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Now on BBC News all the latest business news live from Singapore. | :00:00. | :00:15. | |
As Donald Trump gets ready to move into the White House we look at his | :00:16. | :00:23. | |
plans to improve the US economy. And the latest growth figures in China | :00:24. | :00:31. | |
will be scrutinised under worries of a potential trade war. Hello and | :00:32. | :00:38. | |
welcome to Asia Business Report. The big day is finally here. Dan Norton | :00:39. | :00:46. | |
up's inauguration and the many he is a controversial person to move into | :00:47. | :00:51. | |
the White House and there is a lot of uncertainty as to how presidency | :00:52. | :00:57. | |
will impact the economy. This was the moment democrats hoped | :00:58. | :01:11. | |
would put that in check after financial crisis that led to the | :01:12. | :01:16. | |
worst US recession since the Great Depression, President Obama and the | :01:17. | :01:21. | |
American people were eager to see regulations that would put limits on | :01:22. | :01:24. | |
bad behaviour and prevent US taxpayers from ever having to bail | :01:25. | :01:29. | |
out the banks again. But Republicans have been attacking dog Frank since | :01:30. | :01:36. | |
its inception saying it has gone too far. Now they are in power, scaling | :01:37. | :01:41. | |
back some of those rules is finally in reach. Bank lending has been | :01:42. | :01:46. | |
impeded. We have practically zero interest rate yet Gross domestic | :01:47. | :01:51. | |
investment is negative or barely rising. GDP growth has not gone | :01:52. | :01:59. | |
above 2%. Part of that reason is the overregulation. Although the | :02:00. | :02:06. | |
incoming Trump administration says it will dismantle it, what exactly | :02:07. | :02:11. | |
that will look like is a big unknown but the hope of what is to come has | :02:12. | :02:20. | |
banking stocks euphoric. Supporters worry what could happen if they are | :02:21. | :02:32. | |
repealed. A signature part was created by Paul. The rock provisions | :02:33. | :02:44. | |
that hopefully can take care of things without disrupting the whole | :02:45. | :02:55. | |
market. To stop the next crisis. The document is often criticised as an | :02:56. | :03:02. | |
overly complicated one size fits all solution. With Donald Trump in his | :03:03. | :03:07. | |
way to office, those regulations may be on the way out. The question then | :03:08. | :03:12. | |
is whether or not it leaves the US exposed to yet another financial | :03:13. | :03:13. | |
crisis. Rather unusually, US stocks fell | :03:14. | :03:24. | |
ahead of the swearing in the remaining of Donald Trump. The | :03:25. | :03:28. | |
longest losing streak since the election falling for a fifth | :03:29. | :03:34. | |
straight day which is ironic when we saw Mr Trump's win in November had | :03:35. | :03:42. | |
triggered a rally in US stocks. We were looking at the key 20,000 | :03:43. | :03:51. | |
level. What can we expect then in the next four years? Spoke to | :03:52. | :04:03. | |
economists. The economy is in fine shape, unemployment is that only | :04:04. | :04:09. | |
4.7% and as Janet Yellen said yesterday that is close to full | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
employment and what Trump is planning to do is cut taxes and | :04:14. | :04:19. | |
raise spending on infrastructure in particular and if he does that, he | :04:20. | :04:24. | |
will generate quite a lot of inflation and I think bond yields | :04:25. | :04:29. | |
will rise sharply as a result. Going back to the Labour issue, jobs | :04:30. | :04:34. | |
coming back to the US - we have had a lot of the rhetoric, particularly | :04:35. | :04:39. | |
with the auto company changing their outlook and strategy in a way | :04:40. | :04:46. | |
because of Trump's push towards manufacturing in the US or else you | :04:47. | :04:54. | |
face import tariffs. Is this all due to Trump? The US will impose a | :04:55. | :05:01. | |
border tax adjustment and, in effect, will start subsidising | :05:02. | :05:07. | |
exporters by exempting them from proper tax while ensuring that all | :05:08. | :05:12. | |
important expenses will face attacks. This is supposed to be the | :05:13. | :05:21. | |
equivalent of a VAT. It is probably not compliant but if it does go | :05:22. | :05:26. | |
through it will have a chilling effect on global trade it was the | :05:27. | :05:31. | |
largest economy will be moving towards a protection is a fact. The | :05:32. | :05:42. | |
owner of the New York jets has been asked to join the Republican Party | :05:43. | :05:49. | |
Cabinet. He has been named as ambassador. Paramount pictures is | :05:50. | :05:53. | |
getting a $1 billion investment in cash from the Chinese firms. | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
Paramount has been struggling to secure money. The three-year deal | :05:59. | :06:07. | |
with the Shanghai group gives it a foot in the second largest box | :06:08. | :06:14. | |
office market. China will release its economic data. Vigurs attempt to | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
come in line with the official target so we are not really | :06:20. | :06:27. | |
expecting any huge surprises. -- data is expected to. Earlier I asked | :06:28. | :06:36. | |
an economist in Hong Kong about it. There are always question marks | :06:37. | :06:39. | |
about the official markets. From an investing point of view, we do not | :06:40. | :06:46. | |
only focus on one data series, such as GDP. In the past, government | :06:47. | :06:51. | |
officials were rewarded in terms of our fast province could grow and | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
with the anticorruption campaign we saw a different shift in terms of | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
how people are rewarded. Different messages coming out from Beijing and | :07:01. | :07:06. | |
we will see the targeted GDP number come down gradually. You hurt me | :07:07. | :07:15. | |
talking about Donald Trump as the next president and concerns that | :07:16. | :07:21. | |
that tensions will mount with China with his protectionist style. He | :07:22. | :07:29. | |
implements Savea tariffs. The global trade environment is quite fragile | :07:30. | :07:33. | |
so the World Trade Organisation estimated last year that trade only | :07:34. | :07:41. | |
group 1.7% which is slower than GDP growth. If can't implement harsh | :07:42. | :07:47. | |
penalties towards Asian companies, the knock-on effect will be towards | :07:48. | :07:52. | |
the US consumer because the tariffs will be passed on from the company | :07:53. | :07:56. | |
to the consumer and I doubt that is what he will want to see. The world | :07:57. | :08:02. | |
economic foreign is often criticised as being a talking shop for the | :08:03. | :08:07. | |
global elite. Inequality and the backlash against globalisation have | :08:08. | :08:15. | |
the sheer taken front stage. Our companies listening? Capitalism is | :08:16. | :08:24. | |
the very lifeblood of the World Economic Forum in Davos. People who | :08:25. | :08:29. | |
come here are very committed to the idea that we trade is the basis of | :08:30. | :08:35. | |
future asperity so how are they responding to the message from some | :08:36. | :08:41. | |
voters who feel that that prosperity has not been evenly spread. Let's | :08:42. | :08:46. | |
start with the US and Donald Trump. The fact that he won the election is | :08:47. | :08:50. | |
not something that surprised or not surprise me but the fact that people | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
are unsettled, not happy, wanting change, that is a very clear. But it | :08:57. | :09:02. | |
is not just American voices expressing concern about the | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
consequences of free trade. I personally think we cannot stop | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
globalisation. There is no going back, it is in their and it will | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
continue but I think we could definitely do it in a more conscious | :09:15. | :09:20. | |
way, in a more inclusive manner and our leaders should foster more | :09:21. | :09:24. | |
inclusive than us and try to find the middle ground. What has become | :09:25. | :09:28. | |
clear in the last few days in doubles is that companies | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
desperately want to hang on to the benefits of globalisation but at the | :09:33. | :09:39. | |
same time are increasingly realising that governments have a | :09:40. | :09:43. | |
responsibility towards those who risk losing out. What is not yet | :09:44. | :09:47. | |
clear is how that responsibility can take shape. A quick look at the | :09:48. | :09:57. | |
markets before we go. The Nick a is flat at the moment. -- nikkei. We | :09:58. | :10:17. | |
have the Chinese GDP numbers are out in just under 20 minutes and a lot | :10:18. | :10:24. | |
of caution setting out even so 6.7% is the expected figure. Thank you | :10:25. | :10:28. | |
for watching. | :10:29. | :10:30. |