |
Brexit infill, has actually worked in terms of reassuring both remain | :16:59. | :17:04. | |
and Brexit falters that the Prime Minister will respect the result but | :17:05. | :17:09. | |
will do so in a way which is statesman-like. David Cameron used | :17:10. | :17:12. | |
to quit effectively in previous election campaigns. He wanted you to | :17:13. | :17:16. | |
be devious the party, particularly within the media. Do you think | :17:17. | :17:21. | |
Theresa May -- to represent the party. Do you think she will do the | :17:22. | :17:26. | |
same? I think we will see a lot of a talented range of ministers, Amber | :17:27. | :17:29. | |
Rudd, the Home Secretary, Patrick McLoughlin, the party chairman. You | :17:30. | :17:33. | |
were one of the chief architects of Brexit, you will not be brought into | :17:34. | :17:38. | |
the fold? I am a backbencher now. I will be fighting my constituency and | :17:39. | :17:41. | |
I will be there on the stump helping colleagues in some of the seats that | :17:42. | :17:47. | |
we hope to win. So I am a fit soldier. I will do what I can to | :17:48. | :17:51. | |
help in any capacity, but I suspect that the real stars of this election | :17:52. | :17:55. | |
campaign will be people like Amber red, Patrick McLoughlin, Patel and | :17:56. | :17:59. | |
Michael Fallon. You have just confirms you are going to run again. | :18:00. | :18:03. | |
What about George Osborne, I think you will. Even though he has taken | :18:04. | :18:07. | |
up the job at the Evening Standard? Absolutely. I think George is a | :18:08. | :18:11. | |
great asset to public light. I hope he stays in Parliament and I think | :18:12. | :18:15. | |
you will. He will be able to campaign as well as run a newspaper | :18:16. | :18:18. | |
You can keep up to date with the latest news and weather throughout | :18:19. | :18:21. | |
the day via our Twitter feed I think you will be able to be an MP and run | :18:22. | :18:24. | |
a newspaper as. As for what happens during the campaign, I don't know | :18:25. | :18:27. | |
but I should say that in the last election he was both Chancellor of | :18:28. | :18:29. | |
the Exchequer and a campaigner both in his constituency and campaigns | :18:30. | :18:35. | |
elsewhere. He is talented and I think George is more than capable of | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
running a highly effective campaign represented middle of tartan and | :18:40. | :18:42. | |
also making sure that he contributed not always as well. Thank you for | :18:43. | :18:46. | |
coming to talk to us. -- for the people of his constituency. | :18:47. | :18:51. | |
We have heard a lot of English MPs talking about this being a Brexit | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
negotiation. I can imagine the view north of the border is different. | :18:56. | :18:56. | |
Let's get the view from Edinburgh now - | :18:57. | :18:58. | |
our Scotland Editor Sarah Smith is there. | :18:59. | :19:01. | |
If you are an SNP leader, you would say this election was about whether | :19:02. | :19:06. | |
there was a vote on Scottish independence? | :19:07. | :19:09. | |
That is almost certainly what the SNP and Nicola Sturgeon will be | :19:10. | :19:12. | |
sent. Nicola Sturgeon has come out today and said she thinks it is very | :19:13. | :19:15. | |
opportunistic of the Prime Minister to call this election. It does not | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
sound as if she is the port of the idea that but that will not stop | :19:20. | :19:23. | |
going and campaigning as hard as she can, seeing that every good for the | :19:24. | :19:26. | |
SNP as a vote for another independence referendum. You will | :19:27. | :19:29. | |
remember, although Nicola Sturgeon has said she wants motherboard, and | :19:30. | :19:32. | |
although the Scottish Parliament has voted to say there should be another | :19:33. | :19:36. | |
vote on Scottish independence, the Prime Minister has said that cannot | :19:37. | :19:39. | |
be won until well after the UK has left the EU. -- she want another | :19:40. | :19:44. | |
fault. That issue of whether they should be one and whether it should | :19:45. | :19:48. | |
be sooner than that will dominate the election in Scotland. If the SNP | :19:49. | :19:53. | |
do really were, they can use that to bolster Girardi made as to why they | :19:54. | :19:55. | |
should have an independence referendum. But they did so well in | :19:56. | :20:00. | |
2015, in the last general election, the 156 out of the 59 seats in | :20:01. | :20:04. | |
Scotland, they cannot do better than that and it is difficult to see how | :20:05. | :20:07. | |
they can do as well as that again. If they lose even just a handful of | :20:08. | :20:12. | |
seats, their opponents will seize on that and the their support has gone | :20:13. | :20:15. | |
down, meaning voters do not want another referendum on independence. | :20:16. | :20:18. | |
So it is fraught with difficulty on both sides. | :20:19. | :20:21. | |
Fascinating stuff. Thank you very much indeed. | :20:22. | :20:23. | |
Joe Twyman from the polling service YouGov is with me. | :20:24. | :20:28. | |
We have been talking about the alleged that the Prime Minister has. | :20:29. | :20:34. | |
You have been tracking voting intentions for some weeks now. Tell | :20:35. | :20:40. | |
of that about them. Over the last months, in fact over the last few | :20:41. | :20:44. | |
years, the Conservatives have done extremely well. You usually expect | :20:45. | :20:47. | |
mid-term blues during the parliamentary campaign but that is | :20:48. | :20:51. | |
usually for the government, not the opposition. Consistently, we have | :20:52. | :20:55. | |
seen the Conservatives well ahead and most recently, 21 points ahead. | :20:56. | :21:01. | |
Labour on 23, the Conservatives on 44. There is a margin of error | :21:02. | :21:05. | |
associated with all pause, it might be 42, might be 46, might be 25, but | :21:06. | :21:11. | |
it is still a significant need them please, one big enough that Theresa | :21:12. | :21:15. | |
May thinks she can convert to have a three figure majority. But the polls | :21:16. | :21:21. | |
are they are at the moment and the only other snapshot of public | :21:22. | :21:23. | |
opinion at the time. Things will change with the campaign. | :21:24. | :21:27. | |
We have not talked about the UK Independence Party, who were | :21:28. | :21:30. | |
instrumental in the Brexit vote. Some are suggesting that they might | :21:31. | :21:33. | |
get squeezed a little bit, because Brexit has already happened. They | :21:34. | :21:37. | |
have been a fall in the side of the Conservatives for some years, so | :21:38. | :21:41. | |
what do you think might happen to the Ukip vote? Well, with Ukip, they | :21:42. | :21:46. | |
have lost their leader, a charismatic figure, a lot of their | :21:47. | :21:49. | |
funding and their reason for existence and their MP. They are not | :21:50. | :21:53. | |
a good position. They certainly have the potential and 2015 to start | :21:54. | :21:58. | |
taking votes away from Labour in the Northern industrial towns. Whether | :21:59. | :22:01. | |
they can organise and mobilise to the degree that is required for that | :22:02. | :22:04. | |
remains uncertain. I think they are going to be very tough time of but | :22:05. | :22:11. | |
politics is looking for an antiestablishment candidate not just | :22:12. | :22:13. | |
in this country but, as we have seen, in other countries. Maybe they | :22:14. | :22:15. | |
can position themselves there but it is certainly a tough task. | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
As for Labour, we had a by-election in Stoke Central, a big Brexit area, | :22:20. | :22:25. | |
there were almost 70% and it was a labour hole. It does not necessarily | :22:26. | :22:28. | |
follow that in those areas where Brexit was particularly strong that | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
Labour might struggle. We do not know the degree to which Britain has | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
redefined British politics yet. Has it gone as far as Scotland did with | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
the Scottish referendum were everything becomes about that, I | :22:40. | :22:43. | |
doubt it. The Lib Dems were hopeful that had entered. Labour needs to | :22:44. | :22:45. | |
improve on their performance at the last election. That is a fight, | :22:46. | :22:49. | |
nothing to do with blogging. They need to win back supporters of | :22:50. | :22:54. | |
Conservatives in the south east. -- that is a fact, nothing to do with | :22:55. | :23:00. | |
Paul's. They needed to win over new voters, nonvoters. The evidence from | :23:01. | :23:04. | |
by-elections, local elections and council elections is that has not | :23:05. | :23:09. | |
happened yet. And so, as it stands, they are in a very difficult | :23:10. | :23:11. | |
position. Thank you very much for being with | :23:12. | :23:13. | |
us. Joe... Christian, sorry, we have | :23:14. | :23:19. | |
talked about policies, we have talked about polls, take me through | :23:20. | :23:24. | |
procedure. What has to happen now? Was a thing brought in some years | :23:25. | :23:28. | |
ago called the fixed violence act which means that there should not be | :23:29. | :23:32. | |
-- there should be five years between one election and the next | :23:33. | :23:35. | |
and to overcome but you have to have a vote in the parliament, in the | :23:36. | :23:38. | |
House of Commons across the road, and two thirds of the MPs have to | :23:39. | :23:43. | |
vote in favour. We would be seeing today that the Prime Minister has | :23:44. | :23:46. | |
called an election. She has not, she has indicated she wants a snap | :23:47. | :23:50. | |
election and needs the support of the Lib Dems, labour and you have | :23:51. | :23:53. | |
just heard that they are going to war along with that. Also you would | :23:54. | :23:56. | |
think the SNP. It would be quite interesting to see the court | :23:57. | :23:58. | |
tomorrow because, of course, Nicola Sturgeon, as you were hearing from | :23:59. | :24:02. | |
Sarah, has been quite critical of the Prime Minister. How will they | :24:03. | :24:05. | |
vote tomorrow? We will see. I would suspect they would probably all vote | :24:06. | :24:09. | |
in favour of it. OK, christian, thank you very much | :24:10. | :24:13. | |
indeed. A lot more still to come on this fascinating day at Westminster | :24:14. | :24:14. | |
in London. Police in the US state | :24:15. | :24:15. | |
of Pennsylvania say a man wanted in | :24:16. | :24:16. | |
connection with a murder They say Steve Stephens | :24:17. | :24:19. | |
was spotted by officers and shot himself | :24:20. | :24:23. | |
after a brief pursuit. A nationwide manhunt had been | :24:24. | :24:24. | |
launched for Stephens after a grandfather was shot dead | :24:25. | :24:26. | |
in Cleveland, Ohio, and footage of the incident posted | :24:27. | :24:29. | |
on the social media website. French security forces have arrested | :24:30. | :24:39. | |
two Islamist militants suspected of planning an attack before | :24:40. | :24:41. | |
the presidential election on Sunday. Reports said guns and bomb-making | :24:42. | :24:43. | |
chemicals were found in raids The French Interior Minister said | :24:44. | :24:46. | |
an attack was imminent. Measures have been taken | :24:47. | :24:50. | |
to protect the candidates. At least one of the men identified | :24:51. | :24:57. | |
was with Islamic State. Archaeologists in Egypt say | :24:58. | :25:02. | |
they've unearthed a tomb and discovered | :25:03. | :25:04. | |
a new collection of mummies. The find includes colourfully | :25:05. | :25:07. | |
decorated wooden coffins and more | :25:08. | :25:08. | |
than 1,000 statuettes. It's believed the tomb belonged | :25:09. | :25:10. | |
to a nobleman who worked as a judge. the tombs have escaped | :25:11. | :25:13. | |
looting by robbers. You're watching | :25:14. | :25:23. | |
One Hundred Days from BBC news. Still to come for viewers on the | :25:24. | :25:24. | |
BBC News Channel and BBC World News: While President Trump's top | :25:25. | :25:31. | |
cabinet team goes global, we report on how he's concentrating | :25:32. | :25:34. | |
on America first. And the prisoners on death row | :25:35. | :25:39. | |
in Arkansas who've had a stay | :25:40. | :25:41. | |
of execution after a legal battle. We hear from one of the men | :25:42. | :25:47. | |
waiting to hear his fate. That's still to come | :25:48. | :25:49. | |
on One Hundred Days, from BBC News. Well, it is quiet on the weather | :25:50. | :26:16. | |
front of you and it is going to be a frosty one, particularly across the | :26:17. | :26:19. | |
southern half of the UK. Last night, frosty in the north. This coming | :26:20. | :26:23. | |
night, with clear skies, the South will get the | :26:24. | :26:25. |